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Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by johnlorentzson on Friday March 06, 2020 @05:06AM (#22502361)
I'm Swedish and this stuff makes me really worried. Especially since the main way for two people to exchange small amounts of money is through a proprietary app that uses a proprietary ID system (owned by a for-profit company) that only runs on iOS, Android, Windows and Mac.

I really hope this trend dies off, a cash-less society is a terrible idea.

I will say, however, that buses not taking cash is perfectly fine. They use NFC/RFID ticket cards which can't identify you. Not being able to buy tickets with cash is a little less fine.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by BiteCode_dev on Friday March 06, 2020 @09:54AM (#22503996)
Societies are imperfect and have a huge inertia, they need grey areas for compensating for those imperfections.

Cash is a way into those grey areas.

So that you can not have a phone, or be a hobo, be off the grid, go to a gay bar without leaving a trace, hold a controversial artistic/polical/religious event, let a beaten spouse organize an escape, mess around as a kid without your parents always knowing everything, try a product the state doesn't approve of and so on.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by ksec on Friday March 06, 2020 @05:27AM (#22502474)
>I really hope this trend dies off, a cash-less society is a terrible idea....

Exactly. We could get rid of coins, and replace it with an electronic variant and leave paper cash alone. I am all for contactless payment, but I want the option to use cash. The only thing that guarantees privacy.

And this is especially true in places without democracy, as shown in the Hong Kong Protest.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by smichel17 on Friday March 06, 2020 @06:53AM (#22502882)
A few years ago I would have agreed with you, but spending time in Germany has changed my view on coins.

See, in the US, coins are kind of useless on their own. You can't pay for anything with only coins, so giving exact change is always an extra step on top of paying with cash. Ugh.

But in the EU, they have €1 and €2 coins, and it's difficult to overstate how much this changes the dynamic. It means that for purchases under ~€10, it's suddenly possible to pay with coins only. It also means that for cash purchases, you can often receive your change as, well, change. So for large purchases, I'll pay with cash only and receive change, which goes in my coin pouch, and for small purchases I'll give exact change in coins only, using them up.

This actually becomes less onerous than paying exclusively with bills, like I do in the US, because you use up your coins naturally instead of collecting them in a jar or something to be counted later.

It also helps that taxes are included in the price label, so a €5.99 purchase will yield €0.01 instead of something in the vicinity of $0.75.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by systemtest on Friday March 06, 2020 @08:37AM (#22503410)
In The Netherlands I also have a coin jar. I pay for everything with my contactless card or smartphone. I have a 20 euro bill in my jacket pocket for when I encounter a shop where I can not pay digitally. So I use that bill, but then end up with a bunch of coins. Coins are heavy and jiggle around in my jacket pocket, so at home I dump them in a jar. And then I get a fresh 20 euro bill from inventory and put it in my jacket pocket.

Every now and then I go to the local marketplace at the city square and exchange my coin jar for a stack of bills. They usually have to pay for the coins so it's a beneficial exchange for us both.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by wil421 on Friday March 06, 2020 @09:47AM (#22503936)
The Euro coins can be lost easier than a paper dollar. I’d hate having to carry a change pouch in the first place.

I have about $600+ in a big coin jar with a bunch of paper dollars thrown in. I’ll buy an iPad or a vacation once it reaches the top.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by pmontra on Friday March 06, 2020 @11:20AM (#22504775)
I'm sure about that but I wonder how many coins I lost since the Euro. Not many. Probably all of them went into malfunctioning vending machines.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by robert_foss on Friday March 06, 2020 @08:01AM (#22503216)
Being a Swede, who now lives in Germany I would say that there must be a middle ground between the extreme cash dependency of Germany and the opposite in Sweden.

I have no idea how you do your shopping and end up not getting a pool of useless 1/5 cent coins. People literally laugh you in the face if you try to purchase things with them. Your only option is to give them away or collect them in a jar.

And needing to constantly go to ATMs just to keep notes on you is kind of ridiculous.

However I've also been to card only restaurants in Sweden when the card network was down. There was no plan B, the payment interaction just fell apart.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by anthony_barker on Friday March 06, 2020 @08:07AM (#22503241)
Japan /Tokyo is super efficient in this. Every metro station allows you to add your pennies to your metro card in an efficient coin counter.

Bakeries in France now have this as well

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by tda on Friday March 06, 2020 @08:17AM (#22503281)
The 1 and 2 cents problem can easily be solved by agreeing to stop using them and round all transactions to the nearest. Think we stopped using 1 and 2 cent coins in the Netherlands more than 15 years ago
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by dijit on Friday March 06, 2020 @08:20AM (#22503298)
The ironic thing here is that Sweden already does that. there is no 1c equivalent coin, the smallest denomination of currency is roughly 10c (1SEK) so things already get rounded.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by lostlogin on Friday March 06, 2020 @12:46PM (#22505611)
We have signs at counters here in New Zealand that informs customers that the store uses ‘Swedish rounding’ for the same reason.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by mrep on Friday March 06, 2020 @10:41AM (#22504402)
Ending up with useless coins is also super prevalent in the states because tax isn't included in list price and everyone prices things as $X.99 so you always end up with useless change. Super annoying and I wish they would change the law to force list prices to be the final price all things included (no hidden fees either).
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by mandelbrotwurst on Friday March 06, 2020 @11:24AM (#22504821)
That law would have the drawback of making tax increases invisible.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by logfromblammo on Friday March 06, 2020 @12:41PM (#22505558)
I'd rather be taxed by higher list prices than by some .0875 surcharge that is inconveniently difficult to calculate in one's head.

If I pick up an item that claims to be $1.99, and plunk it down on the counter with $2, I don't want the cashier to say "That'll be $2.16, please." The label says $1.99 . They could have added the tax when they printed it. If they wanted the label price to be $1.99, they could have made the base price $1.83, and added the tax back in to make it $1.99 on the shelf.

If I go to a concession stand at a ball game, their list prices are all-taxes-included. $2 for a hot dog means if I ask for a hot dog, and pay $2 exactly, no one needs to mess around with change. Why can't other merchants do that?

It's not like consumers can just choose to stop buying things if the sales tax goes up. "What's that? Sales taxes went from 8.75% to 9.15% ? Oh, never mind, then, I'll just stop buying anything from here on out."

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by hansvm on Friday March 06, 2020 @05:20PM (#22507878)
Some US states make that illegal, and others require the receipt to still break out how much of the total charge was tax.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by smichel17 on Monday March 09, 2020 @08:58PM (#22531675)
Only if the law forbids also showing the proportion of the total cost that is tax.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by mandelbrotwurst on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @07:46PM (#22541302)
Fair point, I'd never thought about that. Although, I do suspect that in practice no one would actually do that unless the law mandated that as well.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by pb82 on Friday March 06, 2020 @08:31AM (#22503365)
I collect the coins in the ashtray of my car and then once in a while empty it in a machine at my local bank that counts it and transfers the amount to my bank account.

Also, i don't need ATMs that often. 100€ last me for a while and you can of course also use a card if you don't have enough cash on you.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by bad_user on Friday March 06, 2020 @09:05AM (#22503605)
> And needing to constantly go to ATMs just to keep notes on you is kind of ridiculous.

Not sure how it is in Germany, but we have ATMs on every street corner, so it's not a big deal.

I do prefer paying via Apple Pay though.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by Tainnor on Friday March 06, 2020 @09:49AM (#22503953)
This is a bit difficult in Germany:

First of all, some cities like Berlin (which might be the worst offender here) are ridiculous in terms of how cash-dependent they are. There are whole areas (e.g. Kreuzberg) where you can't find a restaurant that accepts (debit or credit) card payment, even if you eat for 20+€. So, going out for lunch can deplete your cash quite rapidly.

Secondly, private banking is a huge cost centre for banks right now. This means that banks institute a lot of restrictions on when and where you can get cash. Many common banks (e.g. Sparkassen, Volksbanken) only allow you to withdraw money without charge from very specific ATMs, so you have to know where those are; if you withdraw from another ATM, you might have to pay a ridiculous amount of money (e.g. 5€), which is why you'd only use it for an emergency. Some other banks allow you to withdraw from any ATM without charge, but they have been starting to add more and more restrictions, e.g. you can only withdraw money 5x a month or something like that.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by JoeAltmaier on Friday March 06, 2020 @09:07AM (#22503619)
I solved the 'penny problem'. I throw them away or leave them with the shopkeeper.

Keeping cash is a weekly issue with me? Not quite 'all the time'.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by svara on Friday March 06, 2020 @08:33AM (#22503375)
You're right it can be impractical. For me I mostly solved it by 1) giving back the 1, 2 and 5 cent coins I receive as change and 2) withdrawing cash with my grocery purchases, which is possible in many stores.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by sygma on Friday March 06, 2020 @11:44AM (#22505001)
Some German banks (e.g., Commerzbank) have an "Einzahlungsautomat", basically a reverse ATM that accepts deposits as bills or coins. Collect the coins in a jar and once a year hit the ATM.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by jcbrand on Friday March 06, 2020 @10:02AM (#22504062)
I live in Germany and routinely use one and two cent coins when paying exact amounts.

Still have to experience someone laughing in my face for doing so.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by petre on Friday March 06, 2020 @10:39AM (#22504378)
Holding up the queue, eh?

I use € coins for tips or cereal bar purchases. In my country you'd get odd looks if you did that, because we have a bill that's roughly equivalent to 1€. But in Germany or Austria you'll get smiles and herzlichen grüßen because sparing-inclined citizens of the aforementioned countries only tip small change like 10 or 20 cents. Doing it often enough at a Greek tavern gets you freebies.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by kmnns on Saturday March 07, 2020 @04:32AM (#22510786)
> Holding up the queue, eh?

Hardly. Just have your coins ready at the cashier. Often you can do the math yourself and present the money immediately and in the correct amount. On some glorious and surprisingly frequent days, you can empty your coin pouch in one swoop. It’s a nice little game.

Anyway, nobody is obliged to sacrifice their privacy because someone in the queue can’t manage their time properly.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by smichel17 on Monday March 09, 2020 @09:21PM (#22531826)
I didn't keep all my coins in the coin pouch at once. Instead, if I'm going out for just one shopping trip, I'd bring only the minimum number of small coins to make approximately any amount (eg, 1x1¢, 2x2¢, 1x5¢, 4x20¢). As long as you get the last digit right, it doesn't matter if you're some multiple of 10¢ over, and it's easier to get the last digit right when you have fewer coins to sort through to find the one you need.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by karatestomp on Friday March 06, 2020 @10:07AM (#22504118)
I think calls to get rid of the penny in the US don't go far enough. At least get rid of the nickel, too, and go to $.10 and $.50 coins only. Better yet, and avoiding the need to bring the $.50 piece back into common use, get rid of all coins smaller than the quarter.

If there's practically nothing you can buy with two of a coin, it's probably time for it to go.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by flamtap on Friday March 06, 2020 @09:40AM (#22503881)
As a Canadian, let me tell you that it gets even better when you eliminate the penny as well!
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by hexl on Friday March 06, 2020 @07:22AM (#22503016)
He didn't literally mean coins, it's cash what He was talking about.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by Hasnep on Friday March 06, 2020 @08:01AM (#22503215)
They made the distinction between coins and paper cash:

> We could get rid of coins, and replace it with an electronic variant and leave paper cash alone.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by andrepd on Friday March 06, 2020 @07:06AM (#22502945)
Like many things (social networking, digital AI assistants, keyboard text prediction) they are creepy because they are closed-off and proprietary and you have fuck all idea what's happening with your data, besides vaguely knowing you're being monitored in a way Orwell could only dream of.

Once you take out the fact that e.g. messages you write are being recorded, your speech is being monitored 24/7 by a microphone in your home, or all your text input is being stored in somebody's server halfway across the world, those technologies could have the potential to be really neat indeed.

One can dream.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by alkonaut on Friday March 06, 2020 @07:31AM (#22503068)
The proprietary id is at least co-owned by all the major consumer banks, so it's slightly better than it being just some random small company. I'd prefer if it was a government operation of course, especially since now almost all contact with authorities goes through this system. The right thing to do would be to create a publicly owned e-ID and electronic cash, and replace the reliance on BankID and credit cards.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by askesum on Friday March 06, 2020 @07:43AM (#22503116)
As a Trisquel user I am completely excluded from this system.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by alkonaut on Friday March 06, 2020 @02:16PM (#22506355)
As far as I’m aware all Linux users are out of luck. Buying a cheap used android phone for BankID is probably the easiest solution.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by rlv-dan on Friday March 06, 2020 @05:55AM (#22502609)
> buses not taking cash is perfectly fine

I guess, if you are ok with leaving an electronic trail whereever you go...

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by johnlorentzson on Friday March 06, 2020 @06:08AM (#22502669)
The tickets have no way of identifying you unless you register on their website. You could always just get rid of your card and get a new one when you want to.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by ulzeraj on Friday March 06, 2020 @09:59AM (#22504037)
Here in Brazil they deprecated and outlawed NFC transportation cards that are not associated to a social ID. They can track you as much as they want. Luckily there are still cash payments and subway paper tickets but that might go away someday.

One of the most ridiculous thing about this country is that anonymity is not a right according to the constitution.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by jalk on Friday March 06, 2020 @07:33AM (#22503073)
How do you add money to the card? Here in Denmark we have a similar thing, but the only way to top up your card anonymously is through cash. Or do you have prepaid throwaway cards?
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by 2rsf on Friday March 06, 2020 @09:07AM (#22503618)
Yes, prepaids and possibly cash
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by Mirioron on Friday March 06, 2020 @06:27AM (#22502764)
They can't identify you, provided that they don't pair that data up with anything else. Eg just a few trips where you didn't turn your phone location off on the bus would be enough to know which card is yours. Even if you turn your location off every other time it wouldn't matter. Or your phone service provider can do that even with your location set to off.

Don't the plastic cards cost extra?

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by paublyrne on Friday March 06, 2020 @06:56AM (#22502897)
If they can track your phone surely how you pay for the trip is neither here nor there.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by SiempreViernes on Friday March 06, 2020 @10:27AM (#22504271)
Most people own a mobile phone anyway, so I guess at best you can try hiding that you take the bus to the city rather than a car.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by kevin_thibedeau on Friday March 06, 2020 @09:58AM (#22504021)
> They use NFC/RFID ticket cards which can't identify you.

Pretty easy to ping these cards and any wireless ID (IMSI, WiFi MAC). Enough hits and the correlations will easily fall in to place.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by dtech on Friday March 06, 2020 @05:26AM (#22502464)
You will always have vendor neutral payments with bank transactions, which are EU wide and regulated with SEPA.

Don't know about Sweden, but in the Netherlands that's widely supported and free for consumers. What's the harm in people using a proprietary app on top of that that has slightly more convenience?

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by johnlorentzson on Friday March 06, 2020 @06:09AM (#22502673)
Because it's become a standard that almost everyone is expected to use.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by tyfon on Friday March 06, 2020 @07:04AM (#22502934)
We got a system in Norway called Vipps for small transactions that I refuse to take part in but it seems like 99% of the rest of the population are using it.

I've yet to have anyone refuse to pay me via direct bank transfer or me paying them in this way when I ask and explain why I don't use Vipps.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by 2rsf on Friday March 06, 2020 @09:14AM (#22503693)
> explain why I don't use Vipps

please explain. direct bank transfers are still slow (same bank) to unacceptable (different banks) for most payments

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by pimterry on Friday March 06, 2020 @10:06AM (#22504102)
In general, within the EU, this is rapidly improving.

> still slow (same bank)

SEPA instant credit transfer is standardized since 2017 and supported by > 50% of banks & payment providers (https://www.europeanpaymentscouncil.eu/what-we-do/sepa-insta...). If both parties support that then bank transfers take under 10 seconds.

If that's not supported somehow classic SEPA transfers work everywhere, and arrive in 1 business day max. 1 day isn't something you can use in a shop of course, but if you need to pay back a friend it's pretty acceptable imo.

> unacceptable (different banks)

Not accepting IBANs or SEPA payments from other banks or from banks in other EU countries is illegal, and comes with substantial fines.

It still happens in places of course, especially in slow moving large orgs, but if you still find organizations doing this nowadays then you can report them as breaching EU payment regulations (https://eba.europa.eu/consumer-corner/how-to-complain) and that should set a fire under things pretty quickly.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by fauigerzigerk on Friday March 06, 2020 @11:19AM (#22504763)
>If that's not supported somehow classic SEPA transfers work everywhere, and arrive in 1 business day max.

Right, but one business day will often be two days during the week and four days over the weekend, because many banks set an arbitrary cut-off time after which they will no longer process any payments.

One bank I use will process payments received after 12:00 pm (lunchtime) on the next day. So the money will arrive two days later, unless it's a Friday, in which case the money arrives on Tuesday.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by mixmastamyk on Friday March 06, 2020 @12:54PM (#22505659)
Keep a full paycheck spare and then never have to worry about it again.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by tyfon on Friday March 06, 2020 @04:09PM (#22507324)
Vipps has very poor validation of money transfers and there has been a lot of fraud already where people craft Vipps messages that look like official transfers and then tell people that they send money wrong and ask them to send it back. It is very hard to rectify things like that.

A bank will tell me if I enter the account number wrong at least and show me the name of the account holder before I press send, with Vipps you just go without validation.

Direct bank transfers in Norway can be made instantly for a tiny fee, but personally I have yet to be in a situation where that is required.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by zAy0LfpBZLC8mAC on Friday March 06, 2020 @06:26AM (#22502760)
The question is: Can you interoperate without using the proprietary app? Facebook also builds on the internet and the web, but you can not interoperate with Facebook without becoming a Facebook user. And "interoperate" means that you can use an alternative while the other party does not (i.e., you are not dependent on the other party's cooperation in order to be able to use an alternative).

But also, in any case it's still a bad idea because the payment provider has the ability to just disobey your payment orders, and regulation doesn't help with that but rather potentially makes it even more likely "for security reasons". Payment providers use secret methods to decide whether your payment order is considered a security risk and then will prevent you from spending your own money based on their secret decision making process, or at least make you jump through unpredictable hoops before they allow you to spend your own money. That's a major security risk for you, in addition to all the security risks due to the well-known terrible IT security practices of banks as well as/in combination with the privacy risks of leaving a digital trail of your locations and purchases.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by aabbcc1241 on Saturday March 07, 2020 @12:17AM (#22509898)
The card itself cannot identify the user, but the tracks of all transactions related to a card can lead to other problems.

E.g. When you use the card to pay for A, the receiver many query in a federate system and found that you also paid for B recently.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by atyppo on Friday March 06, 2020 @10:38AM (#22504370)
I'm not Swedish -- how is this being accomplished? By way of legislation? Here in NYC, Metrocard data can be obtained by LE or the DA. A new fare payment system currently being implemented is presumably even easier to track people.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by bryal on Friday March 06, 2020 @10:41AM (#22504393)
At least Open Banking (PSD2) will allow for third party alternatives to Swish and banking apps. Maybe even open-source applications will become possible, but getting a PSD2 license as an open-source developer may be tricky.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by PeterStuer on Friday March 06, 2020 @04:16PM (#22507377)
It is terrible, but it will not die off.

There has been incredible lobbying for this. This is the ultimate capitalist's wet dream: making a profit on every transaction. The privacy angle is tangential, just collateral in the land-grab, just one more way to squeeze the last drop of profit out of everything you do.

Besides, the sharing of the data with 'authorities' was the lube that pushed these systems in. Gotta catch them terrorists, right. No no no, it might seem like a grandparent giving $50 dollar to her grandson on his birthday, but I'm telling ya'll, terrorism.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by hkai on Tuesday March 10, 2020 @04:11AM (#22533637)
I think you underestimate how easily you can be identified from your spending on that card
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by beefield on Friday March 06, 2020 @06:21AM (#22502742)
> I really hope this trend dies off, a cash-less society is a terrible idea.

I fully understand that my opinion is both unintuitive and deeply disliked by many if not most people, so I can only ask you to spend some time thinking if you really have thought this through.

Anyway, I believe there are realistic scenarios where it is good for the economy and society to have negative interest rates imposed by central banks. Cash is one of the things that prohibits this, thus we need to get rid of cash. At the same time we definitely need privacy respecting payment methods. Thus we would likely need to develop some kind of physical tokens/coins/notes/whatever whose value is time dependent.

Biggest problem here is that the amount of people who simultaneously understand the need of negative rates and privacy respecting payment systems seems to be for all practical purposes pretty close to zero, so I am not holding my breath here.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by raxxorrax on Friday March 06, 2020 @07:41AM (#22503107)
If the mechanism of a negative interest rate requires stripping people of cash, I doubt it can deliver what it promises.

I am no economist and those might be more used to negative interest rate if they include inflation, but on the other hand it is just another tool for central banks to perhaps stimulate the economy. In my personal opinion, these monetary policies have not been all too impressive.

But no, I certainly wouldn't give up cash for a central bank to have some tool with questionable efficiency. If we are talking about wealth distribution, we should talk about limiting inheritances or something like that. Otherwise I would assume that bankers are more interested in pumping money in the economy.

I would stuff my cash into my mattress if interest rates become too low. That would probably have the effect of increasing them again if enough people do so.

We have a problem with private losses being put on the tab of tax payers. You would need to solve that problem too aside from the lacking privacy of digital cash to make me think about it.

Some economists are also critical about these policies, so it isn't really clear, if negative rate will help in the first place. That some are afraid of deflation might have something to do with debt, couldn't that just be the case?

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by pb82 on Friday March 06, 2020 @07:00AM (#22502913)
I'm skeptic. Forcing people to buy crap they don't need by denying them ways to store cash will probably increase some numbers in some spreadsheets. But is it really a net positive for society? Or are there other reasons that I didn't consider like more people seeking investment options like the stock market?
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by 74ls00 on Friday March 06, 2020 @07:17AM (#22502989)
From the long term view, it seems reasonable to assume that the high economic growth rates of the 20th century are not going to be something we’ll see again anytime soon. An environmentally-sustainable economic outlook for the future is likely to see long period of close to 0% growth, and more frequent periods of negative growth. Environmentally-sustainable economics seems like a net positive for society, and at this point, an almost necessity.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by beefield on Friday March 06, 2020 @07:24AM (#22503027)
Well, not "forcing"[1] people buying crap today makes the people creating the crap jobless and yes, that has a real cost for society. first because the jobless do not create value and second because someone needs to pay their unemployment benefits.

[1] Nobody is forcing you to do anything. You can voluntarily choose to lend your money to the bank if you agree with the interest rate. If you do not, you are free to do as you please with your money. Find someone who is willing to pay better interest rates (typically more risky)[2], buy crap, or even buy bitcoin or gold.

[2] Interesting question is, why society should guarantee you a return[3] on your investments if you do not yourself find a counterparty that is willing to pay you high enough return that you are happy with? Smells awfully lot like socialism to me.

[3] And why this guaranteed return needs to be exactly 0%? Why not 5%?

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by SuoDuanDao on Friday March 06, 2020 @07:44AM (#22503127)
If it's legal to own bitcoin or gold, what good does eliminating cash do?
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by beefield on Friday March 06, 2020 @09:03AM (#22503597)
Central banks do not guarantee purchasing power of gold or bitcoin.

(A note, The questions I made above are not meant to be snarky. Those are the kind of questions I struggled literally for months when I tried to get my head around negative rates and whether they make sense or not.)

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by SuoDuanDao on Saturday March 07, 2020 @07:58AM (#22511334)
How do they guarantee the purchasing power of legal tender? Serious question, I thought the health of the economy and the need to pay taxes was all that did that.
Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by mrec on Friday March 06, 2020 @09:56AM (#22504003)
I'm all for privacy-respecting payment methods, and I'm familiar with the paradox of thrift, but I'm not at all convinced that negative interest rates are a net social benefit. The experience of the past 10+ years has been that ultra-loose monetary policy is far more about bidding up the prices of existing assets than encouraging productive investment. So it disproportionately benefits the old and rich, who own assets, at the expense of the young and poor, who hope to acquire them.

I also don't see that there's much difference between nominal negative rates on the one hand and ZIRP plus inflation on the other, which is what pretty much all the big central banks are doing already and which cash doesn't protect against at all. They both punish saving at a time when the ratio of retired to working people is increasing and the latter's ability to support the former is looking shaky.

There's a separate argument to be had about financial repression [1], but it's a bit more contentious and I don't think you need to accept the badness of that to be against negative interest rates.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_repression

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by Shivetya on Friday March 06, 2020 @09:55AM (#22504000)
Well that scenario is only the tip of the iceberg, negative rates are effectively an on demand tax and one you may not have recourse against. I am sure some very well off could employ money shifting processes to keep their money out of the category and it may become a service that banks offer "for a fee" to anyone. Which in turn would end up having the government just change the regulations preventing it or charging for it.

the real threat is the trail created which no government is going to allow you to vacate. just the possibility of a prior acquaintance or business transaction running afoul of the can give some the means to penalize you for past legal deeds in some countries. let alone put you under the scope for having performed now illegal activities, after all why would the want to suspect you aren't predisposed to do it again?

finally it really can be used to put a damper on people just leaving high tax areas because they can just electronically debit you for the act.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by SuoDuanDao on Friday March 06, 2020 @07:42AM (#22503115)
>I believe there are realistic scenarios where it is good for the economy and society to have negative interest rates imposed by central banks.

Could you articulate one of those scenarios and why negative interest rates would be the best solution?

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by beefield on Friday March 06, 2020 @08:45AM (#22503455)
Okay, I try.

TL;DR: When even at zero rates, aggregate demand is less than aggregate supply.

Then a small disclaimer. I am not an economist by trade, so whatever I write below is my thinking, not learned from a book. Thus no sources available, and take everything with a grain of salt anyway...

If you look at the (macro)economy in the short term from the central bank point of view, there are basically a handful of interesting concepts here. first one is (real) aggregate supply, i.e. how much crap and services economy can produce. In the short term, central bank can not do much about this. (so if you want to draw this, we have a horizontal line above x-axis on a chart where interest rate is x axis and production/demand on the y axis). Second one is aggregate (real) demand, i.e. how much people are willing to buy crap and services given the current interest rates. This is something central bank can affect. With a small trick. they can move the demand to the future or from the future by adjusting the interest rate. If interest rates get higher, people take less loans to buy crap and save more. The opposite when interest rates go lower. (thus, in our drawing, we have a downward sloping line for demand. Draw it so that it crosses the supply on the left of Y-axis for this exercise).Third one is inflation, which I will come back a tiny bit later.

So, now we have a nice (kind of) supply and demand chart. And we see that if we limit the interest rate to zero, we will have oversupply in the economy. That translates to things like unemployment, lower profits for the corporates etc. So we really would like to get the interest rate to the point where supply and demand are equal.

But what about the inflation? One solution would be to have 5% inflation so that zero interest rates would mean -5% interest rates and all would be good again, right? Yep, kind of. If you look again a the chart, where we could find more inflation is where the demand is higher than supply. But that area is even further to the left. To induce inflation, central bank should push the rates even lower than the equilibrium state. and that's why our economies have been between rock and a hard place so long. If we had had an inflation target of 5% in the first place, our life would be much easier. But now we are stuck. And central banks do not have that many options. They can do their best to push the yield curve down to ease as much as possible, but also that has limits. So we are banging against the zero floor and only thing central bank can do is wait for cashless economy or long term economic growth that will increase the aggregate demand. But that is, of course, hampered by lack of demand. Shitty place to be in, today's central bank.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by wnoise on Friday March 06, 2020 @11:38AM (#22504935)
If supply is greater than demand, why doesn't that mean trusting the normal price signals and reallocating the supply? Artificially propping up the demand just masks the price signal builds up more crap, and keeps this adjustment from happening.

The argument against this is "oversupply in all sectors, so nowhere to reallocate the supply to", but this is clearly nonsense when people are demanding better housing, healthcare, and education.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by beefield on Friday March 06, 2020 @03:02PM (#22506773)
There are multiple reasons.

1. Prices (especially wages) are sticky. Interest rates you can adjust overnight, but to get the adjustment of wages can easily take years.

2. Economy is not actually nicely behaving equilibrium seeking thingy, but a complex, chaotic system with various time constants. So we actually need a body that works to stabilize the mismatches of aggregate supply and demand. So it is not "artificially propping" demand, but trying to actively keep demand and supply aligned. And people may be "demanding" better housing, but it does not mean they can afford to.

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by SuoDuanDao on Saturday March 07, 2020 @08:12AM (#22511383)
But surely, if people want better housing and can't afford it, the right thing for each of those individual people to do would be to save their money until they can, not load up on debt and buy something they don't want as much.

Granted, that would cause unemployment in the industries that people would rather give up consuming from, but maybe that would free up some talent to go into building houses - isn't that how the capitalist system is supposed to work, that things people don't want don't get produced?

Re:Swedes rebelling against a cashless society (2018) by askesum on Friday March 06, 2020 @07:50AM (#22503162)
Negative interest rates is needed to secure that rate of amortization does not exceed rate of new loans, in other words to secure the money supply.I think it highlites the need for changing the way our money supply works.