News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by jacquesm on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @06:24AM (#15080169)
This so reminds me of the discussion about fire from the Hitch Hikers Guide to the Galaxy.

The challenge of a self driving car is to get it to drive by itself, not to try to make it look good and to solve a whole pile of engineering problems that have had everybody in engineering looking at them since as long as we have the profession.

Making gadgets and making a self driving car require a different mind-set. The first is an exercise in consumer packaging, the second is a serious endeavor in engineering something tremendously difficult from the ground up.

What the vehicle looks like is not important at this stage, what is important is whether it can be done at all with sufficient reliability to let it out of the lab and into the mass market.

When someone seriously suggests to 'reinvent the wheel' it is time to re-focus.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by athenot on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @09:50AM (#15081499)
Yes and no. Part of doing a technology leap is getting people to dream. There are always rough edges associated with the new technology, and in those times, it's nice to be able to still enjoy the dream.

As an example, consider the transition from MacOS 9 -> Mac OS X (public beta days). The tough challenge was what's below the hood, the new UNIX foundation, the NeXTStep APIs, being able to mitigate the conversion pain, etc. Yet in the midst of all these challenges, they added Aqua: an ambitious, over-the-top UI. Was it overkill? Yes. Did it get scaled back? Yes. Did it impact performance? Heck yeah it did. But it did one thing very well: it got people to dream of a (literally) shiny new Operating System. In the moments when Mail.app would get stuck or when one felt the absence of many Classic features, seeing the shiny OS helped sugar-coat the transition and from a UX perspective, it helped people stick with it until the bugs got ironed out.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by amelius on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @09:57AM (#15081553)
True, but in this case it's a sugar coating without any cake below it.
Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by briandear on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @10:35AM (#15081810)
[citation needed] — how do you know what Apple has or doesn’t have? People are making assumptions based on leaks — leaks, that wouldn’t surprise me if they were actually coordinated and on purpose designed to mislead the media.

Five random Titan engineers wouldn’t just start talking to the Times. Not if they wanted to stay working at Apple. So it makes you wonder if their “leaking” is designed to mislead.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by sjm-lbm on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @11:20AM (#15082173)
That is, of course, at least partially true.

However, in the OSX analogy above, Apple had a very good platform (NeXTSTEP) that had been commercially available and proven in real-world use for ~a decade before they started modifying it to become OSX. There is no similarly mature self-driving car platform for them to be working from, and we can be sure of that.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by 60654 on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @08:48AM (#15081047)
Hah, yes. Glad to see others were weirded out by that too. It's so strange to see people seriously discussing how to redesign the trimmings, when nobody even has an existence proof that fully autonomous navigation _is even possible!_

And it's not like robotics research hasn't been working on this problem for half a century now. It's a hell of a hard problem that one can't just product-design their way out of.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by krakensden on Thursday August 24, 2017 @10:56AM (#15090593)
I see the Waymo cars puttering around. The existence proof is there.
Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by ptero on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @07:30AM (#15080526)
Apple often tries to re-engineer the thing they develop.from the ground up. Seems it started this way on Titan, too, then scaled back and decided to focus on the main problem: safely getting around. Nothing wrong with this I think.

On reinvented wheels, early ideas rejected today may get a second life later, e.g. spherical wheels for moving in very constrained environments.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by jacquesm on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @07:47AM (#15080624)
It is absolutely fine to re-engineer something from the ground up once you have a working example in your hand. But before then you are simply wasting your time.

the iPod was not the first music player, the iPhone not the first smartphone. Re-engineering those was the only way to get them to market in a way that might drive mass adoption.

As for the spherical wheels, yes, however such a development is totally tangential (pun intended) to self driving cars.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by _jal on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @11:18AM (#15082150)
> But before then you are simply wasting your time.

I disagree. You seem to be discounting the learning aspect. Building an institutional knowledge base of the pile of systems that make up a car is a large task by itself. Different shops approach it differently. One may obsessively reverse engineer the competition, another might tinker with longtime designs.

I fully expect the managers in question saw the spherical wheels as something with maybe a 2% chance of becoming a reality, if that. The point at that stage is not to take a particular design to market, it is to explore the problem space, develop expertise, and work out what strategy to pursue.

From this article, it sounds like they figured out the strategy.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by jacquesm on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @12:47PM (#15083017)
2%? How about 0.0002%.
Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by ruleabidinguser on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @06:09PM (#15085653)
0
Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by ams6110 on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @08:32AM (#15080927)
I can't see spherical wheels working well. They would have a smaller contact patch on the road surface than a standard wheel, and consequently less traction.
Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by jacquesm on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @08:38AM (#15080980)
And then there is stronger braking to be considered, which almost always is some kind of disk brake which you can't do if there is no shaft to mount one on. Which means the spherical wheel system would have to be oversized to compensate for lack of such a shaft even if it would work to drive the car. Magnetic wheels have other interesting problems that would need to be solved such as when two cars get close to each other the wheels would start to attract or repulse depending on their orientation.

This is mostly likely not something that could be rolled out even in a concept car with present day technology unless there is some kind of trick that I'm not aware of. Halbach arrays are not without problems if you allow them to be unconstrained in all dimensions.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by Shorel on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @09:24AM (#15081305)
If they are too big then the car will only have room for two: one in the front and one in the back.

TaDa: the self driving Tron motorcycle!

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by sillysaurus3 on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @09:52AM (#15081517)
Could you just use standard wheels, but let all four of them turn 90 degrees? Then the car could move laterally.
Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by Retric on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @10:24AM (#15081743)
There are some cars that already do this.

It's a lot simpler with independent electric motors per wheel, but generally not that useful as self drivings cars can already parallel park just fine.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by jacquesm on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @12:48PM (#15083033)
You only need one wheel to turn very tightly:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YlLZE23EJKs

[dead]
Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by jacquesm on Friday August 25, 2017 @07:21AM (#15097631)
That's true. But then again, I did come up with live streaming video on the web and some other lesser known bits and pieces of technology. And I'd argue my lego sorting machine also required plenty of creative thinking.
Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by ptero on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @09:43AM (#15081442)
There are definitely major challenges, although maybe those could work in areas where the motion is slow but constrained (e.g., a cart to move cars in/out/around a dedicated parking lot). Maybe flatten the surface used for normal motion and use sides for infrequent, slow maneuvers. I do not know.

But those ideas are tangential (being generous) to self-driving, so better not steal cycles from it.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by skgoa on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @11:43AM (#15082399)
Plus the whole sphere and its housing is going to take up a lot of volume.
Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by majjam on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @06:45AM (#15080264)
Here's a link to the relevant HHGTTG quote: https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/The_Hitchhiker%27s_Guide_to_th...
Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by rothbardrand on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @07:04PM (#15085980)
Whenever Apple introduces a new product line, they do so with a major usability innovation. In fact their major new lines often have several usability innovations, that work together.

The iPod had click wheel. The Mac had the GUI. The Apple II was plug-and-play in a time when people built from scratch. The iPhone had multi-touch the Apple Watch had a bunch of stuff.

The challenge is not to solve an already solved problem.

Remember when the iPhone was introduced? It's obvious now it was quite revolutionary-- but at the time people complained that it wasn't anything significant and that lacking a keyboard meant it was doomed to failure.

If apple introduced a self driving Camry it would not really be compelling enough. For a new product category, Apple's only interested if they can create or redefine the category.

It's worked out pretty well so far.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by empath75 on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @08:22AM (#15080861)
What if 'self-driving' was just one possible feature among many in a potential Apple car and wasn't necessary? I'd happily buy an apple electric car that I had to drive myself.
Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by jacquesm on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @08:48AM (#15081048)
> I'd happily buy an apple electric car that I had to drive myself.

How could you say that without knowing anything about such a car?

Is the brand enough to get you to buy something?

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by intoverflow2 on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @09:13AM (#15081222)
When your customers have this sort of attitude it's no wonder Apple managed to convince themselves this was worthwhile.
Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by rothbardrand on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @07:08PM (#15086007)
You're shitting on the project without knowing anything about it yourself... but you ask how he can be interested without knowing details?

And yes, the brand-- which is to say, their 40 year history of delivering products at a level of quality and innovation unmatched by any company in the world-- is enough to be interested in anything they produce.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by briandear on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @10:30AM (#15081784)
They definitely should have not wasted time with multitouch and just used a stylus and a physical keyboard for iPhone. Right? Any time someone says “no stylus” it’s time to refocus right? After all, that just isn’t how portable devices in 2002 already worked?

Apple doesn’t care about incremental improvements when talking about a new product category. They look to leapfrog. Have you considered the benefit of spherical wheels? I haven’t, but I am not part of that project.

Incrementalism would have been making a better Apple Newton or a prettier Palm Treo. Or a slightly better Tesla. Why bother entering the car market if you’re just going to marginally compete with everyone else?

It seems like you don’t get Apple or their history of product development.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by jacquesm on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @04:44PM (#15084899)
> It seems like you don’t get Apple or their history of product development.

I get it just fine. They are improved user interfaces over things that already existed. Changing the main method of transfer of energy from the motor to the road in a vehicle is a fundamental change that has significant implications for everything else in the vehicle to the point of making it very unlikely that that vehicle will ever be completed.

People would not buy a car with spherical wheels for the 'cool factor' they would not buy it because it is untested technology with significant implications for the safety of the occupants and others on the road.

> Apple doesn’t care about incremental improvements when talking about a new product category.

Well, what is a leapfrog to you looks suspiciously like an incremental improvement to me. There were some phones that had a fair amount of resemblance to the iPhone before it launched and the iPod had a large number of predecessors as well. And without iPod no iPhone.

Arguably the iPhone could have been a success without multitouch, it's perfectly possible not to have multitouch and at the same time not to have stylus and not to have a keyboard.

As for the benefit of spherical wheels, yes, I can see some benefits, but I can also see significant drawbacks that are not easily engineered away.

A car is a device on an entirely different plane than a phone, the only time your life depends on your phone is when you're trying to call 911 after an accident, with a car you (and the people on the road around you) depend on your car from the moment you get into it until you disembark. That requires a more conservative kind of development.

Such as Tesla is showing, and which they occasionally get wrong, usually when they release stuff that isn't quite as reliable as it should be for mass deployment.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by rothbardrand on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @07:10PM (#15086018)
> They are improved user interfaces over things that already existed.

This is the lie every Apple hater tells themselves to reconcile their hate with the fact that Apple keeps inventing things never before seen.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by dkonofalski on Thursday August 24, 2017 @05:02PM (#15094030)
They also tend to qualify it as "refinement" instead of "invention" because their definition of "innovation" can't include Apple for some dogmatic reason.
Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by anindha on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @03:50PM (#15084491)
Great analogy. Anything seems impossible before its done, and obvious 5-10 years after it's done.
Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by rothbardrand on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @07:12PM (#15086032)
Usually about a year after Apple's competitors have introduced a pale imitation, the haters will say it was always obvious.

I once had someone on here tell me that Apple invented nothing for the iPhone because the movie 2001: A Space Odyssey "invented multitouch".

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by SeeDave on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @09:04AM (#15081163)
>The challenge of a self driving car is to get it to drive by itself, not to try to make it look good and to solve a whole pile of engineering problems that have had everybody in engineering looking at them since as long as we have the profession.

This is why I believe that comma.ai was so visionary, say whatever you want about George Hotz's personality. He truly _gets it_ that self-driving is the critical part, not the car.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by pedroaraujo on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @09:18AM (#15081263)
"Visionary"? Hardly. His self driving technology was basically a big giant hack. He is a good hacker but calling him "visionary" is a bit of a stretch.
Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by SeeDave on Friday August 25, 2017 @12:09AM (#15096052)
From my perspective, the vision was in truly understanding that the value-add is centered around "self-driving" more so than "cars."
Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by nojvek on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @11:19AM (#15082164)
A giant hack that works and already out on the streets.

I think commaai has a very bright future.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by jacquesm on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @12:55PM (#15083091)
Supernova's have a bright future too. But a very short one.

Comma one has been canceled and the new offering is more along the lines of a kit for DIY car hackers than for serious deployment and at a guess if you would be involved in an accident while deploying one of these kits your insurance would be void.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by skgoa on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @11:46AM (#15082432)
comma was a scam. The car Hotz used for his "demonstration" already comes with the functionality he "demonstrated" from the factory. He just added wires and a joystick to his dashboard.
Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by SeeDave on Friday August 25, 2017 @12:08AM (#15096047)
Out of curiosity... could you let me know how you came to this conclusion?
Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by ImaMicroService on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @10:24AM (#15081744)
Agreed. It seems like a great deal of engineering distractions from the core problem to solve. Seems like they were using precious resources to fluff up a potential keynote and make a car from a scifi movie.
Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by wut42 on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @06:51AM (#15080297)
>When someone seriously suggests to 'reinvent the wheel' it is time to re-focus.

Goodyear released spherical wheels. It's not that stupid at all to reinvent the wheel, sometimes: https://www.sciencealert.com/watch-goodyear-unveils-the-futu...

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by jacquesm on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @06:53AM (#15080313)
You're missing my point. It may not be stupid to reinvent the wheel at all. But that's not a project that you should mix with inventing a self driving car unless you conclude that spherical wheels are the only way a self driving car will ever become a reality.

Similar to how every software application project could theoretically result in a new database, a new operating system and if you really want to go all out a new CPU it is much more efficient to concentrate on your application if you actually want to see it go to market.

> Goodyear released spherical wheels.

No, they didn't, that's just some fancy CG stuff, not an actual product.

Also, it just so happens that Good Year is in the wheels-and-tires business so for them such research makes good sense, and of course it is a theory of a concept, not an actual proof of concept much less something that they are ready to roll out. It's more like serious science fiction even than actual science, it's how things maybe could work, not how they actually work.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by coldtea on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @08:09AM (#15080768)
>You're missing my point. It may not be stupid to reinvent the wheel at all. But that's not a project that you should mix with inventing a self driving car

That's only true if the team that reinvents the wheels and the team that does the self-driving tech is the same, and you're stealing members from the latter to the former.

Obviously those are not the same teams, nor they need to be.

And when you get out with your self-driving car, as 3-4 companies will do at more or less the same time or within a few years of each other, having other great new innovations on top of that will give you an edge.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by jacquesm on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @08:26AM (#15080884)
The degree to which globular wheels would complicate such a design is such that it would leave you being passed by your competitors right out of the gate, on top of that it would complicate all kinds of things such as certification and potentially reliability and safety as well as supply chain issues after delivery.

Solving too much is a fantastic way to crash a project.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by coldtea on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @09:58AM (#15081564)
>The degree to which globular wheels would complicate such a design is such that it would leave you being passed by your competitors right out of the gate

We don't know that. We just know that we're not familiar with them. If anything, globular wheels could make some kind of automated steering easier.

And of course, it's obviously not like Apple only tried that design: they tried globular wheels, fat wheels, thinner wheels, wooden wheels, and what have you to see what works better -- like they did when they designed the iPhone, etc.

https://www.cultofmac.com/181782/every-iphone-prototype-appl...

https://www.theverge.com/2017/1/6/14188624/apple-prototype-i...

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by jacquesm on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @12:56PM (#15083099)
> tried globular wheels, fat wheels, thinner wheels, wooden wheels, and what have you to see what works better

Yes, and 'standard wheels' would have saved them time, money and other resources and would have increased the chances of bringing a self driving car to market.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by coldtea on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @02:04PM (#15083694)
>Yes, and 'standard wheels' would have saved them time, money and other resources

Time from what? It's not some team considering other kinds of wheels was holding back their self-driving researchers...

You seem to have an overly linear and heavy-first concept of how such a development should go.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by jacquesm on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @04:45PM (#15084916)
> Time from what?

Time from focusing on the bit that mattered. Anyway, the article linked underscores my point far better than I'm able to do.

Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by scj on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @02:27PM (#15083879)
I wonder if replacement spherical wheels for a 10-year-old car would be available. Would they even make studded spherical wheels for winter?
Re:Apple Scales Back Its Ambitions for a Self-Driving Car by skgoa on Wednesday August 23, 2017 @11:47AM (#15082443)
They made a little PR thing. That's far from "releasing" anything.