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Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by mosdl on Wednesday June 04, 2025 @08:37PM (#44187149)
Wife has a relative who was just (this weekend) in a major accident where a tesla ran into them and pushed their a ditch where it rolled a few times. Initial report says the Tesla was in self drive mode. Will be interesting to see who was at fault here but so far it is not looking good for Tesla.
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by andsoitis on Wednesday June 04, 2025 @09:15PM (#44187357)
> ran into them and pushed their a ditch where it rolled a few times

that sounds rough; hopefully they're OK! did the car drive into them from the side or from behind?

where did it happen? googling "Tesla ditch self-driving accident" turns up nothing, but I would have thought it would have made the news.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by wskinner on Wednesday June 04, 2025 @10:06PM (#44187652)
There are over 40,000 _fatal_ car crashes per year in the US, and a few orders of magnitude more non-fatal crashes. Most of them do not make the news.
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by genewitch on Thursday June 05, 2025 @04:20AM (#44189559)
A plurality of those are in Texas, as well. I used to say, someone in the US is more likely to die in a car wreck in Texas even if they never go to Texas, that's how skewed they make the statistics. But I stopped looking at the stats a few years ago so I stopped saying and defending that. It's just a new lens to view this information through.
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by callc on Thursday June 05, 2025 @04:42AM (#44189684)
Source? A quick googling shows from https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/fatal-car-a... deaths per 100k pop in 2022:

- Mississippi 23.9 (highest)

- Texas 14.7

- CA 11.3

- Rhode Island and DC 4.8 (lowest)

Anecdotally, the huge trucks and driving culture (aggressive, fast) would have made me guess Texas has higher deaths before seeing the data.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by mkl on Thursday June 05, 2025 @07:03AM (#44190418)
2021 here: https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/fatal-car-a...

Texas has a plurality of fatal car accidents (for USA), but California is not far behind, and in 2022 California has slightly more deaths. (This page doesn't have the number of fatal car accidents for 2022, which is a bit odd.)

2023 here, Texas has plurality again, with California close behind: https://www-fars.nhtsa.dot.gov/States/StatesCrashesAndAllVic...

You're not looking at absolute numbers, which is what plurality means. I don't see how "someone in the US is more likely to die in a car wreck in Texas even if they never go to Texas" could make sense.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by genewitch on Thursday June 05, 2025 @08:49PM (#44196909)
like this:

A driver in the US dies while driving due to a crash/wreck/whatever.

Statistically, that occurred with the highest probability in TX. as i said, this was like 2015-2019 when i used to claim this. There's a sign on freeways in TX that say "highway deaths so far in <year>: <16 bit int>" which led me to start looking in to it, and i think my little quip is just a way to draw attention to how dangerous it is to drive in TX. But it is quite large, Texas.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by meepmorp on Thursday June 05, 2025 @06:12AM (#44190153)
what is up with Mississippi? it's second for "deaths per 100mil miles" as well.
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by jeffbee on Thursday June 05, 2025 @09:40AM (#44191623)
Car wrecks are correlated with all kinds of things from education to poverty and Mississippi is dead last or tied for last in every dimension of quality of life.
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by genewitch on Thursday June 05, 2025 @08:45PM (#44196895)
also the roads outside of the interstates and US highways are pretty awful, in my (limited) experience driving in MS. one time we had to brake from 60 because a cow was on a bridge over an interstate.
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by jfoster on Wednesday June 04, 2025 @10:07PM (#44187656)
For stories like this, I think it's usually just a small sample that end up making the news.
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by gamblor956 on Wednesday June 04, 2025 @10:00PM (#44187620)
Self driving Teslas getting into accidents is now so common that it is no longer news.
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by mosdl on Thursday June 05, 2025 @12:00PM (#44192937)
Happened in north carolina, but the incident is still being investigated according to the relative who is still in the hospital (luckily only major bruising, nothing broken, subarus are really good at rolling safety it turns out).
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by philosophty on Wednesday June 04, 2025 @09:24PM (#44187417)
Seems like culpability should come down to whether or not the Telsa driver could have prevented the accident.

Although there's a good argument to be made that Tesla's entire system has fundamental design flaws which they have negligently disregarded.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by irjustin on Wednesday June 04, 2025 @09:36PM (#44187481)
To me anything less than true level 4 should remain with the driver.

I also believe that marketing it as FSD should be liable and scrutinized as a level 4 system. Because when you hear FSD, the public naturally thinks the abilities marked in level 4 arguably even 5.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by Dylan16807 on Thursday June 05, 2025 @01:36AM (#44188583)
Until the car requests intervention and the timer runs out, levels 3 and 4 are supposed to have the same behavior. If that process has not happened, why should the driver's level of responsibility be any different?

(Though a consequence is that levels 3 and 4 are very close together in difficulty. We might not see many level 3 cars.)

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by jeffreygoesto on Thursday June 05, 2025 @02:12AM (#44188789)
Volvo was visionary and dismissed Level 3 in about 2014 for being too dangerous. Basically the car drives until it doesn't and you may suddenly die because the time to get the situation and react is too short. Level 3 way purely for managers to claim it would be a linear progression whereas it is petty much THE gorge of automated driving. If you look at the SAE table it's just a little blue wart in a green column, but it's a lethal one.

https://www.sae.org/binaries/content/gallery/cm/content/news...

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by Dylan16807 on Thursday June 05, 2025 @02:18AM (#44188814)
> because the time to get the situation and react is too short

The time is up to the manufacturer, isn't it?

Mercedes uses 10 seconds right now and that seems pretty good to me. At that point I know it can't be too dire or the car would have already emergency stopped.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by close04 on Thursday June 05, 2025 @04:03AM (#44189449)
> The time is up to the manufacturer, isn't it?

The time depends on how quickly an event unfolds in traffic. You can't guarantee 10s notice for an event that is imminent in 2s and the system might not be able to handle or can't detect.

The car could become temporarily "blind" for some reason with just 4-5s to brake before a collision. It's enough for a human driver even considering reaction time. But it's impossible to guarantee a minimum time without the ability to predict every issue that will happen on the road.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by Dylan16807 on Thursday June 05, 2025 @04:18AM (#44189548)
If there isn't a guaranteed minimum time, then it's not level 3, it's advanced level 2. Level 3 needs to be able to handle very rapid events by itself.

If it becomes "blind" because of an unexpected total system failure, that's an exception to the guarantee just like your transmission suddenly exploding is an exception. It had better be extremely rare. If it happens regularly then it needs a recall.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by close04 on Thursday June 05, 2025 @04:41AM (#44189677)
> If there isn't a guaranteed minimum time

When dealing with unpredictable real life events there are no guarantees, unless we're considering the many carveouts to that definition from a legal perspective. A blind car (fluke weather, blown fuse, SW glitch, trolley problem) can no longer guarantee anything. Giving the driver 10s, or assuming the worst and braking hard could equally cause a crash.

> your transmission suddenly exploding is an exception

As long as the brakes or steering work a driver could still avoid a crash. The driver having a stroke is closer to a blind car.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by Dylan16807 on Thursday June 05, 2025 @04:49AM (#44189726)
> When dealing with unpredictable real life events there are no guarantees

The guarantee here is that the human isn't obligated to intervene for a moment.

If you call that guarantee impossible, then what about level 4 cars? They guarantee that the human isn't obligated to intervene ever. Are level 4 cars impossible?

Is this a wording issue? What would you say level 4 cars promise/provide? Level 3 cars need to promise/provide the same thing for a limited time. And that time has to be long enough to do a proper transfer of attention.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by close04 on Thursday June 05, 2025 @05:12AM (#44189827)
> The guarantee here is that the human isn't obligated to intervene for a moment.

Ah, understood. So the guarantee is that the driver is not legally responsible for anything that happens in those 10s. I always took that as a guarantee of safety rather than from legal consequences.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by Dylan16807 on Thursday June 05, 2025 @05:21AM (#44189863)
It's more about safety than legality. But with the understanding that nothing is perfect.

The guarantee is that you will be very safe and you can go ahead and look away from the road and pay attention to other things. But at most this is as good as a level 4 or 5 car, not an impossibly perfect car.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by bumby on Thursday June 05, 2025 @10:34AM (#44192106)
I feel like that lack of standardization is part of the problem. Some manufacturers may pick different times to avoid nuisance braking, but that translates to higher risk to the driver. I’d like to see some core parameters like this standardized (whether by an industry body or regulator).
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by enragedcacti on Thursday June 05, 2025 @11:41AM (#44192748)
> The time is up to the manufacturer, isn't it?

Yes but there is a minimum time (if a bit under-specified)

> "At Level 3, an ADS is capable of continuing to perform the DDT (Dynamic Driving Task) for at least several seconds after providing the fallback-ready user with a request to intervene."

J3016 Section 3.12, Note 3: https://wiki.unece.org/download/attachments/128418539/SAE%20...

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by Yeul on Thursday June 05, 2025 @05:51AM (#44190041)
If you're drinking coffee or reading emails your reaction speed can be way too long to react.

Which makes me think: if FSD requires constant hands on steering wheel and concentration what is the point? May as well drive yourself.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by Dylan16807 on Thursday June 05, 2025 @05:58AM (#44190077)
You're right but also keep in mind that FSD is level 2.
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by vel0city on Thursday June 05, 2025 @09:19AM (#44191440)
I've had several different cars from a few different manufacturers with different levels of ADAS systems and have used them on many long road trips and short trips. I haven't used any Tesla ADAS system for very long though.

The highest level of ADAS system I use regularly has facial attentiveness tracking. If you spend too much time drinking coffee or even looking out the sides of the car it will alert you and eventually turn off. So you're not spending a ton of time drinking coffee or reading emails.

It's really nice having the car just want to stay in the center of the lane and keep the following distance all on its own. It's less fatiguing on your hands and arms having the car feel like it's in a groove following all the curves for you instead of resisting your input all the time for hours and hours. It's incredibly nice not having to switch between the brake and the gas over and over in stop and go traffic. Instead, the only thing I need to focus on are the drivers around me and be ready to brake.

I've driven between Houston, Dallas, and Austin dozens of times with ADAS systems and another dozen or so times with only basic cruise control. It's way nicer when the only time I have to touch the gas and brake are getting on and off the highways. I'm considerably more relaxed and less exhausted getting to my destination.

Let's assume all these options are either the same price or an immaterial difference to the price of your next car. If you had an option for a car with basic cruise control or no cruise control, which one would you take? If the option was basic cruise or adaptive cruise which kept pace with traffic and operated in stop and go conditions, which would you choose?

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by Yeul on Friday June 06, 2025 @07:13AM (#44199686)
You're right cruise control or whatever you want to call it is definitely great on long journeys on the highway. Maybe car makers should concentrate on those systems?
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by vel0city on Friday June 06, 2025 @11:26AM (#44201822)
They are, other than Tesla. GM's SuperCruise, Ford's BlueCruise, and Mercedes DrivePilot are the few actually hands-free driving systems made by the legacy automotive companies and they're all largely locked to only fully operate on mapped and approved highways.
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by reginald78 on Thursday June 05, 2025 @12:21PM (#44193128)
I actually think its worse than driving yourself. Humans are OK at doing a repetitive task non-stop. They're terrible at sitting still doing nothing waiting to quickly spring into action. They fall asleep or their mind wanders. This is something a computer is good at yet we've got it reversed. The car drives along doing mundane things but then hands it over to groggy human right when things really get hairy.

And then there's the skill atrophy. How do you learn to perform in stressful situations? By building up confidence and experience with constant repetition in more mundane ones, which this robs you of.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by jsight on Thursday June 05, 2025 @10:26AM (#44192045)
Volvo plans to introduce a level 3 system in the future.
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by irjustin on Thursday June 05, 2025 @03:10AM (#44189153)
> levels 3 and 4 are supposed to have the same behavior.

This isn't correct. Level 4 doesn't require driver intervention[0]. Hence, why I'm arguing "Full Self Driving" starts here, level 4.

So now if you're explicitly not required to "be present" then the system should be liable or at least the "driver" isn't to blame directly.

It's actually level 5 is the same as level 4 but add heavy rain, snow, ice, name-your-adverse-condition.

[0] https://www.sae.org/blog/sae-j3016-update

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by Dylan16807 on Thursday June 05, 2025 @03:47AM (#44189355)
And the part of my sentence that you cut off was all about the circumstances of intervention.

Level 2 requires the driver to choose whether to intervene at all times. This is an unreasonable task for humans.

Level 3 puts the car in charge of when intervention is needed, and even once it wants intervention it still has to maintain safe control for several seconds as part of the system spec.

Level 4 puts the car in charge of when intervention is wanted, but you can refuse to intervene and it has to be able to park itself.

So I will double down on my claim. Until the car requests intervention AND the timer runs out, level 3 and 4 are the same. They require the same abilities out of the car. And that section of time, between wanting intervention and getting intervention, is the hardest part of level 3 driving by far. If you can solve that, you're 90% of the way to level 4.

A level 3 car has to be able to handle emergencies several seconds long, and turning it into level 4 is mostly adding the ability to park on the shoulder after you get out of the initial emergency.

The gap between 4 and 5 is a bunch bigger. A level 4 car can refuse to drive based on weather, or location, or type of road, or presence of construction, or basically anything it finds mildly confusing. 5 can't.

I edited a bit for clarity, but also I'll append a thought experiment as an extra edit:

A level 3 car with an hours-long driver intervention timer is basically identical to a level 4 car.

If you have a 0 second intervention timer, you're barely better than a level 2 car.

How long does the timer have to be before developing your level 3 system is almost as difficult as a level 4 system?

I don't think it's very long.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by irjustin on Thursday June 05, 2025 @05:27AM (#44189907)
I agree with your thought experiments and also agree that overall it's a valid, technically accurate interpretation. So, this may be where we agree to disagree.

I still stand by level 3 != level 4 in terms of real world liability.

Level 3 allows too much wiggle room and sloppiness to be able to legally shift liability away from the driver. At that point you're playing that "intervention period" length. Manufacturers claiming Level 3 will want to lower it as much as possible, regulators raise it. To me, Level 3 simply shouldn't exist.

Only at Level 4 is the expectation, without a doubt, the machine is in control. A person in the driver seat is optional because the steering wheel and pedals are as well. When people bought "Full Self Driving" they seriously believe "when can I go to sleep?" ability is where it belongs, which always put the expectation at Level 4.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by Dylan16807 on Thursday June 05, 2025 @05:48AM (#44190027)
Saying level 3 shouldn't exist makes sense. But I don't think the liability gets very blurry as long as the intervention period is properly documented.

It looked like the Mercedes system is 10 seconds which seems like plenty to me.

And while it would be nice to sleep I'll be pretty happy just looking away from the road.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by cosmicgadget on Thursday June 05, 2025 @01:40AM (#44188608)
I believe they call it SFSD (supervised) now.
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by irjustin on Thursday June 05, 2025 @03:29AM (#44189265)
wow yeah i didn't know that... what a mess.
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by genewitch on Thursday June 05, 2025 @04:37AM (#44189656)
"A lie", FSD as it stands right now is a lie. A few cars might be able to drive a few geofenced places, but no car anywhere can drive anywhere, even with perfect weather and visibility and I'd even wager no traffic or even no other cars at all. Our Subaru gives up steering if there's no olcar in front, on "suburban" and rural roads about 35% of the time. More on some roads, less on others. I cannot determine, while driving, the cause for half of the self driving disable occurrences. No fog line and a broken center for an intersection on a 1 lane road it'll shut off nearly every time. It's surprising when it doesn't.

I've clocked nearly a half million miles on the road (I'll be there sometime in the next 9 months), and the range of technical ability you need to drive in just the US, no, scratch that, any given state or even county varies so much and potentially so often that FSD is just a lie to sell cars. I'm willing to upload a full hour drive touring a few parishes around here in my quite heavy Lexus, front and rear cameras, just to prove my point. I'd do it in the subaru but the dashcam isn't very good and also it's lineage is rally so it exaggerates how poor the roads are. My YouTube has dashcam footage of drives that I'm willing to bet no automated system could handle, even if it claimed to be "level 5". Driving after a storm or hurricane is another issue. I know the hazards in general and specifically for the areas I'd need to travel during or after an emergency. I cannot fathom the amount of storage and processing that would take, to have that for every location with roads. On board, in the car? Maybe in 20 years.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by Dylan16807 on Thursday June 05, 2025 @06:10AM (#44190139)
> I cannot fathom the amount of storage and processing that would take, to have that for every location with roads. On board, in the car? Maybe in 20 years.

Doing some napkin math, with 4 million miles of road in the US, if you wanted to store 1KB of data per meter of road, hundreds of data points, you'd only need 7TB for the entire database.

And the processing to make it shouldn't be anything special, should it? Collection would be hard.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by genewitch on Thursday June 05, 2025 @05:24PM (#44195944)
> only [...] 7TB

Currently that would probably cost ~$500 per car to implement based on retail pricing of 8TB SSDs. It would need to be updated constantly, too, with road closures, potholes, missing signage, construction. With an external GPS unit like a tomtom, they had radio receivers in the power cord that tuned to traffic frequencies, if available, and could route you around closures, construction, and the like, so you need a nationwide network to handle this. Cellphone won't cut it. Starlink might, but regardless, you need to add that radio and accoutrements to the BOM for each car.

and i'm not talking about the processing of the dataset that gets put onto the 8TB SSD in the car; i am talking about the processing of the data on the 8TB SSD on the car while at speed.

furthermore, i am fairly certain that it would take, on average, more than 1.6MB per mile to describe the road, road condition, hazards, etc. a shapefile of all roads in the US - that which gets one closer to knowing where the lanes are, how wide the shoulders are, etc is 616MB. and it's incomplete - i put in two roads near me with fairly unique names and neither are in the dataset. So your self driving car using these GIS datasets won't know those roads.

I had an idea to put an atomicpi in my car, with two cameras. it has a bosch 9-dof sensor on the board, coupled with the cameras you can map road surface perturbations, hazards, and the like, which i believe will be much more than 1KB per meter, especially as you need "base" conditions and updates and current conditions (reported by the cars in front of you, ideally). the csv GIS dataset looks like this:

>OBJECTID,ID,DIR,LENGTH,LINKID,COUNTRY,JURISCODE,JURISNAME,ROADNUM,ROADNAME,ADMIN,SURFACE,LANES,SPEEDLIM,CLASS,NHS,BORDER,Shape__Length

> 568143,964990,0,0.07,02_36250355,2,02_39,Ohio,S161,DUBLIN GRANVILLE RD,State,Paved,4,88,3,7,0,0.000759951397761616

and i ran, for example `awk -F, '/PACIFIC COAST/ {sum += $4} END {print sum}' NTAD*.csv` and it spat out 79.04, which i think is a bit shorter than reality. Looks like the dataset i pulled is only "major roads" as well - but that doesn't explain 79.04 as the sum of lengths of all rows with "PACIFIC COAST" in them. It does show the total length of interstate 10 is 3986.55, which is roughly double what the actual length is (2460mi), so perhaps i'm just not understanding this dataset.

Anyhow 600+ MB for just that sort of information (plus shapes) for only a really quite small subset of roads in the US.

anyhow my thoughts are scattered, this input box is too small, and i'm not really arguing. Maybe it is possible, but it will raise the price thousands of dollars per auto, you need infrastructure (starlink will work) to update the cars, and so on. I'm prepared to admit i am wrong, but your comment didn't move the needle for me.

also, just to be fun, which self driving car could manage this entire drive? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sNqFN7KeOYE

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by Dylan16807 on Thursday June 05, 2025 @05:52PM (#44196138)
If you want such constant updates that's tricky to distribute and hard to collect, but let's put that aside for a bit. I want to focus on the amount of data and how the car would use it. With $500 of SSD being nice and cheap.

> i am talking about the processing of the data on the 8TB SSD on the car while at speed.

I'm not worried about that. The actual driving takes such powerful computers that even if there was a petabyte of total data, the amount the car would have to process as it moves would be a trickle in comparison to what it's already doing. Max 50KB per 10 milliseconds. And obviously the data would by sorted by location so there's very little extra processing required.

But you tell me, how many data points do you think you need per meter of road?

I really don't think you need millimeter-level surface perturbations all the way across. Mapping the precise edges of the road and lanes should only need dozens of data points, 4 bytes each. And then you can throw a few more dozen at points inside the lanes to flesh it out. You can throw a hundred data points at each pothole without breaking a sweat. Measuring the surface texture in various ways and how it responds to weather is only going to take a handful of bytes per square meter, in a way that repeats a lot and is easy to compress.

> 568143,964990,0,0.07,02_36250355,2,02_39,Ohio,S161,DUBLIN GRANVILLE RD,State,Paved,4,88,3,7,0,0.000759951397761616

That's an extremely inefficient format. Unnecessary object ids, repeating metadata over and over, way too many decimal places, and all stored as text.

But even then, your database is so tiny compared to the size I suggested that I don't think we can extrapolate anything useful. Even if we 4x it or whatever to compensate for a lack of rural roads.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by genewitch on Thursday June 05, 2025 @08:07PM (#44196746)
<incomplete and unedited i just need to see it in context>

Suffice to say that the 600MB just lets you draw the roads on a plane, it's like comparing an ascii art drawing of the road (from .csv/shp) to a digital still of the road (the amount of information you'd actually need). you absolutely cannot rely on "a couple of sensor [types]". I mentioned i have nearly a half million miles on the road. All of that prior experience influences my driving when i am driving someplace new. in that 8TB disk, you have to find a way to produce that "experience", except instead of my 0.5mm miles, you are talking about the aggregate "experience" of 0.5mm miles per road per unit of time (day for some places like I-10 through Los Angeles, month for others, maybe a year for some "rural" roads.) none of this has to do with visual or proprioception. It's knowing "every inch" of road. It's knowing how far i can leave the center of the lane if someone else crowds me or goes over the center divider, because the shoulder is soft through here because logging trucks have been exiting the forest onto the highway. It's knowing what part of I-605 floods - not the whole thing, some lanes, some places, and "flood" means 2+ inches of water on the road surface, hitting it at speed makes a tidal wave flying into other lanes. If someone hits that in front of you, you're blind for a couple of seconds minimum.

If this was easy/simple/solved, waymo et al would be bragging about it, the tech in their cars. Waymo (or the other one) specifically, because they cover less than 0.1% of road surfaces in the US, in some of the most maintained and heavily traveled corridors in the world. So, if anyone from a robotaxi company happens by and knows roughly how much storage is needed for <0.1% of the road surfaces in the US, then we could actually start to have this dialog in a meaningful way. Also i am unsure how much coverage robotaxis actually have in their service area. A "grid system" of roads makes mapping and aggregate data "simple", for sure.

This reminded me a bit of the idea that somewhere in the US there's a database of every sms sent to or from US cellular phones. "it's just text; it'll compress well" - belies how much text there is.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by Dylan16807 on Thursday June 05, 2025 @10:53PM (#44197432)
> prior experience

The part of the computer that knows how to drive is completely separate from the 7TB database of the exact shape and location of every lane and edge and defect.

> knowing how far i can leave the center of the lane if someone else crowds me or goes over the center divider

Experience, not in the database.

> knowing what part of I-605 floods

> Where's the gravel bed on more mountainous passes?

That goes in the database but it's less than one byte per meter.

> How many "bytes" is that information, times every neighborhood?

I don't know why you would want that data, you should be wary of blind traffic at all times, but that's easy math. There's less than a million neighborhoods and time based activity levels for each neighborhood would be about a hundred bytes. So: Less than 1 byte per meter and less than 100MB total.

> If this was easy/simple/solved, waymo et al would be bragging about it

This doesn't happen for two reasons. One they are collecting orders of magnitude more data than road info, two like I keep saying the collection is extremely difficult and I'm only defending the storage and use as being feasible.

> This reminded me a bit of the idea that somewhere in the US there's a database of every sms sent to or from US cellular phones. "it's just text; it'll compress well" - belies how much text there is, there.

Well we know how many meters of road there are. So it's basic multiplication.

I can tell you how many hard drives you need to store a trillion texts. It's five hard drives.

Google thinks the human race sends almost ten trillion text messages per year. So I guess you could store them all very easily? Why do you think it's not doable?

> Your claim is that a mere 1000x more data is enough to autonomously self-drive anywhere in the US, at any time of day or year, etc...

My claim is that 1000x is enough for utterly exhaustive road maps. Figuring out how to drive is another thing entirely.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by genewitch on Friday June 06, 2025 @01:13AM (#44197975)
ohhhh, we're arguing past eachother. I am unsure how to reconcile.

an SMS isn't just "140 characters/bytes" or whatever (i honestly don't care what your definition of "SMS" is). Of course you could fit 140 characters * 1e12 onto 5 hard drives. Where are you going to put the 1PB (for 1e12, but your own cite says it's 1e13, so 10PB) of metadata, minimum? the most barebones amount of metadata you need to actually have actionable "intelligence" is 1KB per message (technically i was able to finagle it to ~1016 bytes.) And that's for every message, even an SMS that is the single character "K".

you need the metadata to derive any information from the SMS. "Lunch?" "yeah" "where?" "the place with the wheel" "okay see you in 25, bring Joel" This is what you propose to save. (quick math shows you went off something like ~32TB of sms data per 1e12 messages)

in the same way that you propose that the shapes of a road and it's direction and distance "plus 1KB of metadata per meter" is enough to derive the ability to drive upon those roads.

It's pretty obvious that just using sensors is not going to get FSD. Maybe in the next 20 years we will develop sensor technology (and swarm networking and whatever else) that will allow us to dispense with the "7TB" of metadata. My argument is that: we need much more "metadata" than 1KB per meter to "know the road baseline, current conditions, hazards", much in the same way a text message is more than 140 bytes. Driving with "only sensors" and rough GPS has killed people. It does not matter if human drivers have more death per million miles or whatever, because i am strictly talking about FSD, what other people are calling level 5 (i'd even concede level 4; although i wouldn't be able to use a level 4 car where i live for roughly 1/4th the year - and other areas would have more than 1/4th the year.)

enjoy your night!

note: the metadata for a meter of road could be:

     {
       "road_segment": {
         "segment_id": 3500000,
         "meter_position": 128534,
         "coordinates": {
           "latitude": 32.5385,
           "longitude": -92.9222
         },
         "timestamp_added": "2024-06-05T23:57:34Z",
         "last_updated": {
           "timestamp": "2025-06-05T23:57:36Z",
           "delta_seconds": 2.0
         },
         "hash_signature": "89a25b6f3cd829e671bb9d42e8fae2c6",
         "road_type": "highway",
         "lane_data": {
           "lane_count": 4,
           "lane_width_m": 3.5,
           "shoulder_width_m": 2.0,
           "divider_type": "concrete barrier",
           "markings": ["solid white", "dashed white", "double yellow"]
         },
         "speed_limit_mph": 65,
         "road_material": "asphalt",
         "incline_percent": 1.2,
         "curve_radius_m": 150,
         "surface_condition": "dry",
         "weather_conditions": {
           "timestamp": "2025-06-05T23:57:36Z",
           "temperature_c": 25,
           "precipitation_mm": 0,
           "visibility_m": 5000,
           "wind_speed_mps": 2.5
         },
         "baseline_hazards": [
           {
             "type": "grade_crossing",
             "description": "Railroad crossing with signal lights",
             "location": { "latitude": 32.5386, "longitude": -92.9224 }
           },
           {
             "type": "roadwork",
             "description": "Permanent lane narrowing from past construction",
             "location": { "latitude": 32.5390, "longitude": -92.9230 }
           }
         ],
         "current_hazards": [
           {
             "type": "construction",
             "description": "Active roadwork zone with lane closure",
             "severity": "high",
             "location": { "latitude": 32.5387, "longitude": -92.9226 }
           },
           {
             "type": "downed_power_line",
             "description": "Reported electrical hazard near shoulder",
             "severity": "critical",
             "location": { "latitude": 32.5395, "longitude": -92.9232 }
           }
         ]
       }
     }
Obviously you can reduce this, but there's a minimum viable amount of metadata, that's my claim, and it's more than 1KB per meter. that snippet is ~1800bytes as is. the "current conditions" would not be part of the dataset on the "7TB" disk. that would need to be relayed or otherwise ingested by the car as it drives - the way my 2012 lexus tells me that i'm about to drive into a wild storm, but that's all the extra information i get out of its infotainment system. waze is a better example of the sort of realtime updates i expect a FSD to need; although i expect many times more points of information than waze has, maybe dozens, maybe hundreds more. and each "trick" you do to reduce the size of the metadata necessarily implies more CPU needed to parse and process it.
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by Dylan16807 on Friday June 06, 2025 @02:55AM (#44198408)
> the most barebones amount of metadata you need to actually have actionable "intelligence" is 1KB per message (technically i was able to finagle it to ~1016 bytes.) And that's for every message, even an SMS that is the single character "K".

How did you reach that number?

I figure the most important metadata is source and destination phone numbers and a timestamp, and I guess what cell tower each phone was on. A phone number needs 8 bytes, and timestamp and cell tower can be 4 bytes, so that's 28 bytes of important metadata.

> (quick math shows you went off something like ~32TB of sms data per 1e12 messages)

I was going for a full 140TB of data. 20-30TB hard drives are available.

I did consider metadata, but I figured you could probably put that in the savings from non-full-length messages.

> Where are you going to put the 1PB (for 1e12, but your own cite says it's 1e13, so 10PB) of metadata, minimum?

Well for just the US it would be closer to 1PB. But, uh, I'd store it in a single server rack? (ideally with backups somewhere) As of backblaze's last storage pod post, almost three years ago, it cost them $20k per petabyte. That's absolutely trivial on the scale of telecomms or governments or whatever.

> My argument is that: we need much more "metadata" than 1KB per meter to "know the road baseline, current conditions, hazards", much in the same way a text message is more than 140 bytes.

I mean, I agree with you about needing extra information.

But that's why the number I gave is 10000x larger than your CSV. My number is supposed to be big enough to include those things!

> note: the metadata for a meter of road could be:

I really appreciate the effort you put into this. I have two main things to say.

A) That's less than a kilobyte of information. Most of the bytes in the JSON are key names, and even without a schema for good compression, you can replace key names with 2-byte identifier numbers. And things like "critical" and "Active roadwork zone with lane closure" should also be 1-byte or 2-byte indexes into a table. And all the numbers in there could be stored as 4 byte values. Apply all that and it goes down below 300 bytes. If you had a special schema for this, it would be even lower by a significant amount.

B) Most of those values would not need to be repeated per meter. Add one byte to each hazard to say how long it lasts, 0-255 meters, instant 99% savings on storing hazard data.

> each "trick" you do to reduce the size of the metadata necessarily implies more CPU needed to parse and process it.

CPUs are measured in billions of cycles per second. They can handle some lookup tables and basic level compression easily. Hell, these keys are just going to feed into a lookup table anyway, using integers makes it faster. And not repeating unchanged sections makes it a lot faster.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by genewitch on Friday June 06, 2025 @03:01AM (#44198440)
> A phone number needs 8 bytes

a phone number is not a 64 bit integer, like, just off the top of my head, a phone number can start with "0"

  {
    "message_id": "b72f9a6c-34d2-4ef9-89a5-623c1d7b890a",
    "timestamp_sent": "2025-06-05T23:57:34Z",
    "timestamp_received": "2025-06-05T23:57:35Z",
    "sender": {
      "phone_number": "+1-318-555-1234",
      "carrier": "AT&T",
      "device_id": "IMEI-354812345678901",
      "location": {
        "cell_tower_id": "LA5321",
        "latitude": 32.5385,
        "longitude": -92.9222
      }
    },
    "receiver": {
      "phone_number": "+1-225-555-5678",
      "carrier": "Verizon",
      "device_id": "IMEI-869712345678902",
      "location": {
        "cell_tower_id": "LA6723",
        "latitude": 30.4515,
        "longitude": -91.1871
      }
    },
    "network": {
      "protocol": "GSM",
      "message_type": "SMS",
      "message_size": "160 bytes",
      "sms_center": "+1-800-555-9876",
      "routing_path": [
        "Cell Tower LA5321",
        "Switching Center AT&T Baton Rouge",
        "SMS Center",
        "Switching Center Verizon New Orleans",
        "Cell Tower LA6723"
      ]
    },
    "status": "Delivered"
  }
and again - if you use clever tricks to reduce this, you increase the overhead to actually use the data.

get a celltower snooper on your phone and watch the data it shows - that's the metadata for your phone. SMS dragnet would need that for both phones, plus the message itself.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by Dylan16807 on Friday June 06, 2025 @03:14AM (#44198506)
> a phone number is not a 64 bit integer

It's not an integer. But you can store it inside 64 bits. You can split it into country code and then number, or you can use 60 bits to store 18 digits and then use the top 4 bits to say how many leading 0s to keep/remove. Or other things. A 64 bit integer is enough bits to store variable length numbers up to 19 digits while remembering how many leading zeros they have.

If you want really simple and extremely fast to decode you can use BCD to store up to 16 digits and pad it with F nibbles.

> JSON

Most of this is unimportant. Routing path, really? And we don't need to store the location of a cell tower ten million times, we can have a central listing of cell towers.

I don't think we really need both phone number and IMEI but fine let's add it. Two IMEI means another 16 bytes. And two timestamps sure.

Phone number, IMEI, timestamp, cell tower ID, all times two. That's still well under 100 bytes if we put even the slightest effort into using a binary format.

> and again - if you use clever tricks to reduce this, you increase the overhead to actually use the data.

No no no. Most of the things I would do are faster than JSON.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by delichon on Wednesday June 04, 2025 @09:58PM (#44187606)
Removing the steering wheel and pedals from the robotaxi is Tesla embracing culpability, whether they like it or not. If they are negligent and cannot claim human error they will face huge damage awards.
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by bumby on Wednesday June 04, 2025 @10:08PM (#44187663)
This is the same attitude that people used to try and avoid any culpability for Boeing in the 737-Max crashes. Even if they was a technical way to avoid a crash, it doesn’t avoid negligent or blatantly bad engineering practices. There’s a reason why engineers are expected to have an ethical duty to the public. Automakers get an industrial exemption on the assumption that the internal processes are sufficient to address the risk…What are we supposed to do when they aren’t?
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by zombiwoof on Thursday June 05, 2025 @02:58AM (#44189083)
It seems clear to me at least that Elon did a major pump of FSD, realized he was full of shit so got into politics to try to hack the system in his favor to hide the truth
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by genewitch on Thursday June 05, 2025 @08:33PM (#44196838)
i think it's fairly easy to get 80+ percent of the way to FSD and it looks like you're on the verge of being able to moat your company with actual FSD. He should and probably did know better - although i've seen lots of videos/articles about how he isn't actually that proficient technically.

even if that 80% was 99%, that last 1% will be the cause of some mishaps.

my subaru is within a few percent of 80% FSD if everything is turned on. I still technically have to hold the wheel, but the steering only shuts off about 20% of the time with that being met.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by naikrovek on Wednesday June 04, 2025 @10:33PM (#44187826)
Watch out for Tesla automobiles automatically turning off FSD just before impact so they can say that FSD was not in use at the time of impact.

I’ve heard rumors of that happening.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by mindslight on Wednesday June 04, 2025 @11:10PM (#44187993)
Isn't that the whole point of levels 2 and 3? Fine print applied to the operating modes of heavy equipment. Surprise, you were supposed to be driving!
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by michaelmrose on Thursday June 05, 2025 @01:10AM (#44188476)
People on average can't effectively pretend to drive and switch to actually driving very effectively
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by Dylan16807 on Thursday June 05, 2025 @01:50AM (#44188669)
"Surprise, you were supposed to be driving" is a level 2 problem. Level 2 requires inhuman levels of constant vigilance. Level 3 requires you to be awake and able to drive, and you will get several seconds of warning to switch from watching TV to looking at the road.
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by mindslight on Thursday June 05, 2025 @12:19PM (#44193108)
I always forget the levels, and I couldn't tell from a quick reading how much time L3 gave you. So sure, "several seconds" isn't deep in "surprise, you should have been driving" territory, but it's still on the order of a developing situation which a computer could get into and then balk and demand the human get themselves out of.

That amount of time is also nowhere near enough for a human to switch tasks like that. I would say it should be at least a minute or two, and even that is pushing it with how people are bound to use the system (spacing out while watching a TV show, etc).

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by Dylan16807 on Thursday June 05, 2025 @02:10PM (#44194177)
Are you suggesting it takes people a minute or two to start driving and get up to a basic level of safety? How does that even work? There's no way sitting still in a parking lot of driveway counts as getting into the groove.
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by mindslight on Thursday June 05, 2025 @02:35PM (#44194443)
Yes. A "basic level" of safety doesn't suffice when you could be expected to take over a car already going 75mph on the highway.

Let's say you were parked, taking a nap in the drivers set - when you woke up, would you immediately start driving or would you wait a minute to get your bearings? How about at a highway rest stop? It feels like trying to push back on that by asserting "the driver is supposed to always be alert and ready to be attentive!" is another bout of fanciful fiction like L2. Being outright asleep would seem to be derelict, but I can imagine many fuzzy mental middle grounds, especially in a droning car.

(Somewhat related, if I haven't driven in a month I would say it takes me tens of minutes (maybe 20?) to get back up to the usual groove. Obviously the only way to do it is to do it, but I drive much differently until then)

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by Dylan16807 on Thursday June 05, 2025 @03:02PM (#44194740)
> Let's say you were parked, taking a nap in the drivers set - when you woke up, would you immediately start driving or would you wait a minute to get your bearings?

It would take me a minute to wake up. Napping is one of the few things you can't do with level 3.

> How about at a highway rest stop?

Wait, doesn't this go against your argument?

Someone at a rest stop can go from "not driving at all" to "full speed down the highway and merging" in a handful of seconds. And it works fine.

> It feels like trying to push back on that by asserting "the driver is supposed to always be alert and ready to be attentive!" is another bout of fanciful fiction like L2.

Depends on what "alert" means. I can be in a general readiness state, with no particular requirements on my focus, for hours on end.

> Being outright asleep would seem to be derelict, but I can imagine many fuzzy mental middle grounds, especially in a droning car.

"The boring droning car made me zone out" is something that can happen while you're driving. A TV show could actually reduce the risk of falling half asleep.

> if I haven't driven in a month I would say it takes me tens of minutes (maybe 20?) to get back up to the usual groove. Obviously the only way to do it is to do it, but I drive much differently until then

How much differently? Also an autonomous car asking for takeover is probably driving super cautiously too.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by vel0city on Thursday June 05, 2025 @09:35PM (#44197107)
I've actually driven many thousands of miles with level 2 ADAS. There is no "not paying attention" in the system I'm using. If you even spend a few seconds too much gazing out the sides the system will beep at you and eventually pull over. If I take a few too many sips from my cup it'll beep at me and eventually pull over. I have to actively be shifting my gaze around out of the front, constantly being attentive to the cars to keep it in level 2.

It's really not inhuman levels of constant vigilance, not anymore than actually driving the car regularly. I just don't have to actively be keeping the pedals just right to maintain the following distance myself and I don't have to constantly fight the wheel.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by LeoPanthera on Thursday June 05, 2025 @01:08AM (#44188472)
I hate Tesla as much as the next sane man, but this rumor is just a rumor. Tesla counts FSD (and Autopilot) as being "in use" during an accident if it was enabled at any time in the 10 seconds before the accident.
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by naikrovek on Thursday June 05, 2025 @07:25AM (#44190537)
Do they? Given that Tesla can make those logs say anything they want, I would like that code reviewed by a 3rd party.

If we're going to allow companies to write code in which human safety is in danger if that code misbehaves, that code should be auditable by a 3rd party, and those audits should regularly happen.

Code which affects the safety of humans should be reviewed with AT LEAST as much rigor as code for slot machines.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by bell-cot on Thursday June 05, 2025 @08:01AM (#44190761)
While Tesla could manipulate their logs, serious car crashes frequently result in lawsuits (in the US). The insurance industry and the surrounding specialties - liability attorneys, engineering consulting firms - would very quickly notice a pattern of "driver says 'FSD', Tesla says 'Not FSD'".
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by genewitch on Thursday June 05, 2025 @08:38PM (#44196861)
Why wouldn't every driver with no compunctions about lying^, knowing that tesla has autonomous features, say that "it was on, then it shut off with no time to react!" At some point you have to go off the logs, at which point the code, i agree, should be audited (sibling or a parent in this thread mentioned.) It's dueling disagreements otherwise.

^ reading anecdotes about accident scenes, someone if not everyone is always lying about what happened.

Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by FireBeyond on Thursday June 05, 2025 @12:22PM (#44193135)
Tesla had to be "instructed" by the NHTSA to use this criteria.
Re:Tesla seeks to guard crash data from public disclosure by panick21_ on Thursday June 05, 2025 @11:38AM (#44192724)
Initial reports always claim Tesla was in self driving mode. I have seen that a number of times.

In one case there was a claim the driver was in the backseat. This got widely published in all media outlets. And turned out to be complete nonsense, it wasn't even in autopilot.

But of course it could be true but I would wait for the data.