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Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by abeppu on Sunday December 08, 2024 @12:14PM (#42358356)
I've sometimes wondered whether arid parts of the American Southwest could, through the right kind of permaculture interventions, support more biological carbon sequestration, more plant life, drive development of richer soil etc. But I suspect if you said "we're gonna use this big section of BLM land to incrementally try to keep water in the landscape, and introduce a sequence of plant species that can increase carbon storage and soil cover" the immediate American political response would be "government overreach!" on one side and "what about threatened species X that thrives in the sparse desert?" on the other. And if you did get such a project approved, some elaborate supply chain would arise to provide plant seedlings at 10x the normal price and a consulting firm would be brought in for k million for a plan to administer the project, and the ratio of humans getting paid for the project to acres worked would be inexplicably high.
[dead]
Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by nullstyle on Sunday December 08, 2024 @12:32PM (#42358501)
Looking at your posting history, you shouldn't be telling others how to spend their time on the internet.
Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by just_1_comment on Sunday December 08, 2024 @12:51PM (#42358649)
I agree that theres no hope of such a project ever happening in the USA unless it’s on private land, and even then someone is going to object and sue to stop it for some shortsighted and probably selfish reason.
Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by emptysongglass on Sunday December 08, 2024 @01:04PM (#42358756)
That's kind of the point of democratic institutions, though: centralizing a lot of these directive powers leads to explosive efficiencies at the cost of liberty to, for example, surface objections as you illustrate. Or, more dramatically, throwing people who object into dark cells.

That's how autocratic regimes can take on megaprojects without a lot of the red tape that leads to, for example, a paralytically slow rollout of Seattle light rail.

You choose your poison.

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by oivey on Sunday December 08, 2024 @01:14PM (#42358849)
This isn’t the traditional thought process on this topic. Traditionally, it was thought that the ills of resource allocation under democracy were far outweighed by the automatic optimization of the free market. The Soviets did a lot to suggest that the free market was actually better than central planning.

China is showing that with 21st century needs, technologies, and planning that may no longer be the case.

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by throwawaymaths on Sunday December 08, 2024 @02:01PM (#42359375)
> China is showing that with 21st century needs, technologies, and planning that may no longer be the case.

maybe. a considerable number of chinese projects are very flashy and the planning doesn't take into account upkeep. a good example is country gardens forest city:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forest_City,_Johor

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by ben_w on Sunday December 08, 2024 @04:32PM (#42360709)
What I've heard — and I don't claim any real expertise — is that the city was built by a significant amount of private money and certainly private companies, and what made the city fail was several different governments all deciding that they didn't want this sort of thing, specifically China wanting houses to not be investments and restricting how much money Chinese citizens could take out of the country, while Malaysia started off in favour of it but then decided that "foreigners" (which in the face of Forest City would have been Chinese) shouldn't be buying up housing in Malaysia.

That's not really a sign of central planning failure, any more than, say, California City — failure, sure, but not due to what distinguishes economic central planning from capitalist diversity's self-balancing.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_City,_California

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by lucianbr on Sunday December 08, 2024 @01:27PM (#42358994)
Looks like China is attempting a hybrid approach. Free market with the government intervening whenever and wherever it feels like.

They still get some optimization and some otherwise-impossible-projects. I'd say the jury is still out on this strategy.

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by vkou on Sunday December 08, 2024 @03:33PM (#42360164)
It's real wealth and productivity growth has dramatically outpaced peer nations over the last 40 years.

How much longer will the jury be out? Will it come back in my lifetime?

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by svara on Sunday December 08, 2024 @03:53PM (#42360330)
Yeah, it's going to come out in the next 10 years or so, 20 at most.

The question is whether the Chinese economy will take a similar trajectory now to the Japanese one in the late eighties and through the nineties, with a period of extreme growth followed by mostly stagnation.

It could very well be that the Chinese model is good at catch-up growth so to speak, up to the level of an advanced economy.

I agree with the op that the jury is out on this and it might go different ways.

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by chii on Monday December 09, 2024 @12:58AM (#42363399)
> productivity growth has dramatically outpaced peer nations over the last 40 years.

and yet, are the citizens getting their fair share of said productivity growth? Or has it been obsorbed by the CCP, in which the wealth is then allocated to something that said citizen would not have chosen to allocate to?

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by vkou on Monday December 09, 2024 @02:31AM (#42363783)
Given that hundreds of millions of people living in it had to go outside to shit in an outhouse four decades ago, but are now living first-world and nearly first-world lifestyles, you tell me if any of that wealth made it to them.

People tolerate the CCP because of the clear material gains they have seen in their lives. If some strongman authoritarian stood with a megaphone on Main Street and credibly promised Americans one tenth of that gain in prosperity, they'd elect him dictator for life.

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by matthewdgreen on Monday December 09, 2024 @06:56PM (#42371988)
The same basic rags-to-richest pattern was true for most US citizens a century ago, and no we're now objectively some of the richest people in the world. But despite this progress, US politics does not indicate that the US populace is deeply satisfied. Which leads to the real question: will the CCP still be as popular when material progress plateaus?
Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by chii on Monday December 09, 2024 @10:59PM (#42373594)
> will the CCP still be as popular when material progress plateaus?

they know they won't be - people's demand continues to grow, and not just material wants, but "spiritual" wants (aka, they want more representation in the political system to make decisions). Of course, this only manifests after some material wealth threshold has been reached.

It's also why i conspiratorially believe that the CCP is deliberately ensuring chinese yuan is continuously debased, and kept artificially low. It ensures that the people's wealth in general is not high enough to reach that threshold i mentioned above.

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by lucianbr on Monday December 09, 2024 @04:38AM (#42364496)
I mean, the USA has enjoyed more than 40 years of prosperity, so if that's the cutoff, the winner is already decided for some time.

I wanted to give China a chance, but if you don't... :)

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by WarOnPrivacy on Sunday December 08, 2024 @01:56PM (#42359327)
> Looks like China is attempting a hybrid approach. Free market with the government intervening whenever and wherever it feels like.

A caveat I'd add is that the Chinese government is subjective to the party. China's accomplishments are significant but they tend to be secondary to the political wellbeing of the CCP.

That wellbeing is secured though the harsh and thorough quashing of dissent.

I'd criticize China but CCP's most repressive aspects seem to be finding widespread appeal here in the US.

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by ffsm8 on Sunday December 08, 2024 @03:01PM (#42359918)
> I'd criticize China but CCP's most repressive aspects seem to be finding widespread appeal here in the US.

And so does Russia, which is another effective repressive dictatorship. From my perspective, they're just exceptionally adapt at pushing their propaganda abroad.

Historically, the USA was the only one doing that, but it's no longer the only player. (To be clear, I meant spreading propaganda abroad. The USA is at least currently not a repressive dictatorship. And I doubt it will become so before I die.)

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by emptysongglass on Sunday December 08, 2024 @01:22PM (#42358932)
Right, but I wasn't referring to old thought processes. I was referring to current.
Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by AdrianB1 on Sunday December 08, 2024 @03:25PM (#42360107)
Centrally planning a project is not bad and it was not bad even in USSR. What usually goes wrong is the implementation, where lack of ownership and widespread corruption makes the resource utilization perform pretty bad.

Socialist or Communist countries did some good projects, I saw quite a lot. Implementation, management and long term operation went bad.

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by Aloisius on Sunday December 08, 2024 @04:47PM (#42360881)
A good plan is one that can be executed. Assuming no corruption where widespread corruption exists is a failure in planning.
Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by jonstewart on Sunday December 08, 2024 @04:52PM (#42360928)
Maybe, but China has also poured so much capital into infrastructure projects that don’t deliver ROI. This has harmed their longterm growth. We didn’t do enough when interest rates were low and we have a hard time with complicated projects, but China isn’t perfect at this, either.

Also they march people out into fields and execute them at point blank range. Worth keeping in mind.

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by lmz on Sunday December 08, 2024 @07:59PM (#42362156)
> Also they march people out into fields and execute them at point blank range. Worth keeping in mind.

Some of us think the US's predicament with lethal injection drugs is quite funny and bringing back firing squads would improve things.

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by abeppu on Sunday December 08, 2024 @01:59PM (#42359356)
> That's kind of the point of democratic institutions

I think the problem is that American "democracy" is frequently undemocratic. If a clear majority of voters support a project or policy, it may still be blocked through various political/legal/regulatory means.

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by throwawaymaths on Sunday December 08, 2024 @02:05PM (#42359418)
> If a clear majority of voters support a project or policy

thing is, projects run into reality. if a majority voted to build the starship enterprise today would it make sense to do it just because a majority wanted it

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by wahnfrieden on Sunday December 08, 2024 @02:50PM (#42359823)
Healthcare access isn't sci-fi
Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by throwawaymaths on Sunday December 08, 2024 @06:01PM (#42361496)
yes and believe it or not healthcare runs into real constraints and concerns about equity, etc.

suppose a rare disease is only well researched in a few white families. lets say, the mennonites. curing the disease is possible, but expensive. should everyone else be forced to subsidize it? what if the markers are known and parents choose to have kids anyways even though they have the markers.

does the situation change if its sickle cell anemia?

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by jrflowers on Sunday December 08, 2024 @07:47PM (#42362104)
This is a good point. If you imagine that by healthcare people mean an imaginary expensive Mennonite disease instead of the ability to see a doctor and receive treatment for common diseases and injuries it becomes very murky indeed.
Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by 6510 on Sunday December 08, 2024 @09:52PM (#42362674)
Combining the two seems a design flaw. The one requires research, experience, training, labs, clinical trials etc etc. The other little more than a database.
Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by throwawaymaths on Tuesday December 10, 2024 @03:28PM (#42381080)
yeah i should have said ashkenazi instead of mennonite, but i didn't want to come off as or attract a certain type of comment.

this is a real thing. Gaucher's disease, while anyone can get it in principle, is almost entirely a disease that afflicts ashkenazim. the treatment is cerezyme, which is one of the most expensive drugs, and you must take it for life.

and you missed the comment about sickle cell (only affects west africans and people of west african descent). which is now curable, but VERY expensive to cure.

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by jrflowers on Tuesday December 10, 2024 @04:20PM (#42381659)
I didn’t miss anything. You can substitute in any real or imaginary rare and expensive disease if you want to define “healthcare” as something that excludes the general ability to see doctors and receive treatment for common illnesses and injuries.

If you’re dead set on arguing about an arbitrary imaginary definition of a word, the world is your oyster. You can say sickle cell or Methuselah Syndrome or Tandy’s Malady, it’s all gravy if you can convince your mark that whatever you’re talking about is the same thing as the broad concept of healthcare.

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by throwawaymaths on Tuesday December 10, 2024 @05:34PM (#42382397)
what does it mean if healthcare doesn't include the corner cases though? where do you draw the line? is cancer treatment healthcare? what if you have a rare cancer?

im not the one arguing from a made up definition here. almost ANYONE would consider cancer, rare cancer, sickle cell treatments, and gauchers treatments "healthcare". its disingenuous to put those outside the bag of things called healthcare just because its inconvenient to your worldview

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by redeeman on Sunday December 08, 2024 @05:14PM (#42361122)
heres a radical thought, if a group of people, be it 2, 5 og 250 million wants to build the starship enterprise, how about we say "sounds fun, have at it", and let them mind their own business? and in this pristine new reality, how about we DONT let them put their grubby fat hands into the remaining peoples pockets to fund it? In exchange, when the naysayers to the enterprise projects wants to make something, the enterprise fans will also not loot pockets.

Now we have utopia

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by jrflowers on Sunday December 08, 2024 @07:53PM (#42362125)
> Now we have utopia

A good example of such a libertarian utopia would be a recent experiment in Grafton, New Hampshire. They had a real bear of a time.

https://newrepublic.com/article/159662/libertarian-walks-int...

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by redeeman on Monday December 09, 2024 @03:03PM (#42369966)
and how about regimes where people think they have a right to other peoples life? history would suggest that this mindset means that people are outright gonna get slaughtered.

buy a gun and bearspray, if you dont want to have bears invade your property, put a fence. If someone doesnt want to pay for that and risk it, well, I am kinda okay with that too. If someone breaks their legs and needs help to complete their bear fence, I will help them too, but if they DEMAND and insist they have a god(=government) granted right to force me to help them with their fence under the threat of imprisonment, I will not, and I will consider them criminals as they are

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by jrflowers on Monday December 09, 2024 @05:13PM (#42371132)
> how about regimes where people think they have a right to other peoples life?

They have fewer bear attacks

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by ainiriand on Sunday December 08, 2024 @01:13PM (#42358836)
You cannot choose much poison either in one side.
Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by mistermann on Sunday December 08, 2024 @03:29PM (#42360134)
Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by einpoklum on Sunday December 08, 2024 @01:12PM (#42358826)
Wouldn't you say the US is somewhat of an outlier w.r.t. government ability to undertake significant infrastructural projects?
Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by emptysongglass on Sunday December 08, 2024 @01:29PM (#42359016)
As someone who has lived pretty firmly in both parts of the West: no, not really.

Denmark, where I live now, has the luxury of commanding massive taxes from its citizens to finance its projects, all while putting a pittance of its share to its military. Denmark is also much, much, smaller than the US so the red tape that would be apparent at the size of the US is less apparent at the size of 6 million people.

We also overspend on grotesque, predatory contracting firms, just as the US does, to finance our public projects.

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by einpoklum on Sunday December 08, 2024 @03:35PM (#42360183)
> Denmark, where I live now, has the luxury of commanding massive taxes from its citizens to finance its projects,

Well, so does the US - which is also able to do defict-spending much more easily due to the USD's role as a global reserve currency. But as you've pointed out, a huge part of it feeds the military-industrial complex - and that's a part (but not nearly the most important part) of how it struggles to expend on public infrastructure. Also, red tape is mostly not a per-capita thing; that kind of red tape is mostly in distributed execution rather than decision-making, legislation and such.

But point taken regarding Danish overspending on predatory contractors.

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by okasaki on Sunday December 08, 2024 @01:55PM (#42359308)
China isn't autocratic. That's just cope.
Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by akhosravian on Sunday December 08, 2024 @09:51PM (#42362670)
Funny you mention Seattle’s light rail. The first part of New York’s subway system was built in 4 years and had more stops than Seattle’s light rail does after 15 years.

We (Americans) absolutely built big public projects in reasonable timeframes a century ago, and we don’t now. Attributing it to the form of government seems to miss the mark.

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by kjkjadksj on Sunday December 08, 2024 @01:28PM (#42359006)
Probably a lot easier to just cut down all the trees in the midwest and throw them into a deep ocean trench every few years than to go up against the activation energy you will face converting a desert environment into something presumably more wet and less hot. This isn’t Arrakis.
Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by cassepipe on Sunday December 08, 2024 @01:47PM (#42359208)
Can you explain the tree-cutting rationale ? Wouldn't cutting all the trees have a masse effect that would lead to desertification ? i.e. can you pitch me your project :) ?
Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by toast0 on Sunday December 08, 2024 @02:03PM (#42359398)
Have you seen a lot that's been clear cut right after and then after 5/10/20 years? They've got some near me where they cut adjacent lots every so often and they're on a cycle to do it again after whatever the interval is.

If you cut the whole thing down at once, yeah, maybe it won't come back. But if you do a reasonable section, it comes back alright.

So, current management practices are only cut down what you need to produce lumber and other wood products and wood adjacent stuff; plus the extras that get cut and don't make it to the mill whatever.

I think the proposal is to cut more, and drop them off into deep ocean where they won't decompose much. As trees grow, they turn environmental carbon dioxide (and other inputs) into wood, but an established forest is mostly steady state in carbon dioxide... cutting it down and depositing it into the ocean is a way to keep the existing carbon dioxide as wood and turn more carbon dioxide into new wood.

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by otikik on Sunday December 08, 2024 @02:56PM (#42359873)
> drop them off into deep ocean where they won't decompose muc

I’m sure that won’t come with any unintended consequences

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by toast0 on Sunday December 08, 2024 @03:51PM (#42360314)
Probably will spark a bubble in deep sea distressed wood salvage operations when that becomes feasible.

Logs that long ago got stuck on river bottoms on the way to mills are pretty valuable now if they're in good shape.

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by hirsin on Sunday December 08, 2024 @05:35PM (#42361334)
Is that just because they're old trees, which are stronger than the fast farmed ones we get today?
Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by toast0 on Sunday December 08, 2024 @06:32PM (#42361688)
That's part of it, but also people enjoy the colors that developed in the wood while it was resting in the river.
Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by kbelder on Sunday December 08, 2024 @03:09PM (#42359980)
It's where oil comes from that caused the CO2 that the trees are collecting; it's just closing the cycle.
Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by mistermann on Sunday December 08, 2024 @03:28PM (#42360127)
>response would be "government overreach!" on one side and "what about threatened species X that thrives in the sparse desert?" on the other. And if you did get such a project approved

Maybe what is needed is a project to teach people how to think without making unforced errors.

> some elaborate supply chain would arise to provide plant seedlings at 10x the normal price

The beauty of it is, this one stone could kill many birds, even giant ones like this.

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by UniverseHacker on Sunday December 08, 2024 @03:34PM (#42360168)
I don’t think this would be a good idea… these areas are not the result of desertification but are naturally desert ecosystems. The only way to make them anything else would be to take even more water from bordering non desert areas, which are already severely impacted by all of the water taken to support huge cities and green lawns in the southwest deserts.

For carbon storage it would make more sense to regrow forest in places that naturally have water and soil that support forest.

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by youngtaff on Sunday December 08, 2024 @04:28PM (#42360678)
Plenty of places have water even Tucson

https://youtu.be/I2xDZlpInik

Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by chabska on Sunday December 08, 2024 @08:38PM (#42362332)
US southwest is a desert, but there are significant areas that used to be grassland and shrubs that turned into bare rocks due to excessive grazing in the 19th century.
Re:China Completes Green Belt Around Taklamakan Desert by tim333 on Monday December 09, 2024 @09:54AM (#42366735)
Related https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41951420 "We Can Terraform the American West"