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Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by simonsarris on Monday August 24, 2020 @09:20AM (#24260345)
The framework given in the first paragraph (which both I and de Botton reject) is fundamentally wrong because marriage is not something you "do", it's something you make. One of the foremost requirements going in to a marriage is that both partners understand this. You will marry the right person if you change your axioms.

de Botton kind of alludes to this here but in a wordy and deeply pessimistic way, but I don't think that's a good framing for it.

> It might sound odd, but pessimism relieves the excessive imaginative pressure that our romantic culture places upon marriage

> Romanticism has been unhelpful to us; it is a harsh philosophy. It has made a lot of what we go through in marriage seem exceptional and appalling.

I disagree, contrary to what he says a Romantic (in the literary sense) view always allows us to be flawed, because it always contains room for redemption. Thinking that marriage will be some kind of perfect union is rationalist thinking, like designing a system of gears. Thinking of marriage as union of two people who work together for something greater that both can share the fruits of is irrational thinking we need and can easily intuit. We're just really good at shunning this kind of thinking, these days.

In the end we both agree, he says: "Compatibility is an achievement of love; it must not be its precondition." I just think his framing here is needlessly pessimistic and dismissive of the romantic forces, and probably a terrible way to approach most of life's difficulties, never-mind marriage.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by dpweb on Monday August 24, 2020 @10:27AM (#24260978)
The extremely high failure rate indicates it is either a flawed concept entirely, or people are going about it completely the wrong way. If you had a computer that only booted, or a car that only started, 40% of the time - you wouldn't say, well.. the system is ok - sometimes it works out!

Still, it is encouraged on every front. Venerated by society, and financially subsidized by the state. Yet when its failing, very little good advice available. I've found most marriage counseling to be very unhelpful. Designed to save something (that maybe be shouldn't be saved) with really weak aphorisms that don't get to the psychological depths needed to explore WHY we do the things we do, attract and even unconsciously desire chaos and failure, etc..

But married couples too often lose the fact that it's about the relationship first. More important than the house, the cars, even the kids. People forget that everything started with two people and two people only. They stop having compassion and being kind to one another. They stop having sex (so important), that feeds the relationship. The relationship is a living thing. If you starve it, it dies.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by rkangel on Monday August 24, 2020 @10:31AM (#24261034)
The statistics about marriage failures are misleading. They are biased by the fact that people who divorce tend to have multiple marriages. People who are bad at being married make it look bad for everyone.

If you look at the statistics for first marriages the picture is less depressing. Also, the rates have been improving and people getting married today have much better odds.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by nvarsj on Monday August 24, 2020 @04:57PM (#24265426)
The statistics are useless. They tell you nothing about the percentage of unhappy marriages. Only the ones where it was convenient enough to be able to separate. There is also huge cultural stigma against divorce in most places. This is why cities tend to have higher divorce rates - it's more socially acceptable.
Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by bnegreve on Monday August 24, 2020 @01:04PM (#24262694)
> The statistics about marriage failures are misleading. They are biased by the fact that people who divorce tend to have multiple marriages.

They are also biased because many unhappy couples won't divorce for various reasons.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by mgleason_3 on Monday August 24, 2020 @01:37PM (#24263132)
This should be the top comment. Not even a truism, cliché or a platitude, the entire article is actually based on a misrepresentation of the facts.

Why has this become so common? I remember the first time I read something similar thinking “Interesting, but that’s weird, it doesn’t match up with my life experience. I must live in a perfect little butterfly bubble of some kind.” Then I read an article which explained the statistics in more detail. Ahh.

So, why did this author write this article? Do they not know the statistics? Maybe they read some of the many earlier articles which make the same bad assumption and decided to build on that bad assumption - but without looking at the actual data?

Statistics don't lie but liars use statistics. Is that what happened here? Maybe. Maybe the author was just lazy. Who knows. But it does seem like a huge number of stories begin with a title and brief introduction, then 3 or 4 conservative or liberal platitudes sprinkled in, each of which are so general they misrepresent reality and hide useful and actionable facts.

Maybe its more a house of cards.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by blaser-waffle on Monday August 24, 2020 @03:14PM (#24264287)
Age of marriage also makes a huge difference. Under 25 has much higher rates than over.

And the parent's comment is also true: if you get divorced then chances are you'll get divorced again, e.g. Liz Taylor's eight marriages.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by ksec on Monday August 24, 2020 @11:58AM (#24261884)
>If you look at the statistics for first marriages the picture is less depressing

Sort of depending on where you are in the world. Statistics for First Marriages is still quite depressing in many developed places, especially in cities.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by R0b0t1 on Monday August 24, 2020 @12:56PM (#24262588)
I think the failure rates of marriages are more related to the strong economic incentives to marry when it is not "the right time." You forgo a lot of disposable income by staying single and this can be the main drive to get married.

And then on the other hand, rearing a child seems to have become more expensive as a percentage of worker output than it used to be as that output is extracted by things like rent.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by ChrisLomont on Monday August 24, 2020 @09:20PM (#24267312)
First marriages end 50% of the time [1], which doesn't seem that great. It's 67% for 2nd and 73% of 3rd. Given the large number that never remarry, the 2nd and 3rd order effects don't really add much to the overall rate.

>the rates have been improving

Maybe because record few people get married, and those that do, do so at record high ages [2].

[1] https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/the-intelligent-divo...

[2] https://www.bgsu.edu/content/dam/BGSU/college-of-arts-and-sc...

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by names_are_hard on Monday August 24, 2020 @11:42AM (#24261692)
> If you had a computer that only booted, or a car that only started, 40% of the time - you wouldn't say, well.. the system is ok - sometimes it works out!

This is an unfair comparison because the standard for a marriage succeeding is a lot higher than for computers or cars. If I bought a car or a computer and it and had only a 60% chance of failing to last until I'm 80 years old I'd consider that fantastic.

But a marriage that fails after ten years is counted as part of the 40% failure rate.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by fuqmachine on Monday August 24, 2020 @02:41PM (#24263899)
Cars don't come with a guarantee that it will last until you're 80 though. You go over a certain mileage, you're counting down the life of your car.

On the other hand, marriage is touted as this perfect "till death do us apart" deal.

Should weddings be sold like cars? With "your mileage may vary" and "you will have many marriages throughout your life?" Maybe then I'd agree with your logic.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by blaser-waffle on Monday August 24, 2020 @03:16PM (#24264313)
> Should weddings be sold like cars? With "your mileage may vary" and "you will have many marriages throughout your life?" Maybe then I'd agree with your logic.

Sure. Mortgages come in 15 and 30 year sizes, and child custody is util they're 18.

Call it a 20 year sizing, after that you figure out whatchu need to split up and then think about the next steps.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by imtringued on Tuesday August 25, 2020 @07:11AM (#24270109)
Why not just calculate the average duration of a marriage instead? Of course this is biased against people who marry late in life but at least the meaning of the number is easy to understand. A 40% failure rate can mean practically anything.
Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by randomsearch on Monday August 24, 2020 @12:43PM (#24262431)
It's worse than that.

If the goal of marriage is simply to stay together (rather than, say, to stay together and for it to actually be beneficial for those involved) then yes 60% of marriages are failures and 40% success.

But if the goal is more ambitious, then at least 60% of marriages are failures. Maybe the remaining 40% stay together for religious reasons, a misplaced sense of pride, for the benefit of children rather than spouses, etc.

I'm not so cynical to say 100% of marriages "fail" in this sense, but I'd wage it's a lot higher than 60%. And you might be a lot more worried about those marriages that fall into the "stayed together but bad" category, as they'll include abusive and exploitative relationships.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by doonesbury on Monday August 24, 2020 @01:13PM (#24262818)
Agree.
Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by randomsearch on Tuesday August 25, 2020 @04:51AM (#24269359)
I feel a little bad about this post. It's not inaccurate but it reads too negative, or maybe bitter (I'm not).

Everyone says - well, you'll be unhappy either way wrt marriage. But it seems to me those who don't get married are much happier - some in relationships, some not. But I would still personally like to get married, I think... so I guess I want these stats to be untrue, or for there to be an escape - "people keep marrying unwisely" etc.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by caseysoftware on Monday August 24, 2020 @10:38AM (#24261102)
> 40% of the time

It's more subtle than that. If you dig into the data, you'll see it's closer to "100 marriages this year, 50 divorces -- omg half of marriages end in divorce!"

This is only true if there were zero existing, previous marriages before this year.

The more common trend now is that people just aren't getting married, likely in small part because of this mathematical+reporting malpractice. When you convince people something usually fails, they don't bother trying.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by burfog on Saturday August 29, 2020 @10:36PM (#24320914)
There is a math interpretation error, but it isn't that.

The actual error is that some people keep coming back. Most people don't get a divorce, but some people skew the numbers by getting 2, 3, 4, or more divorces.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by ebg13 on Monday August 24, 2020 @11:02AM (#24261340)
> If you dig into the data, you'll see it's closer to "100 marriages this year, 50 divorces -- omg half of marriages end in divorce!" This is only true if there were zero existing, previous marriages before this year.

Ok, but your objection is only true if there were zero divorces in previous years. If the divorce count is half of the marriage count for the year every year, then it is indeed half.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by viridian on Monday August 24, 2020 @12:51PM (#24262527)
Not if the delta of both counts decrease, which is exactly the point the person you replied to already made. Divorce lags marriage by definition, since you can't get divorced without getting married.
Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by sarah180 on Monday August 24, 2020 @12:38PM (#24262359)
> The extremely high failure rate indicates it is either a flawed concept entirely, […]

Are you sure? Maybe the flaw is the notion that the marriage partnership should be expected to last for life. There are real reasons why some personal partnerships benefit from a legal framework that allows for division of labor and joint decision-making powers.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by tsherr on Monday August 24, 2020 @12:24PM (#24262187)
It's not financially subsidized in Canada. My wife and I pay several thousand more in taxes than if we were roommates.

I've always thought that was a great disincentive to marriage if one were logical.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by wenc on Monday August 24, 2020 @03:53PM (#24264752)
This is curious: are you filing jointly or separately?

In general, filing jointly typically results in either the same or lower taxes. I'm not sure under what conditions under which it would be higher.

https://turbotax.intuit.ca/tips/does-being-married-affect-yo...

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by justaguy88 on Monday August 24, 2020 @12:42PM (#24262416)
> Designed to save something

A therapist shouldn't be trying to save anything here, they should just help the couple digest their own feeling and get to where they really need to be, remaining as a couple or not

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by aaroninsf on Monday August 24, 2020 @04:59PM (#24265439)
Maybe the premise that "marriage is [meant to be] forever" is what is flawed,
Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by throwaway0a5e on Monday August 24, 2020 @10:30AM (#24261021)
A minority of people account for the majority of divorces. Not that many people are doing it wrong.
Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by Godel_unicode on Monday August 24, 2020 @11:49AM (#24261783)
41% (the divorce rate for first marriages), while technically a minority, is still quite a lot of people. I wouldn't go so far as to say "not many" are doing it wrong.
Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by eternalban on Monday August 24, 2020 @12:40PM (#24262382)
A cursory review of cultural and “critical” output of the past few decades shows a consistent onslaught on the institution of marriage. While difficult to quantify, it seems reasonable to consider the significant (if not critical) impact of these factors on the erosion of the institution of marriage.
Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by Godel_unicode on Monday August 24, 2020 @12:47PM (#24262471)
I think what has had a far larger impact on the divorce rate has been the fact that women now have choices. They frequently have their own careers and finances, which makes it much easier for them to get out of bad marriages.

You could view this as making it easier to quit, or as making it easier to escape abuse (I suspect it's a little bit of both), but I think that the effect of feminism and (greater) equality in the workforce is a more significant contributor to the divorce rate than any cultural attacks on the institution of marriage.

Edit: it's less immediately obvious, but I think that feminism and equality have also had the same liberating effect on men. Marriages can be just as emotionally abusive for men, and if your wife has her own career you're less likely to be ostracized for "kicking her to the curb", which makes leaving a bad marriage easier. Long term, this can strengthen marriages. If you know they can leave, you'll likely work harder to make them want to stay.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by eternalban on Monday August 24, 2020 @03:34PM (#24264530)
Of course this was a significant factor. But even your reposte here is symptomatic of the fact that the society at large was not offered a 'positive' development of the institution of marriage in context of social and financial liberation of women. It's been decades of specifically highlighting the 'family' as a 'problematic construct'.
Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by goatlover on Monday August 24, 2020 @01:16PM (#24262856)
Or cultural norms change over time. Like the institution of marriage in the West, which is now based on romantic feelings and nuclear families. Whereas in the past it was for political, financial or religious reasons, with there being extended family around in the context of living in the same village for life.

To quote Paul Atreides when he became fed up with Fremen customs, "Ways change!".

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by eternalban on Monday August 24, 2020 @03:33PM (#24264508)
I can quote from I Ching [Book of Changes] regarding change as the invariant element. This change was ideologically driven by an elite subset of society. Certainly not an organic development, in my opinion.

[p.s. Did we read the same Frank Herbert? My Frank Herbert highlighted the fact that "the ways" in Arakis were influenced by an occult group called the Bene Gesserit ..]

[p.s.s.: https://dune.fandom.com/wiki/Missionaria_Protectiva -- point being societal 'change' is almost always subject to organized control, internal or external.]

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by phoe-krk on Monday August 24, 2020 @09:39AM (#24260519)
> because marriage is not something you "do", it's something you make.

This is a bold assumption that will not hold in many countries and regions that consider marriage as something that is "done", especially if the act that proclaims it as "done" it's performed in the presence of some holy man, in a holy building, and if the marriage is, in any way, legally or morally "irreversible" or impossible to effectively unmake even for strongest and most plausible reasons to do so.

Such rules, counter-intuitively, make it much harder for marriages to be happy. If a marriage is "done", then there's no point in trying to "make" it - whether it means to make it better, make it worthwhile, or even make it happen with someone better-suited for the role.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by harryh on Monday August 24, 2020 @10:07AM (#24260768)
I can only really speak in much detail about Christianity and Judaism but this is a pretty big misinterpretation of how marriage is supposed to work in both of these religions. While both are generally against divorce they also specify guidelines for how one should behave in a marriage. These guidelines are ways that a marriage is "made" over time.

I would imagine that this holds for other religions as well.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by jtbayly on Monday August 24, 2020 @10:06AM (#24260766)
It is precisely the sanctity of marriage in those cultural expectations that pushes you to keep making something. I a marriage is irrevocable, you better do your best to "make" it good. In a culture of disposable marriage, there is little reason to invest deeply in building, since the whole thing can be torn down in a second.
Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by treeman79 on Monday August 24, 2020 @10:43AM (#24261152)
Ignoring beliefs for the moment.

Personally I’m of the opinion that historically marriage is Disease control.

Imagine life with no medication or testing. Keeping marriage “pure” is a way to keep people healthy.

Any society that didn’t follow this would have a lot of STDs. The stricter a society the healthier the people.

Hence why so much social pressure developed.

Lots of Jewish practices have to do with health and sanitation.

Long list of things that makes a person “unclean” for X days.

I see many Parallels with Covid. It is creating new traditions that could last generations.

Someone coughs, they are “unclean” for 14 days. Social rules are completely different now.

Modern medication changes the game drastically. Lots of things are no longer a death sentence.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by Ancapistani on Monday August 24, 2020 @11:55AM (#24261843)
> Ignoring beliefs for the moment.

Same.

> Personally I’m of the opinion that historically marriage is Disease control.

While I don't disagree that this is a benefit, marriage isn't necessary for this to occur - only fidelity. Plural marriage would work just fine in this context, as would polygamy/polygyny.

Marriage is, at its root, a means of ensuring the generational transfer of wealth: it means that the person who possesses capital in the society (typically the man) can pass their wealth on to their children. It also provides some assurances to the legally subordinate partner that they will not be destitute should the other die or abandon them.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by chrisco255 on Monday August 24, 2020 @12:00PM (#24261906)
I don't think it's about disease control at all. I don't believe AIDS was around back in biblical times and the other STDs had to rank near the bottom of concerns 5000 years ago. Besides, many other cultures practiced marriage.

In my mind marriage developed as an adaptation to large civilizations. Whereas we once lived in roaming nomadic tribes, and fluid small groups (as can be observed in some remote tribes today), I think once agriculture flourished and towns started to outgrow the individual it became necessary for something like the nuclear family to develop. With families belonging to clans and clans belonging to city-states.

You're making a lot of assumptions about Covid and long term effects. The Spanish flu was many times deadlier and yet it did not change anything once it faded out several years later, things went back to normal.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by EliRivers on Monday August 24, 2020 @01:10PM (#24262779)
Also inheritance rights (and to a degree ownership of and responsibility for children) in cultures where property ownership is for men [0]. In the absence of a way to know for sure who your children are, your children are deemed to be those your wife gives birth to in the course of your marriage.

A child you may have outside of marriage, no matter how obvious it is that it's yours, is illegitimate; not legally considered. Suddenly, adultery on the part of your wife is a very big deal indeed, and all the various other effects this has.

Obviously things have changed in many societies now, but historically this was a very big one.

Surprisingly recent, perhaps. See Trimble vs Gordon, of 1977.

[0] And others too, but very strongly pronounced in these cultures.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by gruez on Monday August 24, 2020 @11:46AM (#24261739)
>Long list of things that makes a person “unclean” for X days.

Is there further reading for this?

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by names_are_hard on Monday August 24, 2020 @12:29PM (#24262243)
Very detailed rules are laid out for quarantining lepers, menstruating women, men who experienced nocturnal emissions, etc. Start with Leviticus 13, it's not hard reading (depending on how archaic the translation is).

Not exactly about a number of days, but Deuteronomy 23:12 instructs those going to battle to carry a shovel so they could bury their excrement and not leave it exposed in the camp, lest God abandon the camp and not defend them from their enemies. (After all, God is holy and poop is not).

I highly recommend reading the original literature and not a secondary source. The way the text weaves reasonable ideas with superstition, threats of abandonment and punishment with messages of hope is a fascinating window into the way people thought in another time and place.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by treeman79 on Monday August 24, 2020 @01:57PM (#24263365)
I recall a lot of mentions of cleansing rituals. Including a way to make an antibacterial soap. Been awhile, so I may have some details wrong.

Becoming sick was near equivalent to being a sinner, so good hygiene and righteousness had some overlap.

Follow these rules, you won’t get sick. Got sick? You didn’t follow the rules.

Harsh reality, but a harsh time.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by Ancapistani on Monday August 24, 2020 @11:58AM (#24261891)
Off the top of my head, Numbers 19 applies for caring for the dead: https://biblehub.com/niv/numbers/19.htm

Menstruation is in Leviticus 15: https://biblehub.com/niv/leviticus/15.htm

... in fact, most of Leviticus is about "clean" vs. "unclean".

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by smegger001 on Monday August 24, 2020 @11:59AM (#24261901)
the book of Leviticus? Its the 3rd book of the Torah/Old Testament of the Bible. A lot of it is there and would be where I would start.
Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by scarface74 on Monday August 24, 2020 @12:58PM (#24262608)
Or just the opposite. You can take advantage of the situation knowing they won’t leave.
Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by simonsarris on Monday August 24, 2020 @10:05AM (#24260757)
I disagree. The irreversible nature makes the case for "making" it (work) stronger.

I'm reminded of GK Chesterton, in Heretics: "Posting a letter and getting married are among the few things left that are entirely romantic; for to be entirely romantic a thing must be irrevocable."

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by goatlover on Monday August 24, 2020 @01:22PM (#24262944)
Except for the people who made a bad mistake and chose someone they would be better of not being married too.
Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by tcskeptic on Monday August 24, 2020 @10:03AM (#24260737)
Is this an evidence based opinion? I am trying to find evidence myself -- but my memory is that religiosity is well correlated with marital satisfaction. If you have something that supports the opposite conclusion I would be interested in reading it.
Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by phoe-krk on Monday August 24, 2020 @10:08AM (#24260783)
Just a single point of data here, since I come from a rural, highly religious Catholic part of Eastern Europe. Multiple marriages in my family (not my parents', luckily) were broken despite a lot of self-proclaimed religiousness among the people in there.

On a second thought I assume it is because poverty, alcoholism, and family traumas (ranging back to WW2 and UPA/UIA raids) are all common in the lands of my origin, and religiousness becomes more like another drug and less like an actual, sane belief system.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by hinkley on Monday August 24, 2020 @01:02PM (#24262670)
I'm not that familiar with arranged marriages, but what bits I have seen in for instance documentaries suggests that the couple gets a lot of advice about making the marriage work, emphasis on the work.

So at least for that segment, it may very much look like something that is 'done' but the reality hits once the well-wishers go home.

Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by teleforce on Monday August 24, 2020 @01:02PM (#24262678)
Ahh, the burden of Anna Karenina principle, "All happy families are alike; each unhappy family is unhappy in its own way"- Leo Tolstoy
Re:Why You Will Marry the Wrong Person (2016) by ryanmarsh on Monday August 24, 2020 @10:20AM (#24260920)
Simon, once again, wise beyond his years. I love watching this young man and his new family grow together.