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Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by resfirestar on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @02:07PM (#21073433)
>The difference is Amazon saw what the marginal costs could be, and had a specific roadmap to drive investment into bringing them down. WeWork fundamentally has no way to drive down the margin on real estate in any meaningful way. Especially as a lessee.

That's what the article says:

>At first, with companies like Walmart and Amazon, predatory pricing can seem smart. The entire retail sector might be decimated and communities across America might be harmed, but two day shipping is convenient and Walmart and Amazon do have positive cash flow. But increasingly with cheap capital and a narrow slice of financiers who want to copy the winners, there is a second or third generation of companies asking Wall Street to just ‘trust me.’

It's not that WeWork is the same as Amazon, it's that WeWork is symptomatic of a bubble caused by investors looking to copy Amazon's success without understanding why it succeeded.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by hef19898 on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @02:17PM (#21073564)
Totally agree with the last pint, people completely tend to ignore the effort and attention to detail Amazon puts into executive and planning. That plus a very sound strategy. Also Amazon was profitable, even if just barely, for the most time while growing appr. 20% constantly. Not comparable to, say, WeWork from what I know. But it shows how powerful that narrative can be.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by WalterBright on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @03:58PM (#21074654)
I'm pretty sure Amazon was profitable all along - it's just that the profit was all spent on expanding the business. Hence, there was no taxable profit.

Amazon was also able to make money selling products at little or no markup by taking advantage of the float. They'd collect money from the purchaser immediately, and would pay the vendor after 90 days. Then, Amazon would make interest on that money for the 90 days.

I do the same thing on a (very) small scale. I buy with a credit card, and don't have to cough up the money until the credit card bill is due. That gives me free use of the money for 30 days.

Pretty much all businesses do this, it's just that Amazon did it on a massive scale.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by munk-a on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @04:27PM (#21074990)
Bookstores provide a lot of service value, a decent bookstore will allow you to find similar material, allow you to browse as you please (instead of the skimpy sample pages), usually contain an expert that can offer advice and allow you to walk out with your purchase. Additionally it's common to see a heavy effort at investing in the atmosphere.

Amazon has succeeded at beating bookstores in none of these categories - but it has succeeded in greatly lowering the difficulty and impediments in case that a customer wants a specific book, the unfortunate thing for bookstores is that that user flow is extremely common and winning on that flow pretty much got them the market.

W.r.t. the other flows... Amazon is still terrible, did you enjoy The Colour of Magic? Why don't you try Magic Eraser - guaranteed to get stains out of any fabric! Curious if this book is good? Why not try reading one of the hundred shill comments talking about how this book changed their life!

I think the key here is to focus on winning a specific market segment (a significant one) and winning it hard if you can do that you too can be the next amazon.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by WalterBright on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @04:49PM (#21075287)
I buy a lot more books from Amazon than I did before Amazon existed. The reasons are simple:

1. I can get pretty much any book ever printed, not just newly printed books.

2. Prices are usually better.

3. The friction to buying them is very low.

If I want to buy books by the lot, such as every book in a series, I usually go to ebay.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by TheOtherHobbes on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @06:45PM (#21076415)
1. True for mainstream books, absolutely not true for academic special interest titles. Many books simply aren't available - including some still-in-print titles from academic publishers.

2. Ditto. Pricing algos and greed can do insane things to prices. When I needed one out-of-print academic title recently the copies on Amazon were going for four figures. Luckily the author had uploaded a PDF to his web site.

For other books I've looked at, three figures aren't rare. Communicating with sellers directly has sometimes brought the price down to something more reasonable - a sale now being worth more than a listing that may take years to pay off.

3. This part is true - pay, wait, receive. Although it's not infallible, because some of the bigger sellers play an arbitrage game where an algo checks possible sources for tens of thousands of titles and then if found, adds a percentage to create an auto-listing. I've had orders cancelled when this process has failed, for whatever reason.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by nordsieck on Thursday September 26, 2019 @02:40AM (#21078791)
> True for mainstream books, absolutely not true for academic special interest titles. Many books simply aren't available - including some still-in-print titles from academic publishers.

Sure. But you wouldn't find those at B&N either. Amazon isn't in danger of putting university bookstores out of business.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by dboreham on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @11:07PM (#21077792)
Also Amazon (or to be fair any Internet book indexing service such as Google) allows me to know about books that I would almost certainly never have known existed in Barnes&Noble days.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by celticninja on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @08:40PM (#21077067)
There is so much tat though that you can't browse like you can in a bookstore.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by hk__2 on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @05:05PM (#21075455)
> Bookstores provide a lot of service value, a decent bookstore will allow you to find similar material, allow you to browse as you please (instead of the skimpy sample pages), usually contain an expert that can offer advice and allow you to walk out with your purchase. Additionally it's common to see a heavy effort at investing in the atmosphere.

The key part is “decent”. Outside of the “walk out” part, none of these advantages apply if you don’t have a bookstore that matches what you’re interested in, which can be pretty difficult outside of mainstream subjects and the latest-Summer-novel-everybody-buys. There’s no discovery system that I know of that would allow you to find a bookstore near you based on what you like or want to read.

This is why I use Amazon so much: I have a half-dozen wishlists and bought my books here for years, so its suggestions are often relevant. I like to be able to compare prices between new and second-hand books from third-party sellers. Reviews may not always be great, but that’s still better that what you’d get in a bookstore: one single review from the owner, if they did read the book.

Note: I live in France, where the law requires that books are sold the same price in bookstores and on Amazon (you’re allowed to do go down max -5% on the public price). You can also ask any bookstore to get any book for you, most often free of charge. However, this means they get very little profit from it since they have to pay the shipping cost themselves.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by Fr0styMatt88 on Thursday September 26, 2019 @07:10AM (#21079856)
So much this -- and it applies not only to bookstores but to retail in general. So many times I've thought "I should give these retail shops some support"; I go looking for something particular I want, spend several hours of my own time only to come up empty-handed because nobody had what I wanted in stock. Example: I read about some really cool Etymotic musician's earplugs. I thought great, there's actually an instrument store near my work. Walked there; nope, none in stock. Or reading about one of those induction cooktops. Went to my local big-box electronics/appliances retailer. Nope, nothing. Pretty much anything that's even slightly niche, it seems like retail just doesn't have it.

As for books in particular - Kindle wins hands-down on convenience and portability for me, over bookstores (the 'walk-out' part is definitely covered). In my particular case, as I'm vision-impaired, Kindle ALSO wins hands-down on usability, because I can make the text any size I want. That's important enough for me that it can mean the difference between actually being able to read a book and not being able to read it.

I think I have 451 Kindle books. I can carry all of those in my pocket on my phone or in my backpack on my tablet, if I want. That's another huge advantage.

I should probably mention that given all that, I _still_ like physical books! I remember walking the aisles of Borders, but that was because they were huge and they had books in the niche I was looking for. I fondly remember a small bookstore that used to specialise in software development and IT books and they had a great selection of game development books. I used to love that place! For me though, that was all before I got a taste of the convenience of Kindle. Getting the book is worth more to me than stopping and having a nice coffee at the bookstore.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by matwood on Thursday September 26, 2019 @09:14AM (#21080601)
> Bookstores provide a lot of service value, a decent bookstore will allow you to find similar material, allow you to browse as you please (instead of the skimpy sample pages), usually contain an expert that can offer advice and allow you to walk out with your purchase. Additionally it's common to see a heavy effort at investing in the atmosphere.

Maybe post-Amazon retro bookstores provide this, but prior to Amazon bookstores were mostly garbage. You could only browse what they had, which was far from everything. Prices were also very high. I remember as a kid bringing in pencil and paper to copy down algorithms from books that were simply too expensive to purchase. There were also few if any 'experts' at the book store.

For me, the internet + Amazon (and now 1/same day delivery) is better than a book store in every way.

The only place that I know of now that provides something close to what your are romanticizing about is libraries. People who work there for the most part still care about books and understand their catalog. But, anything even remotely popular will likely be checked out which means I'll end up back at Amazon.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by jboy55 on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @05:34PM (#21075761)
If I try to build up a history of bookstores as I remember them as a consumer, at one point there were many small stores. A mall may have 3-4 book stores, all taking around the same space as any other retail store. There were also 'used' book stores and some niche stores around. When you didn't know what to buy, you browsed the generic stores and pretty much they all had the same content, if you sought out a niche/used store, you'd often get a personalized set of recommendations.

However, the Barns and Nobles and Chapters found out that if you knew what you wanted, and gambled on going to a small generic or even niche bookstore, you often had to put the book on order or get something you didn't want. They capitalized on this by stocking much more books than a smaller place could hope to hold. They still could on the surface handle the browsing public, so they quickly put the smaller generic stores out of business, and forced many niche stores out too.

They still have the issue though, that while a small generic may be able to stock the selection for around 80% of requests, and the larger stores 95%, Amazon immediately would sell you the book, either sending it out to you quickly or seemlessly putting them on back order. Also, in the early days, the unfiltered reviews and recommendations based on the other buyers of the books were great in identifying if you really wanted to buy the book anyways.

While Amazon now is facing issues with recommendations, 10-15 years ago it was hugely different, and provided a seriously better customer experience. What I've actually noticed, is that if any small niche bookstore has survived until now, they actually are starting to provide a real differentiated experience. A small, curated selection of books, that I feel easy to browse and I feel they've been filtered already. I also don't know off hand without leaving this and searching, wether barns and noble is still in business.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by jaredsohn on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @09:46PM (#21077408)
For those curious, it looks like Barnes and Noble is still around but Borders and Waldenbooks are not.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by marnett on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @05:33PM (#21075751)
I'd consult goodreads.com (ownded by Amazon) to meet your criteria of matching experience with respect to genuine reviews, similar book recommendations, etc.

It's not a flashy service by all means and has definitely been neglected by Amazon since the acquisition; the community makes it what it is, and it is a very high quality community!

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by rhizome on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @09:37PM (#21077361)
I've read that Goodreads has kind of an opposite problem to shill reviews: everything you write about a book is always completely public, so people don't write them.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by Kaiyou on Thursday September 26, 2019 @10:57AM (#21081463)
Bookstores only offered negative value to me, outside of selling me what I wanted. Amazon allows me to purchase stuff without having to interact with another human. Not everyone is extroverted and introverts get drained by human interaction. I don't even have to talk to a human when returning stuff.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by tracker1 on Friday September 27, 2019 @07:14PM (#21097115)
The only way you get past that is by forcing yourself to be uncomfortable. It's worth it. It's a learned and reinforced behavior. Much like the child who only eats hot dogs and mac and cheese, and their parents never really made them do otherwise. Now they're in their 30's, living in their house and don't have a job, still eating junk food, but now they have diabetes.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by Kaiyou on Monday September 30, 2019 @03:41AM (#21112651)
No need, I already have a job and eat healthy. It's not that I can't do human interaction, it's that it drains me.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by tracker1 on Monday September 30, 2019 @12:03PM (#21116820)
My point was, the more you do it, the better you get at it... kind of like exercise or anything else. By avoiding interactions, it makes it worse over time.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by Kaiyou on Monday September 30, 2019 @04:48PM (#21119530)
A battery won't get better by providing energy to some device. It gets drained. Similarly, introverts get drained by human interaction, so they need to recharge by staying alone. Extroverts on the other hand get drained by being alone and recharge in company of other humans. Telling an extrovert to not socialize with anyone for a year to get better at it is as much nonsense as telling an introvert to go socialize more to get better at it. That's not how it works.

The more human interaction I can avoid, the better, so I'm recharged when I have to interact with people.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by tracker1 on Tuesday October 01, 2019 @01:11AM (#21122224)
A muscle doesn't grow stronger with atrophy... likewise, the mind doesn't grow stronger without challenge.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by Kaiyou on Tuesday October 01, 2019 @04:11AM (#21123131)
It's like trying to use a tool all the time expecting it to get better instead of wearing itself out. That's not how this works. No matter how good you get at human interaction it won't change the fact that it will drain you, if you're introverted.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by lliamander on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @04:51PM (#21075308)
My favorite Pratchett book is probably Men at Arms, though he has many greats (and I have not even read all of them yet).
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by munk-a on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @05:06PM (#21075466)
The Vimes series is amazing... I think it's a bit above the Moist series but I absolutely love Raising Steam and, to a lesser extent, Making Money - because both characters are coming together. Still, I think my top pitch is somewhere within Night's Watch, Men at Arms & Jingo - I think Guards! Guards! is also quite good but Night's Watch did nearly everything Guards! Guards! did... but did it better.

Honestly, his books are just amazing though, quite worth a read.... possibly skipping to start at Equal Rites since The Colour of Magic and The Light Fantastic were less polished than his later works - but do check out the Tim Curry having movie covering those first two books... maybe bring a power point presentation or two along to appease any power hungry wizards though.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by lliamander on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @05:34PM (#21075766)
The movie was reasonably entertaining, and a stellar cast. I agree about skipping the first couple books were not as well polished - I'm glad I did not start there.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by rhizome on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @09:34PM (#21077347)
Yep: one major advantage of bookstores is that their recommendation engines work several magnitudes better, and reliably. I believe they always will, too.

I think it's also possible that at least part of Amazon's success was due to creating/increasing price sensitivity in an era where wage stagnation has become more and more apparent. That is, they are also the Dollar Saver & K-Mart of the Internet.

The segments that Amazon has conquered may be more abstract than those they're usually given credit for. Segments like "poor people."

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by dboreham on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @11:10PM (#21077807)
>recommendation engines work several magnitudes better, and reliably

Surely that's only true for a vanishingly small subset of fields of interest?

e.g. I want to read books on construction site drainage. Is the dude in Borders going to have any tiny clue about that?

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by rhizome on Friday September 27, 2019 @01:34PM (#21094277)
Surely that's only true for a vanishingly small subset of fields of interest?

I mean come on, Amazon didn't invent obscure topics. Bookstore people would know more specialized stores, though this was naturally less true at chain stores. This was at least as effective as Amazon giving you a list of other books bought by people who bought the one you're looking at.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by rodgerd on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @05:48PM (#21075921)
> Amazon was also able to make money selling products at little or no markup by taking advantage of the float.

Amazon's margin for a long time was rorting the tax system, something they enjoyed via federal regulatory capture. Their competitors were paying state and local taxes. They weren't.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by Nasrudith on Thursday September 26, 2019 @10:01AM (#21080935)
If there was regulatory capture it surely couldn't have been provided by them given they didn't exist yet. They were doing exactly what the tax system was designed to do - promote investment no trickery involved.

One can legitimately argue that the system sucked or could have been done better but it is not exploitation in the sense of a glitch any more than handling moving by selling your furniture, mailing your small items, and then buying new stuff insread of renting a van since depreciation losses would be less than moving expenses.

Catalog precedent was what they used for taxes and even a large company using it to sell everything enmasse wasn't new either - Sears Catalog.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by WalterBright on Thursday September 26, 2019 @11:24AM (#21081786)
A friend of mine after moving several times discovered it was cheaper to just throw away all the furniture (i.e. give it ot Goodwill) and buy new at the new place than ship it.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by B1FF_PSUVM on Thursday September 26, 2019 @06:33AM (#21079717)
(Dict, for convenience - that's a good word, mate ;-)

rort - verb - AUSTRALIAN/NZ

gerund or present participle: rorting

engage in sharp practice.

- [...]

- work (a system) to obtain the greatest benefit while remaining within the letter of the law.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by youngtaff on Thursday September 26, 2019 @04:58AM (#21079333)
I worked for a book publisher from 1998-2002

At the time Amazon relied on huge 'subsidies' from the book publishers, they had huge trade debts, but the publishers couldn't afford to pull the plug as they'd loose that revenue

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by tracker1 on Friday September 27, 2019 @07:09PM (#21097094)
Personally, I think companies should have one of two models, growth or dividends. In the end, it really shouldn't be companies paying taxes (or meddling in politics), they should be growing, or paying out dividends that are taxed.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by bsder on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @05:23PM (#21075643)
Amazon had an in-built 5-10% advantage for a very long time because they weren't required to pay tax. This clobbered small retail--and bookstores in particular.

Now that they are on an equal footing and have to collect tax, Amazon's retailing isn't doing as good.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by perl4ever on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @06:00PM (#21076056)
I don't understand this comment. Amazon didn't invent mail order. They never have had a monopoly on websites that sell stuff to be delivered by mail, either.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by bsder on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @06:34PM (#21076330)
> Amazon didn't invent mail order.

And were particularly bad at it for a long time. Selling books was the only thing keeping the company afloat during that span.

> They never have had a monopoly on websites that sell stuff to be delivered by mail, either.

Actually, they did on books. You seem like you may be young. In 1994-1996, credit cards were nowhere near as ubiquitous and certainly the online use of them was even less so. Online gift companies were still a big thing and not simply a given even into 1999-2000.

The big bookstores at the time all had physical presence. If they attempted to ship you book and not charge tax, some taxman was going to show up at their door. This stifled the development of the online websites for those companies.

Amazon had no presence that people could go after, so could skirt tax laws with far less danger. That gave them an in-built 5% advantage over everyone. And the small bookstores took it in the chin particularly hard.

The success of people like Bezos becoming huge by skirting the law is why we have people like Kalanick who thought they can become huge by skirting the law.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by perl4ever on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @07:08PM (#21076580)
Not paying sales tax on mail order was the norm. The time period you're talking about, Amazon, and the internet in general, hadn't penetrated to the general public. 1995-96 was just when a small minority of people were waking up to the idea they needed to be on the internet and getting their first direct PPP dialup account. People still went to physical book stores because, for one thing, you couldn't preview a book online.

It wasn't at all obvious that Amazon would take over the world well into the 2000s. They looked like every other dotcom, particularly because they didn't consistently make GAAP profits and so people were just waiting for them to die. AWS, Kindle, Prime, Fresh, lots of stuff are recent developments.

Absolutely nothing about the original concept could have told you what it would become or was in any way exclusive.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by bsder on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @10:29PM (#21077611)
> Not paying sales tax on mail order was the norm.

You're forgetting that mail order wasn't the norm--even if you ordered from a catalog you picked it up in person at the store. So, not collecting tax on mail order wasn't a big deal until Amazon flattened bookstores with it.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by smogcutter on Thursday September 26, 2019 @12:06AM (#21078053)
Huh? That’s not how I remember it at all. You ordered from the catalog and then waited three weeks. If you were going to pick up in the store, why not just go to the store instead of calling an 800 number and reading off your credit card info? There was a whole Seinfeld episode about how the only mail anyone got anymore was catalogs.

Per FRED[1], monthly mail order sales doubled from 1992 to the end of 96.

Obviously it was nothing like today, but mail order was, like, a thing.

[1]: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MRTSSM4541USS

*Also, I learned in my google rabbit hole about this that it’s a 1992 Supreme Court decision that confirmed that mail order retailers didn’t have to collect state tax unless they had a physical presence in the state.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by bluGill on Thursday September 26, 2019 @09:54AM (#21080885)
You picked up in store because there was free shipping to the sears store in town. You didn't go to the sears store in town because it didn't have very much inventory.

Note that we are talking about small rural towns in the middle of nowhere. When sears started most of the population was either a farmer, or lived in a small town in farm country. If you lived in a large city you could go to a department store downtown and it would have everything. If you lived in a small town the department store had only the very popular items and you were expected to order from them.

By the 1980s the population had shifted to bigger cities, and UPS offered affordable shipping to your door, so those small town stores had little reason to exist and started closing.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by smogcutter on Thursday September 26, 2019 @02:35PM (#21083991)
Sure, but we were talking about Amazon. The state of mail order retail in the 1930s isn’t super relevant.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by maehwasu on Thursday September 26, 2019 @08:02AM (#21080130)
I grew up in the 80s and 90s, and the claim simply isn't true. My family mail-ordered all the time, and it was nearly always delivered to the house.

I get that it feels neat and tidy to say that Amazon and Uber had the same growth model of skirting regulations, but the facts don't match that.

This doesn't mean that Amazon is good--I think that what the effect of what they've done to retail is awful. But using Uber as the key piece of a kind of Godwin's Law doesn't really help matters.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by streetcat1 on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @03:36PM (#21074452)
The only difference between wework and amazon is the way they finance their money-losing ventures.

Wework does that via the private market, hence the game is up when it needs access to the public markets.

Amazon does that via AWS. AWS is the money that fuels the eCommerce side. The game will be up when:

1) Kubernetes will move AWS customers back to on-prem, or at least turn clouds into a commodity. Amazon knows that and this is the reason for the push toward lockin (aka lambda / serverless).

2) Amazon will be divided into two companies.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by chx on Thursday September 26, 2019 @02:03AM (#21078636)
Kubernetes is only a threat in that it is a buzzword much as cloud is a buzzword. The cloud and Kubernetes both are used to sell a triple fallacy: You need to care about scaling from day one, there is an easy way to scale, this way is the cloud/Kubernetes.

For almost all startups their app would run comfortably on a single dedicated server. This has been true for many, many years but only the YAGNI greybeards would go with it. Maybe two HA but even HA is overhyped, it's cheaper to be down. Down is part of this industry, you will be down in many circumstances anyways so perhaps don't chase a unicorn? Of course, above a certain size, two servers make sense but ... don't overdo it even then. You don't need microservices, you don't need containers. All of this is unnecessary hype. (And yes, both of you who works at a large enough company where being down is enough of a problem that it worths engineering about: good for you. I have architected a Top 100 website myself and we still didn't use more than a dozen servers and that included the staging infra.)

Gary Bernhardt of WAT fame from 2015 https://twitter.com/garybernhardt/status/600783770925420546?...

> Consulting service: you bring your big data problems to me, I say "your data set fits in RAM", you pay me $10,000 for saving you $500,000.

Very strongly related: a terabyte of RAM in just 16 modules so it fits most server boards is now under $5000 https://memory.net/product/p00926-b21-hp-1x-64gb-ddr4-2933-l...

Final shot, codinghorror of StackOverflow fame: https://twitter.com/codinghorror/status/347070841059692545

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by pas on Wednesday October 02, 2019 @03:59AM (#21134237)
Containers, k8s (or k3s, because less bloat) and micro-SOA (but preferably in a monorepo) make development easier.

Overdoing the infra-HA-magic is bad, of course. But if you use containers, you can spin up dev envs faster, devs can just docker-compose (I still recommend Vagrant + docker, so devs can use whatever OS they like), and it helps with config management a bit too. (Much easier testing, deployment and upgrades.)

That said paying for AWS is the worst idea ever, it's so overpriced and the most used servie is EC2, which people could get anywhere else. (Sure, there are probably nice tricks that this pony can do, but there's probably a whole cottage industry trying to copy their niche offerings.)

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by rexarex on Thursday September 26, 2019 @03:23AM (#21078955)
Cheaper to be down? I guess if you don’t have users sure.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by chx on Thursday September 26, 2019 @03:52AM (#21079064)
Having a hot spare, a database slave and a mirror of your assets so you can manually fail over? Probably a good idea. Architecting a very HA infra? Now wait and look hard at all the possible downtime causes (you have a DDoS provider for sure, Voxility or Cloudflare probably, what if they go down and so forth) and so and then look at what you are protecting against: a hardware failure which is exceedingly rare and again you can manually failover. The costs vs benefits will not come out in your favor up to a very large company size where even the smallest amount of downtime is so costly it doesn't matter how many engineering hours go into avoiding it.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by prolepunk on Thursday September 26, 2019 @12:19PM (#21082493)
Anecdotal evidence.

I remember working for a company about a decade ago where we spent so much time engineering duplicate everything hardware or hot spares everywhere.

Guess what, when switch failed it didn't properly failed over. When router it started sending spurious packets everywhere and had to be taken down manually.

All the effort that went into duplicating hardware and making hot spares could have been save by just... having cold spares, and in the end the amount of downtime would have been the same, or less -- because when one thing fails it's really easy obvious where things stopped working.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by rossdavidh on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @04:53PM (#21075329)
It's interesting that you bring up the importance of AWS to Amazon, nowadays, because...companies like Uber, Lyft, and WeWork spend a lot on AWS.

In other words, like Yahoo getting a lot of their late-90's advertising from dot-com bubble companies that evaporated in 2001, AWS is massively exposed to the current bubble in "we have so much VC cash we don't know what to do with it" companies. When that goes away (i.e. the next downturn), AWS will lose a huge chunk of their business all at once. It will be interesting to see what Amazon's bottom line looks like at that point.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by streetcat1 on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @06:54PM (#21076480)
So I am not sure. I think that startups (with all due respect) generate buzz, inversely correlated with their technical depth. So AWS is mainly composed of non tech companies.

I also think that AWS did an excellent job locking its customers, so they cannot just "leave".

The real treat here is kubernetes. If I program to kubernetes , I can, in theory, move the workload from cloud to cloud, or move the workload from on prem to cloud.

This brings actual competition to the cloud space.

The problem is how to provide all the high-level services that AWS provide, and this will have to be taken by future startups which would extend kubernetes.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by buboard on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @05:15PM (#21075574)
Amazon must know that and i guess thats why they dont give up the commerce biz
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by jethro_tell on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @07:16PM (#21076625)
Lol, or the bulk of the AWS income that is probably boring enterprise. Sure, less startups is less cpu cycles bought, but there are a shit tone of companies that aren't going to scale down in a massive way.

yahoo was at risk because the BULK of their ad business was ads for a budding industry that was hit hard. Normal boring enterprise was still selling buying ads elsewhere.

Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by WalterBright on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @03:59PM (#21074663)
AWS did not become a product until Amazon had been around for several years.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by unreal37 on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @04:59PM (#21075400)
But today, AWS is hugely profitable and hides the money losing parts of the business.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by hef19898 on Thursday September 26, 2019 @01:23AM (#21078441)
So tue. AWS is generating the biggest part of overall profits while contributing 10% of revenue (from top of my head, so numbers might be wrong). Only logic that one day Amazon would be split up. Might also partially explain the high valuation.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by imtringued on Thursday September 26, 2019 @08:59AM (#21080496)
Operating a kubernetes cluster on-prem is much harder than you think. Kubernetes is an overcomplicated mess if you want to build a cluster yourself and it's a mess every time you want to upgrade to a newer version.
Re:WeWork and Counterfeit Capitalism by adharmad on Wednesday September 25, 2019 @06:51PM (#21076463)
WeWork is a cargo-cult startup