Sure, a lot of your visitors were handed a flyer by google before they showed up in your store, but were any of them new customers?
You can either buy the top spot on queries that are looking for you or google will sell it to your competitor.
They don't just take credit for people that were coming to your site anyway, they actively steer them away with competing ads if you aren't paying enough.
I used to advertise in Adwords on the name of my products, but I no longer bother.
The reality is that a shockingly high percentage of people just don't get upset about that. Pay attention to anyone using a web browser without an ad blocker. They are so deep in the learned helplessness hole they don't even complain as their web page takes ages to load and reflow while they want to read, and they just silently click skip on all three youtube ads.
The ads work great on them. Think of how many people bought HeadOn.
Facebook Ads and SA360 both allow 3rd party impression and click tracking. Not to mention the myriad of 3rd party analytics tools you can use to track the website.
> if you look at IP from their "clicks", you see often a FB/Google datacenter IP range
I've never heard this before and seems hilariously simplistic. These megacorps don't have VPNs?
> they did just clever algorithm and heavy profiling to stole your organic traffic
Not sure if you had a stroke while writing this, but this makes no sense.
As someone who has also been in the industry for 10+ years, none of what you said passes the smell test. Maybe after 15 years you still never understood the industry or technology?
>> they did just clever algorithm and heavy profiling to stole your organic traffic
>Not sure if you had a stroke while writing this, but this makes no sense.
I have only ever been a buyer; so my technical understanding of the back end implementation is incomplete.
However, I think the point OP is trying to make is that the back end of the ad targeting infrastructure ends up attributing "spend" to folks who would have otherwise been organic traffic and found your site anyway. ie placing your ad in effective organic pathways and/or in front of well targeted users.
This of course makes sense. A well targeted ad is going to be presented to lots of people who would have otherwise been organic traffic.
This is just a problem with measuring ROI on ad's in general though. I think what has changed is improved attribution of digital ad's has confused people. They see 10 clicks, $5 spend, 1 sale @ $10 and think a 200% ROAS.
In the old days (and still sometimes for non digital) ad effectiveness was measured as a lift over baseline. Different media had different decay rates.
Depending on your digital property, a similar model may need to be applied to your digital campaigns. As I understand though, this is harder to do in modern times with digital ad's.
This is insanely important to do now, and the people who know how to successfully do it are old and retiring.
But nobody really wants to know the number of advertising dollars spent to get customers who were already going to spend on your product to ... spend on your product.
> Not sure if you had a stroke while writing this, but this makes no sense.
Well, that what is happening in practice. It is an attribution game, ad companies try to have the best conversion numbers more than increasing the overall sales of a store.
I have been working in a drive to (physical) store company, we were measuring performances with an expose group + a control group and we were showing 3% visit in store increase during a campaign, while our competitors were claiming things around 10%. We knew that their tracking technology was just about "we shown an ad, they visited the store, it is because of us"
If you want to second guess the psychology of whether or not the ad "drove" the user to make a purchase or not, that is up for discussion. Or whether Google/META do shady shit in their bidding environment. Absolutely.
But this idea that you can't track everything is bullshit.
- they don't allow double tracking, so you have to trust their numbers
- if you look at IP from their "clicks", you see often a FB/Google datacenter IP range
- and for most of the traffic they might send you, they did just clever algorithm and heavy profiling to stole your organic traffic. So they get this "amazing" performance by claiming people that would have bought on your site anyway
I have seen and been working in companies trying do to the impact metrics well, but these are outliers
- websites showing ads are annoying their user and get no benefit of it
- stores/brands/people that want to advert pays a bug chunk of money for nothing - only the middle men are getting benefits