Not even remotely true. https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps There's at least half a dozen of European countries that imposed measures early that are seeing no increase in mortality, (seemingly seeing slight decreases, even)
I'm not denying that Covid is a real disease that is causing excess death. I'm mainly challenging the narrative that lockdown is the only way to address the problem, that it's to correct approach, or that Sweden's approach is causing some sort of doomsday scenario of mass deaths.
They also have a better-funded health system than the UK and lower population density.
Stockholm has an equivalent density to Bristol in the UK, which doesn't even break top 10 in terms of City size. (4,200~/km2 each).
London is 35%~ more dense in the urban area (5,666~/km2) and there's a large portion of the UK that is in between those cities regarding density.
Population density correlates with exposure, specially if we consider mass transit systems.
To put things in perspective:
* Stockholm: population 910k, density 4200/km2,
* Madrid: population 6617k, density 5400/km2,
* Milan: population 3140k, density 7550/km2.
Yet Sweden are seeing a pretty high mortality compared to those countries.
So my conclusion is that quarantine has done no difference to spread but the state of health care is affecting mortality.
And not only Norway is making mistakes in this new experience. The fact that Denmark closes down tourist areas, and the border, but allow their citizens to cross the bridge to Sweden and enjoy all the tourist areas there, and then come back to Denmark, that's just silly.
This is politically impossible to stop. Sweden has not closed its borders, so there's no one to stop danes from entering. And Denmark can't close it's borders to danish nationals, so they can't be stopped from returning home.
The Danish Government has made clear statements saying that they strongly urge people to not go to Sweden
Remember, this is the same country that during the Syria crisis stripped incoming refugee of their belonging then dropped them off by the Swedish border.
Edit: since people are downvoting this:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jan/26/danish-parliam...
https://www.thelocal.se/20150910/danish-police-allow-refugee...
https://www.rt.com/news/445552-denmark-refugees-island-unwan...
Italy, and to a lesser extent Spain, did not.
Same day I wrote my OP it actually rose above Italy with a whopping 2200 new cases at once.
We'll see if all the students celebrating these last few days will make that rise again.
Either way my point was that the spread compared to the number of deaths is the real scandal in Sweden. Low spread, high number of deaths indicates something is wrong in healthcare.
Both Italy and Spain imposed strict quarantine measures in a time where the epidemic was already rampant and killing hundreds of patients a day.
Thanks to that, now they are experiencing zero deaths a day.
Number of deaths is more reliable, though even those numbers can be hidden. For example, in Florida the number of COVID-19 deaths is fairly low, but the number of pneumonia deaths is more than 6 times higher than normal all of a sudden.
NZ locked down while spread was limited, and has had no new cases for 12 days, and only one remaining active case, as a result - but again, it was the timing of the lockdown - if it had happened 2 weeks later, who knows how it'd be doing.
Additionally, there may be some death harvesting going on, where future deaths are pulled forward due to Covid. We are seeing this in the US [2], so possibly their incremental deaths will be lower than 15%.
Finally, if we are doing appeals to authority, the Prime Minister of neighboring Norway says she closed schools "out of fear" and seems to regret that action [3].
I'm a parent, and the last point is personal for me. There is enormous cost to lockdowns that close schools, especially for working parents, especially if both parents work, especially if your home is cramped or small, and so on.
[1] https://www.statista.com/statistics/525353/sweden-number-of-...
[2] https://i.imgur.com/2HsNN54.png from https://www.reddit.com/r/LockdownSkepticism/comments/gvfep9/..., see also https://imgur.com/RQiEIku from the same thread
[3] https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8373857/Norways-PM-...