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A comment on 16-inch MBP 2x slower than M1 MacBook Air in a real-world Rust compile. Parent comment

Re:16-inch MBP 2x slower than M1 MacBook Air in a real-world... by bhouston on Tuesday November 17, 2020 @01:33PM (#25127649)
Intel in 2020 is IBM in 1980.
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Re:16-inch MBP 2x slower than M1 MacBook Air in a real-world... by aidenn0 on Tuesday November 17, 2020 @02:31PM (#25128492)
So in 2060 it will still be a huge company with $20B in revenue?
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Re:16-inch MBP 2x slower than M1 MacBook Air in a real-world... by scottlamb on Tuesday November 17, 2020 @02:52PM (#25128779)
Yeah. When I'm guessing how long something will last, I guess it's about halfway through its life unless I have really good information to the contrary. Intel was founded in 1968, so let's say it will shut down in 2072 (give or take...many...years). And Fortune 500 companies don't seem to totally shrink back to startup head count and revenue even when they go bankrupt—they might have significant revenue but even more expenses. So it seems pretty reasonable to guess Intel will be around with (at least) $20B of revenue in 2060, in spite of their rough patch today.
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Re:16-inch MBP 2x slower than M1 MacBook Air in a real-world... by ZeljkoS on Saturday November 21, 2020 @08:53AM (#25169725)
> When I'm guessing how long something will last, I guess it's about halfway through its life

That is called Lindy effect: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lindy_effect

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Re:16-inch MBP 2x slower than M1 MacBook Air in a real-world... by rualca on Tuesday November 17, 2020 @02:46PM (#25128688)
>>So in 2060 it will still be a huge company with $20B in revenue?

That's great for shareholders.

Meanwhile, keep in mind that IBM exited the consumer computing device market. If that's also in store for Intel then it's a bit pointless in the PoV of those in the market for consumer computing devices.

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Re:16-inch MBP 2x slower than M1 MacBook Air in a real-world... by 3000000001 on Tuesday November 17, 2020 @02:39PM (#25128601)
Past performance does not indicate future performance, but there are plenty of reasons to think Intel might be around for some time to come.
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Re:16-inch MBP 2x slower than M1 MacBook Air in a real-world... by eulers_secret on Tuesday November 17, 2020 @02:47PM (#25128698)
That'd be quite a decline, last year Intel reported $72B in revenue...
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Re:16-inch MBP 2x slower than M1 MacBook Air in a real-world... by spullara on Tuesday November 17, 2020 @03:13PM (#25129112)
As soon as they switch to a services business.
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Re:16-inch MBP 2x slower than M1 MacBook Air in a real-world... by holoduke on Tuesday November 17, 2020 @05:53PM (#25131020)
No Intel is back to 2002 with it p4. Give them a year or 2 and they are back with a new cpu. Don't forget that they have enough in their r&d pockets.
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Re:16-inch MBP 2x slower than M1 MacBook Air in a real-world... by rowanG077 on Tuesday November 17, 2020 @06:01PM (#25131090)
That's what I thought 3 years ago. It hasn't happened.
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Re:16-inch MBP 2x slower than M1 MacBook Air in a real-world... by ksec on Wednesday November 18, 2020 @09:41AM (#25137245)
Overlooking much of TSMC and Current Intel Fabs issues.
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