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Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by dragosmocrii on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:07PM (#26682709)
The article says that today a battery pack the size of a backpack and that weighs about 40kg, can power a house for a day. Is that really so? Would that be a normal house, being powered for an entire day? I find it hard to believe that battery would pack that much energy
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by tyingq on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:14PM (#26682770)
A Tesla Powerwall 2 weighs 114.0 kg and provides 13.5 kWh.

Average US household electricity consumption is 877 kWh/month, which would be 29kWh/day.

Either they mean a very efficient/small house, or homeowners with unusually frugal habits.

Edit: Average UK household electricity consumption appears to be around 10kWh/day.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by Someone on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:19PM (#26682806)
Or houses not in the USA. http://shrinkthatfootprint.com/average-household-electricity...:

“The average American or Canadian household in 2010 used about twenty times more than the typical Nigerian household, and two to three times more than a typical European home”

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by umvi on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:18PM (#26683339)
Why is that? Is it because North Americans use electricity for cooking and heating whereas other countries use gas for that?
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by ajuc on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:32PM (#26683465)
Air conditioning isn't needed in many EU countries except for a few days a year (so it's not worth to even install it in private homes, modern offices mostly have them though for some reason).

Also depending on the country few people use cloth driers - you just hang your clothes on a cable and let them dry by themselves.

Houses in colder parts of EU are also usually better isolated than in US ([1] that's a typical Polish house for example), and more people live in flats in blocks instead of independent houses (so heat loses are vastly reduced because you only have 1 or 2 outdoors walls).

Homes are also simply bigger in US. Average home size (including flats) in my country is a little over 70 square meters. It's probably bigger in western Europe but not by that much.

Also big houses usually have 2/3 stories instead of being very "wide".

And electric heating/cooking isn't very popular, but I think that depends on the country.

It all goes back to electricity prices - in Poland in 1980s most houses had no isolation, everybody heated with coal which had fixed (and very low) prices. Then communism ended, prices were free to change with the market, some taxes were introduced, and suddenly everybody isolated their houses in like 10 years. Otherwise you burned money like crazy.

[1] https://s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/pressland-cms/cache/__...

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by r00fus on Saturday April 03, 2021 @03:43PM (#26684085)
Global Warming is changing that. Anecdotally in my observations, more new houses in France now have AC whereas it was rare only 5 years ago.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by bluGill on Saturday April 03, 2021 @06:12PM (#26685198)
Global warming is not that much difference. People just can afford ac now so they buy it.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by r00fus on Monday April 12, 2021 @01:29PM (#26782345)
Given I have skipped last year (due to COVID) but we'd been in France every summer for the previous 5 years and it's gotten hotter and hotter - resulting successive record breaking summers.

I think the decline of the jet stream is a bigger deal for Europe than the US. Hotter summers and colder winters.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by throwawayboise on Saturday April 03, 2021 @05:19PM (#26684841)
People are also fatter and less tolerant of warm weather.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by mr_toad on Saturday April 03, 2021 @11:17PM (#26686623)
Heat pumps are an efficient way of heating in the winter, and double as AC in the summer.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by polote on Saturday April 03, 2021 @05:39PM (#26684971)
Reversible ac are more energy efficient that heater, x3 I think
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by thesteamboat on Saturday April 03, 2021 @03:30PM (#26683968)
Sorry to nitpick, but I assume you mean EU houses are better insulated than those in the US, rather than isolated.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by azeirah on Sunday April 04, 2021 @07:31AM (#26688610)
Whaha, the Dutch word for insulation is "isolatie". The word "isolatie" also translates directly to the English word "isolation" as in being away from everyone.

I think the poster might be Dutch or similar :p

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by ajuc on Saturday April 03, 2021 @04:34PM (#26684479)
Yup. False friend. Thanks for teaching me a new word :)
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by baybal2 on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:58PM (#26683698)
> ([1] that's a typical Polish house for example),

I believe a typical Polish "house" will be an apartment.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by ajuc on Saturday April 03, 2021 @03:02PM (#26683730)
42% of Poles live in apartaments. It was slightly above 50% several years ago.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by twelvechairs on Saturday April 03, 2021 @05:03PM (#26684716)
House size is basically proportional to the increased energy. The average US home is 2-2.5 larger than European homes [0]. This doesn't just mean more space to heat and cool but also more space for additional appliances.

[0] https://i0.wp.com/shrinkthatfootprint.com/wp-content/uploads...

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by urthor on Saturday April 03, 2021 @08:13PM (#26685901)
Office buildings use them because the heating/cooling part is secondary.

They need it for ventilation because 6th floor office windows don't open for obvious reasons.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by fwsgonzo on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:22PM (#26683372)
Probably due to differences in standards, like wall isolation (I don't know the english terms). My house has 25cm isolation in the walls and 40cm isolation under the roof. I also have 3-layer windows and a thick metal door. The ventilation system is isolated and the air heat is reused to save electricity. This is for a 260sqm house.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by nightski on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:26PM (#26683419)
We average 400-500 in the spring, fall, and winter. In the summer with AC however we'll double that. We are in a northern climate, I have to imagine in the south it gets pretty spendy for AC.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by cwhiz on Sunday April 04, 2021 @08:47AM (#26689015)
Same reason most Americans are poor. Inability to prioritize long term goals over immediate gains. Save $50 today, but spend $500 more over the next decade.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by fulafel on Saturday April 03, 2021 @03:19PM (#26683891)
US housing is very roomy, often features AC and poor insulation, and electricity is cheap and avergae incomes are high.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by tyingq on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:20PM (#26683354)
I suspect big houses, poor insulation, air conditioning, and gluttony.

Most of the US houses I've been in use either gas or fuel oil for heating.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by galangalalgol on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:33PM (#26683467)
We have lots of elctric furnaces or heat pumps in the southern and western states where winters are milder. The air conditioning is the real usage. The insulation in new homes is good, but the insulation to keep heat out needs to be in walls as much as ceilings which is harder to retrofit. Modern AC systems help quite a lot and keeping heat away from ac ducting in the attic by insulating them amd adding roof vents and radiant barrier to keep the attic cool. Lighter colors so your south facing wall doesn't fry eggs (literally) also help.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by 300africans on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:20PM (#26682811)
Here in Burkina faso, I use between 5 and 12kwh per day with air con some months taking it close to 15kwh. If the price keeps coming down and with some solar installation, one can leave the grid in a couple of years time
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by marcosdumay on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:28PM (#26682880)
I imagine most of the aircon energy usage coincides with the times of peak photovoltaic generation. So if you calculate by total energy consumption, you'll overestimate things by a huge margin.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by Armisael16 on Saturday April 03, 2021 @03:43PM (#26684087)
You can imagine that, but it isn’t true. AC usage is relatively low in the middle of the day because people let their houses warm up while their at work. It jumps at the end of the workday.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by nicoburns on Saturday April 03, 2021 @04:17PM (#26684371)
> AC usage is relatively low in the middle of the day because people let their houses warm up while their at work

Presumably if electricity was free during th day and expensive at night, that habit would change rapdily.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by _JamesA_ on Saturday April 03, 2021 @05:20PM (#26684850)
Is that still true in the work from home post covid era?
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by baybal2 on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:59PM (#26683709)
How is life in Burkina Faso?
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by ghaff on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:23PM (#26682837)
It also looks like a Powerwall 2 costs about $7,500 plus about another $5K for installation.

I use about 20kWh per day--I have a somewhat smaller house--and vaguely looked into whole house batteries a few months back and concluded they would only make sense if I had it wired into just a few critical systems like my furnace. But, at the end of the day, I should still just get a propane-fueled generator at this point if I ever got anything.

So $2K for a battery that can power a house for a day seems almost an order of magnitude off if they literally mean power an entire normal house.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by quickthrowman on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:41PM (#26682988)
> But, at the end of the day, I should still just get a propane-fueled generator at this point if I ever got anything.

Yes, a propane or natural gas generator is a lot more flexible/higher capacity

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by natch on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:40PM (#26682977)
The average US house is not the average house, nor is it representative of normal in the world we live in, which happens to dwarf the US by a factor of roughly 25.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by tyingq on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:18PM (#26683336)
I don't assume they mean something smaller than a factor of 25 either. 1.2kWh would be substantially less than 40kg.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by kragen on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:27PM (#26683424)
No, no, the world is 25 times bigger than the US, by population. So it's ridiculous to equate houses with US houses, especially when reading a British publication.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by tyingq on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:40PM (#26683528)
The article uses US dollars quite a lot. That's why I posted US stats, marked as such. I did update it with a UK average as well.

Also, FWIW, the North American edition of the Economist accounts for more than half the readers. UK readers are less than 20% of the total.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by kragen on Saturday April 03, 2021 @06:45PM (#26685408)
The Economist usually takes a worldwide perspective; that's why this article uses US dollars and French kilograms and meters, because those are the most widely recognized units, even though the article focuses mostly on developments in the US.

As for your other comment, that air conditioning and spending US$2000 isn't "representative of the world," I think you will be very surprised if at some point you travel outside the US. The rest of the world does not consist of Elbonian mud farmers as you seem to think. Air conditioning is common throughout the warmer parts of the world; the majority of the world's population has access to air conditioning, though not always at home. The gross world product is about US$17500 per person per year, PPP.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by tyingq on Saturday April 03, 2021 @10:20PM (#26686413)
"I think you will be very surprised if at some point you travel outside the US"

I'm not quite sure what prompted you to drag this down to that level. FWIW, I spent several years living in Europe and the Middle East. In homes that weren't air conditioned even. And a fair amount of travel to many other places.

"The rest of the world does not consist of Elbonian mud farmers as you seem to think"

Wow. You have no reason to go there. Fuck off. Saying that lacking $2k of discretionary money to spend on lithium batteries is "Elbonian mud farmers". Wtf. I've certainly had times I my adult life where I didn't have $2k of discretionary money.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by kragen on Saturday April 03, 2021 @11:39PM (#26686716)
Haha! I didn't realize you were imagining a battery bank as some kind of toy. I was thinking more like an alternative to a gasoline generator, which is not really "discretionary spending".
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by tyingq on Saturday April 03, 2021 @11:40PM (#26686724)
Discretionary spending doesn't imply toy. What's with the taunting?
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by kragen on Saturday April 03, 2021 @11:58PM (#26686783)
The taunting was uncalled for. I'm sorry. I shouldn't have accused you of ignorance. Your response was definitely not what I expected.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by natch on Saturday April 03, 2021 @03:29PM (#26683960)
Kragen was right, I was talking about the size of the world. The US is not representative of average or normal. Nor is the UK. And UK publications, due perhaps to colonial history, tend to take a more global view so I would not assume their notion of an average house is centered on the UK either.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by tyingq on Saturday April 03, 2021 @03:42PM (#26684071)
Neither is air conditioning representative of the world, or people with a "house" that have $2k to spend on a 40kg lithium battery plus more on the other stuff like inverters, frames, installation. But all are clearly noted in the article as part of the target audience.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by adrianmonk on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:36PM (#26682933)
Your point still stands, but there's probably some small correction factor necessary since the article seems to be talking about the weight of the cells only.

Although I'd bet the weight of the cells does make up the majority of the mass of a Powerwall, other components might have significant weight. From some quick, cursory research, it seems to have a metal frame/cover and apparently has some kind of liquid cooling. (Also, minimizing weight for a Powerwall seems less important than for an EV.)

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by sgt on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:31PM (#26683455)
South Africa here.

Our house uses about 20 kWh a day during the summer, with some minor AC usage in one of the rooms when needed.

During the winter probably about 30kWh, and that excludes extra costs like wood for fireplace.

My house is fully insulated and all windows are double glazed, so that keeps energy usage more efficient. I also have a solar heater (aka "geyser") which lowers energy costs even more. So with that in mind, I really can't believe they're using less than this in Europe...

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by bobthepanda on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:49PM (#26683609)
They might be just using less electricity but other means to generate their needs.

I've heard that the EU has a lot more district heating (which wouldn't show up in an electricity bill, AFAIK) and I'd imagine a fair deal of older buildings have a boiler using oil or gas or something else to burn.

AC is also just not very prevalent.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by nicoburns on Saturday April 03, 2021 @04:19PM (#26684383)
> I'd imagine a fair deal of older buildings have a boiler using oil or gas or something else to burn.

In the UK gas boilers are common even in newbuild homes. I don't know a single person with AC (though it's common in offices).

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by brucehoult on Saturday April 03, 2021 @07:09PM (#26685554)
Far north New Zealand, 4 bedroom house, no insulation, no double glazing, electric hot water and cooking. 9-10 kWh/day October-May, ~18 kWh/day June-September (dehumidifier). Wood burner (about US$150/winter) when the heat from the dehumidifier isn't enough to maintain 20 C.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by sjwright on Saturday April 03, 2021 @08:50PM (#26686053)
Remarkable. I’m in Sydney, my house sounds similar by description but I have gas hot water and stovetop. My house uses over 5 kWh/day for ambient/idle power alone.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by brucehoult on Saturday April 03, 2021 @09:22PM (#26686188)
I'm typing this on a 32 core ThreadRipper with 32" 4K screen, which runs 24 hours a day! I also have a Zen 2 laptop and a headless M1 Mac Mini running all the time. And assorted Raspberry Pi, HiFive Unleashed etc. But no TV (or at least it's off).
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by sgt on Sunday April 04, 2021 @03:45PM (#26692264)
That's impressive. What's your usage pattern like? I mean, in our house there's regular use of washing machine, tumble dryer, dishwasher, TV's, swimming pool pump. Heck even the swimming pool takes a couple of kWh a day! Would be curious on how to live so frugally.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by sjwright on Sunday April 04, 2021 @05:44PM (#26693096)
Sorry if I was unclear. 5 kWh/day of idle. That’s how much it uses when we’re literally not home and all I’ve left on is the networking gear, appliances on standby, etc.

My average actual occupied usage is closer to 20-25 kWh/day, varying mainly by AC load.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by sgt on Monday April 05, 2021 @05:40AM (#26697015)
Sorry, you were clear enough, I just didn't read properly. I think my idle is about the same.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by dv_dt on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:30PM (#26682894)
It’s enough for the twilight evening usage for a household when paired with a solar system.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by petra on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:45PM (#26683585)
So 29kWH/day. Say you get half of that from your solar panels at sunrise. 13.9kWh is almost the other half.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by kumarvvr on Sunday April 04, 2021 @12:55AM (#26686992)
A tesla 2 powerwall, weighs about 120 kg and holds about 14 kWh of power.

In India, the average household has a 2.5 kW Peak Power meter and usually, about 10 kWh per day is consumed.

So, not exactly a back-pack, but yeah.

The average individual house in India, is constructed in a plot of about 200 Square Yards. Usually available roof space is about 1000 sft.

Assuming no shadows or high rises in the vicinity (80% of homes have good sunshine even in dense cities), this area is sufficient for about 5 kW of installed capacity.

Most of the deccan plateau gets about 6 hours of good sunshine year-round. So that translates to about 30 kWh of power generation capability.

So, a 3 kW installed capacity, with 1 powerwall will be sufficient to power an average household for most of the year.

Of course, this does not take into account usage of ACs (a fast increasing power consumption category in India)

However, it costs about Rs. 100,000 for 1 kW of installed capacity (including inverter and grid connected meter, no batteries) For 5 kW, that is 500,000 Rs. (about 7000 USD) of investment.

Average annual salary of an Indian household in an urban area is about 15000 USD. About half of that in rural areas.

If there are good financing options and grid connected reverse selling meters (they are being encouraged by many local and state governments), there could be a revolution in installed solar capacity and utilization.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by f6v on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:19PM (#26682805)
Very much depends on the home. Tesla Powerwall 2 seems to be 13.5 kWh at 114 kg. Energy consumption can be anything from 30 to 40[1]. So one Powerwall 2 unit probably won't get you through the day if you use that much.

[1] https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/use-of-energy/electricit...

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by natch on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:37PM (#26682953)
Getting you through the day is not really the point though.

The point is

1) shifting some consumption during peak hours off of peak rates

and

2) having backup to get you through a limited outage, not necessarily at your full normal consumption level but without having to be in the dark / without internet / without phone and possibly car charging.

Nobody should evaluate this by whether one battery pack by itself provides all the energy anyone needs for everything with no limits. It’s one component with several good use cases.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by spockz on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:00PM (#26683164)
I’m not sure about regulations in the US but in The Netherlands you cannot just attach a battery and think you are independent of the grid. To protect the net and people working on the net, power sources behind the meter must disengage when the net/mains power drops. This effectively disables your independence plan. If you want to be independent you have to get some expensive mechanism installed that will decouple your house from the net in case of net failure and bring it back when the mains is up again. And you need get it certified periodically.

So unless you have enough generation to completely decouple from the net you are not really independent or it will cost you.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by jccooper on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:19PM (#26683350)
Transfer switches are standard for pretty much any generator setup. An automatic one is a bit more expensive, but hardly a deal breaker.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by spockz on Saturday April 03, 2021 @04:55PM (#26684641)
Okay. Perhaps I used the wrong sources when I researched what it would take to be able to handle outages. The costs for the installation and periodic “transfer switch” were significant, moreover because doing it as a private individual instead of a company was hard to arrange.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by kragen on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:11PM (#26683262)
This is correct in the US as well, except that I'm not sure about the periodic certification thing.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by natch on Saturday April 03, 2021 @03:37PM (#26684031)
I agree with what you said but it seems you may have meant to reply to a different comment. Independence is another topic, certainly related somewhat, although it didn’t come up in my comment... interesting nonetheless.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by spockz on Saturday April 03, 2021 @04:57PM (#26684667)
Actually I did. I interpreted the limited outage from point 2 as the supplier not being delivering power for a short period. If that were to happen in a normal situation here the regulation says your sources have to cut off as well. Unless you install some additional gear.

So without additional Equipment just having solar and a power wall wouldn’t help during outages.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by natch on Saturday April 03, 2021 @10:10PM (#26686380)
Nighttime is another situation in which the supplier does not deliver power, at least for solar.

Yes you need cords, appliances, and other equipment, including extra equipment if you are not connected to the grid, that is a given.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by turtlebits on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:42PM (#26682994)
The wording in the article isn't great, but they are referring to the power consumption for a household in 1990.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by shoo on Saturday April 03, 2021 @04:43PM (#26684552)
Another anecdote: I rent a 50m^2 apartment. Electricity consumption for the apartment, averaged over trailing 12 months, is 4.5 kWh / day. This excludes: energy for stove top/oven (natural gas) and energy for hot water (paid for as part of rent, cannot see the details). Consumption for two people, including one person working from home full time. Relatively modern apartment that is warm enough in winter without active heating.

This will not be representative of energy usage in houses, larger apartments with many exterior sides & lots of exposed glass.

edit: house prior to that was an older 100 m^2 semi-detached house with much worse insulation. Similar setup with natural gas for cooking & hot water. Annual electricity consumption was 1750 kWh / year so about 4.8 kWh / day on average, for two people. Not so different to the current situation. Curious. From memory we ran the air conditioner on a few days in summer and electric heating in the depths of winter. From memory the house was somewhat unpleasantly cold some of the time so perhaps we tended to put on warm clothing rather than try to heat the whole place.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by kccqzy on Saturday April 03, 2021 @05:22PM (#26684862)
That sounds reasonable. My house is about twice your size and so is my electricity consumption (8.8 kWh/day last billing cycle). Also doesn't exclude stove/oven/hot water as these are all powered by natural gas.

I was shocked by a few other comments saying 30 kWh/day. Is it because they use electricity to cook and heat water?

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by gok on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:15PM (#26682775)
At best it would store about 8kWh, so... it would have to be a pretty efficient house.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by kragen on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:50PM (#26683067)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_density_Extended_Refere... lists "battery, Lithium ion" as 0.46–0.72 MJ/kg.

    : user@host:~; units
    2529 units, 72 prefixes, 56 nonlinear units

    You have: 40 kg * 0.6 MJ/kg
    You want: MJ
     * 24
     / 0.041666667
(The 13.5 kWh in 114 kg tyingq cites for a Powerwall 2 in https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26682770 works out to 0.43 MJ/kg, which includes some power electronics as well as the batteries themselves. The US$12500 price ghaff cites in https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26682837 works out to under 4 kJ/US$, or US$925/kWh, which is a terribly high price even for lithium-ion.)

24 MJ would be 1 MJ/hour for 24 hours, or 3 MJ/hour for 8 hours, about 300 or 800 watts, respectively. Some houses use much more than that; others use much less. If you're looking at your electric bill, 500 watts would be about 370 kWh per month:

    You have: 500 watts * 1 month
    You want: kWh
        * 365.2422
     / 0.0027379093
40 kg of lithium-ion batteries are indeed roughly the size of a backpack (≈20 liters), though I wouldn't call it a small backpack. Around here, the retail price for the batteries would probably be closer to US$2400 retail than the less than US$2000 they cite, but that's not an error in their calculations; it's just that they're using a lower price of US$140/kWh.

The article claims that in the early 01990s this quantity of batteries would have cost US$75k. I'm pretty sure this is wrong. This quantity of lithium-ion batteries might have cost US$75k, but even today lead-acid batteries cost half what lithium-ion batteries do.

I don't think the price of lead-acid batteries has changed that much over the last 25 or even 50 years, though admittedly I don't have any 30-year-old battery catalogs to check pricing in. Lithium-ion batteries in the 01990s would have weighed only a little more than lithium-ion batteries today, so it looks like they're using the pricing of lithium-ion batteries and the weight of lead-acid batteries.

If you're powering your house from batteries, you should probably do it with lead-acid batteries, not lithium-ion batteries. The big disadvantage of lead-acid batteries is that they weigh roughly three times what lithium-ion batteries do (per joule), so lead-acid electric cars had roughly a third the range of lithium-ion electric cars. But the weight is not enough to matter for a house.

There is enough lithium in Earth's crust to power the world economy through the night. There is, I think, not enough lead. So although lead is currently cheaper, lithium is more scalable. Other less developed candidate options include sodium batteries and aluminum fuel cells.

Nickel-iron batteries might be even cheaper, though I'm not sure, and they're definitely more scalable. Nobody sells them anymore, though lots of telecom centers still run on them.

It's unfortunate that the article cites a power capacity, "1.2 gigawatts-worth of storage", but not an energy capacity, for the US's utility-scale storage rampup last year. 1.2 gigawatts for five minutes would be 100 MWh, in the quaint units used in the energy markets; 1.2 gigawatts for 12 hours would be 14'400 MWh. There is a very significant difference between these; one requires 144 times as much battery behind it than the other. By contrast, the difference between 100 MWh over 5 minutes (1.2 gigawatts) and 100 MWh over 12 hours (0.008 gigawatts) is mostly a matter of what shape the batteries are and how much active cooling is needed. One wonders if this is not simply an error because the author did not know the difference between gigawatts and gigawatt-hours.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by CRConrad on Monday April 05, 2021 @08:10AM (#26697965)
> The article claims that in the early 01990s this quantity of batteries would have cost US$75k.

Oh come on, isn't that wildly overdoing it? We have almost eight thousand years to go before the fifth digit becomes necessary!

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by Phenomenit on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:15PM (#26682784)
I think that depends on how much heating/cooling is being used.it should be enough for just lights and devices.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by Tade0 on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:18PM (#26682799)
40kg translates to 4-9kWh depending on the chemistry, meanwhile houses in the UK draw around 3kWh/day averaged over a year so unless a house is woefully inefficient, it checks out.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by tzs on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:37PM (#26683504)
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by spockz on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:03PM (#26683201)
3kWh seems way too low. We consumed on average 7.3kWh/day. According to our energy supplier this was on the low side for our house type and family size.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by ghaff on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:25PM (#26682852)
Really? Houses in the US draw 10x on average relative to the UK? That seems unlikely.

ADDED: I can believe there's some difference because of AC but I basically don't have AC (just one window unit I run a few days a year), have oil heat, and have a somewhat smaller than average house but I still use about 20kWh/day.

The delta does seem to be real though.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by maxerickson on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:22PM (#26683373)
My highest months come out to less than 10 kWh per day. This is work from home + running the furnace (blower and pumps) and running a humidifier. Lots of months will be less than 200 KWh total.

This is a medium size house in a colder region of the US.

Do you have an electric hot water heater? That would probably boost my use a lot.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by kragen on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:13PM (#26683280)
I wonder if your house is smaller than the world average or even the UK average? It probably has less thermal mass than the UK average. What are you spending your 800 watts on?
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by rconti on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:17PM (#26683325)
No way. 90kWh/month?

My Silicon Valley house consumed ~450kWh/month (15kWh/day) (before we bought an EV) which is very much on the low side from what I see here. 1100sqft. No A/C. Rarely run the heat. Every single light in the house is an LED. Gas appliances. 2 people, not home during the day.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by andi999 on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:28PM (#26683431)
Your neighbour is stealing power. 15kwh/day means you are permanently using 600 Watts. Do you have a stationary (desktop) computer? Or do you underestimate heating. You can burn through your whole years budget easily in less than two month. What about the oven, I mean do you bake?
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by rconti on Saturday April 03, 2021 @03:51PM (#26684147)
Sounds about right. My house, at idle, uses 300w last time I measured it, probably more now. Most of that would be electronics. A rack in the garage with a 24 port PoE switch powering a couple of APs, and a router, a NAS, a handful of small devices, plus whatever drain is used by the various laptops and iMac at sleep, and the clocks on the various appliances, the small aquarium pump on the cat fountain.

The appliances, as I mentioned, are all gas, but still a clothes dryer and a washing machine consume some electricity, as does the pump on my furnace, as do ceiling fans in use when necessary.

And of course, the devices that cycle on and off all the time; the refrigerator, instant hot tap under the sink.

And then there's the actual electricity we consume during the times we're home to do things like light the house, watch television or use computers, listen to music, etc. It is quite easy to use 2000-2500w when home and active in the evenings.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by ghaff on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:43PM (#26683557)
He did say gas appliances which I assume would include the oven and might include a dryer. Presumably not the refrigerator though (there are propane refrigerators but you wouldn't normally get one if you have electricity). I probably draw 400-500 watts even if I'm traveling.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by CyberDildonics on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:36PM (#26683494)
Ever heard of a refrigerators and freezers?
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by PeterisP on Saturday April 03, 2021 @03:34PM (#26684005)
A decent refrigerator should consume less than a kWh per day, perhaps 1.5 kWh/day for refrigerator + standalone freezer - this is something that has changed over the last couple decades, at least in the EU there has been a strong push towards more efficient appliances and refrigerators consume much less power than older models.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by CyberDildonics on Sunday April 04, 2021 @06:33PM (#26693414)
This does not make it more likely that someone is stealing their electricity than they have a refrigerator and/or freezer making up the rest of their unspoken for electrical bill.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by labawi on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:24PM (#26682845)
> Average US household .. 29kWh/day

> houses in the UK .. 3kWh/day

Seems believable from what I've heard.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by benjohnson on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:34PM (#26682922)
The 3kWh figure for UK is just electricity - add 12kWH for heating energy from gas to get a more reasonable number given that people in the UK generally don't live in shacks.

https://www.theenergyshop.com/guides/average-gas-and-electri...

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by ghaff on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:42PM (#26682992)
Yes, although the 30 kWh US figure doesn't include a lot of gas/oil heat in the North/mountains either. (It does include a lot of AC but average electricity consumption is still a lot higher apparently in the US even taking that into account. I assume bigger houses is one reason.)
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by turbinerneiter on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:32PM (#26682907)
I think in the US it's common to heat and cool badly insulated houses with electricity, whereas in europe almost nobody cools, heat comes from other sources and insulation is taking way more seriously, especially for anything built recently.

The best way to reduce your energy bill (whichever source) is to live in the right climate zone I guess.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by ghaff on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:37PM (#26682955)
Electric heat isn't super common, especially in standalone houses, in areas where you need a lot of heat in the US. I don't know the numbers off the top of my head but electricity costs a lot more than gas or oil. You're right about the AC but I still use 20 kWh even with no AC (and no electric heat).
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by turbinerneiter on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:55PM (#26683109)
Thanks for the insight. I vaguely remembered that people run the ac in reverse for heat, but that is probably only in paces that almost need no heating.

Do you know why you use that much?

Do you heat your water with electricity?

Fridge, freezer, tv, WiFi, Desktop PC, charging phones and laptop, ligths.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by ncallaway on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:01PM (#26683180)
- AC is a very common consumer of large amounts of electricity (depending on the region, many regions will have almost no AC while other regions will have it in every building running almost constantly)

- Electrical heat is not the most common form of heating, but it's been growing a lot and is also a big consumer when it is used

- Laundry Washer/Dryer are pretty large consumers (mostly the dryer)

- Water heaters are often electrical

- Electrical ovens and stove ranges are pretty common, which can pull quite a bit depending on how much use they receive

- Microwaves pull a bit, but not huge

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by ghaff on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:12PM (#26683269)
AC is a big one. Where I live in New England, we usually have a couple spells where I really need to turn on my office window unit for a week or so. Those months can drive my electricity consumption up by 200 kWH or more for the month--and that's just one small window unit run intermittently during the day to cool one small room.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by nicoburns on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:25PM (#26683401)
(electric tumble) dryers are an interesting point. They're getting more common, but most people I know in the UK either don't have one, or have one but don't use it for normal washes (they use a washing line or a clothes horse).
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by bcrosby95 on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:14PM (#26683293)
AC is extremely efficient for what it's doing, but it only works because the temperature difference is relatively minor. Where they can get away with it, they use something similar to AC for heating in the US.

But it doesn't work everywhere for heating. Consider that even in the hottest climates in the US, you're cooling your air by 30 degrees. But in the coolest climates, you're heating your air by 60 degrees.

My sister has this system in Philadelphia, but when it gets cold enough the more inefficient raw electric heating kicks in, and that really chews through electricity like no other.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by ghaff on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:07PM (#26683239)
Not really. My electricity usage is considered normal so I've never really looked into it.

Additional freezer, washer & dryer, oven (I have a propane range but many do not), microwave, there's some additional water heating in the dishwasher as well as for drying, TVs, other electronics like printer stereo etc., furnace/water heater are oil but still have pumps etc.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by turbinerneiter on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:30PM (#26683444)
That's fascinating as it's not really that different from myself.

I'm alone in a flat tough, I guess you are a family?

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by ghaff on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:46PM (#26683588)
Nope. 1800 sqft house. re: the freezers, I just like to cook a lot.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by TheCoelacanth on Saturday April 03, 2021 @07:30PM (#26685665)
"AC in reverse" I'm assuming means a heat pump, which is very common in the US except for the parts that get really cold like the Northeast and Midwest. They are very efficient down to a bit below freezing, but will result in higher electricity usage since you are using electricity instead of a different fuel.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by nicoburns on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:03PM (#26683202)
Do you have any idea what that is going on? Just really inefficient appliances?
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by ghaff on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:26PM (#26683413)
I don't think anything is "going on" given that my consumption is about average for my area. I do have 3 fridges which are all pretty old at this point which is certainly some ongoing load. I also have at least the usual number of electronic devices consuming at least standby loads. Then there are the usual intermittent things like electric dryer, dishwasher, etc.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by abdullahkhalids on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:50PM (#26683065)
1 KWh/day for Fridge. Lights should do less than 0.5KWh/day. Washing machine is maybe 0.3KWh/day. Maybe, other electronics might add up to 1-2KWh/day. Cooling is not required most of the year. Maybe fans for a couple of months. Heating is separate (EDIT: UK figure), as others have noted.

What else are you using electricity on?

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by kragen on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:01PM (#26683182)
Heating, which can easily be 5 kW, 120 kWh/day; many US houses are heated electrically, so it's not always separate. Air conditioning can easily be 3 kW, or 72 kWh/day, although it's usually only on during the daytime, so figure 30 kWh/day; it's common to run a 240 VAC circuit in the US for the air conditioner because the 2.4 kW of a standard 120 VAC 20 A circuit is insufficient. Incandescent lights could easily be 1 kW (which you get to offset against the heating part of the year), which is another 24 kWh/day. A household stove is usually about 4 kW if you're cooking on two burners, but you're probably only cooking about 2 hours a day, so that's 8 kWh/day if you cook at home. (Some people cook with other fuels, but others use electric stoves.) Hot water heaters are also a few hundred watts, I think; an on-demand tankless hot-water heater is on the order of 3 kW, but in the US hot-water tanks are far more common, constantly leaking heat through their fiberglass insulation.

In Arizona and New Mexico, where I grew up, common inefficient houses need air conditioning during the day and heating at night much of the year.

So it's easy to see how, even if cooling is not required most of the year, you could easily use 50 kWh/day of electrical energy in the kinds of huge houses people have in the US.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by galangalalgol on Saturday April 03, 2021 @03:12PM (#26683816)
I think AC is usually 440v around here. It is the largest consumer.
Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by ncallaway on Saturday April 03, 2021 @01:56PM (#26683125)
> Heating is separate, as others have noted.

Heating isn't separate for me. For me, cooling isn't required most of the year (probably similar to UK weather), but for many parts of the US cooling is required almost year-round.

Re:Lithium battery costs have fallen by 98% in three decades by andi999 on Saturday April 03, 2021 @02:24PM (#26683394)
3kWh/day so around 1100 kwh/a seems to me on the low side. Two person household in Germany uses 3600kwh/a electricity. Do you have sources?