Information wants to be free. I don't see how anyone could lock down a file of weights.

It's not about the weights, it's about inference. Banning American inference providers from serving "non-vetted" models would surely bring a lot of customers back to OpenAI and Anthropic. Just when they go public.

Nvidia is not the proximate provider of open weight inference. That’s Nvidia’s customers, cloud compute services like AWS. If there was a move to ban open weights models, I am pretty sure these companies would howl much louder to the government than Nvidia, and they’re arguably more influential as a group.

They will make the penalty so severe that anyone who doesn't cover their trail will get the book thrown at them

I'm pretty sure that information cannot be considered contraband in the United States due to its First Amendment protections

Assuming the administration abides by the constitution

They'll lock down hardware and control who gets to use AI GPUs.

Nvidia is just about the only company that's both a monopoly and captured most of the value.

This is a weird take. If any company in AI is a monopoly it’s Nvidia.

That's not by design though, it's pure happenstance and a lack of competent competitors. Handicapping the entire industry to favor the the manufacturers who chose the wrong R&D path is interfering for no business reason. The only valid reasons are political pressure.

Right. It wasn’t that Jensen had an affair with a foreign spy and that the Nvidia board found damning evidence despite them being very incentivized not to. This is actually the doing of the secret cabal of AI monopolists (all three?). And now because we didn’t look the other way while a CEO was double-timing (talking of course about selling to China while saying he was being faithful to the US) we’re turning the car around and there will be no more open weights for anyone.