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Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by andy_ppp on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @04:55AM (#25926240)
How much would buying all the Brazilian rain forest cost the world, or even renting it from Brazil? We would need it to be slightly more than cattle farming to work... but I’d happily pay towards this.
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by DoingIsLearning on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @05:24AM (#25926450)
Buying rain forest would mean nothing for illegal rare wood markets, or illegal gold mining, or illegal forest fires to stretch cattle grazing area.

Most people grossly underestimate how wild and pretty much lawless inland rain-forest regions are in the Brazilian state of Amazonas. There are small pockets of settlements everywhere but except for Manaus there is very sparse infrastructure, Police will take days to get somewhere by boat, Healthcare deep in the forest is pretty much a death sentence if you happen to need urgent critical care. You have people that have never been registered with social security, etc.

My point is that having a piece of paper saying that a specific rosewood tree belongs to IKEA or <NGO> would mean nothing, by the time you try to enforce this, the tree would have been fellen, cut, and shipped on a boat to the highest bidder.

If you want actual change in the region you need to develop the local economy with jobs that allow these people to be productive in a way that is somehow more profitable than the existing illegal activities. But the practicalities of this are much harder to implement then simply blank buying forest land.

Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by amelius on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @06:13AM (#25926805)
> by the time you try to enforce this, the tree would have been fellen, cut, and shipped on a boat to the highest bidder.

That could be true, but only holds for one tree (or a small number of trees). The problem starts when people build a business around trees. By the time their businesses are fully operational you can enforce laws. And this makes it unattractive to even start in this line of business.

Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by DoingIsLearning on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @06:53AM (#25927116)
You have entire gold mining illegal operations with heavy machinery deep in the forest without any law enforcement to halt them. Murder of indigenous locals in clashes with illegal miners is also not uncommon. Similarly to coca farming in Colombia they simply relocate to another unknown location periodically.

Even assuming good faith from Brazilian law enforcement/military the remoteness and shear size of the rain forest makes it a huge challenge to enforce any rule of Law.

Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by amelius on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @07:08AM (#25927231)
It seems there is some hope:

https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/145988/tracking-ama...

> A (...) satellite-based system, DETER, went into operation in 2004 (...)

> “DETER completely changed the way rangers went about enforcement work,” said Rajão. Rather than doing random patrols and checking for permits, rangers would send squads of enforcement officers — with satellite images in hand — to investigate areas of recent, suspicious activity. That made it much easier to remove or apprehend equipment. The word spread among deforesters. The existence of DETER meant that environmental authorities would likely notice if large tracts of land were cleared, and fines and agents would follow soon enough.

Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by kaveh_h on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @08:33AM (#25928018)
You don’t necessarily need to enforcement at the whole region but at the perimeter where heavy machinery and cargo need to pass to reach customers. But since this comes with a big cost still UN should help out with enforcing such laws.
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by jcims on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @07:21AM (#25927330)
Pretty sure most would support repurposing Tomahawk missiles and MQ-9 Reapers for the protection of the Amazon.
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by glenneroo on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @07:52AM (#25927598)
I'm not sure that firing missiles into forests is the most intelligent use of resources...
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by detritus on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @08:00AM (#25927660)
Why not? You'd likely not need IraqWarII levels of commitment - just a few enthusiastically-delivered missives at 1100kph to get the message across. A few loitering drones and a few dozen more missiles might actually be a highly efficient use of resources. I'm not sure where 'intelligence' comes into play here, beyond condescension of an idea you evidently disagree with.
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by glenneroo on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @08:23AM (#25927903)
Apologies I didn't mean to be derogatory. I was just a little bit surprised at the bravado-military mentality that surfaced on a tech forum. To clarify, there are so many issues here I don't even know where to begin, just some quickies off the top of my head:

- the most obvious was mentioned already: forest fires, when missiles explode in a forest you are trying to protect, things tend to burn and fire tends to spread i.e. there might be little forest left to save after you're doing killing everyone who has bad intentions.

- where do you even set these up that they arrive on time to actually hit moving targets?

- how do you ensure you don't kill innocents?

- how do you even _find_ nefarious actors, when forest canopy makes it very hard to find anything, not to mention the Amazon forest is mind-numbingly huge.

- AFAIK the military generally has an inventory of weapons they have to keep stockpiled, so the tax-payer will pay for extremely expensive weapons to be used and built again (great if you want to support military-industrial complex).

As stated elsewhere, the issue is deeper and not addressable by blowing people up. The people doing this have nothing to lose because they have little or no opportunities for making money, so they take any job they can find. Do you believe we should just murder people who make questionable decisions based on their survival? You and I are sitting comfortably behind a computer having this discussion and I would venture that neither are us are qualified to talk about what it's like to be that close to starving.

Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by jcims on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @09:12AM (#25928451)
It was mostly tongue in cheek but it would be interesting to see how the public reacts to such a declaration. If actually implemented I am fairly confident that countermeasures could be taken to avoid casualties and collateral damage, but historically those things get pretty slippery over time.
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by glenneroo on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @09:19AM (#25928525)
I suspect public reaction would depend on how media decides to spin it:

- poor starving people just trying to feed their families and in order to survive, will take any job and are being exploited to this end by <cartels/greedy corporations/etc>

or

- dirty scumbags killing innocent animals and cutting down swathes of protected forest just to make a quick buck

or any other narrative that sells clicks, not to say all media is corrupt/greedy, but it sure seems like most public reactions are based on media narratives.

Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by detritus on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @09:48AM (#25928865)
Yeah, my apologies - I too was being slightly tongue in cheek.

That said, if you entirely removed morality from the equation, I suspect it would actually be an efficient use of resources, to 'surgically' target varying levels of unwanted enterprise to make a somewhat dissuasive point.

Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by smileybarry on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @08:05AM (#25927704)
Well, causing a forest fire with a missile is one thing we should avoid.
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by detritus on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @08:10AM (#25927764)
Why then, just use kinetic/fragmentary projectiles - easy peasy!
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by jcims on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @08:11AM (#25927777)
You just time the operation to minimize risk of wildfires, which is already pretty low in a rainforest.

The only challenge I see is that the folks running the saws and the skidders aren't the ones profiting from the operation. So maybe you take some extra precautions to avoid killing the crew, but destroying the equipment seems like a perfectly acceptable use of resources.

Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by DoingIsLearning on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @08:23AM (#25927908)
> You just time the operation to minimize risk of wildfires, which is already pretty low in a rainforest.

You seem misguided, rainforest is not equivalent to high humidity or rain all year round, you absolutely have wildfires and it is not a 'pretty low' risk. [0]

Also most of these operations are lead by organized crime and explore poor people in their day-to-day operations. Killing desperate and poor people that work on these illegal operations seems like a very disproportionate colateral for anyone that cares about upholding rule of Law, or you know just general ethics.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Amazon_rainforest_wildfir...

Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by pelasaco on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @05:16AM (#25926398)
well, in first place Brazil (or Peru, Suriname, etc) should be wanting to sell or rent it. Which they aren't. Second, it won't help to buy or rent it if there is no control in the region. Third, Europe together with China are the biggest market of illegal wood. France has a high military presence on the French Guyana, and they could definitely pass intelligence to some navy to catch the boats leaving Brazil/Suriname towards Europe. So it's not matter of who owns it but if all nations actually want to fight the black market around illegal wood and biopiracy, which they clearly don't want.

References:

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-brazil-biopiracy/brazil-t...

https://www.dw.com/en/wood-laundering-brings-illegal-amazon-...

http://www.globaltimber.org.uk/ChinaIllegalImpExp.htm

Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by pelasaco on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @05:28AM (#25926487)
I remember when I served in the region, we did some exercises together with the 3rd regiment of the French Legion, and they had even a sea operation force that could definitely work on that if Macron could do more than Virtue Signaling on Twitter about this matter

Reference:

https://twitter.com/emmanuelmacron/status/116461700896252723...

Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by andy_ppp on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @07:45AM (#25927527)
Everyone has a price... it’d just be interesting to calculate the total cost of purchasing and enforcement. Probably into the tens of billions per year? More? Once there is a figure people might think it’s worth doing or not.
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by thaumasiotes on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @05:07AM (#25926325)
I read an article commenting on "microlending", which came to the conclusion that the concept doesn't really work. Your loan of $3.50 might really mean something to the peasant who receives it. But it means nothing to you, and so microloans end up with no one vetting the borrower for creditworthiness or hassling them to collect. This incentive mismatch ends up spoiling the project; there's no reason for someone not to take out a microloan, drink the money away, and default.

There's a similar problem with your idea. You could buy a stretch of land in Brazil and bask in the glow of taking it off the market. But the problem you perceive with overuse of the Brazilian rainforest wouldn't be solved; that land was mostly not on the market anyway. How would you stop farmers from encroaching on your land? A "No Trespassing" sign won't do the job.

Buying land to prevent development will work better in the US, mostly because there's no one in the US who lives off the land. You can't stop small farmers from moving on to your unsupervised land. But you can easily stop giant logging or mining companies from doing it.

Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by Snoddas on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @05:20AM (#25926418)
I have about usd 100 rotating in different micro loans through https://www.kiva.org/ In 11 years only one loan has defaulted.
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by dbrgn on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @06:56AM (#25927130)
Over the last ~10 years, I've put around 800$ into Kiva. From that, 188 loans for a total value of 5000$ were made.

A bit more than 300$ went into Kiva donations (you can choose for every loan, to cover administrative costs). 20$ went to currency losses. 80$ went to default losses.

The default losses are 10% of what I put in, or 1.6% of the total amount lent. And I explicitly chose a few loans that were explicitly marked as high-default-risk, because of the social situation of the recipients or due to the political/economic situation in the region.

I cannot confirm that my money dried up in default losses. I still think it's quite a good model (but I haven't followed economic research about microloans in the last few years).

Edit: I grew up in the amazon region, parents worked in an NGO. Giving people gifts/donations is worthless to most, since something gifted feels like it has no value. If you build a water well for free, it will be broken in a few months to years. If you make the village pay a part of the costs on the other hand, and if they must help building it, they'll value it more and keep care of it. It's a cultural thing. I could imagine that loans work the same way: You don't get a donation, you'll get a loan that you have to work for. In that culture, it will be valued more. (Of course, that applies to the region I grew up in, I don't want to over-generalize.)

Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by thaumasiotes on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @05:25AM (#25926454)
How many loans is that? I take it when one comes back you just make another loan?
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by kludgekraft on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @06:13AM (#25926799)
Yes, I do the same, only on https://www.zidisha.org/

100 dollars have been used for 500+ loans, the last 8 years or so. While you can pick the recipients yourselves, I've opted for automatic re-lending on the platform.

Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by Dylan16807 on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @05:19AM (#25926413)
But they weren't suggesting individual purchases. A very large group doing a very large purchase can buy cost-effective security.
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by thaumasiotes on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @05:22AM (#25926434)
> A very large group doing a very large purchase can buy cost-effective security.

That really depends on how much they want the security. People defend territory all the time. It's very, very expensive to do that -- have a look at some city walls -- but it's cost-effective because they are using the territory.

But no, no matter how large the group, they cannot buy cost-effective security for their giant stretch of wilderness if their plan for it is "don't use it" and there are other people who do have a use for it. Compare American government efforts to stop people from using land to grow marijuana. Is the problem that the American government just isn't big enough?

Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by Dylan16807 on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @02:52PM (#25933044)
> Compare American government efforts to stop people from using land to grow marijuana. Is the problem that the American government just isn't big enough?

People are generally doing that in areas where people are allowed. Also the government has a stupendously large amount of land that it didn't pay for and a low budget for keeping anyone out.

It's different if this is land you're purchasing in the modern age. If you're buying a million acres for over a hundred million dollars, then that's about 150 miles of border to patrol. If you hire 150 people for that, at above-median wages, that's 3 million a year. Add some overhead, some expense for equipment and buildings, it's affordable enough compared to the purchase price. If that's too expensive then go up to 10 million acres, which triples the land area per mile of border. Or 100 million acres.

Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by thaumasiotes on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @07:47PM (#25936543)
> If you're buying a million acres for over a hundred million dollars, then that's about 150 miles of border to patrol.

> If that's too expensive then go up to 10 million acres, which triples the land area per mile of border. Or 100 million acres.

I don't really follow. The use case is that you want to prevent small farmers from encroaching on the jungle. This will only ever happen at the border between where the small farmers end and the jungle begins. If you buy land behind the border, that's nothing but a waste of your money (until the border is so thoroughly dejungled that your old hinterlands is the new border).

In turn, this means that all of the land you're interested in is border. You can't rely on the fact that a circle has a high ratio of area to perimeter to claim cost-efficiency, because you're structurally constrained to owning maximally cost-inefficient strip shapes.

Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by Dylan16807 on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @09:36PM (#25937413)
Doesn't that risk someone buying the land behind your strip and developing it?

But assuming your scenario is the right one:

Buying only the border land is a strict improvement in efficiency over my plan. Instead of paying X million for land and Y million for security to protect a huge swath of rainforest, you only have to pay X/50 for land and Y million for security. Who cares about what percent goes to what, you're saving tons of rainforest for even less money.

In the extreme you might realize you don't even need to buy any land, you're just paying for security to protect the rainforest. Instead of paying 100 billion to own and never visit, you pay 1 billion a year to protect land you don't own. Which... sounds fine to me!

Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by namibj on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @06:07AM (#25926752)
If the area is large enough, they could actually make a literal border around it, and use change detection via satellites to notice potential settlements/activity on the inside.

You probably need a watch tower about every 1~2 km, or even less if you'd use a strip of minefield to protect against hordes.

Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by faceplanted on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @05:06AM (#25926316)
You wouldn't just need to buy them, you'd also need to police and monitor them constantly, if you bought them from abroad without further intervention unscrupulous people would just move in and start working the land anyway, and if you can figure out how to police it better than they can you might just be better off developing that.
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by dalbasal on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @05:08AM (#25926330)
There have been/are efforts like this. I can't comment on successes/failures, but if you want to kick in... this one says $100 saves an acre: https://www.worldlandtrust.org/appeals/buy-an-acre/

Shop around, not all organisations are equal. Also, there is probably similar programs in your area. A lot of good, well established wetland repurchase & conservation efforts in the US.

Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by Cthulhu_ on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @08:41AM (#25928110)
You'd have to buy Brazil first though; the rainforest and its conservation is as much a political issue as it is a financial one.
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by jeffreyrogers on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @12:17PM (#25930833)
Isn't it a bit unfair to impose that on Brazil? Europe doesn't have much wood anymore because they used so much of it from the Romans on. The US exported a lot of wood to Europe early in its history (still does). Should we tell Brazilians, "Sorry, that worked for us, but now that we're rich we care about the environment, so tough luck?"
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by adrianN on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @07:15AM (#25927289)
The most cost effective way is probably dropping a few hundred million anti personnel mines in the forest. They're very cheap to produce, very expensive to remove, and reliably keep people out of the area.
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by glenneroo on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @08:07AM (#25927724)
There are also numerous indigenous human tribes and untold number of mammals which would likely set these off. And what if you ever want to use the area? We are still finding mines from WWII all over the world. If you absolutely have to take the macho-military-method, I'd personally recommend drones...
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by adrianN on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @08:21AM (#25927892)
The whole point is making the area unusable without the option of changing your mind after the next elections.
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by thehappypm on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @11:41AM (#25930331)
This is a joke, right?
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by adrianN on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @12:01PM (#25930592)
I'm half-serious. It wouldn't be the first minefield that acts as a nature reserve, e.g. https://www.bbc.com/news/magazine-39821956 or https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/feb/06/living-i...
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by thehappypm on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @12:59PM (#25931462)
The world does not need more minefields. This idea is bad, and you should feel bad.
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by ekzy on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @07:20AM (#25927318)
That's quite... clever. But what about the wildlife?
Re:IKEA buys 11,000 acres of U.S. forest to keep it from bei... by adrianN on Wednesday January 27, 2021 @08:20AM (#25927879)
My uninformed guess is that while the wildlife would be impacted, it would still fare better than when humans intrude in their habitat.