Only if the competition is mediocre. If the competition takes away money, attention and admiration from Elon, he will not be happy.
RocketLab has already been doing that, and he still has praised it.
Musk doesn’t have to be your villain to be an imperfect person.
Rocket Lab deserves the praise it receives. More so than Blue Origin, an older company whith grander ambitions but has been unable to execute on anything beyond a few small scale suborbital hops. Their methalox BE-4 engine is admittedly pretty cool though.
vs
2. Design for first-time-close enough, spend a lot of money on many relatively cheap-ish prototypes that get blown up but improve each time. While making money with a less (but still) ambitious design
Anyone motivated by money would have stopped working that hard many, many Billions ago.
I'm sure he's motivated by other stuff too but he's very clearly also motivated by wealth accumulation to some degree.
I would argue that many of the billionaire class (outside of wall street) are more interested in their projects and goals than strictly capital accumulation. Especially those who have signed off on donating a majority of their wealth after their death.
"In 1979, Les Blank took a detour to film German filmmaker Werner Herzog honoring a vow he made to Errol Morris that he (Herzog) would eat his shoe if Morris ever actually made one of his films he was forever talking about. Stung to action, Morris directed Gates of Heaven and Herzog, true to his word, returned to Berkeley to consume one of his desert boots at the UC Theater. Blank's film documents Herzog's strongly expressed belief that people must have the gutts to attempt what they dream of."
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CGcWTIWYDMQ (just the lead-up..)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kii4jQ7XHuY (shoe-eating..)
> 12. (4/9/17) G.K Chesterton On AI Risk was an April Fools’ joke and not meant seriously. But it did criticize Maciej Ceglowski’s piece where he accused singularitarians of not caring enough about the poor. The fake Chesterton of the piece said that if Ceglowski himself gave to charity at the same level as the people he was criticizing, he would “eat his hat”. Ceglowski pointed out that he does indeed give a lot of money to charity, including a $15,000 donation last year. Under the circumstances, I felt honor-bound to eat my hat and post a video of it on Twitter.
https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/04/01/g-k-chesterton-on-ai-r... https://twitter.com/Pinboard/status/848396684862275584
http://nick-stevens.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/buck-roge...
What does that even mean? Going threw the NASA certification? Why would NASA even do that?
There is capsule that could even launch on the rocket that currently exists.
We will see if it is a good market and if they will be able to execute.
https://nodis3.gsfc.nasa.gov/displayDir.cfm?t=NPR&c=8705&s=2...
But even if you design to those standards, doesn't mean you will actually get certified.
And as SpaceX learned, the interpretation of those specification are not easy.
So if you just build something without constantly working with NASA, and have their cooperation, you are unlikely to get certified.
Peter Beck, who once claimed he’d eat his hat if they made a reusable rocket, sure made a big 180 on the topic, and I couldn’t be happier! Speaking of, watch the announcement video: https://youtu.be/agqxJw5ISdk
I’m also GLAD they copied the Falcon 9 design (which is as old as scifi and was demonstrated by DC-X and Masten Space Systems and Armadillo Aerospace) for the first stage landing concept. Better to use what works instead of just making a novel approach just for the sake of novelty or Not Invented Here. Rockets ought to land on a pillar of flame like God and Heinlein (EDIT: and apparently the Soviet Cosmists) intended: https://youtu.be/TdSxDNnqRlo
Also, RocketLab has a TON of ex-SpaceXer employees... I’ve long said that the high churn (for aerospace, but not any higher than typical tech company) of SpaceX, while not necessarily really good for SpaceX, is really good for the industry as a whole.