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Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by Graffur on Sunday May 30, 2021 @05:30PM (#27337027)
What are the fundamental flaws you're talking about? (I assume throughput but I'll wait for your reply).

What do you mean by saying people fell for "this"? I assume you mean it's a scam but I will wait for your reply.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by lottin on Sunday May 30, 2021 @06:02PM (#27337298)
> What are the fundamental flaws you're talking about?

For a payments system, the fact that all transactions are final is pretty bad. I'd say this, by itself, makes the system unusable in the real world.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by h0nd on Monday May 31, 2021 @08:56AM (#27343585)
Can be solved with reverse payments (yes, there are things to consider!).

That a transaction is final is not a flaw but one of the main features.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by chrisco255 on Sunday May 30, 2021 @09:09PM (#27338790)
This is how cash and gold worked for thousands of years.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by Macha on Sunday May 30, 2021 @09:24PM (#27338905)
But not for the last couple thousand, thanks to legal systems, or before that "running fraudsters out of town"
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by chrisco255 on Monday May 31, 2021 @10:33AM (#27344438)
That is how cash still works to this day. It's not about fraud or not fraud: it's about settlement finality. If you hand over cash to someone for a transaction, you have no guarantees you'll ever get that cash back in the event of a dispute. This is how crypto works.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by loulouxiv on Monday May 31, 2021 @06:53PM (#27348989)
Well with cash you know at least the face of the person you hand it to, and can run after him if you realize the traded bought is not as expected.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by ashtonkem on Sunday May 30, 2021 @11:39PM (#27339809)
Which is why consumers enthusiastically abandoned them for credit the moment they could. Purposefully going backwards is both silly, and something you’ll never convince the average consumer to do.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by chrisco255 on Monday May 31, 2021 @10:40AM (#27344525)
Consumers didn't enthusiastically abandon cash. Credit cards were introduced in the 60s, it took several decades for credit cards to overtake cash and it only happened because of the convenience factor for credit vs carrying cash as well as alternative debit cards that work just like credit cards. Credit was regularly rejected by stores and businesses as recently as one decade ago.

I don't use dispute resolution unless someone actually stole my credit card number like when my card info was jacked at a gas pump one time. Credit cards are quite insecure and we still have to type in all our personal info online every single transaction which is dangerous and dumb and makes the whole system vulnerable to credit card fraud in a way that crypto isn't. When you use crypto you simply sign a transaction message, you don't have to give away your private keys to make the transaction occur.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by justupvoting on Monday May 31, 2021 @12:15AM (#27340042)
Folks didn't 'enthusiastically abandon' sound money for credit (or even the early IOUs which were a sort of primitive cash) the moment they could. You're retconning a bit there. Folks were extremely reluctant for a long time on account of all the schemes and fraud. Sound familiar?

That's just what humans do to each other. New tech is always like this when there are gains to be made.

Some folks look at the trend that central banks have been on and the creep of financial surveillance and think purposefully going backward in some areas isn't silly at all.

In the end, it's software you don't have to use. Nobody is forcing anyone to opt in, right (you know, like the credit bureaus who in America force you to opt in if you intend to... I dunno, participate in the economy in a meaningful way)?

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by lottin on Monday May 31, 2021 @03:13AM (#27341165)
Consumers adopt the currency that is most convenient to them. The lack of adoption of bitcoin after 12 years of existence shows quite clearly that bitcoin doesn't have the properties that consumers want in a payments system. Until that changes, bitcoin stands no chance of becoming a medium of exchange. It might continue to be mildly popular as a get-rich-quick-for-free scheme for some time though.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by justupvoting on Tuesday June 01, 2021 @08:18AM (#27353373)
You're still kinda waving that broad brush. For one, not every consumer is most concerned with primarily with convenience (lots of scams are convenient as hell), especially tech-savvy folks in 2021 who have begun to internalize the fact that conveniences always come at a cost. There are lots of super convenient services that I could use to move money around but which I don't use because I am not comfortable with the trade-offs (primarily financial surveillance and security concerns).

Second, adoption is way up and btc is only one cryptocurrency. It gets first-mover advantage in this market (unfairly, probably) and so continues to be a bellwether despite the fact that it is a relative dinosaur, technology wise. I'm fine with that, personally, despite the problems with the technology.

That you haven't adopted the tech doesn't mean that adoption is failing, you know. There are more users every year (this is difficult to pin down for obvious & good reasons, but the indicators are solid) and no technology with millions of users globally, including institutional adopters, can be said to be failing.

Further, to call any payments technology 'mildly popular' which safeguards USD 1.5-2.5 trillion (total cryptocurrency market cap, BTC accounting for over 760 billion alone, despite the recent corrections) in deflationary wealth undermines your argument to the point of bad faith. Is the cryptocurrency market overheated and full of nonsense? Of course. But let's do the analyses with level heads at least.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by chrisco255 on Monday May 31, 2021 @10:44AM (#27344559)
Bitcoin is just one crypto. But the fact that Paypal accepts crypto as of a couple months ago isn't enough to show you adoption is happening? Or that Visa is settling USDC payments on Ethereum? https://finance.yahoo.com/news/visa-settles-usdc-transaction...
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by lottin on Monday May 31, 2021 @12:01PM (#27345381)
Do PayPal and Visa release statistics on crypto usage? I don't know for sure but I doubt anybody is using these services.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by md_ on Monday May 31, 2021 @02:38AM (#27340937)
Citation needed?

Humans have been using credit systems for millennia. The implication that in the olden days people only walked around with bits of gold in their pockets is a bit of “retconning.”

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by justupvoting on Tuesday June 01, 2021 @08:34AM (#27353491)
I think my use of the word 'credit' was a distraction here and that's my bad, but folks absolutely walked around with valuable metals to use as a medium of exchange when moving other valuables was very difficult or impossible. And there were scams then, same as there are scams now. I don't want to type out of the whole history of money as I understand it (Jack Weatherford's book was pretty good), but suffice it to say that history repeats because humans-as-behavior-machines are repetitive.

This article includes some interesting tidbits: https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2019/08/05/the-invention-...

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by chrisco255 on Monday May 31, 2021 @10:47AM (#27344596)
Credit cards didn't exist 1000 years ago. We aren't debating about credit systems. And yes, people walked around with shiny pieces of metal in their pocket that they used for transactions for thousands of years. At some point after the printing press was invented, the move to paper currency occurred.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by dragonwriter on Monday May 31, 2021 @10:53AM (#27344647)
> At some point after the printing press was invented, the move to paper currency occurred.

Paper currency is a couple millenia older than the printing press, using woodlblock printing.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by md_ on Monday May 31, 2021 @11:41AM (#27345164)
Well, the parent post was saying that people were initially hesitant to move to credit systems, so I'm confused. :)

If we're talking specifically about credit cards, the credit card went from new invention to ubiquity in a couple of decades. But I think that's too narrow a scope to look at, to be honest.

Early credit systems did not depend upon the printing press; think of the widespread use of tally sticks in medieval Europe to enable illiterate low-technology credit systems.

It's really hard to approach this anthropologically, IMO, because so many other variables change. Less complex economies do fine with "local communism" and person-to-person debt, but it's hard to imagine using such a thing to order from Amazon. Conversely, coinage historically was useful if you had to exchange with someone with whom you didn't have a personal relationship (say, you're traveling to a faraway land and you can't just provide an IOU), but that's somewhat obsolete now.

I guess my conclusion would be that these historical analogies don't shed a lot of light.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by rkagerer on Monday May 31, 2021 @03:07AM (#27341127)
I'm actually really interested in learning more about historic transitions between different system of currency. I've found lots of information on Wikipedia about the steady states, but less on the transitions. Any sources you can recommend?
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by justupvoting on Tuesday June 01, 2021 @08:48AM (#27353611)
Jack Weatherford's book on the history of money was pretty good. Lots of tracing the transitional periods as valuables give way to abstractions give way to further abstractions on the abstraction-- and documenting where they chafe (reliably, they do).

https://www.amazon.com/History-Money-Jack-Weatherford/dp/060...

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by ryanlol on Monday May 31, 2021 @02:36AM (#27340930)
s/consumers/americans/

In Europe credit cards are not very common, and debit card transactions are often not reversible.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by colinb on Monday May 31, 2021 @04:36AM (#27341694)
I don't know where you're sitting right now. I'm sitting in Europe, and credit card transactions are quite common where I live. Europe is a big place. Even within the EU there is plenty of room for difference.

A generalisation like this is no better than the frequent occurrence of HNers posting articles headlined with "the nation" which mean "the USA".

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by ryanlol on Monday May 31, 2021 @08:58AM (#27343606)
It is not unreasonable to speak of Europe as a whole. Credit card transactions are common where I live, but not in most of Europe.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by Johnwbh on Monday May 31, 2021 @05:10AM (#27341956)
That's just false. You can do chargeback on debit card transactions fairly easily https://www.moneysavingexpert.com/reclaim/visa-mastercard-ch...
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by ryanlol on Monday May 31, 2021 @09:01AM (#27343628)
UK specific article.

Anyone who has worked with payment processing can tell you how rare debit card chargebacks are, this is because they’re usually vastly more difficult.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by darkerside on Sunday May 30, 2021 @09:36PM (#27338982)
You can use Ethereum to build contracts that look a lot like settlement execution, to my limited understanding
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by ashtonkem on Sunday May 30, 2021 @11:41PM (#27339819)
Oracle problem; the ETH blockchain can only speak authoritatively to things on its own chain, for anything else you need to trust a central authority to feed in information about the outside world, ruining the point. This is why a lot of what happens on that chain is just creating ICO tokens and placing bets on various on-chain things, rather than any meaningful off chain financial transactions.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by chrisco255 on Monday May 31, 2021 @10:49AM (#27344608)
The oracle problem is a solved problem: https://chain.link/

And no, your comment on Ethereum is about 4 years outdated.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by SubiculumCode on Monday May 31, 2021 @02:00PM (#27346642)
You respond with fact, and so they turn your comment gray. This discussions moderation is legitimately the worst I've ever seen on HN.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by arbol on Sunday May 30, 2021 @06:56PM (#27337759)
Payments don't need to be final. You could use a contract that implements arbitration logic.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by ashtonkem on Sunday May 30, 2021 @11:45PM (#27339841)
Yeah, but why would anyone want to do that when credit cards already exist?
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by arbol on Monday May 31, 2021 @04:29AM (#27341633)
Eventually it should be a sensible choice. The goal is for crypto (not bitcoin) to be more economically sensible to run credit card style infrastructure. Clearly, this is not currently true but I expect it will improve to the point where most services use some aspect of crypto because it makes sense economically.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by ashtonkem on Monday May 31, 2021 @09:06AM (#27343676)
No, it will not be a sensible choice. There are some pretty deep, social problems in the crypto space that make this an extremely unlikely outcome.

The fundamental issue is that creating scalable, cheap credit infrastructure for mass economic activity is fundamentally in opposition with creating an investment that will continually gain in value. You see this really clearly in Ethereum, where’s gas fees can be exceptionally high compared to traditional financial institutions.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by chrisco255 on Monday May 31, 2021 @10:59AM (#27344709)
Check out Aave: its a lending protocol carrying $20B in assets on smart contracts. It works great! https://aave.com/

Or https://compound.finance/ also a great project.

Ethereum's gas fees have nothing to do with the price of the base asset: it has to do with limited block size availability. When the network is congested, block size is limited and this causes transactions to be bid up in an auction format to get in first.

This is one of the costs of decentralization. However, recent advances in Zero Knowledge Proof cryptography has paved a path for Ethereum to take to get to VISA scale and beyond and be able to process 200K transactions per second (at pennies or less per tx): see https://zksync.io/ and https://starkware.co/.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by lottin on Monday May 31, 2021 @05:42AM (#27342204)
I think you're mistaken. Cryptocurrencies are anarcho-capitalist money. They're not economical or user friendly because that would mean they cannot be decentralised. Anarcho-capitalists are okay with that because for them their ideology is more important than practicality but the general public will never adopt a payments system that is more expensive and less practical than the alternatives.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by arbol on Monday May 31, 2021 @06:21AM (#27342460)
I'm not expecting the average person to adopt a crypto payments system any time soon. Currency is only one aspect. B2B will come first.

There are already a large number of crypto projects partnering with existing businesses to address real problems. I don't see a minority ideology standing in the way of this.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by lottin on Monday May 31, 2021 @06:37AM (#27342558)
They have been trying to sell blockchain technology to businesses for a long time. Nothing has come out of it despite millions spent in r&d and marketing.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by chrisco255 on Monday May 31, 2021 @11:03AM (#27344750)
Here's Visa announcing they'll be settling USDC transactions on the Ethereum blockchain: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/visa-settles-usdc-transaction...

Here's various businesses running oracles for smart contracts including Deutsch Telecom: https://chain.link/ecosystem/data-providers

Here's Ernst & Young's take on the technology: https://www.ey.com/en_us/blockchain

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by lottin on Monday May 31, 2021 @12:15PM (#27345569)
I can't find a specific example of a business that has used a blockchain to achieve something in any of these links.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by chrisco255 on Monday May 31, 2021 @12:26PM (#27345699)
Visa is a business and they used the Ethereum chain to settle a payment in the form of the USDC ERC20 token. Now, they're just getting started. But from my perspective, I've seen virtually every function that I enjoy from my bank replaced by smart contracts in the past year. And the only thing that's really holding me back from closing my bank account altogether is the legacy integrations that exist. And that will fade with time.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by lottin on Monday May 31, 2021 @01:09PM (#27346138)
Sure, but they aren't using a blockchain themselves, they're simply letting their clients settle some transactions on the ethereum blockchain. It's not really an example of a business using blockchain technology to its advantage. If they had deployed a blockchain and used that to process transactions, that would be more convincing, but so far I don't think they've done that.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by chrisco255 on Monday May 31, 2021 @09:52PM (#27350004)
No, they are literally using it, providing resources for it (in the case of Deutsch Telecom), and settling transactions on it. Why would you deploy your own blockchain when you can use a public blockchain like Ethereum and plug into the rich ecosystem that already exists?
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by lottin on Tuesday June 01, 2021 @03:12AM (#27351478)
> No, they are literally using it

They are not. They're offering a pre-paid card that users can top up with their crypto.com wallets. [1]

The Crypto.com Visa Card is a prepaid card. Broadly speaking, prepaid cards are the same as debit cards. The difference is that debit cards are linked to your bank account, but prepaid cards need to be topped up. In our case, you can top up using bank account transfers, other credit/debit cards, or cryptocurrency.

And Deutsch Telecom isn't using a blockchain either. They're selling data to a company that then puts the data on a blockchain. That's not using a blockchain.

[1] https://crypto.com/cards

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by chrisco255 on Tuesday June 01, 2021 @02:15PM (#27358892)
Deutsch Telecom operates Chainlink nodes, which are a decentralized method of writing data to the chain. They are paid in LINK for providing this service.

And Visa clearly said: that Anchorage will be its “digital asset settlement agent” and that it will “integrate [its] treasury systems with Anchorage.”

“After further testing and additional conversations with clients, partners and members of the regulatory community, we hope to launch this capability for other partners in the year ahead,” Visa said in a blog post about the news.

Read it from their official press release, a couple times: https://usa.visa.com/about-visa/newsroom/press-releases.rele...

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by lottin on Wednesday June 02, 2021 @04:43AM (#27366387)
Sorry, man, nowhere in this press release it says Visa is settling transactions on the ethereum blockchain. It says it "plans to offer USDC settlement capability" in the future. And in the footnote they specifically say that this "does not refer to the movement of funds from individual consumer accounts". Deutsch Telecom hasn't even done a press release, so we don't know what their alleged involvement with Chainlink entails other than presumably selling them some data. If this is the best evidence of a supposed trend of blockchain technology adoption in the business world, it strongly suggests that such a trend does not exist at all.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by ashtonkem on Monday May 31, 2021 @09:07AM (#27343681)
And a ton of money wasted on IBM consultants.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by ajkdhcb2 on Sunday May 30, 2021 @06:43PM (#27337646)
I observe the exact opposite: people do not like accepting the risk of payments that can be reversed because the buyer does a chargeback scam, or used a hacked paypal account.

Multisig escrow is also better in every way if people want to involve a third party in case of a dispute

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by lottin on Sunday May 30, 2021 @08:13PM (#27338390)
Right, the thing is if I want to involve a third party (and I definitely want that), I wouldn't use a decentralised system to begin with, because decentralised means inherently inefficient and therefore expensive.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by arcticbull on Monday May 31, 2021 @02:30AM (#27340893)
Especially since you have to trust a third person anyways and once you're trusting anyone, you lose all the blockchain guarantees.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by ajkdhcb2 on Tuesday June 01, 2021 @02:44PM (#27359378)
False. The third party can't take the money, it can only be given to the receiver or back to the sender. That's how multisig works.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by arcticbull on Tuesday June 01, 2021 @05:53PM (#27361891)
Correct, you have to trust the extra signer to make a good faith representation of what happened in reality. That makes the transaction inherently trustful.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by Paradigma11 on Monday May 31, 2021 @02:34AM (#27340925)
Sure its inefficient. For example the complete Tezos network uses around 10kW of power while a centralized solution might only 1kW. Relevance: None.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by ashtonkem on Monday May 31, 2021 @09:08AM (#27343691)
Electricity is far from the only measure of efficiency in financial transactions. Cost overhead is another one.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by Macha on Sunday May 30, 2021 @09:26PM (#27338914)
Sellers do not want, but buyers have the money and hence the power so sellers mostly just have to deal with it.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by doomroot on Sunday May 30, 2021 @06:26PM (#27337495)
You can build a system of reversible transactions on bitcoin or any other currency (people already have). It’s impossible to do the inverse in a non reversible system.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by acjohnson55 on Sunday May 30, 2021 @07:14PM (#27337915)
We have non reversible payments already. It's called wiring money. People generally avoid using it unless absolutely necessary, because it's expensive (much like bitcoin) and most of the time, it's not what you want.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by md_ on Monday May 31, 2021 @02:42AM (#27340965)
Wiring money isn’t a great analogy. In the US it’s expensive for consumers just because banks can charge a lot for it, but ACH isn’t really more or less reversible (I.e., both are, to a degree) and is free. Conversely, in SEPA, wire transfers are free/inexpensive and in my experience people routinely use them for consumer payments.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by arcticbull on Monday May 31, 2021 @02:27AM (#27340872)
The depository institutions themselves don't actually pay much at all - FedWires are about $0.033 to the DI. Some DIs offer domestic wires free of charge like my bank does.

SWIFT international wires do cost the DI more, but not several orders of magnitude more. I don't happen to know that number off hand.

Some retail banks charge a lot for wires because they can - people don't use them frequently (as to your point its not what people want most of the time) and usually only for bigger purchases so the fee matters less.

However, if this is something you do more often, banks offer steep, steep discounts over sticker.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by noxer on Sunday May 30, 2021 @08:06PM (#27338344)
Its called "settlement" when its final. You probably dont need that ever or dont even know there is a difference between a payment and settlement but financial systems do know the difference very well. They just hide it from the end user. Settlement is the actually difficult part the rest is just moving numbers around. After all fiat is mostly digital.

And BTW no we dont need bitcoin for this at all its depreciated tech. But other DLT can be very usefully. There is a reason CBDCs are a huge topic in global finance.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by hellbannedguy on Sunday May 30, 2021 @07:02PM (#27337804)
It's bad now, but in the future it might be great?

With technology getting faster, I regret not mining a few coins.

I even bought the sound cards?

A life if regrets because I didn't follow my gut feelings, or let people sway my decisions?

(Would I invest in Bitcoin now. Hell no, but years ago yes. It will deflate, along with NTF's, and the stock market soon.)

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by heterodoxxed on Sunday May 30, 2021 @07:24PM (#27337994)
| It's bad now, but in the future it might be great?

Not be able to reverse transaction is not a feature, it's a fundamental flaw. There is absolutely no advantage to the consumer or the producer to have all transactions immediately permanent.

The rest of your comment reveals your bias: You don't really care about it working technologically, you just wish you had made money on it.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by danboarder on Sunday May 30, 2021 @06:14PM (#27337403)
Except that transactions are not final, your scenario is exactly what crypto is great at, there are many ways you can set up an escrow for any transaction to protect multiple parties, for example by using a multisig wallet (1).

(1) https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multisignature

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by craftinator on Sunday May 30, 2021 @06:37PM (#27337587)
I get the feeling that the underpinnings of your argument points are based on not being very familiar or well read with the technology around Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, especially Ethereum. Your coming at it from an end user or armchair quarterback point of view, not someone who actually does development in that space; if you did, you'd know that one of the reasons Ethereum was created was to provide a digital escrow mechanism, and has been around for over 5 years. So no, your example isn't based on reality.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by ashtonkem on Monday May 31, 2021 @08:51AM (#27343541)
> Your coming at it from an end user or armchair quarterback point of view, not someone who actually does development in that space

The slow transition away from “mass adoption soon!” is extremely entertaining to me.

Why, pray tell, for a currency would developers matter more than end users?

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by chrisco255 on Monday May 31, 2021 @10:51AM (#27344627)
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by heurist on Sunday May 30, 2021 @06:11PM (#27337378)
I'm confused about why Bitcoin is being discussed in the past tense when both usage and price have both grown significantly over the last year. Is it already dead? Could have fooled me.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by eli on Sunday May 30, 2021 @07:46PM (#27338180)
Usage in what sense? Beanie Babies once commanded a high price but they too were never a good payments system.

Many people are certainly buying in to crypto with the intent of selling it later at a profit. But that’s unrelated from its utility.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by heurist on Sunday May 30, 2021 @07:52PM (#27338222)
Sure. They'll sell at the peak and buy at the bottom because it's a well known 4 year cycle programmed into the protocol. If the price is expected to appreciate 5-10x from any other asset in the market every 4 years that's a bet you should make, even if the timing of the peak and trough is hard to see. But the price floor increases over time as the trade becomes better known globally and the lottery odds expand. Eventually there is so much noise it all evens out and becomes a generally smooth slide into a stable store of value. It's network science and game theory that I personally consider much smarter than anything I could create (having deployed technology built on network science in exchange for money in the financial sector). And much more democratic than is possible in the traditional financial world. Frankly, the longer I study this the more impressed I am.

Usage as in number of network participants. People investing time, energy, risk into the system. Miners, traders, validators, second layer operators. Similar to members of facebook, servers in the internet. Price as in market price. And I'm only talking Bitcoin here.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by eli on Sunday May 30, 2021 @10:09PM (#27339242)
Right, there's lots of interest in Bitcoin as a speculative investment, but no longer as a payment network. That's the part that people are talking about in the past tense. The idea that bitcoins themselves have utility beyond being something valuable that can be owned.

It'd be like if the number of Facebook accounts kept rising, but hardly anyone posts content anymore. If I were a Facebook investor, that would worry me.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by darkerside on Sunday May 30, 2021 @09:37PM (#27338992)
> it's a well known 4 year cycle programmed into the protocol

First I've heard of this. Do you have more information?

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by bombcar on Sunday May 30, 2021 @11:40PM (#27339815)
Taking about a four year cycle on something that has existed for twelve seems the epitome of using too few data points.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by FabHK on Sunday May 30, 2021 @10:08PM (#27339231)
GP is presumably talking about the halving of coinbase, ie the mining reward, every 4 years. Currently at 6.25 BTC per Block.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by arcticbull on Monday May 31, 2021 @02:33AM (#27340913)
Right, but supply inflation moving from 1.76% per annum to 0.88% per annum is roughly speaking utterly meaningless. People just latched onto this idea because they're using too few data points.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by FabHK on Monday May 31, 2021 @08:42AM (#27343467)
Agreed.

And the idea that miners have a god-given right to make $100 per transaction, $40m per day, and therefore if the mining reward halves, the price of BTC must inevitably double, is obviously preposterous.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by lhl on Sunday May 30, 2021 @10:01PM (#27339186)
You can look up Stock to Flow and Bitcoin to learn more about that theory.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by lmm on Monday May 31, 2021 @01:01AM (#27340346)
Has non-speculative use actually grown? The ability to actually buy stuff with bitcoin looks to be on a downward trend, and the fact that the price has changed significantly over the last year feels like a negative for actual use of bitcoin.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by crucialfelix on Monday May 31, 2021 @01:53AM (#27340647)
It's an excellent way to pay off ransomware and get your data unlocked. Hospitals, cities and oil pipelines use it all the time.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by ThePowerOfDirge on Monday May 31, 2021 @07:07AM (#27342742)
Identity theft and corruption help ransomware much more than cryptocurrency ever will.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by ashtonkem on Monday May 31, 2021 @09:12AM (#27343725)
Identity theft and ransomware are different classes of financial fraud, saying that one helps the other is like saying that petty crime helps murder; it doesn’t make much sense.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by ThePowerOfDirge on Monday May 31, 2021 @10:47AM (#27344589)
The argument is let's ban cryptocurrency that'll stop ransomware, which doesn't hold true. All you need is a fake identity or corrupt banking system to siphon off the funds you stole with your ransomware.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by tetherino on Monday May 31, 2021 @05:36AM (#27342169)
Bitcoin's price is being artificially manipulated through at least one stablecoin, Tether.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by ashtonkem on Sunday May 30, 2021 @11:46PM (#27339850)
Please provide evidence for this assertion.

Note, not speculation in Bitcoin, usage of it as an actual currency.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by alfarisi17296 on Sunday May 30, 2021 @07:59PM (#27338288)
You didn't notice? This chat is mostly composed of people salty because they didn't buy when they had the chance. Oops!
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by haskellandchill on Sunday May 30, 2021 @08:46PM (#27338599)
This common retort is so tired, can we just stop with it once and for all. The price history of Bitcoin is irrelevant to the arguments given here against it.
Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by gota on Monday May 31, 2021 @02:03AM (#27340699)
Not to mention the opposite ill-intended argument can trivially follow: "this thread is full of people disregarding the arguments against bitcoin because they are invested in it"

I agree with you. Both versions of this argument have to stop in favor of actual discussion (which, it seems, there is a good amount of in this thread)

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by marcusae313 on Tuesday June 01, 2021 @02:58PM (#27359589)
The tech world should smash buy now and contribute in every way they can to improve the technology.

Most technology companies should hold it on their balance sheets and employ a contributor.

Re:It's time for us in the tech world to speak out about cry... by marcusae313 on Tuesday June 01, 2021 @02:29PM (#27359139)
I should rephrase. Just buy. If you want to get involved and contribute, please do. Money in the hands of centralized figures is very dangerous.