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Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by autokad on Monday September 16, 2019 @10:53PM (#20990860)
> "Point is the media is making this out to be an indictment on some SV tech bubble"

Its not the media, I think its just true. Had WeWork IPO'ed under the same conditions a year ago, I think it would have been 'fine'. but the glut of SV unicorns losing money, hating investors, and slowing growth has got people highly concerned.

This list of companies (slack, lyft, Uber, Pinterest, beyond meat, crowdstrike, tesla, spotify, Pinduoduo, Dropbox, Snap, Domo, Blue Apron, Box, Shopify, Zillow) has 310 billion in market cap and -18.67 billion $ in revenue (back of the envelope calculation).

If I missed anyone or made a typeo/mistake, let me know how I came up with the numbers: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1L2ElCY853kgWACC3Q48Q...

EDIT: I am not saying all these companies are bad; I am invested in some of them! Just that the sheer size of these companies and their total losses are unnerving lots of people to such a point that the market had no appetite for WeWork.

Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by rockinghigh on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @12:42AM (#20991638)
> -18.67 billion $ in revenue

You’re confusing revenue and earnings/net income. Revenue is the sum of the sales. Net income, or earnings, is how much money is left after accounting for expenses. Uber alone has tens of billions of dollars in revenue.

Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by XJ6 on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @04:39AM (#20992966)
You're not wrong about OP's confusion, but a quick note that uber recently reported quarterly revenue of ~3.1bn which means "tens of billions" annually is exaggerating a little.

Does uber count it's fees as revenue or does it count fees and the fares (which get passed back to the drivers) as revenue?

My opinionated take is that if uber wants to pretend that drivers are not employees and it's just a marketplace then they shouldn't be booking the fare as revenue, just their cut but I'm not an accountant and I don't make the rules.

Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by OJFord on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @04:58AM (#20993065)
> My opinionated take is that if uber wants to pretend that drivers are not employees and it's just a marketplace then they shouldn't be booking the fare as revenue, just their cut but I'm not an accountant and I don't make the rules.

Good point, but Uber literally takes the money through its app, so I don't suppose that would be possible.

Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by everythingswan on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @05:22AM (#20993187)
Yea, classic case of low vs. high margin businesses. Travel is a great example. You would think sites like Expedia would make a healthy margin on airline tickets. Due to the way it's set up (booking systems, airlines, competition) the actual net per ticket is something like $5 for domestic flights. Last I checked Expedia specifically, most of their revenue was on hotels.

Contrast that with a high margin business like consulting services or a proprietary technology/product and there's a huge difference in net profit between the two at $10m annual revenue.

Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by sverige on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @08:35AM (#20994211)
Revenue is King, margin is Queen.
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by twic on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @06:50AM (#20993552)
Does PayPal count money paid through its app as revenue?
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by OJFord on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @08:15AM (#20994025)
Good point. I believe it (and similarly Amazon marketplace sales) uses nominee accounts.

I don't use Uber so I don't know if the payments are always to the same 'Uber Ltd' or not, but you're right that would seem to be a good option.

Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by dd36 on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @08:43AM (#20994289)
No. Neither does a bank. That’s, for lack of a better term, escrow.
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by rockinghigh on Wednesday September 18, 2019 @11:05AM (#21006158)
They only count their share, not the full fare (agent revenue recognition). I was referring to annual numbers.
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by troquerre on Monday September 16, 2019 @11:07PM (#20990962)
You're missing Zoom, Pagerduty, and Cloudflare which are all doing phenomenally well.
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by rsynnott on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @12:24PM (#20997045)
A cynic might note that they're essentially selling pickaxes in the gold rush, so would be expected to do well in a tech bubble, even when their customers aren't :)
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by autokad on Monday September 16, 2019 @11:11PM (#20990991)
Thanks, didnt have earnings per share on cloudfare so skipped it
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by icedchai on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @09:53PM (#21001810)
Pagerduty's stock is in the toilet. Almost anyone who has bought in the past 5 months has lost money.
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by ummonk on Monday September 16, 2019 @11:12PM (#20991005)
Some of those (e.g. Slack) are growing phenomenally fast though, and could become profitable quite easily. Others (e.g. Uber and Lyft) have a questionable business model.

Edit: wow I didn't realize Slack had such a large market cap. That is a LOT of growth priced in, probably more than is justified.

Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by bakuninsbart on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @03:24AM (#20992545)
While this is true, I seem to miss what makes Slack special. We use it at work, and it is decent at what it provides, but we could probably just as well switch to Discord, Microsoft Teams or ICQ.

Microsoft Teams especially seems like a deliberate attempt to dethrone Slack, and while it is slightly more annoying to use, it just makes sense for companies to bundle their services and subsciptions.

I do not really see a bright future for slack.

Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by IMTDb on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @04:31AM (#20992930)
You could switch, sure. But would you ? You would be losing :

- Message history

- Files that have been shared

- Integrations / bots / ...

- Plus you would need to setup everyone again, create channels, ...

Slack goal is to be cheap enough that it does not represent a major cost for the company and integrated enough that moving would be a pain.

Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by jen20 on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @04:50AM (#20993039)
Would you, though? My company was a very early user of Slack, and imported our history from Skype group chat, IRC and HipChat over various periods in history. You can get the data out of Slack easily enough, so I don’t see that as a major aspect of lock-in if there is a competitive product.

The integration story is more interesting, but to _be_ a competitive product many of these must already exist.

The job of competing with Slack is harder than it once was (just look at MS Teams) but not impossible (just look at Slack...) - there’s lots of room for improvement.

Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by twic on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @06:52AM (#20993569)
My company switched from Slack to Mattermost, and then back to Slack. We either did all these things, twice, or lived without them. Switching is not something you'd do on a whim, but it's not really difficult either.
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by dd36 on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @08:48AM (#20994336)
Why back?
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by twic on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @12:25PM (#20997049)
The IT department moves in mysterious ways, its wonders to perform.

I think we moved from Slack to Mattermost because our infosec people weren't happy about Slack's handling of our data; there's a line in an email about "discussions with Slack over the past year regarding their data security and AI initiatives". But then Slack sorted that out to infosec's satisfaction, so we moved back, because running your own Mattermost installation is more of a hassle than paying Slack to do the equivalent.

Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by Hallucinaut on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @09:02AM (#20994491)
As someone contemplating the move from Slack, I'm also very interested in this response
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by notahacker on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @04:48AM (#20993017)
For the same reasons (good and bad) companies periodically switch other software platforms despite switching costs. History is exportable, and I suspect that for every company that's built clever and essential integrations and comprehensive channel structures there's another one where it's an under-used message board...
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by trumbitta2 on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @03:49AM (#20992672)
I don't think you can post syntax highlighted code snippets, or do automations with ICQ.
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by YarickR2 on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @07:59AM (#20993921)
This is something they (ICQ team) are working on right now (actually they are launching ICQ-based Slack-alike collaboration solution, Myteam)
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by Bombthecat on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @06:29AM (#20993462)
Well, probably rpa could help here.. If it makes sense is another story :)
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by buboard on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @03:50AM (#20992684)
> and could become profitable quite easily

That's easy to say and hard to do, especially when u have to justify a very public valuation

Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by mbesto on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @10:05AM (#20995206)
> are growing phenomenally fast though, and could become profitable quite easily.

Exactly. Cut their S&M budgets overnight and you'll see a ton of very profitable companies. Just look at their Gross Margins.

Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by sciurus on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @08:21AM (#20994066)
You're missing Eventbrite, which IPOed September 2018 and has lost around half its peak value.

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/EB/

Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by hn_throwaway_99 on Monday September 16, 2019 @10:57PM (#20990888)
Maybe you need to flip that envelope around because I don't know how you get that much negative revenue.
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by brennebeck on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @12:04AM (#20991393)
Not to be flip, but pretty sure the gp is referring to losses, I.e. burning vc money and not earning enough revenue to break even.
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by autokad on Monday September 16, 2019 @11:04PM (#20990946)
added link above
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by hn_throwaway_99 on Monday September 16, 2019 @11:53PM (#20991308)
Revenue and earnings are not the same thing.
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by jsf01 on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @01:41AM (#20991952)
>negative revenue

How is that even possible?

Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by twic on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @06:53AM (#20993574)
WeWork is such a mess that i wouldn't be surprised if their revenue was negative and their profit was a quaternion.
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by kelnos on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @06:01AM (#20993353)
Obviously that happens when your product is so bad that you have to pay people to use it.
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by Smirnoff on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @07:12AM (#20993666)
That’s called negative profits or earnings before taxes/depreciation/etc.

By definition revenue can’t be negative.

Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by kelnos on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @09:38AM (#20994900)
Sorry, my comment was tongue-in-cheek. If revenue is defined as income from operations, having to pay people to use your product could be considered negative income, aka negative revenue (even if that's not how that actually works). I guess it was a bad joke if I have to explain it.
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by benj111 on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @02:45AM (#20992339)
"hating investors"

They don't hate investors, just the likes of you or I, and who can blame them? Softbank gives them money on a $47bn valuation, don't have to deal with reporting requirements, don't have short sellers (which SV types seem to be really annoyed by?!).

Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by kelnos on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @05:54AM (#20993327)
Twilio has been non-GAAP profitable for a year now with a positive EPS for the last four quarters (possibly five, but my brain is failing me and Yahoo Finance only lists the last four), but you list it as negative. So that leads me to wonder if many of the other figures you cite have similar issues.

(Disclosure: I work at Twilio.)

Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by twic on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @06:51AM (#20993557)
> non-GAAP profitable

Like how on my Tinder profile i'm a non-GAAP 10.

Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by cbm-vic-20 on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @09:35AM (#20994860)
Has that been seasonally-adjusted?
Re:WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources by notfromhere on Tuesday September 17, 2019 @10:03AM (#20995178)
it has been community-adjusted