derektank

I don’t see the clear difference between something like Kalshi and, say, Robinhood. I do see a clear difference between Kalshi and casinos or sports gambling sites like Fan Duel; in the latter, your counterparty is the institution itself. This creates a lot of perverse incentives on the part of sports gambling sites to maintain their edge, such as banning bettors that are too good at playing the odds. Kalshi, on the other hand, is never your counterparty in any transaction.

Now, Robinhood is a brokerage, regulated by FINRA, and has been fined for misbehavior in the past. So I am more than willing to believe that there is daylight here that I’m not seeing. But anything that lets you speculate attracts a certain clientele, and I think the most important distinction is whether or not the platform itself is an interested party.

To be clear, while the CRSP fast tracked SpaceX’s admission to their total market index, that policy (which states that if a security's total market cap is larger than the breakpoint of the CRSP US Small Cap Index, it is can be added after 5 days of trading) has been in place for at least a decade. Unlike SpaceX’s admission to the Nasdaq, this did not represent a change in policy.

The Russell indices, and other indices like the CSRP total market index, might include newly public companies like SpaceX, but the relative weight of them in the index will be float-adjusted, so a company like SpaceX that has kept a lot of its shares locked up will be underrepresented in the index compared to a more established public company.

Reading the passage, I was surprised that she attributed greed specifically to men. There’s a number of male coded sins out there (wrath, lust) but greed has always seemed like a pretty universal affliction.

AI systems will probably be able to, if not direct labs themselves, cut down a lot of the search space to only the most promising candidates. That’s basically what Isomorphic Labs is doing for candidate drug research. It doesn’t seem crazy that the same could be true for material sciences.

>What is a terrain worth exploring in art?

The joys of parenthood. The excitement of new love. The tragedy of aging. The rise and fall of a great family. Jealousy, vengeance, embarrassment, righteousness, venality. You obviously couldn’t create an all encompassing map of the terrain, but human art has a lot of recurring themes that are clearly “worth exploring” because they’ve consistently been explored in the past. I think the same kind of repetition probably also exists to some degree in other areas of human endeavor. An artificial intelligence could probably suss out a lot of those themes and produce valuable (if not maximally valuable) work without being a mind reader.

My original comment (which, incidentally, did not insinuate that we claimed the island for labor resources. I have no idea where that came from.) was a question asking why the US government would want to discourage Marshall Islanders from emigrating to the US, as a matter of policy. I still don’t see a direct relationship between US defense interests in the region and deterring emigration.

I am very confident that this has not historically been, and is not today, a major or minor consideration in US foreign policymaking

This seems like a non sequitur? The US military can staff its own bases without relying upon native labor, as it does in places like Diego Garcia

>From the US point of view, this is a good program because it incentivizes people from the Marshall Islands to stay put rather than emigrate to the US mainland

Why is this a good thing? Naively, as an American citizen, I would rather have someone emigrate and work in America where they can provide additional labor to the mainland economy

It’s also great for testing your own arguments. I will regularly ask Claude, “Is this factual? What are the strongest criticisms?” about something I am about to say. More often than not, I will at least tweak a comment, or sometimes even realize I am completely wrong before posting publicly.

Money makes it possible for people to afford food and healthcare

> What is the exact number when it's no longer acceptable?

You’d have to calculate how many lives speed saves. How many people had an organ delivered just within the safe transplant time? How many people were able to eat because a grain shipment could be diverted after a bad harvest? How many people didn’t contract cholera, because it takes minutes to manufacture pipes?

I’d be willing to believe that. For most of my use cases though, prompt quality doesn’t matter all that much. It’s mostly searching for/in docs

Ah yes, the meseeks method of alignment

https://slimemoldtimemold.com/2026/08/05/a-stupid-idea-for-a...

From my own experience, a significant minority of my daily writing is sent to an LLM, which is very forgiving of typos. I would not be surprised if people are getting sloppier.

>assumes no change in household behaviour in response to the new tax

Lol, my behavior would change a lot if I was paying $2 per gig, my god

Incidentally, auctions of time bounded licenses, which are what we use to allocate frequency spectrum, have the same theoretical pareto efficiency as a value tax.

Bleaker than bleak is an accurate description but it actually ends on what I would consider to be a hopeful note, a moment of true kindness. Worth the read.

Last I heard, US defense contractors had been directed to not use Deepseek in their operations late last year[0], and most have taken that as an indicator that they shouldn’t be using chinese models generally.

[0] https://digitalpolicyalert.org/change/20659-physical-and-cyb...

This is a serious misunderstanding of the Bartz case, which resulted in a $1.5B settlement on the part of Anthropic to authors whose works they pirated from LibGen

This is an odd take. By this logic, you should never hire someone that is financially independent and can walk away from a job.

We know from the state department’s own survey data that 77k fewer children alone were receiving HIV treatment in 2025 compared to 2024.

https://programme.aids2026.org/Abstract/Abstract/?abstractid...

>They don't know what they are quoting or citing.

What do you mean by this? I have passed very large documents into LLMs and they are able to accurately extract quotes and identify their location in the source documents. I don’t see any reason to think that they couldn’t accurately quote from and cite existing literature.

Funnily enough, there’s a good chance Truman never said those words; the earliest known attribution of the quote to him is from a Time magazine article written in 1988. It’s not in any of his personal writing or speeches.

Yeah, I am generally pro-surveillance of public spaces and public property, but I think Flock has taken a particularly careless approach to the project. I would much rather have another vendor simply sell the cameras to the municipality and have the government administer the network, rather than have a company like Flock retain the data themselves and make it available to unknown third parties. You can maintain public oversight much more directly that way.

They’re not the first PBC to go public. Coursera, Warby Parker, and United Therapeutics (not affiliated with UHC) have all followed the same path. Not sure if we’ve had enough time to see this tension play out, public benefit corps are only a decade and a half old and most of these companies IPOd in 2020-2021, but there’s probably some evidence one way or the other

*Reuters report. This is a wire story

Facebook has also made content decisions that have hurt right wing interests in the past, such as in 2020 when they banned several accounts affiliated with Bolsonaro

https://www.reuters.com/article/world/facebook-suspends-disi...

Would not complain if Microsoft wanted to drop a few billion on a new US theme park. The Pacific Northwest is pretty light on amusement parks and I could imagine a park with Halo, Fallout, Elder Scrolls, and Minecraft "Lands" doing gangbusters. Supposedly they're already working with a UK amusement park operator on a Minecraft experience