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Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by fshbbdssbbgdd on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @01:00PM (#27371098)
I don’t understand how being in an interview loop would tell you whether hire-to-fire is occurring. If a manager wanted to hire someone on their team with the intent of firing them, they would hire someone who passed the ordinary interview process. They wouldn’t attach a note to the candidate’s file saying “we don’t really need to interview this one, we’re just going to fire them.” There would be a normal paper trail and nobody other than the manager would know that about the plan.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by philwelch on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @01:40PM (#27371672)
But if that last person is good enough to get past the bar raiser, they wouldn’t necessarily be the one getting fired later. It would make more sense to just hire more people than you need in the first place, intending to fire the worst performer later on without necessarily knowing ahead of time who that worst performer is going to be. Which is brutal but has a certain logic to it.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by username90 on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @07:13PM (#27375185)
Many teams has higher standard than the company bar though, the company bar is the lowest possible level anyone is allowed to be hired at not some decent average. In theory a bar raiser should ensure the candidate is better than 50% of those in similar roles, but that obviously can't be true after all these years, the bad 50% has all gotten hired via the same process.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by lokar on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @10:34PM (#27376628)
You seem to assume totally objective performance management
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by philwelch on Thursday June 03, 2021 @01:17PM (#27384410)
No.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by cryptische on Thursday June 03, 2021 @12:20AM (#27377189)
Managers generally overrule other's opinions by giving promise of personally "coaching" the new hire to make them meet the bar.

In most cases such people are put on a plan, ironically called "Coaching Plan" itself, and thereafter fired.

URA quota is an open secret at Amazon, and some employee appreciate the practice of hire to fire, as it saves their own employment.

That in turn ensures that objection to bad hire, who is going to be "coached" is non existent.

Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by lobocinza on Thursday June 03, 2021 @08:40PM (#27389183)
Darwinian
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by koheripbal on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @01:12PM (#27371279)
The source article actually provides no evidence of "hire-to-fire" practices. It simply states that there is a target URA of 6% and that's it.

The article posted here is pure speculation.

...and having worked for other large companies, I've seen similar metrics being tracked. It doesn't mean any of them are hiring just to fire people.

Frankly, I've noticed a LOT of poorly written anti-Amazon articles around, and I'm not clear if there's some effort to undermine the company. Is Amazon a political organization?

Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by andreilys on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @01:43PM (#27371707)
More anecdata but I have a friend at Amazon who confirmed the hire-to-fire mentality.

There’s a mandate to PIP and the manager wants to protect their productive employees so they hire someone and set them up to fail.

I don’t think you’re going to get any clean documentation on this process - it’s simply a result of a system that stack ranks and mandates firing.

Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by chrledntsurf on Thursday June 03, 2021 @12:13AM (#27377147)
sample size.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by otterley on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @11:03PM (#27376785)
Just about every large company has low performing employees, and just about every large company (at least in the U.S.) has a PIP process that attempts to help redeem employees who are identified to be at risk of flunking out. Some individuals, for better or worse, are just not fit to work in a particular role or at a particular company, and fail the PIP. This system is not unique to Amazon, and it's very common in the industry.

About 15 years ago, I was placed on a PIP for low performance at a large technical employer. I managed to climb out of my hole and shine, but it's a good lesson in humility and responding constructively to feedback.

Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by fshbbdssbbgdd on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @01:15PM (#27371318)
I was personally told by a former manager who used to work at Amazon that he hired to fire. He hated that the company forced him to fire good people and left.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by aerosmile on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @01:36PM (#27371608)
A guy supposedly tells another guy that some highly weird thing that makes no sense at all is common at their company. This is how we learned about Enron, so sure, let's admit the evidence. But also, this is how 99% of BS spreads across the internet, so whenever possible let's please use more than just anecdotal evidence from an anonymous account. If your friend has a story to tell, please direct them appropriately - we all know that the NYT would love to tear Amazon a new one. But please recognize just how weak your argument sounds as of right now.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by fshbbdssbbgdd on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @01:49PM (#27371774)
It’s undisputed that Amazon has a quota for attrition that managers must meet. The only question is how are they meeting it. Why is it so hard to believe that a manger who likes all of their employees would inflate their headcount request to get someone new to fire? It’s practically a mechanical result of the quota. Of course they wouldn’t go on record about this, it’s wrong and possibly illegal (the manager must have lied when filling out some paperwork). But it would be more surprising if it didn’t occur.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by lupire on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @02:06PM (#27371975)
> It’s undisputed that Amazon has a quota for attrition that managers must meet.

Citation needed.

Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by koheripbal on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @02:08PM (#27372002)
That's not correct. The article simply says they are tracking a metric. There's no mention of a "quota".
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by tyuqfromhere on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @02:19PM (#27372120)
Metrics are quotas at Amazon. There is a literally a training during your onboarding about Amazon's "metrics culture", and how the only reason you track a metric is if you have a corresponding target for that metric, as well as someone responsible for ensuring that the metric reaches that target. Amazon doesn't just track random metrics for the hell of it. Those metrics and targets are used either for or against you during annual performance reviews, and URA/RA targets are one of the most important metrics for manager-track employees. If that isn't a 'quota', then I don't know what would be.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by fshbbdssbbgdd on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @02:24PM (#27372175)
https://archive.is/nf8tn

Leaked internal memo shows that if an org doesn’t meet the target this year, they have to make it up next year.

Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by MattGaiser on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @02:19PM (#27372122)
There are a heck of a lot of anecdotes with the same hire to fire claim and I have heard them as well from former Amazon employees. Plenty of them on Blind as well, which verifies company employment.

Sure, fire has not been found, but there is a ton of smoke on this.

Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by bestcoder69 on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @01:57PM (#27371879)
Someone literally did that already, but with BI rather than NYT! That’s why we’re talking about this! I feel like I’m taking crazy pills reading this overall thread.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by aerosmile on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @05:58PM (#27374527)
Based on my experience with you elsewhere on this page, I was already wondering if you were a troll or just genuinely confused (on top of being rude and being a name caller). Let me help you out:

You are in a subthread that branched off of this statement:

> I was personally told by a former manager who used to work at Amazon that he hired to fire. He hated that the company forced him to fire good people and left.

So the conversation veered away from the BI article, and we're now focusing on the relevancy of anecdotal evidence that was presented by another HN member. The fact that you needed this explained completes the picture for me with regards to all your other comments.

Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by KittenInABox on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @01:38PM (#27371642)
Who in their right mind would go on record blasting a company worth as much as Amazon? It'll ruin their career. Unless corporations stop being as powerful, whisper networks are all we have.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by aerosmile on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @01:39PM (#27371655)
The NYT has a great track record of protecting their sources.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by TeMPOraL on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @01:49PM (#27371772)
Except when they don't. Did you miss the Scott Alexander / SlateStarCodex saga recently? It revealed that NYT's policies around revealing people's identity are pretty hit-and-miss.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by quickthrowman on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @06:07PM (#27374625)
Scott Alexander was the subject of a story, not an anonymous journalistic source which is what the poster you replied to was referring to when they said the NYT protects their sources.

I am not disputing that the NYT revealed his full name, they absolutely did so that, against his wishes.

Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by aerosmile on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @02:46PM (#27372420)
Not aware of this. But as a former NYT employee, I can tell you they try harder than anyone else out there.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by sokoloff on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @01:52PM (#27371810)
Given the overall industry turnover figures, a 6% URA target seems like something that's so low as to not be especially impactful.

"Oh @sokoloff quit? He was OK but let's mark him as non-regrettable so we can hit our target. Where do you want to get lunch?"

Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by rewind234902 on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @02:15PM (#27372085)
Yes, this happens. But the trick is that you have to have the employee on the development list before the termination is keyed in the HR system. The good news, is that the manager is usually responsible for entering the termination (voluntary or involuntary).

In happy cases like this, and in cases where you actually have significant performance problems, URA isn't so bad. The more degenerate situations happen in circumstances like:

* The employee wants to internal transfer. Bad Manager X immediately adds Employee Y to the development list and says "Oh ho ho, you're not able to transfer because of your performance problems." For Bad Manager X, the apparent incentive is high - either the employee stays and you keep the resource or they leave and you get URA credit. Obviously this leads to pretty awful situations, but I saw it happen multiple times. This can also happen when the manager is trying to protect the employee - e.g. add them to DL but not actually fire them. This usually backfires.

* Senior management pushes down URA targets. Hey, you've got a 15 person group? That means you need to pick one person to let go. Satisfied with all of their performance and understaffed to begin with? I don't care. Don't you want to have another great performer like employee Z? You need to make room, so tell me who is the least impressive person on your team. This leads to really sociopathic management behaviors.

All of this would be OK to me, if it was done transparently and more objectively. But Amazon has thrown out all the paper trail and messaged to employees that they aren't being stack ranked, which is complete bullshit.

Pro tip if you're working at Amazon: if you get a PCS with no additional grant and no base increase, you're on the development list. Find another job, or do something amazing.

Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by stadium on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @08:44PM (#27375830)
Never tell your manager about plans to transfer, or even apply, until you've got a verbal offer in hand. Ask the manager for a "soft loop" which is basically an interview done off the books with no paper trail. Once you apply, your manager, hr, and others are notified.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by northern-lights on Thursday June 03, 2021 @01:45AM (#27377626)
> Pro tip if you're working at Amazon: if you get a PCS with no additional grant and no base increase, you're on the development list. Find another job, or do something amazing.

Allegedly, the only sure-fire way of knowing if you are on Focus/Dev list is if you ask your manager point-blank about it and they have to respond with the truth.

Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by sokoloff on Thursday June 03, 2021 @09:29AM (#27380992)
"One crazy trick..." employee<->manager interactions seem so broken to me.

The idea that I would put an employee onto some kind of dev/PIP/watch list and then not tell them about this fact is so fundamentally foreign to me, but I believe it happens (because no one would make up such a thing).

Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by itsdrewmiller on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @06:23PM (#27374781)
6% is for the incoming CEO, which is probably not representative of managers closer to the line. (If it is then I agree, why even have this policy at all.)
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by philwelch on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @01:41PM (#27371680)
> Frankly, I've noticed a LOT of poorly written anti-Amazon articles around, and I'm not clear if there's some effort to undermine the company. Is Amazon a political organization?

They’re one of the largest corporations in the world; of course they’re a political organization.

Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by jsight on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @01:52PM (#27371819)
I think it is just the news has a negativity bias. It happens in trendy and groupthink oriented ways, though.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by northern-lights on Thursday June 03, 2021 @01:42AM (#27377611)
Nobody will ever get documents that proves as that is confidential information. If you want anecdotal evidence, you can check Blind.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by kukx on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @01:19PM (#27371365)
Indeed, it seems like a garbage, clickbait article. It should not be on HN.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by variaga on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @01:25PM (#27371444)
The article specifically stated that Amazon managers were hiring unqualified people:

>Instead, Amazon managers are hiring people they otherwise wouldn't, or shouldn't, just so they can later fire them to hit their goal.

And as OP is correctly pointing out, that can't happen, because the bar raiser can veto any hire they think is unqualified. Or at least it can't happen without the bar raiser colluding - and since the bar raiser is not the hiring manager (or even from the same part of the organization as the hiring manager) and they are not being evaluated on the UAR, they have no incentive for this.

If, as you suggest, managers were hiring _qualified_ people with the intent of firing them... I guess there's no way to prove that isn't happening but FWIW, I'm also at Amazon and have been part of a bunch of interviews and I've seen no evidence of that.

Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by fshbbdssbbgdd on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @01:33PM (#27371568)
The sentence you quoted says the manager “wouldn’t, or shouldn’t” hire these candidates. In my understanding, this means they aren’t needed, not that they aren’t qualified. That’s the essence of the “hire to fire” practice - hiring someone not because you need them to do the job, but because you need to meet your firing quota.

For a person to get placed on a team at Amazon, the manager must be making some representation that they need another employee. Amazon isn’t going to waste headcount by giving it to managers who don’t ask for it. This means managers have control over whether hires are joining their team. Therefore a manager can execute the plan of hiring to fire. It doesn’t matter whether they have the power to approve a specific candidate.

Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by willcipriano on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @01:38PM (#27371653)
This makes sense. If I knew my team was going to lose 6% of it's members, I'd hire 6% more people to compensate for the loss. Even if the goal isn't to fire them that's what ends up happening.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by UncleMeat on Thursday June 03, 2021 @09:30AM (#27381010)
6% is in the noise for software planning. Is there ever a single project where you are confident that 20 people is what you need so you can submit a headcount request for 21 so that you'll have one to drop? I've never seen planning that was able to achieve this level of precision.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by lupire on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @02:08PM (#27372003)
But if firing is mandatory, ALL hiring is hiring to fire, so where is the story?

Obviously if you are forced to cull X% you are going to try to maintain 1+X% staffing level.

Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by fshbbdssbbgdd on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @02:34PM (#27372288)
Yes, hiring to fire is an obvious consequence of a firing quota. The firing quota is the headline. The hiring to fire is a gory detail.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by 9wzYQbTYsAIc on Thursday June 03, 2021 @04:33AM (#27378552)
This is all old news, anyhow, is it not? I recall hearing about the Amazon mandatory firing process years ago.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by vlovich123 on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @01:35PM (#27371602)
Yet soft influence mechanisms exist. Pretending like the “bar raiser” is an infallible human being or has extra skill in detecting talent vs not is a dangerous assumption. This is especially the case when you consider that tech companies have repeatedly stated that the data shows that no one has such an ability and that’s why interview panels are needed in the first place.

Whether or not this actually happens, I don’t know. Do I think that managers (or really anyone else) can use soft skills to exert some influence some of the time? Having participated in many such panels, I think it’s pretty doable despite what many people claim because of the discussion process that happens.

Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by MattGaiser on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @02:24PM (#27372170)
Candidates can also just be coached. A friend of mine interviewed for Amazon and was surprised how much he was told about what to expect.
Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by elemos on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @07:17PM (#27375215)
In my experience, if you ask the company recruiter what to expect, they will generally tell you and even tell you about the interviewers (if known).

The need to get vacancies filled.

Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by SilurianWenlock on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @05:01PM (#27373971)
"This is especially the case when you consider that tech companies have repeatedly stated that the data shows that no one has such an ability"

Where is this data?

Re:Amazon has a quota for the number of employees it would b... by vlovich123 on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @10:11PM (#27376450)
In internal presentations at Google (& FB too? Can’t recall). I think some of this may have published but I’m not too keen to do research at the moment. At the very least it might appear in Laszlo’s book.