Man you guys are impatient. It takes decades even for earth shattering technologies to mature and take root.

Damn right I'm impatient. My eye starts twitching when a web page takes more than 2 seconds to load :-)

In the meantime, I've had to continuously hear talk about AI, both in real life (like at the local pub) AND virtually (tv/radio/news/whatever) and how it's going to change the world in unimaginable ways for the last...2/3 years. Billions upon billions of dollars are being spent. The only tangible thing we have to show is software development, and some other fairly niche jobs, have changed _a bit_.

So yeah, excuse my impatience for the bubble to burst, I can stop having to hear about this shit every day, and I can go about my job using the new tools we have been gifted, while still doing all the other jobs that sadly do not benefit in any similar way.

> The only tangible thing we have to show is software development, and some other fairly niche jobs, have changed _a bit_.

There is zero evidence that LLMs have changed software development efficiency.

We get an earth-shattering developer productivity gamechanger every five years. All of them make wild claims, none of them ever have any data to back those claims up.

LLMs are just another in a long, long list. This too will pass. (Give it five years for the next gamechanger.)

If people want to make the "this will be AGI after two decades and will totally revolutionize the entire world" that's fine. If people want to make the "wow this is an incredibly useful tool for many jobs that will make work more efficient" that's fine. We can have those discussions.

What I don't buy is the "in two years there will be no more concept of money or poverty because AI has solved everything" argument using the evidence that these tools are really good at coding.