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Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by sterlind on Saturday February 01, 2025 @06:42PM (#42903781)
it's been an exhausting couple of weeks for me, as a trans person. one executive order after another, explicitly attacking us. scrambling to update all my documents, navigating a Kafkaesque bureaucracy with constantly shifting rules.

now this.

there are like six Zizians. there are millions of trans people. I'm sure that many of the Zizians being trans says something about the Ziz cult, but Ziz doesn't say anything about "trans activism."

any evil one trans person does, is used to stain all trans people. recognize this tendency; don't let this become like blood libel.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by radpanda on Saturday February 01, 2025 @07:03PM (#42903949)
I’m not a big George W Bush fan but this quote of his has stuck with me for years:

> Too often, we judge other groups by their worst examples while judging ourselves by our best intentions

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by almostgotcaught on Saturday February 01, 2025 @07:28PM (#42904126)
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by YurgenJurgensen on Saturday February 01, 2025 @08:45PM (#42904776)
The more readily a group tries to restrict some behaviours, the more it implicitly endorses behaviours it doesn’t attempt to restrict.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by DrewRWx on Saturday February 01, 2025 @10:38PM (#42905560)
"Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition, to wit: There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does not protect." - Frank Wilhoit (in a 2018 blog response)
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by adastra22 on Saturday February 01, 2025 @10:41PM (#42905588)
A witticism that falls flat when it is pointed out that conservatives are the ones in favor of rule of law and universal constitutional law.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by harimau777 on Saturday February 01, 2025 @11:30PM (#42905832)
Leftists also support rule of law and universal constitutional law.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by adastra22 on Sunday February 02, 2025 @12:48AM (#42906289)
The distinction is is in the derivative: progressives ("leftist" is less well defined) support the expansion of universal constitution law (which, right or wrong, is a change to the existing law), whereas conservatives except in the case of compelling evidence default to making no changes. Hence, being "conservative" about making changes.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by shadowgovt on Sunday February 02, 2025 @01:23AM (#42906468)
This reasoning implies the current President and his party are not conservative, which is an interesting conclusion.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by b800h on Sunday February 02, 2025 @03:26AM (#42907117)
Little is left of what (real) Conservatives were trying to conserve. Now they have to become radicals to shift things back.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by dxdm on Sunday February 02, 2025 @08:55AM (#42908652)
Depends on what your "real' conservatives are keen on preserving. Taking the torch to things one professes to love - things like liberty, human decency and the core tenets of Christianity, that is the opposite of conserving these things.

People can delude themselves that defending their own narrow interpretation of what these concepts are supposed to mean is the noble end that justifies a lot. But in the end, it's very simple: what we are and what we bring into the world, is a result of what we do, and not of what we intend. Sowing hate and chaos is just that, and which radical end of the spectrum your justification comes from just does not matter very much.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by immibis on Sunday February 02, 2025 @05:50PM (#42912689)
If they're going backwards, and a conservative is someone who wants things to stay the same, then they are not conservatives.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by adastra22 on Sunday February 02, 2025 @01:47AM (#42906593)
Yes, that's correct. Why is that an interesting conclusion? Trump is a neo-nationalist (with or without the appended socialist, take your pick), not a conservative. It's notable that the only remaining resistance against Trump in the Republican Party (represented by, e.g. Nikki Haley) are a coalition of conservatives.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by CalChris on Sunday February 02, 2025 @12:37PM (#42910175)
Nikki Haley strongly endorsed Trump at the RNC in 2024.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/16/politics/nikki-haley-trump-rn...

So we can agree that there is no remaining resistance to Trump in the Republican Party and that conservatives are indeed Trumpers.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by adastra22 on Sunday February 02, 2025 @01:55PM (#42910789)
Did we forget the vicious campaign she waged in the primaries?
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by gmerc on Saturday February 01, 2025 @10:56PM (#42905665)
Right right.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by noirbot on Saturday February 01, 2025 @10:52PM (#42905647)
This feels laughable in the face of the the last few weeks in the US.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by adastra22 on Saturday February 01, 2025 @10:58PM (#42905680)
Trump is not a conservative… you are mistaking “conservative” for “republican.”
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by dleink on Saturday February 01, 2025 @11:59PM (#42905974)
Unfortunately, whatever ideal you hold of conservative doesn't exist. Trumpism is conservatism's current expression in America and Trump is its thought leader. If conservatives were ok tying their cart to a populist demagogue, then they're going to have to go along for the authoritarian ride.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by adastra22 on Sunday February 02, 2025 @12:46AM (#42906277)
The Republican Party has been the conservative party in name only since at least Reagan, if not Nixon. I'm making a distinction about political schools of thought and ideologies, not current vernacular or American politics.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by brookst on Sunday February 02, 2025 @12:24AM (#42906148)
No true Scotsman, really?
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by adastra22 on Sunday February 02, 2025 @12:44AM (#42906265)
Conservatism is a movement dating back to the French Revolution, arguably further back, didn't originate in America, and isn't defined by or limited to the Democratic Party / Republican Party divide. Trumpism is not conservatism:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conservatism

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by brookst on Sunday February 02, 2025 @10:34AM (#42909276)
Language evolves. Saying that today’s conservatives are not true conservatives is the literal definition of the no true Scotsman fallacy.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by adastra22 on Sunday February 02, 2025 @01:57PM (#42910811)
It's like the distinction between "liberal" and "liberalism." The former being a dirty slur word in American politics, and the latter being an entire field of economic and political philosophy dating back to the enlightenment. The latter definition is still in use among the educated. So too, with "conservative," at least outside of your American news bubble.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by brookst on Monday February 03, 2025 @09:36AM (#42918580)
I don’t view American news, but thanks for the condescension.

Arguing for an academic definition as somehow true and absolute, in contradiction to common usage, is a lost cause. Language prescriptivists always lose in the long run.

In the US, classical liberalism is largely despised by the same people who despise political liberalism. Funnily enough, those people are conservatives by either definition.

It’s unfortunate that academic conservatism keeps turning into real world populism (and certainly classical liberalism has seen that as well). But language evolves, and it’s n order to be able to communicate, terminology must as well.

It’s just a word. Words change. There’s no reason to defend an archaic meaning when it’s just going to cause confusion in almost every context.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by Qwertious on Sunday February 02, 2025 @12:36AM (#42906228)
Okay then, did the average conservative vote for him?
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by saagarjha on Sunday February 02, 2025 @03:21AM (#42907090)
Conservatism barely exists in the US today.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by SoftTalker on Saturday February 01, 2025 @11:00PM (#42905695)
I mean it’s sort of a no true Scotsmen thing, but I’ll say it anyway: Trump is not a conservative.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by CalChris on Sunday February 02, 2025 @12:05AM (#42906017)
Yes, but conservatives are Trumpers.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by SoftTalker on Sunday February 02, 2025 @01:27PM (#42910563)
Some are. Some aren't. Some are pragmatic about a choice with only two real options.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by sudoshred on Saturday February 01, 2025 @11:07PM (#42905724)
Strongest argument in favor of libertarianism that I have considered.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by all2 on Saturday February 01, 2025 @06:56PM (#42903897)
> any evil one trans person does, is used to stain all trans people. recognize this tendency; don't let this become like blood libel.

As a Christian, I can empathize. The wrongs and hypocrisies of so many are heaped on those who have no relation to the actions.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by gerdesj on Saturday February 01, 2025 @07:35PM (#42904178)
I don't think that you need to be a Christian to empathise with anyone. The big geezer's (JC) teachings imply to me that keeping quiet about your faith and simply doing good (for a given value of good) is the Way.

Declaring a religion might rile someone, before you have even engaged. I suggest that you simply proffer a hand. Empathise as best you can. Be careful.

At best, with mentioning religion, you have declared your rightful intentions and at worst you have added yet another layer of tribalism to a ... debate.

I'm pretty sure that at least the synoptic gospels and probably John too (for the full set) tell you to keep it quiet. There is no need to put your religious heart on your sleeve - that's between you and God.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by skissane on Saturday February 01, 2025 @07:45PM (#42904261)
> At best, with mentioning religion, you have declared your rightful intentions and at worst you have added yet another layer of tribalism to a ... debate.

I don't think you understood what they were saying. They were saying that as a Christian, they've experienced being blamed for the misdeeds of other Christians which they personally had nothing to do with.

The most important part of that statement isn't the word "Christian": you could replace "Christian" with Muslim or atheist or whatever and there'd be someone else who could truthfully say it.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by PaulHoule on Saturday February 01, 2025 @09:12PM (#42904964)
If you have any unusual identity (e.g. a person inhabited by a fox spirit) you have a responsibility to be the person you can because you could be the first person in that category they meet.

I grew up in Manchester, NH which was almost 100% white until 1990 or so. [1] My family was out for a bike ride and got a flat. A black couple (the man had just been transferred to the Raytheon factory where they make the radar for Patriot missile) came by and helped us fix the flat and shared lemonade with us in the kitchen. If you have an experience like this you think "I want more black people to move into my town."

One branch of my wife's family comes from southern Italy and is pretty conservative, one of her cousins is dating a black guy who is an EE and works on robots at Amazon. The family is pretty old school but he's won everyone over by making a point to be really awesome. He talks about every prominent thinker about what blacks in America should do from Marcus Garvey to Malcom X. He thinks it's a terrible act of racism that 'Black Wall Street' was bombed but also thinks people who are still stuck in the pathologies of the projects he escaped from need to take responsibility: he thinks it's unfair but he knows black people have to work twice as hard to get ahead and accepts the burden. He's really won the family over.

To link it to transgender issues, this poll [2] from 2022 says that 57% of Americans don't know personally know anybody transgender, and this 2024 poll of Asian-Pacific Islanders in the US [3] gives the same number.

People are getting their ideas about transgender people from the media where stories like this [4] are pretty widespread; whatever you do you don't want to live up to those stereotypes.

[1] I think because the bottom fell out of the economy at the end of the 1920s and never came back until the 1990s; you had no reason to go there unless you had family, black people leaving the south were going to Detroit because (a) there were already blacks there, and (b) the car industry was expanding despite the Great Depression.

[2] https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2022/09/21/does-publ...

[3] https://apnorc.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/AAPI-Data-AP-N...

[4] https://podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/the-witch-trials-of-j-...

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by sunshowers on Sunday February 02, 2025 @12:02AM (#42905996)
Are your utterances here helping the cause of trans liberation, or hurting it?
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by loanedempathy on Sunday February 02, 2025 @05:43AM (#42907810)
> Are your utterances here helping the cause of trans liberation, or hurting it?

I get that it's been a rough couple of weeks for trans people, and immigrants, and people who due import and export, and grant-writers--but perhaps you should take a moment to reflect on how comments like this reflect on you and trans people to the general populace (which is adjacent to the point made by the comment you were replying to).

All you had to write was "Do you think this state of affairs works for or against trans people?", or even "I'm not sure I understand which direction you're going with this, could you elaborate?"

Instead, you picked an us-vs-them phrasing and were shitty.

Let me give some blunt feedback:

Trans people (the ones that are clockable) are a relative novelty outside of urban areas, and most of the voting public (much as the gays faced before) don't have any familiarity with them outside of either: scaremongering from the conservatives and tabloids, excessively fawning presentation in movies and shows and liberal/progressive media, or spicy tweets and posts on Twitter and Facebook.

Normies don't really know about the boring, relatable parts of being trans--finding clothes that fit correctly, struggling to feel that your body is right, dealing with stupid bureaucracy that doesn't match your needs, being unable to get competent or affordable healthcare, looking for a partner that loves you for being you and not because of how you look or what they think you are. (You'll note: these are, modulo some biological issues, exactly the same things that they face too.)

The trans people aren't doing themselves any favors (especially the ones in tech, who are incredibly privileged and until recently inhabited a rarified atmosphere of good pay and performative catering) when interacting with normies, though. When people like you act like assholes it confirms every negative stereotype.

Honestly? It's exhausting. It's tiring. It's enough to drive away the allies and friendlies that aren't already getting driven away by those of you with personality disorders.

The trans friends and partners I've had that are decent and capable of relating on a normal level are vastly outnumbered by the catty, annoying, neurotic transgendered men and women I've encountered in my career and schooling.

Go on Mastodon, go onto the Fediverse, and tell me with a straight face that your average trans poster isn't at least as likely to be as toxic as somebody on Twitter. Go look at the self-congratulatory bullshit to own the MAGA folks...all the way up until the election that has so many of you freaking out. Go look at the immediate closing of ranks and decrying "transphobe! transphobe!" when one of your group does something shitty and gets called out for it--even when they deserve it.

If you want to know why the popular support for trans people isn't great, look in the mirror and consider if you want to double down on a losing strategy for behavior.

The current swing of the pendulum is not good, it is not kind, it is not entirely fair--but it sure as hell isn't inexplicable. Good luck to you in the coming years.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by watwut on Sunday February 02, 2025 @06:08AM (#42907900)
> I get that it's been a rough couple of weeks for trans people

Trans people are the most hated subgroup and were for years. Literal physical attack against them were going up for years now. It was not rough couple of weeks, it is systematic campaign of hate again and again and again.

> Trans people (the ones that are clockable) are a relative novelty outside of urban areas, and most of the voting public

The reason for that is violence they are and were targets of in those areas. It is also that if a kid outs itself as trans, they will likely be kicked off out of house. If not kicked, they will be mocked in those areas all the time.

> The trans friends and partners I've had that are decent and capable of relating on a normal level are vastly outnumbered by the catty, annoying, neurotic transgendered men and women I've encountered in my career and schooling.

And it did not helped those people at all. The hate is preexisting and has nothing to do with how trans actually act.

> If you want to know why the popular support for trans people isn't great, look in the mirror and consider if you want to double down on a losing strategy for behavior.

Hate for trans has nothing to do with what trans to. Conservative people feel massive disgust over crossing gender lines. It is that bad feeling they have when they hear the idea itself. And literal campaign of hate they themselves feed.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by PaulHoule on Sunday February 02, 2025 @08:34AM (#42908541)
I think it goes both ways.

I used to go out in drag in Halloween before things got so polarized. Many people thought I had a great costume but I'd always seem some microexpressions of disgust enough to know I was doing something that wasn't completely safe.

I was very inclined to think positively of transgender people ten years ago but my own experience with them on Mastodon and in other places has led me to agree with the person you're replying to. It was when I started reading their words as opposed to reading about them in the media that I became more negative. People were sharing so many hateful memes on Mastodon that I had to put in a large number of filtering rules so that I can't see anything they post except for the hateful image memes that can't be filtered because the only text is in the filter.

It's almost as if some of these people have a fascination with assholes like Kiwi Farms and see it as a template for activism, like they build their whole lives and find all their meaning out of hating and being hated. See that "Witch Hunt of J.K. Rowling" podcast -- yes, there are jerks online who say horrible stuff like that to them, but that doesn't make it a righteous cause to that to other people; by fighting for territory that they couldn't defend they may have turned people against them and lost rights that they could have kept. They mirror the hatred and intolerance of the people they hate.

So I don't agree that "Hate for trans has nothing to do with what trans to (sic)" -- they do have to overcome some hate which is intrinsic but there is a lot which is a mirror of the hateful view that many of them have about the world.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by watwut on Sunday February 02, 2025 @09:00AM (#42908675)
Hate toward trans predates mastodon tho. Where I live, it is very normal to make fun of trans and gays. It is simply accepted that they are disgusting. People who talked to me about trans being disgusting were definitely not reading mastodon nor any other trans bubble. Trans being killed for being trans and then local politician using the situation to push anti-gay legal agenda is a very real thing.

I do not think it goes both ways symmetrically, really. What I think is that any misconduct by any trans person is used as excuse to mistreat all of them. And when they do not do misconduct, well, it wont help them either.

The attacks toward trans last years were not about ugly memes on mastodon. It was literally about beer can having minor ad with trans person. It is about making gender affirming care illegal, full stop. It is about transsexuality itself being disgusting. It is about pushing polite respectful trans people out of any visible situation.

Like, OP complains about people not knowing relatable things about trans. But, if they are visible, say on beer can, the hate campaign is very very real. You cant harass someone for being visibly trans and then complain you do not know about day to day trans people.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by PaulHoule on Sunday February 02, 2025 @01:30PM (#42910593)
It's reductive to say that it's one or the other.

I can say personally my feeling thermometer went from maybe 75 to 15 as a result of being on Mastodon and other online forums in the last tow years. I like trans people as individuals but I hate the movement. It's not the only place where that kind of negativity leaks out.

For instance the men's rooms in my building are stuffed with menstrual products for "men who menstruate" with a preachy card that talks about it in a reductive, narrow minded frame the same as the worst conservative Christians. This is for the benefit of 0.6% of the population at best, maybe 3 or 4 people benefit from it, out of 8 men's rooms in that building it is probably less than one person per bathroom.

It seems to me that this sucks all the air out of the room to discuss anything else. Young men are struggling. Maybe you only see the survivors in higher ed, but the K12 system is not built with boys in mind, particularly if you are in a racial minority, see

https://www.apa.org/monitor/2023/04/boys-school-challenges-r...

Instead of messaging aimed at, say, 20% of people who are struggling we get this stridently minoritiarian discourse that leaves many people feeling unheard, erased, and resentful.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by sunshowers on Sunday February 02, 2025 @02:40PM (#42911127)
> It seems to me that this sucks all the air out of the room to discuss anything else.

You understand that this state of affairs has been created by the bigoted side? I just want to live in peace and build stuff that makes the world better, not worry about the federal government coming after me and pretending I don't exist. Please try not to get so fooled next time.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by PaulHoule on Sunday February 02, 2025 @03:30PM (#42911498)
No. This is the black and white thinking that I'm talking about. Yes, the federal government has deteriorated, but some of that is that progressives haven't had a message that reconciles the rights of 0.6% of people with many concerns that the 99.4% have

Start taking responsibility. Bigotry is a real thing but you can have a large impact on how other people treat you based on how you behave.

Organized transgenderists in my view have a reducivist, moralist, my-way-or-the-highway approach that initially exploited 'progressive' people who were inclined to think they were acting in good faith but are in the process of driving those people away. (I was really inclined to think of transsexual people positively because my best friend in college was a really awesome person who happened to be transsexual)

J.K. Rowling picked an issue where public opinion was far away from what transgenderists wish it was. (Where do violent sex offenders in prison get housed?) She thought the vast majority of transgender prisoners were safest in prisons that corresponded to their identity but that authorities had to have some latitude for people acting in bad faith.

She got jumped on because she agreed with them in most cases but not all.

Normal people will call you an ally if you agree on 7 out of 10 issues but organized transgenderists come across as people who will treat you as an enemy if you disagree about anything.

On some issues (workplace discrimination) public opinion is on the side of trans people. On other issues (sports participation) public opinion is the other ways. A year ago questions involving access to health care tended to split down the middle, the one recent poll I looked at seems to have moved far to the right in the last year on the issue of transgender care for minors.

A healthy political movement accepts that it's won on certain issues, that it can't win on other issues, and that there are some issues in the middle where you can persuade people and win.

On top of that there is the whole "egg hatcher" thing where you find there are people who are looking for people who "march to the beat of a different drummer" and sell transgenderism as an answer to their problems, almost certainly a false answer. If somebody knew their gender identity of a child I'm inclined to believe them (e.g. they certainly aren't going to change their mind based on whether people 'affirm' them or not) but if somebody discovered a variant identity as a teen I'm skeptical. As a schizotype

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Schizotypy

I am already frustrated with the bandwagoning of 'neurodivergence' by an autism industrial complex and an ADHD industry that pushes addictive medicine. Neurodivergent people are already 'bully magnets' and the last thing they need is to take on an identity which will get them further targeted and be surrounded by people who will reinforce their feelings of victimhood. (see 'impulsive nonconformity' in the article I link above)

I see the current movement as something that centers the activism of its enemies as a template for its own activism [1] [2] and that thrives on bigotry. It looks like a pernicious cult that is all about 'othering' other people and sees any and all pushback they get from people whether it is primary preexisting feelings of disgust, fear and hatred or the learned feelings of exasperation you might see on the face of a otherwise bleeding heart socially progressive HR manager who has just dealt with too many people who see a fascist under every bush and wants the whole cake yesterday.

[1] see anti-fascism

[2] transgenderists say it was OK to treat J. K. Rowling the same way Kiwi Farms treats them

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by sunshowers on Sunday February 02, 2025 @04:20PM (#42911954)
> progressives haven't had a message that reconciles the rights of 0.6% of people with many concerns that the 99.4% have

It is an objectively true moral statement that minority rights ought not depend on majority opinion (that is the whole point of constitutionalism). To the extent that minority rights depend on majority opinion in reality, that is a deficiency of political systems. All of us exist in deficient political systems.

> if somebody discovered a variant identity as a teen I'm skeptical

What is your expertise in this matter? Why do you think your opinion is worth anything? People figure things out on their own pace.

If you think your opinion carries any weight here, you've been fooled.

> She got jumped on because she agreed with them in most cases but not all.

JK Rowling signed the so-called "Women's Declaration International" which has the exact same policy proposals as what Trump is doing. Again, you've been fooled.

> A year ago questions involving access to health care tended to split down the middle, the one recent poll I looked at seems to have moved far to the right in the last year on the issue of transgender care for minors.

Yes, because people's brains have been cooked through immersion in social media.

If you surround yourself with virtue, you will become virtuous. If you surround yourself with vice, you will become vicious. Social media rewards vice, so people have become more vicious.

> I am already frustrated with the bandwagoning of 'neurodivergence' by an autism industrial complex and an ADHD industry that pushes addictive medicine. Neurodivergent people are already 'bully magnets' and the last thing they need is to take on an identity

I have ADHD (according to my psychiatrist one of the most obvious cases they've ever seen), and autism, and I'm trans (both -sexual and gender). So I guess in your eyes I'm a bully magnet (??) who has taken on an identity (???????). In reality, despite the horrible discrimination, my neurodivergence gives me a pretty nonstandard insight into things, and an ability to explain concepts, that I've been able to turn into something valuable to others. (The last 4 technical blog posts I wrote were all front page on HN, with 100-300+ upvotes.)

This has nothing to do with paranoia or delusions. My work is valued for its correctness and attention to detail.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by PaulHoule on Sunday February 02, 2025 @05:31PM (#42912540)
I should have said "interests" rather than rights, although one thing I know is that when this civilization collapses people will turn their back on everything it stood for and the idea of individualism and rights will be gone ("my carbon my choice"), the next culture will have a bill of responsibilities.

Sports is a clear example. Nobody has a 'right' to be on a sports team. Women have been working for years to build the opportunity to have a pro career. Until tests were developed (1970 or so) it was a chronic problem that men would crash women's events in the Olympics to steal gold medals.

On the other hand, there are many benefits to participation in sports. I don't want the state to decide who can play in what league. I want leagues to decide that. My school is part of club leagues where teams have a mix of men and women in them and I think there's a lot of room for innovation. Different leagues want different things: I want trans people to be able to participate in some sports, it's important.

J. K. Rowling didn't start out in the place where she ended up.

As for social media, I deleted my Twitter account in 2016, I don't hang out in places with right wing nuts, rather I am on Mastodon and Bluesky with the left wing nuts. I need lots of filters to keep out hateful content posted by trans people on both of those platforms.

'Virtue' and 'Vice' are a frame that makes all problems impossible to solve and leaves people talking past each other. See [1]

It took me 40 years to get my diagnosis; I've had numerous psych evals and today I can get enough signs and symptoms to get a diagnosis looking at the first paragraph of any of them, even if that paragraph stated it was inconclusive.

I have a small amount of the thought disorder of schizophrenia, enough that I can't win at chess because I'll screw up. I max any test of verbal intelligence I take, I write long posts like this that have bizarre typos, the harder I try to fix them the more my keyboard turns into a Ouija board. On a bad morning I have a paranoia towards objects that seem to jump out and grab me. At one point of my life I was wrapped up in a system of delusions.

I also can do detail oriented work and systems thinking. (I've compensated for my condition very well) Sometimes my work is highly valued. Yet I graduated from elementary school the same way Ender Wiggin did. The child post of this one (where I tell the story of my son's incel and trans friends) [4] got upwards of 37 votes so "my opinion does hold some weight here" (But so does yours, and one difference between me and you is that I'm not going to tell you that your opinion has no weight)

Sometimes I feel angry that I wasn't served by the mental health community and that about 5-10% of the population is similarly underserved. On the other hand I was lucky that I was only under the spell of a charlatan for about 9 months of my life and I'm glad I didn't get drugged the way they wanted to drug me in school because a friend of mine who's the same age as me and did get drugged got all his teeth pulled at the age of 40 and might suffer from osteoporosis soon [2] [3] if he lives that long.

[1] https://www.amazon.com/Rights-Talk-Impoverishment-Political-...

[2] https://www.endocrine.org/news-and-advocacy/news-room/2016/b...

[3] https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-018-19894-x

[4] My son's friend went through a period of near complete social isolation during the pandemic where just about the only person he talked to was an 'egg hatcher' for months. It is not a clinical study or even a case report but my son and I both have notes on our experiences of knowing this person from elementary school to the present day that we're going to consolidate and turn into a real write-up some day. I'm going to support this person as an individual to the maximum that I can because those are my 'family values', I can still think they're making a mistake.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by sunshowers on Sunday February 02, 2025 @05:49PM (#42912680)
> when this civilization collapses people will turn their back on everything it stood for and the idea of individualism and rights will be gone ("my carbon my choice"), the next culture will have a bill of responsibilities.

I agree that Americans don't think enough about their responsibilities. I fully support a bill of responsibilities paired with rights. Several countries have that kind of list already. They're not mutually exclusive.

> Nobody has a 'right' to be on a sports team. Women have been working for years to build the opportunity to have a pro career. Until tests were developed (1970 or so) it was a chronic problem that men would crash women's events in the Olympics to steal gold medals.

Yet women's sports are still second-class, outside of exceptions like tennis. Is it trans people who have caused women's sports to be second-class, or the patriarchy enforced by cisgender men?

FWIW, I think it's reasonable to require that trans women be on HRT for a while before playing professional women's sports. But categorical bans are horribly unjust—making a class of women inherently lesser. So yes, as a kind of woman, trans women ought to have the right to be on women's sports teams.

> J. K. Rowling didn't start out in the place where she ended up.

True. Her brain was cooked by constant exposure to right-wing bigotry on social media, like many others'.

I am a very firm believer that there is no free will. We are entirely the products of our genetics and our environments. Social media creates extraordinarily bad environments.

> 'Virtue' and 'Vice' are a frame that makes all problems impossible to solve and leaves people talking past each other.

Well, no, it just makes it clear that (a) morality is objective and (b) societies are better when people are more virtuous. The solution is to not make people talk to or past each other, the solution is to effect environmental changes such that people are less exposed to vice and more exposed to virtue.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by loanedempathy on Sunday February 02, 2025 @07:53PM (#42913641)
> Is it trans people who have caused women's sports to be second-class, or the patriarchy enforced by cisgender men?

Is there any possible other reason than these two things, do you think, for this state of affairs?

> making a class of women inherently lesser.

A sort of Morton's fork here would be that transwomen are lesser women because they have to assume that identity instead of starting there (to say nothing of the intuitive biological differences), or that women (and thus trans women) are lesser because they are a subset of the functionality offered by men (because they can be emulated by men choosing to do so). I don't particularly agree with either point, mind you, but both could be made. The trivial solution to avoid this is to simply acknowledge that trans women are neither men nor women (nor trans men) and are a category unto themselves worth valuing on their own merits and characteristics.

> True. Her brain was cooked by constant exposure to right-wing bigotry on social media, like many others'.

If it is reasonable to believe--as everybody seems told to--that constant exposure to right-wing media and bigotry can turn somebody into a bigot, is it really a stretch to believe that for some chunk of the trans population the same has taken place? Further, do you see why such doublethink would make the trans folks who preach it suspect to normies who see the obvious?

> We are entirely the products of our genetics and our environments.

That being the case, there is no virtue in being trans--you're a medical and social anomaly, and if we can remove the factors that cause trans folks to occur all that suffering goes away in a generation or two and the system does better (on the metric of suffering).

And before you go off on how this is unethical or not virtuous or whatever, by your own assertion...

> I am a very firm believer that there is no free will.

...such a solution is admissible and without blame, because no moral agents would be involved in its occurrence.

(You don't get to claim there is no free will and then hold anybody accountable in any moral way. Morality does not exist unless free will does; otherwise, it's just the dull observation of iterated cost-benefit analysis and reactions to an environment.)

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by sunshowers on Sunday February 02, 2025 @09:24PM (#42914256)
> The trivial solution to avoid this is to simply acknowledge that trans women are neither men nor women (nor trans men) and are a category unto themselves worth valuing on their own merits and characteristics.

The forcible third-gendering of trans women is one of the greatest crimes of the culture I grew up in, so I'd rather we move past all traditionalism entirely.

> If it is reasonable to believe--as everybody seems told to--that constant exposure to right-wing media and bigotry can turn somebody into a bigot, is it really a stretch to believe that for some chunk of the trans population the same has taken place?

Constant exposure to virtue makes you more likely to be virtuous.

> Further, do you see why such doublethink would make the trans folks who preach it suspect to normies who see the obvious?

See the obvious what? The normies are simply wrong about a lot of this.

> Morality does not exist unless free will does

This is simply false. Free will is linked to moral responsibility, not the existence of morals. How moral we are is out of our control (Thomas Nagle called this moral luck).

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by skissane on Monday February 03, 2025 @04:55PM (#42923785)
> The forcible third-gendering of trans women is one of the greatest crimes of the culture I grew up in, so I'd rather we move past all traditionalism entirely.

I think one issue is – do "man" and "woman" have some objective essence? I think most progressives would say "no" – that kind of essentialism is more associated with conservatives and traditionalists. But if "man" and "woman" don't have an objective essence, their definition is ultimately conventional – which means if different people want to define those terms differently, how can we say one definition is ultimately more right than the other?

That has a benefit for transgender people – if transgender people and their allies want to adopt trans-inclusive definitions of "man" and "woman", nobody can say they are objectively wrong to do so, if we accept these concepts are ultimately cultural constructs.

But then comes the downside – if conservatives and traditionalists (and various others, such as a significant number of radical feminists) want to adopt trans-exclusive definitions of those terms, how can we say they are wrong to do so? If these are cultural constructs and conventional definitions, as opposed to naming objective realities which exist independently of culture and language, how can one say their definition is objectively incorrect? It's just different.

Maybe the answer is a form of "live and let live": let progressive people have their spaces governed by their definitions, let conservative/traditionalist people have their spaces governed by theirs, and where the two have to overlap or intersect or coexist, try to find a way to be neutral between the competing definitions.

Of course, if you are growing up in one of those conservative/traditionalist spaces, and end up identifying as LGBT, that solution isn't exactly pleasant, at least until you become old enough to cross over to a space more welcoming to your identity. But I don't know what the alternative is. Progressives like to imagine that conservative/traditionalist viewpoints will eventually wither away and disappear, but looking at trends in the real world, it seems unlikely that dream will be fulfilled, certainly not in the lifetime of anyone currently alive. Finding a way to peacefully coexist seems preferable to interminable cultural and political conflict over the issue.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by sunshowers on Monday February 03, 2025 @06:10PM (#42924692)
> I think one issue is – do "man" and "woman" have some objective essence? I think most progressives would say "no" – that kind of essentialism is more associated with conservatives and traditionalists. But if "man" and "woman" don't have an objective essence, their definition is ultimately conventional – which means if different people want to define those terms differently, how can we say one definition is ultimately more right than the other?

So "essence" isn't the right word, but there absolutely are affinities and anti-affinities towards gender in brain wiring, as reflected in people's internal psychology. There is no better explanation for the vast majority of people being cisgender, and having gender dysphoria when misgendered. The traditionalists are somewhat correct about this!

A lot of traditionalist freaking out about gender is extrapolating their own internal experiences onto everyone. Many cis people feel quite bad when they are misgendered! This is a commonality with trans people, not a difference.

> That has a benefit for transgender people – if transgender people and their allies want to adopt trans-inclusive definitions of "man" and "woman", nobody can say they are objectively wrong to do so, if we accept these concepts are ultimately cultural constructs.

But I am saying that the traditional model of gender is objectively wrong! Gender is not just a cultural construct, there is clearly an inherent aspect to it.

"Gender is binary and immutably assigned at birth" and "gender is entirely social" are two positions that are both incorrect in their own ways. The truth, as expressed in the modern scientific model of gender, is more complex. Gender is not binary, but there is quite clearly an inherent (likely biological) component to it -- otherwise HRT wouldn't have the psychological effects it does on trans people. There is also a social component: we are a social species, and our biologies and sociologies are intertwined.

> But then comes the downside – if conservatives and traditionalists (and various others, such as a significant number of radical feminists) want to adopt trans-exclusive definitions of those terms, how can we say they are wrong to do so? If these are cultural constructs and conventional definitions, as opposed to naming objective realities which exist independently of culture and language, how can one say their definition is objectively incorrect? It's just different.

Right. This is the downside of the kind of "model relativism" that you're describing. This is very explicitly not my position, and I think the progressives who have promoted this position have done a bad job. I'm saying that the traditional definition is objectively incorrect, in the sense that the traditional model doesn't describe reality nearly as well as the modern scientific model of gender. It's as incorrect as a belief that the sun revolves around the earth.

> Maybe the answer is a form of "live and let live": let progressive people have their spaces governed by their definitions, let conservative/traditionalist people have their spaces governed by theirs, and where the two have to overlap or intersect or coexist, try to find a way to be neutral between the competing definitions.

That is fine when the two definitions are equally correct. They're not! One is more correct than the other.

> Of course, if you are growing up in one of those conservative/traditionalist spaces, and end up identifying as LGBT, that solution isn't exactly pleasant, at least until you become old enough to cross over to a space more welcoming to your identity. But I don't know what the alternative is.

The alternative is to use objective reality, as determined by evidence and study using modern methods, to determine public policy. Traditional and religious beliefs should have no role here.

edit: I want to add that at a meta level, I believe relativism destroys credibility. One of my big issues with the left has been that people intuitively feel certain things are true, and if progressives show up saying "oh neither of us really are correct, live and let live," it's easy to stay attracted to traditionalism -- or even worse, descend into far-right paranoia. I think a much more robust response is "your intuitions aren't completely incorrect, but reality is more complicated -- our views are more correct than yours, because we have modern methods of learning on our side which are better than traditional ones." But this response really implies a scientific, evidence-based mindset. Inculcating that is a generational challenge, though one that must be done for society to survive.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by skissane on Monday February 03, 2025 @11:48PM (#42928104)
> So "essence" isn't the right word, but there absolutely are affinities and anti-affinities towards gender in brain wiring, as reflected in people's internal psychology.

I’m sceptical about this. There is evidence for some group differences in neurobiology between men and women, but they are group differences, they don’t operate at the individual level-meaning, for some brain features, there is a statistically significant difference in the male average and the female average, but the distributions are overlapping, so there are some males with brains at or near the female average, and vice versa.

There’s also some evidence that LGBT people are more likely to belong to those “overlapping” groups (males with brains closer to the female average in certain respects, and vice versa). But, again, it is a group rather than individual difference: not every person who has such an “overlapping” brain is LGBT, and not every LGBT person has such an “overlapping” brain-and we still can’t explain why. Plus, I don’t believe we have found any reliable biological difference between different LGBT subgroups (e.g. some gay cismen have rather ‘female’ neuroanatomy, as do some transwomen, but I’m not aware of any high quality evidence for distinguishing those two groups at a neurobiological level)

For most transgender people, we can’t point to any specific neurobiological factor as an explanation for why they are transgender. And even for the minority for whom there is something specific to point to, there will be other people who share that factor yet aren’t transgender, so that factor can’t be a complete explanation-and the rest of the explanation we just don’t know. All I think we can confidently say is that biological factors are in the mix, but we can’t rule out the possibility that psychosocial/sociocultural/etc factors also have some role to play-plus, the respective contributions of the biological vs the non-biological may differ from person to person.

Also, I don’t know if everyone actually has a “gender identity”. I mean, I don’t think I do. Yes, I have XY chromosomes with a typical male phenotype, a male-coded given name, my legal documents all say M, I’m married to a woman and father of two children with her, and I suppose “male” describes a social role I play. But, I don’t have some internal “identity” as “male”. Maybe this is an autistic trait, but deep down inside I don’t identify as anything at all. Well, maybe as pure consciousness, and everything else about me (including my sex/gender) is just a contingent chance accident of what that consciousness happens to experience.

> There is no better explanation for the vast majority of people being cisgender, and having gender dysphoria when misgendered.

Do non-trans people have gender dysphoria when they are misgendered? Some of them don’t really care. And even if a person reacts negatively, is that due to gender dysphoria? Or could it be they feel upset because you’ve got a fact about them wrong, and they might be just as upset if you’d got any other fact wrong instead? And even if they experience some special upset at being misgendered, how do we know that isn’t just due to cultural conditioning, as opposed to an innate psychological factor?

I’ve personally experienced being misgendered more than once, and my reactions have varied from amusement to irritation to equanimity, depending on how I was feeling at the time. But I don’t think those varied reactions convey any deep fact about “who I am”, and I’m not convinced any of those reactions had anything to do with gender dysphoria

> I think a much more robust response is "your intuitions aren't completely incorrect, but reality is more complicated -- our views are more correct than yours, because we have modern methods of learning on our side which are better than traditional ones." But this response really implies a scientific, evidence-based mindset.

The problem I see: I think there’s often a substantial gap between what the science actually says, and what people claim the science says (including even many scientists themselves, especially when addressing a lay audience.) I think when you look at the actual research, it is obvious that there are still massive gaps in our knowledge, along with widespread problems with replication, methodology, sample sizes, etc. It is obvious that biology has a significant role to play in issues of gender and sexuality-but saying much more than that involves rather high epistemic uncertainty. Yet a lot of the public discourse on this topic makes the scientific picture sound a lot firmer than it actually is. And I think many scientists think it is more important to publicly present the science as clearly supporting a progressive social agenda, than be completely open and honest about just how much we still don’t know, and how patchy the evidence actually is for some of the conclusions they endorse

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by sunshowers on Tuesday February 04, 2025 @12:32AM (#42928438)
> For most transgender people, we can’t point to any specific neurobiological factor as an explanation for why they are transgender. And even for the minority for whom there is something specific to point to, there will be other people who share that factor yet aren’t transgender, so that factor can’t be a complete explanation-and the rest of the explanation we just don’t know. All I think we can confidently say is that biological factors are in the mix, but we can’t rule out the possibility that psychosocial/sociocultural/etc factors also have some role to play-plus, the respective contributions of the biological vs the non-biological may differ from person to person.

I was careful to word that as "as reflected in internal psychology". I don't think we're going to pinpoint any specific pieces of brain wiring any time soon, but there are quite clearly profound internal psychological differences -- since supernatural phenomena don't exist, they must be either due to internal brain wiring or another property of the internal body, or due to social factors, or a mix of both.

A survey I've done of trans people near me is whether they'd still want to transition on a desert island. Some say no, but the vast majority say yes. To me, this demonstrates that there's at least some inherent characteristic at play.

> Also, I don’t know if everyone actually has a “gender identity”. I mean, I don’t think I do. Yes, I have XY chromosomes with a typical male phenotype, a male-coded given name, my legal documents all say M, I’m married to a woman and father of two children with her, and I suppose “male” describes a social role I play. But, I don’t have some internal “identity” as “male”. Maybe this is an autistic trait, but deep down inside I don’t identify as anything at all. Well, maybe as pure consciousness, and everything else about me (including my sex/gender) is just a contingent chance accident of what that consciousness happens to experience.

Strength of internal gender identity does vary -- agender people demonstrate that. But would you be able to transition (especially medically) and live day in and day out as a woman?

Dr Will Powers, a cis male, has a description of how taking an excessive dose of estrogen gave him gender dysphoria for days [1].

David Reimer, another cis male, was forcibly transitioned by his doctor after a botched surgery as an infant [2]. He suffered lifelong dysphoria as a result, and tragically took his own life at a young age.

What trans people go through is quite similar to what these people went through, just in reverse. Reimer was lied to about his gender for years, which led to tremendous distress. Trans people are falsely informed (though not as a lie since this isn't intentional at first) about their gender for years, which also leads to tremendous distress. A lot of people want to openly and proudly lie about it, in a way that is documented to cause distress.

> Do non-trans people have gender dysphoria when they are misgendered? Some of them don’t really care. And even if a person reacts negatively, is that due to gender dysphoria? Or could it be they feel upset because you’ve got a fact about them wrong, and they might be just as upset if you’d got any other fact wrong instead? And even if they experience some special upset at being misgendered, how do we know that isn’t just due to cultural conditioning, as opposed to an innate psychological factor?

Gender culture is created primarily by cis/het people, so it's hard to separate the two out. Being upset at misgendering is a cross-cultural phenomenon -- I've asked cis people across American, European and a couple different Asian cultures about this.

> The problem I see: I think there’s often a substantial gap between what the science actually says, and what people claim the science says (including even many scientists themselves, especially when addressing a lay audience.) I think when you look at the actual research, it is obvious that there are still massive gaps in our knowledge, along with widespread problems with replication, methodology, sample sizes, etc. It is obvious that biology has a significant role to play in issues of gender and sexuality-but saying much more than that involves rather high epistemic uncertainty.

To be clear, we don't actually need to know the causes of some people being trans. There is a vast amount of scientific evidence regarding the efficacy of gender-affirming care (astonishingly low regret rates!) [3], and anthropological evidence that every society with a recorded history has had some notion of gender variance [4]. It also tracks with my own experience transitioning after spending years detached from my body [5].

> Yet a lot of the public discourse on this topic makes the scientific picture sound a lot firmer than it actually is. And I think many scientists think it is more important to publicly present the science as clearly supporting a progressive social agenda, than be completely open and honest about just how much we still don’t know, and how patchy the evidence actually is for some of the conclusions they endorse

What specific conclusions is the evidence patchy for, in a way that distinguishes GAC specifically? The evidence is often observational rather than RCT, but that's because RCTs are impossible when changes are visible within days. There is less evidence for pediatric care than for adult care, but extrapolating from adult to pediatric care is very common across all of medicine. (Some reports like the one by Cass claim otherwise, but they have a number of shockingly incorrect statements which indicate a lack of basic familiarity with the field [6].) The evidence is often based on self-reporting, but that's true for many other interventions as well, like when I fill out a DASS-21.

[1] https://www.reddit.com/r/DrWillPowers/comments/fcxboa/the_st.... (This is not an endorsement of the doctor, who has a number of problematic practices. But it's an amusing and enlightening story.)

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Reimer

[3] https://old.reddit.com/r/asktransgender/comments/154t1qq/my_...

[4] Again, not an endorsement of the particular gender structures of each society -- many of them forcibly third-gendered all trans people, which is a kind of misgendering like any other.

[5] My experiences before transitioning were remarkably similar to https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/depersonaliza... -- I used to joke all the time about it. This is not something I feel any longer.

[6] https://cass.independent-review.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/0... -- for example, p. 14 has the statement "medication is binary", which is plainly false. There are several ways to medically transition in a non-binary manner, and every doctor in the field knows about them. The fact that a statement like this made it all the way to publication calls into question the basic competence of the people involved. The statement is quite material as well, since it essentially makes the argument that nonbinary people may not want to medically transition. Maybe, but certainly not based on the false idea that medical transition is binary.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by PaulHoule on Sunday February 02, 2025 @07:24PM (#42913385)
Women's sports just took time. I do sports photography for a lot of events which gives me some input for an opinion.

When it comes to soccer at Ithaca College the men play a very physical but kinda stupid game which has a lot of hard running and kicking and headers but very little sense of space. The women play much smarter soccer that looks more like good pro soccer, where, ideally everybody knows where their team mates are supposed to be and what to do to confound the opposition. More people turn up for a women's game in the rain than turn up for a men's game in the shine. They're both entertaining in their own way.

At Cornell I think the men play better than the women categorically but that's not about men or women, it's about the coaching staff, the recruiting, the priorities of the schools, etc.

Last Friday I went to a double header of women's and men's basketball at IC. The women's game was unequal but I was focused on getting good shots of the players and not thinking about the quality of the play. One of the men from the away team promised me that if I stuck around I'd see a much more entertaining game, I said I wouldn't miss it. It was 12-0 for Ithaca at the beginning so I was getting worried they wouldn't come but Hobart did and it was like 63-60 at the end. Side by side the men were so much bigger, so much faster, so much more intense. Still I like the competition and teamwork of women's ball and would rather show up in person at any college game of either gender and watch the NBA on TV.

I think time will tell what's right about fair competition, in the meantime women's soccer and basketball at the pro level is becoming a big business in the US.

In my mind 'patriarchy' is a thought stopping word. We picture the Hebrew god as an old man on a throne with a beard. One take on it is that it's got nothing to do with woman at all except as tokens, it's really a game of status where young men and poor men are dominated by rich men and old men. It's particularly harmful when it comes to discussing the 'incel' phenomenon which mainly affects straight men (slightly more likely to be black or asian!) but also affects women and gay men.

People like J K Rowling don't have a choice but to get cooked by right wing social media because there isn't a sensible discourse from the left.

I do believe in free will. If you think moral agency matters, you have to believe we have a choice. I think genes and epigenetics matter more than people want to admit and hell yeah there are bad environments. But in the end you've got a choice. The 'bad' thing I see is not so much virtue or vice but more like inflammation, as in the medical condition.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by skissane on Monday February 03, 2025 @04:24PM (#42923398)
> It is an objectively true moral statement that minority rights ought not depend on majority opinion (that is the whole point of constitutionalism). To the extent that minority rights depend on majority opinion in reality, that is a deficiency of political systems. All of us exist in deficient political systems.

No constitution is an absolute guarantee of the rights of any minority. Constitutions contain roadblocks to slow down the majority when its desires conflict with the rights and interests of minorities, but a sufficiently determined supermajority retains the ability to overcome all those roadblocks. At the end of the day, almost all constitutions can be amended, even if with some difficulty – no matter how many constitutional provisions you have to protect minority rights, if the constitution can be amended, then those provisions can be altered or repealed.

The alternative is a constitution which is impossible to amend, no matter how large a supermajority of the population wants it amended. That's fundamentally antidemocratic, and could be described as a form of constitutional tyranny.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by lupusreal on Sunday February 02, 2025 @04:59PM (#42912265)
Paul, I agree with most of the points you've raised in this thread and share your concerns about the way troubled people may be manipulated online in ways that make their problems worse. However I just want to caution you on the point of your experiences on Mastadon. As people in technology industries, it is natural for us to spend a lot of time online, particularly in places which are off the mainstream beaten path like HN, Mastadon, IRC, etc. But for much of the general public this isn't normal, they spend less time online and when they do go online it's usually in mainstream places like Facebook. People who are "very online" and off the beaten path, if not in a tech field, are very often people who have a lot of problems IRL and retreat to online spaces as a refuge of sorts. So there's a selection bias in play here, the trans people you encounter online, particularly outside of mainstream social platforms, are less likely to be socially healthy than the average trans person IRL.

In short, nerds and nutjobs are overrepresented online so any conclusion you reach about groups of people using experiences you've had online need to be taken with a massive grain of salt.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by sunshowers on Sunday February 02, 2025 @02:34PM (#42911077)
I'm aware that the vast majority of cis people have incorrect empirical and moral beliefs about trans people. I try to be kind and empathetic, and I have personally spent a lot of my time educating the cis people in my personal life (to some success). But the crisis we are in right now is created by cis people, not by trans people.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by chasd00 on Sunday February 02, 2025 @10:28AM (#42909232)
I don’t think there’s enough trans people for everyone to have first hand exposure. I’m not aware of any in my neighborhood.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by JumpCrisscross on Saturday February 01, 2025 @07:56PM (#42904371)
> don't think that you need to be a Christian to empathise

They're saying that a minority of evangelists and rapey priests have been making Christianity look bad for decades.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by llamaimperative on Saturday February 01, 2025 @08:42PM (#42904748)
FWIW I don't think it's so much the minority of directly guilty parties, but the institutional circling of the wagons when someone is caught. This often seems to extend to literally the tippy top of whatever congregation it occurs in (including e.g. the Pope).

But in any case, yeah: you don't have enough information from this type of stuff to make good judgments about individuals in any scenario.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by o11c on Saturday February 01, 2025 @09:24PM (#42905038)
Despite what news headlines love to say, I'm not sure "circling the wagons when someone is caught" has been accurate in the English-speaking world since the 1990s. Often it's more "please don't blame the people who had no knowledge and who had already made rules that would've prevented the situation if actually followed." By far the majority of pedophiles are lone operators within the organization.

Two things that are obvious when explicitly stated but unintuitive otherwise:

* Abusers deliberately target people with a poor reputation; particularly, a known history of lying about other matters.

* If the group does their own investigation, the media will condemn them for it. If the group leaves the investigation up to the government, the media will condemn them for it.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by cycomanic on Saturday February 01, 2025 @10:52PM (#42905649)
I encourage you to read up on George Pell. Circling wagons and protecting abusers definitely comes to mind.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by o11c on Saturday February 01, 2025 @11:25PM (#42905800)
There's a reason I qualified "since the 90s". For the sake of this argument I'll assume all allegations are true related to him, but that doesn't invalidate my statement.

Since the 90s we have seen 2 things, which change the picture entirely:

* organizations are acutely aware of the issue, and thus make structural actions to both make offenses less likely and improve documentation regardless; and

* technology has improved so there is much more evidence, both to convict and to acquit.

... I can't actually locate a single allegation where the occurrence was after 2000, now that I look for them.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by llamaimperative on Saturday February 01, 2025 @09:48PM (#42905208)
Sometimes, sure. Sometimes it’s circling the wagons.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by duskwuff on Saturday February 01, 2025 @09:13PM (#42904973)
Or perhaps the converse: Christians have a long and unfortunate history of persecuting Jews over the literal blood libel [1].

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blood_libel

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by RamRodification on Saturday February 01, 2025 @07:50PM (#42904304)
I think their point was that they feel they have experienced the same treatment that the trans person is describing, but because of their faith. So it was kinda necessary to bring it up in order to convey that.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by hitekker on Saturday February 01, 2025 @07:56PM (#42904375)
The GP merely mentioned their experience in support of a victim. I'm not sure why you rushed to silence the GP and belittle their understanding of their own religion.

Seems a bit prejudiced.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by all2 on Saturday February 01, 2025 @07:46PM (#42904273)
> I don't think that you need to be a Christian to empathise with anyone. The big geezer's (JC) teachings imply to me that keeping quiet about your faith and simply doing good (for a given value of good) is the Way.

I encourage you to read the four gospels at the beginning of the New Testament. Jesus didn't teach "shut up and let your good works speak for you". No, he was very much more in your face than that. He spent all of his ministry preaching (IE, talking about God and religion) and teaching and healing.

> ... tell you to keep it quiet

Uh, no? See Matthew 28:18-20

    And Jesus came and spake unto them, saying, All power is given unto me in heaven and in earth.

    Go ye therefore, and teach all nations, baptizing them in the name of the Father, and of the Son, and of the Holy Ghost:

    Teaching them to observe all things whatsoever I have commanded you: and, lo, I am with you alway, even unto the end of the world. Amen.

The "Great Commission" as we call it, is a command to spread the good news of Jesus Christ; His death, resurrection, and the promise of eternal life for those who choose to follow him.

> There is no need to put your religious heart on your sleeve

I spoke as one aggrieved class to another. Modern Christians get a lot of hate for things that have happened in the past, because we wear the name of our God.

As for wearing a 'religious heart on my sleeve', I have nothing if not the hope of forgiveness and grace from the Almighty. Of course I'm going to wear it on my sleeve.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by porknubbins on Saturday February 01, 2025 @09:11PM (#42904960)
Keeping quiet about your faith is probably a wise and respectful way of navigating a multi-cultural, multi-religious society but I don’t think its particulally supported Bibically as most of the New Testamemt after the gospels is about spreading the faith.

Jesus says not to pray loudly like the Pharisees which could be interpreted as not bragging about ones faith, but he also says “Whoever acknowledges me before men, I will also acknowledge before my Father in heaven” so it seems like an instruction to share faith with others.

In present day USA if you loudly announce your faith its hard to escape tribalism associations so I agree with your advice, but I also think its important not to water down religion by ignoring the parts that do not fit with modern sensibilities because then we are having a totally different conversation.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by DaftDank on Saturday February 01, 2025 @11:00PM (#42905692)
The most genuinely good person I've known, my wife's very devout grandmother, who belonged to the United Church of Christ and whose husband was a preacher for a United Methodist Church, never once went out of her way to proselytize (in my presence at least.) That's not to say she wouldn't talk about God or her beliefs if it was somehow directly relevant to a conversation, but I never saw her trying to "spread the word" just to do so. She emphasized caring for others and the "love your neighbor as yourself," part. Her favorite scripture was the story of the Good Samaritan and that was what she requested to be read at her funeral. She didn't spend time talking about what Jesus wanted, or trying to convince you to believe, she set the example by living it.

The unfortunate part is, in my 38 years of existence, she is possibly the first "real" Christian I've known: Christian through her acts, not just her words. In the Parable of the Sheep and the Goats, Jesus bases judgment not on religious rituals or verbal professions of faith, but on acts of compassion towards others: feeding the hungry, giving drink to the thirsty, welcoming the stranger, clothing the unclothed, caring for the sick, and visiting the imprisoned. This seems to emphasize practical love and concern for the vulnerable as true evidence of discipleship, rather than one's ability to proselytize.

Isn't the most important part of the New Testament the Gospels and almost everything that comes after is more about institutional Christianity? Acts, describing the spread of Christianity after Jesus' ascension, with little new information about his teachings. Epistles focus primarily on doctrine, ethics, and church organization rather than Jesus' words and actions. Revelations...well I'll leave that to others to interpret.

If Christianity is built around Jesus, shouldn't his teachings and words be the focus rather than the institution of Christianity itself? I don't think there is anything wrong with proselytizing per se, it's obviously critical to ensuring the survival and expansion of any belief system and from an evolutionary standpoint, ideas that encourage their own reproduction tend to thrive. But it seems misguided to focus on spreading the faith rather than doing all the things Jesus says you should do.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by gerdesj on Sunday February 02, 2025 @06:55PM (#42913158)
I seem to have dug out quite a few notions on what religion is all about here on HN, from the shout from the roof tops to "a bit of a chat" - obviously my original comment was DV'd to oblivion.

For me, religion starts and stops from within. I am not an evangelist - my God is mine and your's is yours. I'll tell you what I'm about and no more.

"Still small Voice of quiet" not "Hell fire and damnation".

I will dive in with a gentle nudge but never an exhortation.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by eigenheart on Saturday February 01, 2025 @10:06PM (#42905345)
Jesus did not instruct His disciples to remain quiet and do good as the Way. Jesus instructed His disciples to follow His commandments which includes sharing the gospel with all creatures in all the world (Mark 16:15, Luke 14:23). May the Lord bless you and keep you.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by kurikuri on Saturday February 01, 2025 @08:04PM (#42904449)
Careful, it sounds as if your equivocating the strain felt by Christians as similar in magnitude to those felt by being trans. Surely, that isn’t your intent, correct?
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by fsckboy on Saturday February 01, 2025 @08:17PM (#42904545)
that's not what equivocate means; I think you mean equating
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by Muromec on Saturday February 01, 2025 @08:16PM (#42904539)
Majority is the new marginalized minority it seems.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by transmission77 on Saturday February 01, 2025 @08:42PM (#42904752)
Don’t police others. It’s bossy.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by Rebelgecko on Saturday February 01, 2025 @09:22PM (#42905035)
Yikes, I know you don't mean to come across this way but some people might interpret your comment as tone policing from a place of privilege
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by bogota on Saturday February 01, 2025 @10:39PM (#42905574)
… i can’t think of a faster way to lose support from others.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by harimau777 on Saturday February 01, 2025 @11:33PM (#42905858)
I'm not sure that really captures how it works. For a given individual, being blamed for something you didn't do, maybe even shunned for it, sucks regardless of the reason. I don't think it's productive to try the weigh one person's emotional hurt from being shunned against another's.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by LeoPanthera on Saturday February 01, 2025 @08:34PM (#42904685)
But you choose to be a Christian.

No-one choses to be trans.

This is not a useful analogy.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by skissane on Saturday February 01, 2025 @10:00PM (#42905295)
> But you choose to be a Christian.

I think it is more complex than that. Some people, they've been raised in a religion, it's been part of their life since they've been a small child. They never sought it out and actively chose it for themselves, they inherited it from their parents and their ancestors. It can be a very deep part of their identity.

Also, try replacing the word "Christian" there with "Muslim" or "Jew", and see how it sounds.

> No-one choses to be trans.

I think transgender feelings exist on a spectrum. Some people don't have any. Some people have a tiny inkling of it that they know is never going to go anywhere. Other people, they are very strong, and they are convinced they'll never be happy unless they live life true to them. But, there are people in the middle, for whom it is more of a choice whether to cultivate these feelings or suppress them – and they might be able to find happiness going down either path. For them, being "trans" is a choice – it wasn't a choice to have those feelings to begin with, but they have a real choice about what to do with them – and if they choose to suppress them, and manage to find happiness in doing so – aren't they in a sense choosing not to be trans? But conversely, if they make the opposite choice – are they not choosing to be trans? From which I think it follows, some people really do choose to be or not to be trans – which isn't to say there aren't other people for whom there isn't anywhere near as much choice involved in it.

I have no idea how big a group of people this "people in the middle" is, but I suspect it may be bigger than you think. It isn't the kind of thing one goes around telling everyone about.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by PaulHoule on Saturday February 01, 2025 @09:27PM (#42905062)
My best friend in college knew she was a woman when she was a small child (though her mom and her birth certificate disagreed.) Nobody was going to talk her out of it. She got kicked out of the Air Force Academy on account of it. The nation's loss was my gain because she was the most awesome engineering student and science fiction fan and after working in many military-industrial complex jobs she's working on a project to return a sample home from the moon.

My son has two friends. One fell under the spell of blackpill incels, thinks he is not tall enough even though he's an inch above the mean, wants to break his legs to extend them and get taller, hasn't talked to my son for two years because my son said what his real height was in an online chat. Rumor has it he's taken anabolic steroids (but hasn't done any weighlifting or athletic training.)

The other fell under the spell of a self-described "egg-hatcher" who "aggressively" (his friend's word) worked on him for a year and a half to convince him that his being out of sync with other people was a sign he was trans. I knew him pretty well as an elementary school student and he didn't give any sign of variant gender identity then, although like my son and myself he was always a little 'weird'. (He uses a different pronoun and name at his job but tells us it is OK for us call him 'he' and use his own name so we do.) He's taking a cocktail of drugs that gets prescribed via telemedicine and was telling us about the serious side effects he was suffering: one of these drugs, spironolactone, is primarily a drug that alters your mineral metabolism but has the effect of suppressing testosterone if you take 20x the normal dose. (My doc gives it to me for my blood pressure.) He has insatiable cravings for salt as a result.

I completely believe my transsexual friend from college is for real. I believe my son's transgender friend is making a mistake; I support him as an individual and feel I owe him a lot as a person I knew from a young age but I believe he's a victim of a cult-like movement, as is my son's first friend.

(Note a lot of Christian people are brought into it by their family before they're able to make a choice by their own judgement)

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by jacoblambda on Saturday February 01, 2025 @10:30PM (#42905511)
> He's taking a cocktail of drugs that gets prescribed via telemedicine and was telling us about the serious side effects he was suffering: one of these drugs, spironolactone, is primarily a drug that alters your mineral metabolism but has the effect of suppressing testosterone if you take 20x the normal dose. (My doc gives it to me for my blood pressure.) He has insatiable cravings for salt as a result.

It's worth noting that while Spironolactone can be used to suppress testosterone, that's not really what it's used for. Rather it weakly blocks androgen receptors so it makes the body act like the testosterone isn't there or is lower than it actually is. And this is effective at a far lower dose than the testosterone "suppression".

This is why it's sometimes prescribed to women for hair loss, improper hair growth, and/or acne.

It's for that purpose that it's normally prescribed in trans healthcare and it's generally only temporarily (~3-9 months) prescribed while an estradiol regimen suppresses testosterone production. After that it can be dropped with the estradiol doing the rest of the work.

And outside the US it's far less commonly prescribed for this purpose with other androgen antagonists generally being preferred but US doctors tend to be more weary of those other medications and therefore prefer spironolactone.

So while said kid may be a bit "weird" in your eyes, nothing about this really seems unusual. At worst they probably just need to ask their doctor to prescribe a different androgen antagonist instead of spironolactone.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by DrewRWx on Saturday February 01, 2025 @10:41PM (#42905580)
Thank you for providing this exhaustive and necessary context.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by titanomachy on Sunday February 02, 2025 @01:58AM (#42906665)
I don't think it's the spironolactone part that was concerning, but that the idea of the new gender identity came from someone else and lots of convincing was required.

It reminds me of a friend I have who is quite severely depressed and has gone through a wide range of sexual identities. Straight, to asexual, then gay, then polyamorously bisexual, and now back to monogamously straight. Each change she excitedly explained to me that she had unlocked some deep secret to her identity and now her whole life made sense. This happened well into her adult years, not adolescence.

Some people seem to have a strong sense of a "missing piece" in their lives, and might be susceptible to latching on to almost any identity or community if it can explain that feeling.

EDIT: Because of the current barrage that trans people are under, I should clarify that I know trans people who have a deep and abiding certainty that their gender is different from what it says on their birth certificate; my above comment is not meant to include those people.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by gosub100 on Sunday February 02, 2025 @04:20AM (#42907403)
Another factor is the media outrage machine. Being a part of a conflict is appealing to some, for the same reasons that some people join the military. I could see this appetite for conflict leading some people to falsely claim to be trans. Whereas they wouldn't if people were more accepting of it, and the media didn't frame every story in a way that showcases outrage.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by PaulHoule on Sunday February 02, 2025 @08:58AM (#42908665)
So far as the "media barrage" my experience is that I got a lot more negative about the trans movement when I joined Mastodon a few years ago and got exposed to their own words.

My trans friend in college suffered terribly because her mother disowned her. I can say as a parent though, if I saw my child was involved with people who were as hateful and negative as the trans people I see on Mastodon, I'd think "I'd do anything at all to spare my child from that suffering."

---

I think "asexual", as a fashionable label, is particularly harmful. I've met a lot of people who are definitely sexual who went on a phase of glomming on to it and it certainly contributed to their misunderstanding of themselves.

The proliferation of labels about sexuality seems harmful to me (polyamorous is another, BDSM people introduce 10s of them, like you couldn't possible be articulate about your desires but you imagine there is some place where you can pick them off a menu)

My recent experience is that when something squicky goes down or a paraphilia rears its ugly head the people you can trust the least are the ones who talk about sex as if they were liberated or who claim to have some subaltern identity. I think people like this are dangerous not just as direct social connections but even if they are 2, 3 or 4 steps removed.

This classic of French theory

https://monoskop.org/images/9/96/Baudrillard_Jean_Seduction....

has a great part near the beginning about how glib talk about sexuality is a trap, not a way to liberation.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by titanomachy on Sunday February 02, 2025 @12:10PM (#42909949)
I don’t assume that I can know anything about another person’s experience of the world. But from the outside, I agree that some communities seem full of deeply aggrieved and unhappy people who seem intent on dragging others into their miserable worldview.

But lots of non-gender-related online communities also look like that to me: some political groups, antiwork, etc.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by jacoblambda on Sunday February 02, 2025 @01:12PM (#42910445)
To be honest I don't think that's really concerning. It's not unusual for people even into their late 20s to experiment and figure themselves out. And sometimes that experimentation is influenced by the people we surround ourselves with.

People have done this all the way back time eternal, the only thing that's different today is that people are allowed to be more open about it and that there are many discrete labels that allow people to easily describe what they are specifically feeling.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by PaulHoule on Sunday February 02, 2025 @10:06AM (#42909075)
This person's 'weirdness' is, I think, a neurodivergence which I won't offer a diagnosis of.

I don't think a gender transition will make this person whole, this person will just be a weird person who is also trans. The old problem will persist but now he (maybe she or something else later) will have additional side effects and other baggage not to mention lost opportunities such as not being able to be a father.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by jacoblambda on Sunday February 02, 2025 @01:20PM (#42910507)
The goal is not to make yourself whole and even if it didn't work out, they could de-transition (and should be supported in doing so). Stopping HRT (as long as you at least temporarily take HRT in the opposite direction to kickstart things again) has little in the way of long term effects.

> not to mention lost opportunities such as not being able to be a father.

This isn't true. Even if you stay trans the entire rest of your life you can still often have kids. This goes for trans women, trans men, and nonbinary people. Generally at worst you'd just need to supplement with some hormones to support fertility but often even that isn't necessary.

But supposing someone de-transitioned, fertility generally returns completely or near completely within 6 months to a year.

The only case where you can't "undo" any degree of loss of fertility is with an orchiectomy (testicle removal) but even then the standard procedure is to preserve sufficient semen in cold storage for future use.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by wholinator2 on Saturday February 01, 2025 @10:45PM (#42905614)
I'll say, being in some subreddits around these things, there really is a subculture which attributes nearly all abnormalities, disharmonies, regrets, or desires around gender to the person being trans. Like, they speak as if they already know what this person is going to do in the future, like they understand more from one message than this person knows about themselves from their entire life. It's mostly young kids doing this to other young kids, the same way social pressure has played out for millennia, i assume. But this is a new way it's being expressed, i think it's on the adults (as it always is) to explain to the kids that asserting facts about other people's genders or desires is exactly what we were trying to stop, and that it's very disrespectful, disenfranchising, dehumanizing to assert someone else's inner world is something you know better than them. I've said as much when I've come across it, no one's ever tried to fight me about it
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by maroonblazer on Saturday February 01, 2025 @08:48PM (#42904803)
I was raised Catholic but no longer practice. Many Christians don't believe they choose Christianity. They believe they are 'called by Christ' to serve.

So, I think the analogy, at least for those people, holds.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by sunshowers on Sunday February 02, 2025 @12:00AM (#42905979)
No one chooses to be anything. There is no free will and there never has been.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by brookst on Sunday February 02, 2025 @12:26AM (#42906159)
I’m sorry you had no choice but to post that nonsense.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by skissane on Sunday February 02, 2025 @12:26AM (#42906161)
> No one chooses to be anything. There is no free will and there never has been.

I think this is a very confused remark. You are mixing up the existence of choices with the philosophical question of the nature and existence of "free will".

I had a real choice as to what to eat for breakfast this morning. There were several live options and I chose one of them and discarded the others. Was that choice of mine "free"? Was it "predetermined"? That's a vexed philosophical question. But however we answer it – it was still a "choice". An unfree choice, a predetermined choice, is still a choice. Choice is a process in the mind/brain, the subjective experiences associated with those processes, an externally observable behaviour – and whether or not it is free, whether or not it is determined, it obviously exists.

By contrast, I did not have any choice at all as to the circumstances of my birth–the day and month and year in which I was born, the place and country, who my parents are, what chromosomes I have, etc. And that, likewise, is true completely independently of how we answer philosophical debates over free will

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by sunshowers on Sunday February 02, 2025 @12:43AM (#42906259)
I'm not confused at all. I just don't think compatibilism is legitimate :)

I absolutely do not believe anyone chooses to be of any religion. It's just luck.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by skissane on Sunday February 02, 2025 @12:53AM (#42906321)
Plenty of incompatibilist determinists agree that choices exist, they just deny that they are in any meaningful sense "free"

Whereas you said "No one chooses to be anything", which is a denial of the existence of choice altogether

Whether or not you are confused inside your own head, you are expressing yourself in an imprecise and confusing way

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by card_zero on Sunday February 02, 2025 @01:16AM (#42906419)
It seems to go like this:

Compatibilists: free will is a term for something real that we do.

Incompatibilists: no, that thing is trivial and should have a different name. Free will is a term for something impossible. But despite being impossible it's a meaningful concept. And it's somehow hugely important and deserves a name.

I'm unclear about the motivation for this, especially the last part.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by sunshowers on Sunday February 02, 2025 @02:14AM (#42906753)
My specific issue is with moral responsibility, which I believe is out of one's control. (So for example I don't think developers are to morally blame for writing bad code.)
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by skissane on Sunday February 02, 2025 @03:08AM (#42907033)
Yes, but there again you are conflating three separate questions:

(1) Do we have choices?

(2) Are our choices "free"?

(3) Should we be held morally responsible for our choices?

How we answer (1) and (2) doesn't necessarily determine how we answer (3). And if (3) is your real point, maybe you should focus on that, rather than confusing things by conflating it with (1) and (2).

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by sunshowers on Sunday February 02, 2025 @04:31AM (#42907466)
I just don't think people being religious is different in kind from people being trans. (Degree, yes, but not kind.)

I'm saying as an irreligious trans person who sees the wreckage that fundamentalist religion is causing on my community at the moment.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by skissane on Sunday February 02, 2025 @05:10AM (#42907670)
And if that’s your ultimate point, I’m not going to disagree with you.

But I still think several things you said on the way here were put in a rather imprecise and conflationary way.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by card_zero on Monday February 03, 2025 @08:20AM (#42917928)
Blame is a messy idea. I'm big on morality, it's how we know what to do next - what we should do, and "should" is a word indicating that a moral idea follows. Without morality I'd be (even more) like a sessile sponge, incapable of action. "Why bother?" is a moral question.

So one can say "I should do XYZ", but this soon descends into blame: "hey you, why didn't you do XYZ?", and that can be mean-spirited recrimination to do with bullying and social pressure, coercion and guilt and labelling people as no good, and main function of the question might not be to seek an answer.

Or, more rarely, it might be an honest enquiry into philosophical differences, or practical problems. Developers shouldn't write bad code. But they do, so we can "blame" them for it. That doesn't mean we should hurl rotten vegetables at most of them. On Wikipedia, I routinely blame people for fucking up an article, but the objective isn't to make them feel bad, it's to fix the article (and to check their reasons, to make sure that I'm not the one with the bad idea). Blame is one thing, but what to do with blame is a separate question.

It's definitely about the way people function, though, about enquiring into their mistakes and motivations. They have "responsibility" in the sense of being expected to respond to "why did you do XYZ?", and even if the answer is "it was inevitable because of the way I am", there's still more practical aspects of the answer ("because I was sleepy, because I was trying to avoid PQR, because I like XYZ") in which to seek knowledge. If we're all autonoma, so what: these autonoma want to solve moral problems.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by skissane on Monday February 03, 2025 @04:15PM (#42923259)
Historically, ideas of "moral responsibility" are strongly linked with retributive punishment.

If you did something wrong, and you are morally responsible for it, then we are morally permitted (or even obliged) to make you suffer for it (where "suffer" can mean potentially anything from mild social opprobrium up to torture and execution). If you did something wrong, but (for whatever reason) lack moral responsibility for it, then it is morally wrong for us to make you suffer for it. If your moral responsibility is impaired but not completely absent, then it is wrong for us to make you suffer to the normal degree, but it might be justifiable for us to do so to a more limited degree.

But, many people today reject the idea of retributive punishment. And if you do so, it isn't clear how important the concept of "moral responsibility" still is. It is a logically coherent position to accept the evaluative/axiological aspects of morality (the labelling of states of affairs as "good" or "evil" or "neutral", their ranking as greater or lesser goods/evils), and its prescriptive aspects (you ought to do this, you ought not do that, you may do this but you aren't obliged to), while rejecting the concept of "moral responsibility" as misconceived, useless, harmful and/or erroneous.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by skissane on Sunday February 02, 2025 @02:02AM (#42906685)
I don't identify as an incompatibilist, but to try to steelman their position:

Some incompatiblist determinists might view metaphysical libertarianism as a logically coherent possibility, albeit a false one. They might then view "free will" as useful in naming a way the universe coherently could have been, but turned out to actually not be – much like they might view Ptolemaic epicycles, phlogiston, the luminiferous aether, and steady state theory. And, much as a person might object to the position "the luminiferous aether is actually true, if we redefine all the terms involved to refer to concepts from special and general relativity" as a form of unhelpful obscurantism, they might view compatibilist determinism as doing the same kind of thing to metaphysically libertarian free will.

There's also the other kind of incompatibilism: metaphysical libertarianism is itself a form of incompatibilism. Both incompatibilist determinists and metaphysical libertarians agree that determinism and free will are incompatible. They just disagree on whether that means we should junk free will or junk determinism.

Although I think here "determinism" is a bit of a misnomer. Most physical determinists don't actually have a problem with the idea that there might be irreducible quantum indeterminism (whether or not they believe there actually is). An incompatibilist determinist would say "a clock doesn't have free will, and a roulette wheel doesn't either, so neither can some hybrid between the two". A compatibilist determinist will say that whether it is a clock or a roulette wheel or a hybrid of them, if it gets sufficiently complicated in the right ways, then it will have free will. For both, the real objection is to metaphysically libertarian ideas that human choice involves some irreducible "third thing" which is neither deterministic causation nor impersonal chance, nor any mere combination of the two. There are also claims (e.g. by Roger Penrose) that quantum indeterminism operates in some special way within the human brain, different from how it operates normally, and that human free will is somehow rooted in that. Many "determinists" (whether compatibilist or incompatibilist) would view that as uncomfortably close to metaphysical libertarianism, even if it does attempt to partly replace the transcendental metaphysics with something closer to the realm of the empirically testable (even if not quite there). But, while "quantum indeterminism operates in a very special way in the human brain" makes them uncomfortable, I don't think most of them view in the same way "quantum indeterminism is real and irreducible, but it doesn't operate in the human brain in any way differently from how it operates anywhere else"–again, whether or not they actually believe it. Some will prefer purely deterministic interpretations of quantum theory instead, such as many worlds or de Broglie–Bohm theory–but that debate has no inherent connection to the topic of human free will.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by sunshowers on Sunday February 02, 2025 @01:11AM (#42906392)
Yes, we probably are using the word "choice" differently.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by skissane on Sunday February 02, 2025 @01:25AM (#42906478)
But that's my point – the standard philosophical definition separates the existence of choice from the question of whether it is free or unfree – but you aren't using the standard philosophical definition, because you are conflating those two issues.

And you aren't using the standard common sense definition either – for, surely per the common sense definition, this is true: "I can choose what I eat for breakfast, but I can't choose what Donald Trump eats for breakfast" (because the first is clearly within the scope of my own personal causal power and influence, the second is well outside it) – yet by your own definitions you'd have to reject that statement, and say "no, you're wrong, you can't choose what you eat for breakfast" – whereas most incompatiblists would instead say "yes, you can choose what you can eat for breakfast, and you can't choose what Donald Trump eats for breakfast – but your choice of what to eat for breakfast isn't free"

So I'm using the word "choice" in the standard way, and you're using it in your own personal idiosyncratic way

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by dutchbookmaker on Sunday February 02, 2025 @01:25PM (#42910548)
Sapolsky's book Determined is really the counter to your post.

I don't want to believe what that book says but it is quite a strong argument. It is really too sweeping and complicated to discuss in this format though. It really would need an entire counter book to it that dissects each point.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by skissane on Sunday February 02, 2025 @04:10PM (#42911867)
I don't agree.

The point of my comment was not whether free will exists or not – it was whether choices exist or not.

I haven't read Salopsky's book myself, but I don't believe it argues that choices don't exist, only that they aren't free. And the comment to which you are replying wasn't expressing any stance on the question of whether our choices are "free" or not, only distinguishing it from the separate question of whether they exist at all.

That said, the impression I've gathered of his book – e.g. the review in The Atlantic by Kieran Setiya (a professor of philosophy at MIT) – doesn't impress me – Sapolsky largely ignores the philosophical literature on the topic, despite its essentially philosophical nature. "Free will" is more fundamentally a question of philosophy than neuroscience, because a big part of the debate is how the phrase "free will" should even be defined – and that kind of definitional question is one in which neuroscientists have no special competence, but for philosophers it is their bread and butter.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kieran_Setiya

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by sunshowers on Sunday February 02, 2025 @06:14PM (#42912890)
Thank you for referring to that review [0]. I think it is a pretty standard compatibilist argument, which accepts that everything about a person, including the degree of "willpower" one has, is determined by prior causes, and yet still attempts to salvage a notion of free will out of it.

This argument doesn't engage with the fact that the common understanding of free will is as a fundamentally supernatural belief, and also intricately tied to moral responsibility. So compatibilists might be better served by tabooing the phrase—which some do, replacing it with "free choice" or similar.

There's also this bit:

> Still, when you act with indifference to the rights and needs of others, we can blame you for what you do—unless you have a good excuse. What counts as an excuse is a question of morality, not metaphysics.

When developers write code with security bugs, there are sometimes "good" excuses for it and sometimes not. We tried apportioning blame for many years, and it never worked. What worked is large-scale tooling and environment changes. I believe this generalizes quote broadly.

[0] https://archive.is/20231223221002/https://www.theatlantic.co...

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by skissane on Monday February 03, 2025 @12:26AM (#42915249)
Regarding your point about moral responsibility: while I agree it is a major motivator for human belief in free will, it isn’t the only one. Added to that, while belief in free will and belief in moral responsibility are strongly correlated, neither is a necessary logical consequence of the other - believing in either but not the other is a facially logically coherent, even if somewhat rare, position

> This argument doesn't engage with the fact that the common understanding of free will is as a fundamentally supernatural belief,

I disagree. I don’t think the average person’s belief in “free will” is “fundamentally supernatural”. Most people say they believe in “free will”, but (unless they’ve had some exposure to philosophy) they are pretty vague about what it actually is.

If by “supernatural” you mean “religious”, I think you might be overestimating how much influence religion has on the average person’s views on the topic. While it is true the majority of Christian denominations will endorse some version of metaphysical libertarianism in theory, it is a rather secondary doctrine - the Bible never explicitly discusses the topic, and opinions differ on whether or not it presumes it implicitly. [0] The Nicene Creed, which most Christians accept as a statement of the most important points of Christian teaching, never explicitly mentions it either. In many denominations, services will rarely or never address it. Hence, for many Christians, Christianity doesn’t contribute a lot to their understanding of “free will”, because it just isn’t the focus of a great deal of Christian teaching

Now, of course, there are exceptions: for example, there are the Free Will Baptists, for whom the concept of “free will” is so important, they even put it in their name-but they are minuscule in comparison to Christianity as a whole

In fact, some Christians are compatibilist determinists. There are actually two main forms of determinism - physical determinism (all our choices are predetermined by physical processes) and theological determinism (all our choices are predetermined by God’s will)-and the compatibilist versus incompatibilist distinction exists for both. Most Calvinists reject metaphysical libertarianism in favour of compatibilist theological determinism, although a minority (primarily the so-called “hyper-Calvinists”) are incompatibilist theological determinists instead.

[0] I’ll limit the discussion to Christianity, in part for reasons of space, but I think if you look at Judaism or Islam you will find it is a similar situation - most Jews and Muslims will affirm belief in “free will”, but both religions tend to spend relatively little time on this topic in comparison to others, especially if one is talking about the experiences of the average follower, as opposed to the arcane theological debates covered in advanced study

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by username332211 on Saturday February 01, 2025 @10:58PM (#42905674)
How does that work, precisely?

Or to be more direct, how do you work?

You choose to be a Christian and the idea that a God exists makes sense to you? It's not that the arguments for it are strong, you just choose to believe them.

Then atheism becomes fashionable and your old thoughts stop making sense to you? Not because of any new evidence, refutation or anything of the sort, but simply because you make a choice.

Are your politics the same?

Do you believe in the existence of truth? If you do, are your professed beliefs just a facade?

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by aoanevdus on Sunday February 02, 2025 @12:19AM (#42906113)
As a former christian, I don’t agree with that at all. I consider my ability to stop believing to be an opportunity that I was lucky enough to receive based on being exposed to the right ideas at the right time in my life. I wouldn’t for a moment look down on anyone who kept believing because they had a different life experience.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by mitthrowaway2 on Saturday February 01, 2025 @07:48PM (#42904292)
Absolutely. I think the rationalists feel this way too.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by FeepingCreature on Sunday February 02, 2025 @09:02AM (#42908686)
Can confirm.

Zizianism is not a logical outgrowth of rationality for many, many reasons. These people are just crazy.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by tmshapland on Saturday February 01, 2025 @08:48PM (#42904795)
Keep fighting, Sterlind. Most people aren't full of hate. Just the assholes who take the time to comment mean things on social platforms.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by SubiculumCode on Saturday February 01, 2025 @09:40PM (#42905153)
Thank you for being you. Stay safe; the consequences of this election are ugly.
[dead]
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by wronginternet4 on Saturday February 01, 2025 @10:17PM (#42905426)
1.6% of US adults are trans or non-binary https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2022/06/07/about-5-o...

1.6 million in the US https://williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu/wp-content/uploads/Tr...

3% worldwide https://www.statista.com/statistics/1269778/gender-identity-...

And considering the current climate, I can imagine these numbers are under reported.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by Muromec on Saturday February 01, 2025 @10:02PM (#42905316)
Have some empathy and shame
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by bufferoverflow on Sunday February 02, 2025 @01:00AM (#42906356)
Empathy to the trans murder cult? Are you for real?
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by Muromec on Sunday February 02, 2025 @05:09AM (#42907662)
Maybe I'm missing some context, but I'm under impression that nobody here (upthread from this comment) is advocating, representing or has anything to do whatsoever with murder cults. Discounting Christianity or US tax residency as a background levels of deathcultism of course.

There is however a living breathing person sharing their personal experiences, to which a polite response is not the one you see above (pushing their agenda, which contributes to those negative experiences).

I udnerstand that for the demographics represented here it's sometimes difficult to tell an abstract concept from a living person, thus the explicit call to have some fucking shame for a second.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by Arkhadia on Tuesday February 11, 2025 @09:06AM (#43012841)
Looks like my comment and others asking for data got flagged. Whose agenda is winning here? Hm?
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by chasd00 on Saturday February 01, 2025 @10:18PM (#42905431)
> Happy to provide numerous sources on this.

Please do.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by accengaged on Saturday February 01, 2025 @10:09PM (#42905363)
Remember that there are billions of humans on earth. A few million of a minority is a drop in the ocean of 8.02 billion!

Please check your empathy on a horrible situation for OP.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by accengaged on Saturday February 01, 2025 @10:05PM (#42905343)
Sorry this is happening to you.

What really shatters my faith in common sense is the fact that trans is a minority of a minority and is made out to be a problem when it's not.

Just remember that you have allies in this industry. Lots of love.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by adastra22 on Saturday February 01, 2025 @10:39PM (#42905571)
It’s not “like blood libel.” It is blood libel. It is literally the same thing.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by Muromec on Sunday February 02, 2025 @05:14AM (#42907683)
Nobody is literally Hitler because the man is for sure dead. Also nobody is literally nazi, as the party was disbanded, so we are all here somewhere on the spectrum between being and not being Hitlers, nazis, fascists or what not, if nothing else, by the fact of being humans (or other sort of sentient next-token-predictors).
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by adastra22 on Sunday February 02, 2025 @06:00AM (#42907870)
Why did you bring up Hitler? Blood libel predates that man. Blood libel is the baseless accusation dating to pre-modern tomes that Jews were/are murderers.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by angusturner on Saturday February 01, 2025 @11:51PM (#42905934)
I am so so sorry you have to deal with this. As an Australian I have been watching on in horror this week at the way trans persons are being demonized and oppressed in your country. I know HN is meant to be an apolitical space, but I hope that the mods here have the sense to allow a certain amount of push back again this fascist nonsense.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by mintplant on Saturday February 01, 2025 @11:59PM (#42905977)
Yes, this. Please. I am so very tired, every day I wake up to the news that more legal protections are being stripped from me and the people I care about. I didn't need "trans terror" flashed in my face in large boldface type on top of everything else tonight. The GP didn't make this clear, but The Post Millenial is apparently a far-right publication and the author of that article seems to have built his brand on painting large groups of people as violent.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by cjbgkagh on Sunday February 02, 2025 @12:30AM (#42906189)
I know I sound crazy saying what I'm about to say but it is the truth as I understand it and I think it's important.

It appears to me that there is a certain modality of thought that occurs much more often in people with hEDS, specifically those with TNXB SNPs. If you're super deep into type theory the odds substantially increase that you have hEDS - it's how I found out that I had it. And this same group is far more likely to be trans than the general population. A link that would be far more obvious if hEDS wasn't so underdiagnosed.

Additionally, it appears to me that mental disorders are often caused by auto-immune conditions which is extremely common in those with hEDS. So with a strong selection bias on math ability and trans and you're gonna end up with a lot of hEDS people who are strongly predisposed to mental disorders. I know someone with hEDS who obsessively studies the link between hEDS and serial killers - not something I want to be associated with the stats were pretty convicting. I do think it is possible that two TNXB SNPs are sufficient to explain why I think the way I do, why I'm far more like Ted Kaczynski than I would like to be. Of note; Ted Kaczynski did consider gender reassignment back in 1966.

Which is to say two things, I think what people are observing is a real phenomena and it is not purely from personal biases, though I'm not denying personal biases play a part in perception. And perhaps with that in mind the solution is in fact in diagnosing and treating the underlying auto-immune conditions. And to put a hat on a hat on my 'crazy' I think people are going to find that GLP1-Agonists like ozempic, specifically at the lower doses, are quite helpful in managing auto-immune conditions, among other things.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by taurath on Sunday February 02, 2025 @12:35AM (#42906225)
In my experience, it can often be trauma that causes the auto immunes. Seeing everything from a chemical standpoint only looks at half the picture. It’s hard to find a not traumatized autistic person for example.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by cjbgkagh on Sunday February 02, 2025 @12:44AM (#42906266)
I think it's circular, chicken and the egg. Especially if they were traumatized by their parents who themselves suffer undiagnosed auto-immune conditions. People without the auto-immune conditions can go through much more traumatizing conditions and not be anywhere nearly as adversely affected by it.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by cjbgkagh on Sunday February 02, 2025 @10:28AM (#42909231)
I should also add that the auto-immune stuff can be traumatizing on its own.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by esperent on Sunday February 02, 2025 @12:55AM (#42906331)
> It’s hard to find a not traumatized autistic person for example.

This is an extraordinary claim and needs evidence. Do you have a source for this?

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by taurath on Sunday February 02, 2025 @02:03AM (#42906692)
Here’s one - 90% of autistic teens w mood problems reported at least one trauma. 4x likelihood of having PTSD. Perhaps I exaggerated the totality but I do think the science is in on whether autistic people are more traumatized.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK573608/

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by esperent on Sunday February 02, 2025 @04:38AM (#42907501)
Thanks for sharing. That's an well written study and highlights a side of autism I didn't know about.

However, throughout the study they are very careful to point out both sides of the arrow of causality.

Direction one, autism causes trauma: autistic children and adults are more likely to experience traumatic events because of being autistic. This seems relatively well known known and, sadly, understandable.

Direction two, early childhood trauma causes autism: the study says that while there is data showing a link, there's not enough for it to be clear. It definitely seems that far from all children who experience trauma will develop autism, and also that far from all autistic children got that way via trauma. Obviously this is a tricky area to get data on.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by kragen on Sunday February 02, 2025 @03:29PM (#42911494)
This is not an extraordinary claim; it's an obvious one. Autistic sensory processing deficits make many everyday interactions traumatic, especially in childhood. It infuriates me that this isn't obvious to you and yet you posted a comment anyway.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by esperent on Sunday February 02, 2025 @06:46PM (#42913116)
The commenter above was claiming that trauma causes autism, not the other way around.

> it can often be trauma that causes the auto immunes... It’s hard to find a not traumatized autistic person

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by kragen on Sunday February 02, 2025 @08:00PM (#42913697)
I interpreted taurath to be saying that it is hard to untangle causality because autistic people are almost universally traumatized. Because we know autism causes trauma, it's very hard to tell if trauma causes autism. A slight variant on this is that we know that some of the symptoms of trauma and of autism are the same, and while these symptoms are often taken to be defining characteristics of the autism syndrome, it isn't at all clear that the etiology of autism causes them through any pathway causally independent of trauma. You'd need to find a lot of non-traumatized autistic people to be able to tell, and it's hard to find any.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by sterlind on Sunday February 02, 2025 @02:05PM (#42910859)
could you please contact me on Discord or email (in my profile)? I have also investigated the connections between hEDS, being trans and a specific kind of autism, along with TNXB.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by cjbgkagh on Sunday February 02, 2025 @08:40PM (#42913986)
Will do, I was researching generic causes into hEDS + autism in general and came across a post you made on HN in 2021 where you mentioned TNXB. Noticed your technical background and I figured that was far too close to be random. I went from thinking that TNXB is just one of many possible causes of hEDS and super rare to thinking that most definitely I have it. A WGS confirmed it. Word about it is starting to get around it helps that we tend to have similar interests and hobbies. It is statistically blindingly obvious to me but it is surprisingly really hard to convince others. Most people understand the world through a lens of social proof and can’t imagine a world where something like this could remain undiscovered.
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by twic on Sunday February 02, 2025 @05:37PM (#42912588)
This is a new and interesting idea to me. Have you or your serial killer obsessed friend written up any of this?
Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by cjbgkagh on Sunday February 02, 2025 @09:54PM (#42914409)
For a variety of reasons we prefer to stay anonymous. I just throw info over a wall every now and then to see if anyone will catch it. The serial killer aspect to me seems to be a simple function of mental illness/autoimmune and there is no doubt hEDS has numerous autoimmune comorbidities so it would stand to reason they would be overrepresented. No one would bother to look for a link if they assumed hEDS is as rare as medical researchers currently think it is. So the real question that needs answering; is hEDS even rare or is it just uncommon. I have my reasons for thinking it’s far more common than currently thought.

I think this could all be answered rather quickly with high quality Whole Genome Sequencing and a bunch of math so I’ve been going around evangelizing that idea and am working with some people who have independently come to the same conclusions.

Re:String of recent killings linked to Bay Area rationalist ... by shadowgovt on Sunday February 02, 2025 @01:22AM (#42906462)
Precisely.

Most US cults are made up almost entirely of cis people, but nobody jumps to conclusions about the impact of cisness on indoctrination susceptibility.