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Re:16-inch MBP 2x slower than M1 MacBook Air in a real-world... by scottlamb on Tuesday November 17, 2020 @02:52PM (#25128779)
Yeah. When I'm guessing how long something will last, I guess it's about halfway through its life unless I have really good information to the contrary. Intel was founded in 1968, so let's say it will shut down in 2072 (give or take...many...years). And Fortune 500 companies don't seem to totally shrink back to startup head count and revenue even when they go bankrupt—they might have significant revenue but even more expenses. So it seems pretty reasonable to guess Intel will be around with (at least) $20B of revenue in 2060, in spite of their rough patch today.
Re:16-inch MBP 2x slower than M1 MacBook Air in a real-world... by ZeljkoS on Saturday November 21, 2020 @08:53AM (#25169725)
> When I'm guessing how long something will last, I guess it's about halfway through its life

That is called Lindy effect: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lindy_effect