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Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by ozim on Sunday September 06, 2020 @01:56PM (#24393217)
“There’s no borders at all for IT engineers. They can find a job anywhere.”

Uhm yeah, but they also have parents, siblings, girlfriends. Probably they might have some properties bought already. So as it may seem really advantageous to be in IT, one might not be able to move to another country just like that...

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by nomadrat on Sunday September 06, 2020 @02:01PM (#24393271)
And it's naive to say that there's no borders. You have to be qualified for the visa requirements. You also have to renew this visa every year or so. You have to start all over. Of course everything is possible with some effort and money, but i'm tired of seeing this term "no borders for it engineers".
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by ozim on Sunday September 06, 2020 @02:24PM (#24393478)
Agree, it is no borders for "digital nomads" from first world countries having nice passports.

Take into account COVID-19 pandemic and it is not as easy to move somewhere just now.

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by sam_lowry_ on Sunday September 06, 2020 @02:44PM (#24393626)
Neighboring Lithuania and Ukraine already eased visa regimes for Belarusians in hope to attrack highly skilled workers fleeing Lukashenka.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by useyourforce on Sunday September 06, 2020 @03:06PM (#24393792)
Yet Lithuania requires all of moving staff to apply for the Blue Card. Minority of programmers are eligible for it.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by nomadrat on Monday September 07, 2020 @10:49AM (#24399772)
yeah i'm from Belarus, so i know everything about borders and also pandemic-related visiting troubles. currently in Vilnius on almost expired residence permit
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by akira2501 on Sunday September 06, 2020 @02:25PM (#24393489)
Yea, whoever wrote that never heard of a "language barrier." IT is not some universal language.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by sam_lowry_ on Sunday September 06, 2020 @02:48PM (#24393653)
Language is not that much of a problem.

They all speak Russian. Lithuania has a sizable minority of Russian speakers, and has historical ties to Belarus. Latvia is predominantly Russian-speaking. Ukraine as well.

Knowing Belarusian, they can pick up Polish rather quickly.

As a last resort, Russia is still freer than Belarus politically and better off economically. Smolensk is half an hour drive from the Belarusian border.

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by markvdb on Sunday September 06, 2020 @03:29PM (#24393981)
> Latvia is predominantly Russian-speaking.

This seems to imply the majority of residents of Latvia speak Russian natively. That might have been correct had the USSR existed a bit longer, but history took a different turn.

"Most Latvian businesses, especially in the Riga area, will happily serve you in Russian." That would be a more neutral and correct statement appropriate for this context.

Also relevant would be how Latvian government is publicly angling for Belarussian businesses willing to relocate to Latvia [1].

Regarding native tongues in Latvia... Currently, over 30% of Latvian residents speak Russian, Belarussian or Ukrainian natively, versus 62.3% Latvian. In Riga, the number of Russian, Belorussian or Ukrainian native speakers rises to over 43% [0] versus 47.1% Latvian.

[0] http://data.csb.gov.lv/pxweb/en/iedz/iedz__iedzrakst/IRG080....

[1] https://eng.lsm.lv/article/economy/business/belarusian-busin...

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by sam_lowry_ on Sunday September 06, 2020 @04:08PM (#24394268)
Having being in Latvia a few times and knowing the historical context... I distrust Latvian language statistics.

Still, even those statistics admit that Riga is mostly Russian-speaking [1]. This is where the IT crowd would land, anyway.

[1] https://www.csb.gov.lv/en/statistics/statistics-by-theme/pop...

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by usego on Monday September 07, 2020 @11:46PM (#24405035)
As the resident of Riga have to add that it depends on age. Young native Latvian people tend to avoid learning russian (but actually they have to while living in Riga). Also there is a constant goverment level pressure to ignore russian as a vital part of latvian life so you will always feel that you are not welcome in many places like the oficial institutions. But actually you could live for years there not speaking any latvian word :) Also it is worth to mention that english is starting to be more and more important (even more important than latvian) in daily life for IT people as foreign people in teams are much more usual now even than 5 years ago.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by Mediterraneo10 on Sunday September 06, 2020 @07:28PM (#24395496)
This is quite inaccurate. Lithuania's minority of Russian speakers is not "sizable" at all. Much fewer ethnic Russians lived there historically compared to the other two Baltic states, and loads of the Soviet-era Russian transplants left after '91. Russian is pretty useless for doing business as a foreigner, people expect English.

In Latvia, especially Riga, Russian is spoken, but younger generations of ethnic Latvians are less and less welcoming of using it. Again, English is expected. There has been a distinct rise in shops in Riga where it's basically "Speak Latvian or English to me or GTFO".

Source: I'm a Russian speaker who visits all three Baltic countries at least 2-3 times a year, most recently last week.

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by jen20 on Monday September 07, 2020 @12:03AM (#24396542)
Lithuania is an interesting case (I don't know much about the other Baltic states). I've been there at least twice a year for the last decade, and have helped organise one of the largest software conferences there for several of those. Several of my best friends (British and American expats) live in Vilnius and are married to Lithuanians.

My experience is anyone 30 or over speaks fluent Russian, but many of those will not admit to it - those in the 30-40 range are highly distrustful of anything Russian - and reasonably so given the history of the country. Anyone under 30 barely speaks Russian unless they themselves are immigrants from Russia.

I'd agree that in Lithuania a software engineering candidate that spoke Russian and not at least a "very good" standard of English or fluent Lithuanian would struggle to find work.

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by agurk on Sunday September 06, 2020 @03:01PM (#24393758)
While Russian is common it's not ubiquitous. Latvia is 26.9% ethnically Russian and 34% speak it at home. 27% of students are partially instructed in Russian. A referendum to adopt Russian as a 2nd offical language was voted against in 2012.

Lithuania is 5.8% Russian with 39% speaking it as a foreign language.

Numbers from Wikipedia.

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by Nginx487 on Monday September 07, 2020 @12:26AM (#24396629)
> As a last resort, Russia is still freer than Belarus politically

That's an arguable statement. Russia is also ruled by lifetime president, any protests are being brutally oppressed, opposition leaders are being assassinated or imprisoned, state TV airing anti-Western propaganda 24/7. Ukraine and Lithuania look much better choice by all measures.

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by chupasaurus on Sunday September 06, 2020 @08:01PM (#24395671)
Russia isn't drastically freer, but the lack of visa or work permit requirement with almost the same employment process as Russian citizens is a good bonus, although local employers might lower the salaries for immigrants.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by watt on Monday September 07, 2020 @03:17AM (#24397300)
"Predominantly"? Why did you choose to use such an ugly word. As a consequence of occupation by Soviet Union, and prolonged Russification policies, there is a sizeable population share in Latvia who understand and speak Russian language. It's a minority share, though only just (about 40%).
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by rimliu on Sunday September 06, 2020 @03:30PM (#24393994)
Wait, what? Since when does Lithuania have a sizeable majority of Russian speakers?
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by sam_lowry_ on Sunday September 06, 2020 @04:02PM (#24394227)
Gosh... minority, of course.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by Karliss on Sunday September 06, 2020 @03:07PM (#24393801)
Most of those IT workers probably know Russian and English languages. Knowing both of them you can both get an IT work in Eastern European countries and deal with everyday life. I don't think language barrier is that big of a problem for them.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by nine_k on Monday September 07, 2020 @01:17PM (#24400868)
English will get you pretty far in the daily life in Western Europe, too, in places like Sweden, or Netherlands, or cities like Berlin. (Not in France, of course.)
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by walshemj on Sunday September 06, 2020 @04:54PM (#24394596)
From experience working with coworkers from Belarus / Poland that's not a huge problem.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by nathanvanfleet on Sunday September 06, 2020 @02:39PM (#24393590)
Yeah that is incredible. Minsk has been having the government shut down their internet and there are numerous other countries blocking people from contacting the outside world. Not to mention constraints around getting VISAs and also everything you are mentioning as well. There is a very real border around it. Even smaller issues would be language and time zone.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by baybal2 on Sunday September 06, 2020 @07:01PM (#24395328)
> Uhm yeah, but they also have parents, siblings, girlfriends. Probably they might have some properties bought already. So as it may seem really advantageous to be in IT, one might not be able to move to another country just like that...

> And it's naive to say that there's no borders. You have to be qualified for the visa requirements. You also have to renew this visa every year or so. You have to start all over. Of course everything is possible with some effort and money, but i'm tired of seeing this term "no borders for it engineers".

1. Qualification:

1.1 University degree, usually means a Western university degree, or a few top tier ones in your own country. Lots of people from the East choose Western education not because they think so highly of it, but because a Western degree contributes to their visa eligibility.

1.2 Even if you have a Western degree, your troubles don't end there. Eligibility criteria often cover the most trendy topics as usual, but may stumble at something dumb as a requirement for a verbatim match of the degree title: i.e. the most dumb on my memory was "Electronics Engineering" getting a pass, but "Microelectronics Engineering" not, while this very much being the originaly intended criteria. The inviting countries are obviously more than content with the amount of people they can cherry pick with the utmost capriciousness.

1.3 Your usual age, health, crime check, marriage status check, security check (telling them you are not a spy, and not alkayeda)

1.3.1 The last few former may involve waiting for completely idiotic paper on your side of your border. A fake crime check note costs 1000 roubles cash ($20) to get from every cop, but may take few months if you want to get it legally, especially if you are from a far away province.

1.3.1.1 A completely innocent note on the former, like being a witness in a court case, or a traffic ticket will subject you to months of pain, and if some countries 100% denial rate, after being flagged in every international rogue person database.

1.4 Regulatory capture works in immigration too. This is they way Microsoft handwrote much of non-public selection criteria for professional evaluation in BC, Canada to unfairly gain advantage attracting foreign labour who are using MS stack.

2. Life situations:

2.1 Lots of Western countries outright deny family applicants, some on other hand given huge bonus.

2.2 Lots of Western countries use immigration programs to repopulate their dying, depopulating regions. Canada will happily settle any amount of Chinese, Indians, and Africans if they agree to live somewhere in New Brunswick

2.3 Lots of Western countries will never allow you to settle down, or pretend to say they will, but then repeatedly change the goalpost in their immigration programs: Canada, Australia.

2.4 Lots of Western countries will outright deny applicants older than forties to mid thirties

2.5 Lots of Western countries will outright deny applicants who are women

2.6 Lots of Western countries will outright deny applicants who are women with children

2.7 Lots of Western countries will outright deny applicants who are women who are single

2.8 Lots of Western countries will outright deny applicants who are women who are not single

2.9 Lots of Western countries will outright deny applicants with just any health condition

3. Incentives:

3.1 Prime majority of countries don't want any more of their own people, let alone strangers. In such, immigration programs are ran as a token sign to say "hey, we are so International, we are not bigots at all!"

3.2 The minority of countries who are actively soliciting immigration are not much better, and some times worse. They obviously have their own agendas. Very often have an interest to crush their own labour into submission, or serve a political agenda. Less frequently, outright exploitation: Gulf, much of East Asia.

3.3 Incentives often are a carrot on a stick, with this stick being constantly moved forward: you a just 1 month away from a permanent residency, a month passes... wham! now qualify for 1 more year for something else

3.4 Countries providing incentives often do so, when their industries don't do well. You will be moving to a country with an already present oversupply of professionals after a downturn. Some times problems will be structural, i.e. Singapore (negative selection, where best leave, and create more openings for cheaper helloworld webdevs to move it.)

3.4 Accordingly, countries that already do well, rarely invite.

3.5 Wages today vary much in between top employers, not so much localities. Earning post tax $10k USD a month somewhere in China, India, or Vietnam is INCOMPARABLY better deal than in the West.

3.6 Accordingly, top companies in the West are no longer eager to employ foreigners in hopes to get top talent anymore. Why hire them for $10k in USA with its unions, labour rights, sjw storm, when you can hire the same guy in your captive outsourcing centre in every major 3rd world country?

3.7 Moving internationally is still freaking expensive, for a person with an already established life, a move from the depth of a third world country to USA can take anywhere up to $40k. This alone may be one years' profit of that man/woman.

3.8 Following 3.7, top tier professionals have much better odds of further progression at home. I knew like 10 guys in China who worked on $10k+ USD jobs in Googles, Amazons, and others who managed to start their business after a single year savings from such jobs. Now, try opening a business yourself as an immigrant abroad.

3.9 A lot of immigration programs outright state that you are being prohibited from running any enterprise.

3.10 A lot of immigration programs for higher calibre talents wanting to setup their businesses in the country are an outright robbery, like a requirement for 51% local capital, waving your patents to inviting research institution, or specifically waving some of your shareholder rights.

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by bergstromm466 on Sunday September 06, 2020 @06:27PM (#24395147)
> Probably they might have some properties bought already.

Are you talking about properties bought as investments?

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by slezyr on Sunday September 06, 2020 @02:56PM (#24393716)
Not sure if he actually said this. There is no source and I can't find it in russian as well.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by arez on Sunday September 06, 2020 @02:00PM (#24393257)
not all of them, but many engineers are willing to move if they don't have kids and can make it work
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by ozim on Sunday September 06, 2020 @02:16PM (#24393407)
If this BS going on will end up in couple of months they might be able to move back soon. If not, living somewhere abroad without close ones is going to hurt them in the long run.

I moved out from my home country and in the place I live now people are nice, but I am never going to be one of them (so there are also not nice people, but it is easier to deal with not nice people from your own country).

Some people have it even worse, because I can go back to my own country and have my friends from school and family quite close by. There are people who are children of migrants that are still treated on the streets like they are not part of that society even though they grew up in that country. It gets even worse for them when they go to visit their parents country because they look familiar to people but when they speak they use English or broken local language which makes them foreign there as well. In the end they are not welcome in the place they grew up, they are not welcome in the place where they fit in by looks. They don't have a place in the entire world they can go and feel like home.

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by morelisp on Sunday September 06, 2020 @02:22PM (#24393456)
The term for this in English is "third-culture kid."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Third_culture_kid

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by joelbluminator on Sunday September 06, 2020 @03:05PM (#24393788)
You have quite a negative view of immigration. It works well for many people (while for others it doesn't). Children are quite adaptable. The West is long ago not 100% white and it's only gonna become more pronounced the coming decades. It's mixed. Whites will become the minority in U.S and the UK in the coming decades. It's not that different in West Europe, Canada, Australia, etc. Overall it's a good trend for immigrants. Those children you describe may have a few rough episodes in their upbringing, but won't they have more rough episodes growing up in Belarus? Some proportion is needed.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by throwaway5398 on Sunday September 06, 2020 @04:25PM (#24394385)
>Whites will become the minority in U.S and the UK in the coming decades. It's not that different in West Europe, Canada, Australia, etc. Overall it's a good trend for immigrants.

1. The US may become a white-minority country. Europe, not really. Whites are still the majority, and are going to remain so in the distant future. The "Great Replacement" isn't real.

2. Most immigrants to EU countries are from other countries within the EU and white themselves.

3. Many people from outside the EU, even though they're not considered "white" by Westerners, look white from the outside (think of e.g. Arabs) and the differences are purely cultural. Within a few generations you wouldn't be able to tell the difference between them and "white" people.

4. One's ability to integrate and be welcomed depends far more on cultural differences than "looking" different. This is why people from former colonies immigrate to the country that colonized them - lasting vestigial ties and a common language help far more than sticking to people who share one's skin color.

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by skissane on Sunday September 06, 2020 @04:56PM (#24394610)
> 3. Many people from outside the EU, even though they're not considered "white" by Westerners, look white from the outside (think of e.g. Arabs) and the differences are purely cultural. Within a few generations you wouldn't be able to tell the difference between them and "white" people.

The US government officially considers Arab people to be "white". [1] Some Arab Americans disagree with this and believe they are not "white", other Arab Americans identify with the "white" label and want to keep it. The former group have been lobbying the US government to create a separate category, e.g. "Middle Eastern and North African", thus far non-successfully.

Unlike the US, I don't believe most EU countries have a formally adopted definition of "white" (the EU as a whole certainly doesn't.) But, just like in the US, it would be wrong to think there would be a single viewpoint. So the statement that Arab people are "not considered 'white' by Westerners" is a bit dubious – some Westerners no doubt think that, other Westerners actually do think Arab people are "white", yet other Westerners just don't think about the concept "white" or its definition that much at all, or think that "white" is an arbitrary category which should not be used

[1] https://www.census.gov/topics/population/race/about.html

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by bonoboTP on Sunday September 06, 2020 @07:27PM (#24395493)
Generally speaking, this question in this form just doesn't come up much in Europe as, "who is white" is much less of a discussion point than in the US, along with all "race" discussions. This is not to say that racism or xenophobia don't exist in Europe, but animosity exists inbetween "whites" as well, and people can hate Arabs without thinking about it in terms of "whites" vs Arabs, and rather thinking about it as "my nation" vs "strangers". Not saying this is much better, just trying to point out that not all parts of the world are obsessed with the American flavor of the concept of race. For one, it's definitely never ever used officially as a concept in many European countries.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by anoncake on Monday September 07, 2020 @04:25AM (#24397634)
In fact, the idea that races even exist is considered outdated and racist. France recently removed the word from their constitution because of that. The same is being debated in Germany.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by usego on Tuesday September 08, 2020 @12:12AM (#24405126)
That doesnt remove the fact that older generation people and many younger too in EU still have "built in firmware" to instantly classify my / foreign culture people. And I doubt this will change for the next generations.

And BLM demonstrations in europe... Sorry, but this is ridiculous. Those are more about protest against goverment ant police than BLM.

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by joelbluminator on Monday September 07, 2020 @07:19AM (#24398596)
"Not saying this is much better, just trying to point out that not all parts of the world are obsessed with the American flavor of the concept of race" We've just witnessed BLM demonstrations all over Europe though. I agree it's less of a thing in Europe, but it definitely exists.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by joelbluminator on Sunday September 06, 2020 @06:32PM (#24395168)
Perhaps some will consider Arabs white (which I doubt), but still many will see them as "other", which is the same thing, especially if they are muslim.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by skissane on Sunday September 06, 2020 @06:49PM (#24395264)
I'm an Australian from a Catholic family of British and Irish descent. My aunt married a Muslim man of ethnic Albanian descent (not actually from Albania, his family come from the Albanian minority in North Macedonia). I've met members of his family on a number of occasions over the years. I never thought of them as "other". I've never really thought about the question of whether he is "white", but his skin has always been paler than my own
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by usego on Tuesday September 08, 2020 @12:15AM (#24405148)
Australia and US are historically a mix of immigrants from all the world so things are much different there than in "solid culture" countries where xenofobia is a part of life as a result.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by joelbluminator on Sunday September 06, 2020 @06:59PM (#24395319)
He's probably not super religious or you're super progressive. While I respect and appreciate what you said, many many people still think in terms of us and them.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by skissane on Sunday September 06, 2020 @07:05PM (#24395358)
Most Albanian Muslims are not "super religious". His family is about as Muslim as my own family is Catholic (i.e. not very devoutly), but I believe his family's degree of religiosity is pretty much the norm for Albanian Muslims both in Australia and in Europe.

I am definitely not "super progressive".

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by joelbluminator on Sunday September 06, 2020 @06:23PM (#24395134)
We can argue about numbers all night long. It doesn't matter if the U.S / UK is 65% white or 40% white. They're much LESS white than they used to be. That's the trend. If you're a visible minority, you'd probably feel more comfortable in NY / Berlin / London today than you would have 50 years ago, and 40 years from now unless something unexpected happens - you'd be even more comfortable. I wasn't aiming for a discussion about race or if "great replacement" is a thing. Only saying that for immigrants it's way better than it used to be, at least by numbers. your 3rd point: I don't believe most Arabs think of themselves as white or are seen as white (nor do they want to be), especially if they are religious muslims, which many of them are. So the difference between them and the dominant culture still exists, even if we're talking about 3rd generation "immigrants". your 4th point: visible minorities have a harder time. It's enough that 1% of the population is racist (it's usually way more), for them to have a sense of being discriminated against. Your colonies example is hit and miss, are French Algerians all perfectly integrated?
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by bonoboTP on Sunday September 06, 2020 @07:31PM (#24395514)
Given that Europeans (outside the UK) never have to officially pick a race on paperwork, probably many Arabs haven't given much thought to whether they are "white" and if not then what. You can't apply the American concept of whiteness all over the world. Their skin shades range over a large spectrum and is similar to other Mediterranean people's, like Greeks and southern Italians and Spaniards. Are tan skinned Sicilians white? Who cares, the concept doesn't work the same way in Europe as in the US.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by type0 on Sunday September 06, 2020 @07:19PM (#24395442)
> I don't believe most Arabs think of themselves as white or are seen as white (nor do they want to be), especially if they are religious muslims

As far as I know the religion has no effect on your skin color.

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by joelbluminator on Sunday September 06, 2020 @07:53PM (#24395632)
being white is not only about skin colour. many jews look white but they certainly don't feel white.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by skissane on Sunday September 06, 2020 @08:32PM (#24395791)
I suspect that outside the US, most Jews rarely if ever think about whether they are "white", much less about whether they feel "white"

US culture is very focused on racial categories – who is and isn't "white". Most other Western cultures are not – European cultures, Australia, etc

I think in Israel, people think about who is Ashkenazi, Sephardi, Mizrahi, Beta Israel, Arab/Palestinian, Druze, Secular vs Religious Zionist vs Haredi, etc, not about whether or not they or others are "white". The question of "who is white" is very American, not one that has a lot of relevance for Israeli society

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by joelbluminator on Monday September 07, 2020 @02:10AM (#24396990)
They probably use some word that differentiates them from everyone else - be it White, Christians, Dutch, Goyim or whatever. In Israel Ashkenazi heavily correlated with appearing "White" btw, and the word White is used when you want to say privileged. So I wouldn't say skin colour isn't a thing there.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by skissane on Sunday September 06, 2020 @05:13PM (#24394722)
> Whites will become the minority in U.S and the UK in the coming decades

Regarding the US, that's a bit of a misleading statement. US Census Bureau projections have "white" people as a majority in the US until 2060, which is as far out as their projections go [1].

The claim that "whites" are going to become a minority soon is arrived at by redefining "white" to exclude white-identified Hispanic people. Indeed, "non-Hispanic whites" are projected to become a minority in the US by 2045. But "whites" overall are not going to become a minority in the foreseeable future.

In 2060, the US Census Bureau projects the US will be 68% white-identified (white-identified Hispanic people included). By comparison, their actual estimates for 2016 are that the US was 76% white-identified (again, Hispanic people included). Although their projections don't go out that far, it seems likely the US will still have a white-identified majority at the start of the next century.

[1] https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/popproj/tables/2017...

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by hsitz on Sunday September 06, 2020 @07:50PM (#24395617)
> The claim that "whites" are going to become a minority soon is arrived at by redefining "white" to exclude white-identified Hispanic people.

You can look at the numbers in your chart and see that basically all of the U.S. Hispanic population is found under this "white" category, 55 million Hispanics. Total Hispanic population in U.S. is at most a few million more. 90%+ of all U.S. Hispanics feel like they are part of a "white" majority? You must be joking.

So I don't think that "white identified majority" in the census numbers means what you think it does. The vast majority of Hispanics in it fully realize and are made to feel like they are part of a minority in the U.S.

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by skissane on Sunday September 06, 2020 @08:00PM (#24395662)
"White" in the US Census means someone who ticked the "White" box on the census form. A "White Hispanic" is someone who chooses to tick both the "White" box and the "Hispanic" box. Anyone can tick any box they like, out of the boxes available (and if they don't agree with the choice of boxes, they can write in whatever they like, and the Census Bureau will make its best effort to shoehorn their written response into its categories, or just put them in the "Other" bucket if it can't work it out). If they don't view themselves as "White", why are they putting themselves down as that on the Census?

> 90%+ of all U.S. Hispanics feel like they are part of a white majority?

I feel very hesitant in speculating about the feelings of tens of millions of people whom I don't know–and who of course are not all going to think or feel the same way, but who are going to have a very diverse range of feelings and opinions. Rather than speculating about their feelings, why not just go by what they voluntarily choose to put on their US Census forms?

> The vast majority of Hispanics in it fully realize and are made to feel like they are part of a minority in the U.S.

There are white minorities, so identifying as "white" doesn't necessarily make white-identified Hispanics non-minority. If an (ethnic majority) German or Russian or Finn moves to New York City, they are going to be an immigrant minority in their new home, but they and everyone else will see them as "white". A European-descended person who moves to New York City from Buenos Aires has Spanish as their native language instead of German or Russian or Finnish, but why would their experience be fundamentally different? The Spanish-speaking immigrant will be officially classified as "Hispanic", the German/Russian/Finnish-speaking immigrants wouldn't be, but they are all equally white ethnic minorities.

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by joelbluminator on Sunday September 06, 2020 @06:37PM (#24395195)
I'm talking about the experience of being a visible minority in a white country (or for that matter, a homogenous society). I'm just saying - the U.S isn't particularly white and it will only get more pronounced with time. Let's leave all the race discussions aside.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by skissane on Sunday September 06, 2020 @06:58PM (#24395317)
We can talk about the problematic experiences of immigrant minorities without bringing race into it. For example, my friend's father moved from Uruguay to Australia in the 1970s, and my friend told me his dad was teased at work for his accent and gaps in knowledge of English. Like most Uruguayans, he is of European descent, so arguably just as "white" as the English-speaking Australians who were teasing him were.

You chose to bring race into the discussion, when one can make the same point without any reference to race.

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by joelbluminator on Sunday September 06, 2020 @07:02PM (#24395335)
Absolutely right. Yet visible minorities usually have it worse. Your friend could at least go to the supermarket without getting stares.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by skissane on Sunday September 06, 2020 @07:31PM (#24395516)
I agree in principle, although exactly who counts as a "visible minority" is a bit of a complex question.

In Sydney, Australia, a woman wearing a niqab is still a rare sight, and she is likely to get starred at, a lot–even other Muslims are going to stare at her. Women wearing hijabs are a far more common sight, so they will get starred at a lot less, although I'm sure they will report being starred at sometimes too. But, a lot of Muslim women don't wear any head covering – like the women in my uncle's family – indeed, in Albanian Muslim culture, women rarely cover their heads, and a woman who starts wearing a hijab is likely to be suspected of religious fundamentalism, which is viewed about as negatively in their culture as in my own. Should my uncle's family be considered a "visible minority" then?

Sydney is over 20% Asian (including East Asian, Southeast Asian, and South Asian people in that term)–Asian Australians are a minority, and obviously a visible one–but do Asian people get starred at in Sydney solely on account of their race? You usually stare at the unusual, but in a city which is over 20% Asian, there is nothing unusual about seeing a Chinese/Indian/Japanese/Korean/Vietnamese/Filipino/etc person, you see them every day, you count them among your friends, classmates, coworkers, neighbours, etc.

I remember one time I ventured with a Finnish colleague to a working class bar in Bangalore, and we got a lot of stares there, because nobody was expecting to see people like us in such an establishment – by contrast, in the airport, hotel, offices, shopping centres, tourist sites, etc, nobody starred at us, because Indians are used to encountering foreigners in those places.

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by joelbluminator on Sunday September 06, 2020 @07:59PM (#24395654)
So we basically have no argument. All I was saying was that as the West is demographically changing, visible minorities will have an easier time. Your examples just demonstrate my point. Maybe in 60 years the whole notion of visible minority won't even exist in the West. Now all that is just demographics. If some crazy fascist leader rises to power, which doesn't seem so far fetched nowadays, minorities may suffer again.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by skissane on Sunday September 06, 2020 @08:06PM (#24395692)
Right, as I said, I never had a disagreement with your fundamental point, I just think your way of putting it was flawed
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by pawelmurias on Sunday September 06, 2020 @03:46PM (#24394104)
People in Belarous are white and their children can very easily blend in most places in the EU.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by isbvhodnvemrwvn on Sunday September 06, 2020 @05:02PM (#24394645)
That's an extremely american response. I guarantee you someone from Belarus would pretty much never be seen as a native Pole unless they spoke flawless Polish (no accent at all).
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by throwaway5398 on Sunday September 06, 2020 @04:17PM (#24394334)
As if one's ability to blend depended on one's skin color alone, and that wasn't trumped by culture and language.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by bonoboTP on Sunday September 06, 2020 @07:14PM (#24395417)
The next gen can blend in very easily, if they go to kindergarten and school there. They will grow up bilingual and only use the original language at home, and may not even pass on the language to the 3rd generation (because it's seen as a useless extra burden and the 3rd gen can talk to their grandparents - the 1st gen - in the new language). Happens all the time in Europe.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by dheera on Sunday September 06, 2020 @03:54PM (#24394157)
> but they also have parents, siblings, girlfriends

+ boyfriends, romantic partners

I agree with the motivation of your statement, just wanted to complete it to reduce the (likely unintentional on your part but implicit) hetero-male stereotype of software engineers.

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by sam_lowry_ on Sunday September 06, 2020 @04:15PM (#24394315)
Computer Programmers are almost all male in Belarus, but QA, Graphics Designers, Data Science, etc roles are very often female, which makes for a rather decent 70/30 gender distribution in headcount (2020 PVT numbers).
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by edoceo on Sunday September 06, 2020 @04:35PM (#24394451)
The point @dheera was making is that some boys have boyfriends and some girls have girlfriends.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by iagovar on Sunday September 06, 2020 @05:06PM (#24394666)
Ok? Everyone is smart enough around here to figure it out without an explanation.
Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by dheera on Sunday September 06, 2020 @04:32PM (#24394428)
Sure, they may be almost all male now, but (a) there are still females and non-hetero people in the mix (b) I still think it is worth not propagating stereotypes in language.

The first step toward positive change is to change the way people think about these roles, and remove the automatic mental picture of a hetero male when people say "software engineer". That feeds back into the hiring loop and worsens the problem.

I have no intention to start a fuss, but I just think that it would be a nice gesture to make sure our language is as inclusive as possible, and so made a suggestion on a small change that would do that.

(Also, I'm surprised at all the downvotes, I thought HN was a better crowd of people than that. I mean if you don't want to upvote it that's fine, but I'm really surprised that many people actively downvoted my comment. How would it hurt you for the language to be more inclusive? By downvoting it, did you want to maintain that we only mention "girlfriends"? By downvoting, you are part of the problem in tech today.)

Re:Tech workers flee Belarus as IT haven takes authoritarian... by imtringued on Monday September 07, 2020 @07:45AM (#24398725)
Honestly it's a matter of motivation and dedication. Boys like videos games so they end up using either consoles or computers a lot. Some of them want to make their own game and learn programming. Anyone who reads injustice into this doesn't understand anything about humans.

People may think that career choice is something special and magical when it is not.

Let's say you have become a successful developer. Now you want to work on a side project. There are so many choices and possibilities. Most of them are equally good. You choose something. Then you get stuck, bored or the rest of your life gets in the way. You scrap the old thing and do something new. Rinse and repeat. After 5 unfinished side projects you feel like you have accomplished nothing.

The reality is that you didn't actually care about any of the side projects. If you cared about them you would have stuck with them until completion. Making a choice and staying with it is difficult at any stage in your life. Unless... it is extremely obvious and necessary. Suddenly there is no question about it. You you know very little about electronics but think you absolutely need to design a custom PCB for this important project and you're not going to compromise on this at all. You read up on electronics theory for 3 whole weeks without even thinking a single thought about your final design, pick some components and feel lost reading the datasheet. Start up your EDA suite get mad and feel like everything is hopeless the first few days. Two weeks later you have finally designed a good enough schematic and then suddenly everything is easy in hindsight.

You didn't have the qualifications to finish this project but did so anyway, all you needed was a little motivation and dedication.

If there is a need, it will be met. If you think someone should do X, then give them a reason to do X. This applies to "software engineers" and all other professions equally.

The overlap between talented and motivated students exists for a reason. Talent is just motivation in disguise.