I named 3 things...

You're going to have to specify which 2 you think happened

Where did it happen?

They try it, but it’s not reliable

I consulted a radiologist more than 5 years after Hinton said that it was completely obvious that radiologists would be replaced by AI in 5 years. I strongly suspect they were not an AI.

Why do I think this?

1) They smelled slightly funny. 2) They got the diagnosis wrong.

OK maybe #2 is a red herring. But I stand by the other reason.

I know a radiologist and talk a decent bit about AI usage in the field. Every radiologist today is making heavy use of AI. They pre screen everything and from what I understand it has led to massive productivity gains. It hasnt led to job losses yet but theres so much money on the line it really feels to me like we're just waiting for the straw that broke the camels back. No one wants to be the first to fully get rid of radiologists but once one hospital does the rest will quickly follow suit.

One word - liability.

The quote appears to be “We should stop training radiologists now, it’s just completely obvious within five years deep learning is going to do better than radiologists.”

So there's some room for interpretation, the weaker interpretation is less radical (that AI could beat humans in radiology tasks in 5 years).

I have a fusion reactor to sell to you.

Some people are ahead of you by 3.5 years [0]:

> Helion has a clear path to net electricity by 2024, and has a long-term goal of delivering electricity for 1 cent per kilowatt-hour. (!)

[0] https://blog.samaltman.com/helion

You're missing the big picture. Helion can still make their goal. Once they have a working fusion reactor they can use the energy to build a time machine.

Of course, silly me. I should put more practice time into 4D chess.

We're halfway into 2025 and you're cutting a goal they should have reached by 2024. Did they reach that goal?

They didn't reach that goal. Why would they bother reaching an easier goal when they could shoot for a bigger one? /s Their new goal is to build a fusion plant by 2028 [0].

[0] https://observer.com/2025/01/sam-altman-nuclear-fusion-start...

did you by any chance send money to nigerian prince ?