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Re:AI's energy footprint by SoftTalker on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @05:08PM (#44045947)
But "asking ChatGPT" is something people do so casually without there being any apparent clues of the costs associated with that. I guess that is true of pretty much everything online though.

Even driving your car around you at least are somewhat aware of the gas you are burning.

Re:AI's energy footprint by wmf on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @05:46PM (#44046242)
"Civilization advances by extending the number of important operations which we can perform without thinking of them." — Alfred North Whitehead

Emissions should be fixed on the production side (decarbonization) not on the demand side (guilt/austerity).

Re:AI's energy footprint by mulmen on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @09:05PM (#44047398)
While I agree in principle how does this work for fossil fuels? Is the idea that we should make extraction prohibitively expensive?

Scaling up battery production makes EVs more appealing on the demand side. How do you disincentivize fossil fuel production?

Re:AI's energy footprint by wmf on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @09:45PM (#44047565)
Carbon tax or something similar.
Re:AI's energy footprint by AnthonyMouse on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @09:53PM (#44047606)
Batteries and EVs are the production side. Reducing demand is e.g. requiring you to drive fewer miles. You get a car that doesn't run on petroleum and CO2 goes down while vehicle miles can stay the same or go up.
Re:AI's energy footprint by mulmen on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @03:29PM (#44055279)
> Batteries and EVs are the production side.

That’s what I said?

> Reducing demand is e.g. requiring you to drive fewer miles.

Demand can be reduced by increasing fuel prices. Either at the pump through consumption tax or at production. The effect remains the same.

> You get a car that doesn't run on petroleum and CO2 goes down while vehicle miles can stay the same or go up.

Obviously. What does that have to do with disincentivizing fossil fuel production or consumption?

Re:AI's energy footprint by gbear605 on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @09:43PM (#44047552)
Making it illegal is always an option, and one that many countries are considering
Re:AI's energy footprint by wat10000 on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @08:21AM (#44050695)
We should make extraction expensive enough to capture the externalities.

The problem with fossil fuels isn’t that they pollute, but that most of the negative impact of that pollution is borne by others. This results in an artificially low price which distorts the market and results in economically inefficient overuse.

Capture that cost by making producers pay a tax of the corresponding amount, and market forces will use the “right” amount of fossil fuels in ways that are a net benefit.

Re:AI's energy footprint by mulmen on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @03:31PM (#44055312)
I agree in principle. How do we set the price on emissions? Is there a market based approach? Maybe some form of credits that directly fund carbon capture?
Re:AI's energy footprint by wat10000 on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @07:18PM (#44057227)
I don’t think there’s a market based approach. Ultimately you need smart people to sit down and study the problem and come up with an approximate dollars per ton in costs.
Re:AI's energy footprint by mulmen on Saturday May 24, 2025 @05:10AM (#44079825)
I think this is the right idea but I also think measuring the harm is a really hard problem. Polluters should pay for cleanup. But how much does that cost really? How do we decide? Sure we can put smart people on the problem but what solution will they choose? I don’t mean this dismissively. It’s one of the biggest questions of our time. This is what we need to solve.
Re:AI's energy footprint by appreciatorBus on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @05:20PM (#44046033)
I would bet most ppl drive around with very little awareness of how much it’s costing, either in money or environmental impact. Many people I’ve met seem to measure efficiency by how much it costs to fill up the tank.
Re:AI's energy footprint by bilbo0s on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @07:16PM (#44046867)
Even more fundamentally, think about how much carbon running a cup of water from your faucet produces. No matter where you live, this is more carbon than an LLM prompt generates.

Or, even worse God forbid, think about how much carbon is produced to create a single bottle or carton of water. Then consider how casually people down bottles of water.

Re:AI's energy footprint by blululu on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @07:49PM (#44047039)
Can you source that? A lot of places have gravity fed reservoirs that are energy positive/neutral (LA, San Francisco and New York all rely on gravity fed reservoirs that were built before energy intensive pumping was practical). There are some costs but they are pretty small per gallon.
Re:AI's energy footprint by SilasX on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @11:10PM (#44047938)
I’m assuming that calculation is amortizing the cost of running the water system (including wastewater treatment) adding the cost pumping it to the point that gravity can push it through the pipes. It’s never free.
Re:AI's energy footprint by Piskvorrr on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @03:29AM (#44049168)
There seems to be a vast gap between "free" and "more expensive than running LLMs". Also, the water seems...more necessary. Going without LLMs for three days will not threaten your life.
Re:AI's energy footprint by cmcconomy on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @09:13AM (#44051103)
we should shut off clean water and shunt the energy toward more text generation
Re:AI's energy footprint by 4ndrewl on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @04:17AM (#44049376)
The utility of having clean water is arguably higher than that of being able to create a steampunk-style of a cat in a suit.
Re:AI's energy footprint by zdp7 on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @06:52PM (#44057061)
I'm pretty sure this is false. Here's my reasoning.

A google search claims water use uses 12.7% of US energy.

Another search gave 11.7% US energy goes to powering AI (projected to increase to roughly 25% by 2030).

Taking into account hydropower power provides 6.2% of US energy, I feel comfortable saying your statement isn't true.

To further strengthen my statement, I would like to point out another statistic. NPR gives us an estimate of 300K gallons of water use/day to cool the average data center. That pretty much guarantees an LLM query produces more carbon than my filling a cup from a gravity fed water system filled by rain.

Re:AI's energy footprint by asdff on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @05:16PM (#44045996)
That could be solved by charging more for the service. That is the only reason you are aware of the gas burning after all, you aren't conducting your own aq test you are noticing you are filling up twice a week at $50 a tank.
Re:AI's energy footprint by marcellus23 on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @06:02PM (#44046385)
Re:AI's energy footprint by phillipcarter on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @05:39PM (#44046190)
They're aware of the price they pay for the gas, not the emissions. I would wager that the mass ignorance of the impact of fossil fuels (and rubber on roads) that the broader population has is a significant reason why we're in this climate mess today.
Re:AI's energy footprint by jbm on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @05:53PM (#44046314)
> rubber on roads

Funny how this suddenly became a thing after electrification became a thing. Need to find a new way to wag the finger after all.

Re:AI's energy footprint by phillipcarter on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @06:49PM (#44046705)
It's always been a thing? I'm pro-electrification, BTW.
Re:AI's energy footprint by jbm on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @07:51PM (#44047053)
I am 100% on the side of reducing pollutants — but this was never publicly seen as a major issue and I'm suspicious about the timing.

The oil industry is a conglomerate of degenerates spamming boomer logic all the way down to the workers. Their memes propagate throughout society and lead to the other boomer characteristic of rewriting personal and societal history.

The finger waggers now are being programmed to pretend they talked about tire particulates and the carheads are being programmed to pretend they never cared about 0-60. This another "We have always been at war with Eastasia", just like they all opposed the Iraq war from day 1 and didn't cancel the Dixie Chicks, et cetra.

This may have been discussed in specialist literature somewhere but even when I did ecology courses in university circa 2001ish, I never heard about tire particulates, while I did hear a lot about greenhouse gasses.

It's a concern but not a civilization ending concern like climate change. I low key resent these attempts to move goalposts to satisfy the writer's urge for negativity.

Re:AI's energy footprint by AnthonyMouse on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @10:13PM (#44047688)
It's pretty clearly a talking point.

Consider that a bus has six to ten tires that each weigh around ten times more than a typical car tire. This is presented as the alternative to cars, is it even any different? Not implausible that it could actually be worse, especially if the bus isn't at full occupancy at all times.

Meanwhile the weight difference between EVs and petroleum cars is emphasized in the complaints, even though it isn't very large, while the much larger weight difference between any cars and buses is ignored. Because the point isn't to complain about tires, it's to complain about EVs.

And if the point actually was to complain about tires then you still wouldn't be talking about EVs, you would be talking about tires and how to make them shed less or construct them out of lower toxicity materials etc.

Re:AI's energy footprint by hansvm on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @10:33PM (#44047794)
Last time I did the math, a Tesla Model Y only had 3x less tire emissions than a semi truck per distance traveled. City buses are on-par with a Tesla Model Y if you only care about mL/km tire wear.
Re:AI's energy footprint by AnthonyMouse on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @10:45PM (#44047841)
How is that math supposed to work when a city bus weighs almost ten times as much and has more and bigger tires?
Re:AI's energy footprint by hansvm on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @12:07AM (#44048171)
The city bus uses tires with a harder rubber and dimensions such that the pressure at the road is less, plus its normal driving patterns have less wear than typical Tesla use.

To make those sorts of calculations easy, you can ignore all the pressure/usage/etc nonsense and just do basic math on tire dimensions (including min/max tread depth and width, not just radius, though I typically ignore siping and whatnot) and typical longevity. Volume lost per mile driven is basic high-school arithmetic, and the only real questions are regarding data quality and whether the self-imposed constraints (e.g., examining real-world wear rather than wear given optimal driving or something) are reasonable.

Re:AI's energy footprint by AnthonyMouse on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @03:28AM (#44049154)
> The city bus uses tires with a harder rubber and dimensions such that the pressure at the road is less

Harder rubber seems like it could make a difference, but then you could also put tires with harder rubber on a car.

You can get a heavier vehicle to have the same pressure at the road by using more and bigger tires, but then the problem is that the tires are bigger and there are more of them.

> plus its normal driving patterns have less wear than typical Tesla use.

Isn't a city bus constantly starting and stopping, both as a result of city traffic and picking up and dropping off passengers?

> To make those sorts of calculations easy, you can ignore all the pressure/usage/etc nonsense and just do basic math on tire dimensions (including min/max tread depth and width, not just radius, though I typically ignore siping and whatnot) and typical longevity.

I tried plugging these in and it still comes out as a 6-wheel commercial bus has several times the tire wear as a 4-wheel light truck, rather than being the same.

And I expected the difference to be even more, but I guess that goes to show how much the weight argument is motivated reasoning if ~7x the weight is only ~3x the tire wear and then people are complaining about something which is only ~1.2x the weight.

Re:AI's energy footprint by shmeeed on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @06:18AM (#44049947)
>I tried plugging these in and it still comes out as a 6-wheel commercial bus has several times the tire wear as a 4-wheel light truck, rather than being the same.

Pardon me if I ask the obvious question, but did you divide your result by the average number of people moved? Because that's the actual utility of mass vs. individual transport. I would find it rather surprising if tire wear was the one measure were buses didn't win out.

Re:AI's energy footprint by AngryData on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @07:58AM (#44050501)
Ehh you can't really just put harder tires on a car and leave it at that. Harder tires means less grip, and that is a serious setback and much less safe in a car than the typical bus that runs city routes at lower speeds and less adverse road conditions.

Tire temperature also will play a big roll in tire wear, and I wouldn't expect bus tires to get very hot only rolling half the time and at a lower speed than the typical car.

And of course you also gotta factor in passenger count. Buses generally have more than just 1 or 2 people, while the vast majority of cars will have 1 or 2 people most of the time. And even if a bus tires were to wear out twice as fast as a car's tire, that is still less wear per person than a car.

Re:AI's energy footprint by jsight on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @11:24AM (#44052482)
That's true, but it is all relative. 70k+ mile tires for cars and suvs are fairly common. They sacrifice some ride quality and performance, but not so much as to be unsafe.
Re:AI's energy footprint by hansvm on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @08:21AM (#44050693)
A typical city bus has something like 2500 cubic inches of tread that it burns through, compared to 650 for a Model Y. Tires typically last 500k miles, vs 50k, generously, for a Model Y. I'd said "comparable," but that was just to avoid argument. From a tire wear perspective, you're better driving a bus even if you're the only person on it.
Re:AI's energy footprint by jsight on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @11:22AM (#44052472)
I knew that there had to be a mistake somewhere.

No bus tires to not typically last 500k miles. <100k is the norm, and really not more than a long-life car tire.

They do get retreaded more often than car tires do, but that just means they get new rubber added regularly.

Re:AI's energy footprint by AnthonyMouse on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @04:00PM (#44055674)
I saw this one and figured out where it came from. Google's AI thing says bus tires can last up to 500,000 miles. You follow the link and it says that buses can last up to 500,000 miles, with no implication that they do so on a single set of tires.
Re:AI's energy footprint by jsight on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @05:03PM (#44056302)
Oh, that explains everything. Next we will come full circle with AI being trained on this conversation. Sigh...
Re:AI's energy footprint by phillipcarter on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @08:38AM (#44050838)
The city bus comparison is uneven, but if we consider peak travel times during the week, the density intuitively seems like it works out to less waste. City buses have their numbers and schedule dialed back when you're not in peak hours, and I suspect that it's peak hours where you see the bulk of waste from tires.

My city buses in peak travel hours have anywhere from 20 to 75 people on them. Even if we assume that every one of those folks would have carpooled (which rarely happens), we're looking at a lot of cars, and thus tires, on the road.

Re:AI's energy footprint by AnthonyMouse on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @04:56PM (#44056247)
> The city bus comparison is uneven, but if we consider peak travel times during the week, the density intuitively seems like it works out to less waste. City buses have their numbers and schedule dialed back when you're not in peak hours, and I suspect that it's peak hours where you see the bulk of waste from tires.

This is really the problem with buses outside of extremely high density areas. (And extremely high density areas should have subways.)

You get off work at 5PM, you want to go to an entertainment venue and then go home at 10PM. You can find a full bus a 5:15PM that will take you there because it's rush hour, but then you can't get home on the bus because there is no bus service after 9PM. Which means you can't take the bus there during rush hour either, because you need your car to be there so you can get home.

Or, you can run mostly-empty buses in the darkness hours, but there goes your efficiency.

Re:AI's energy footprint by floxy on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @07:03PM (#44046798)
>It's always been a thing?

Is there a way to quantify this? My experience as well is that the tire particulate pollution has mostly been an anti-EV talking point.

Re:AI's energy footprint by 01HNNWZ0MV43FF on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @06:02PM (#44046380)
Well many of my fellow Americans would only accept an EV if it's gigantic, and even though I can't leave the house without seeing a Prius or a RAV4 hybrid, the news acts like it's gas versus electric as if Toyota hadn't solved this twenty years ago
Re:AI's energy footprint by wat10000 on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @08:30AM (#44050770)
This is normal. Once you solve the biggest problem, something else becomes the new biggest problem.

The biggest problem with tailpipe emissions used to be horrendous smog. That was mostly solved in many places, and now the biggest problem is the impact on the global climate.

The biggest issue with childhood mortality used to be disease. Now we (correctly) focus more on accidental deaths.

EVs solved tailpipe emissions, but they’re not perfect. Their biggest problem is just something else.

Re:AI's energy footprint by keybored on Tuesday May 20, 2025 @05:54PM (#44046315)
You would wager. Based on what?

There’s been decades of lies about climate change. And once the truth got out society was already massively dependent on it. For cars specifically it was a deliberate policy to make e.g. the US car-dependent. And once the truth got undeniable the cope was switched to people’s “carbon footprint” (British Petroleum). In fact there are rumors that the cope echoes to this day.

Zoom out enough and it becomes obviously unproductive to make “mass ignorance” the locus of attention.

Re:AI's energy footprint by paulcole on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @12:19AM (#44048225)
Obviously people have zero awareness of or interest in their true impact on the environment. This extends to every facet of life and is not at all limited to AI use.

Do you really think the average person could within 2 orders of magnitude when estimating their carbon footprint for a year?

Re:AI's energy footprint by sanktanglia on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @02:31AM (#44048839)
People spend hours a day mindlessly scrolling social media apps(streaming video calls to boot) that also take up water and energy usage per hour but are totally disconnected from it
Re:AI's energy footprint by pjc50 on Wednesday May 21, 2025 @08:32AM (#44050790)
The real thing here is that these tools are currently in the "subsidy" phase, so the pricing doesn't reflect actual costs. Only once they've been made indispensible and impossible to remove will the prices be jacked up and the product enshittified.