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Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by JoshTko on Monday March 18, 2024 @02:24PM (#39748003)
Are you saying that the dozen studies listed in wikipedia about PFAS harm to humans are flawed?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Per-_and_polyfluoroalkyl_subst...

Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by timr on Monday March 18, 2024 @02:40PM (#39748232)
Yes. Specifcally, anything that is an observational epidemiology study (which is much of it) is extremely low credibility. Observational epidemiology is historically terrible, low-quality research that gets lots of hype but doesn't stand up to rigorous analysis.
Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by JoshTko on Monday March 18, 2024 @04:28PM (#39749595)
So your argument is basically observational epidemiology study = low quality hence we cannot make conclusions? It would be a fair point if this were a single observational (non experimental) study. However when you look at a dozen studies on humans which all exhibit the same pattern where high PFAS in blood correlates with higher cancer rates then the burden of proof shifts to prove that PFAS is safe, not the other way around.

Theoretically it's conceivable that there is a separate, common factor in all the studies that causes the illness (e.g., people who are prone to cancer are somehow attracted to working with PFAS) but I think after the n-th human observational, plus experimental animal studies that at least show hormone disruption - we probably should on a go forwards basis operate with the assumption that PFAS are likely very toxic for humans, unless proven to be mostly safe.

Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by mort96 on Tuesday March 19, 2024 @04:19AM (#39753821)
I see this kind of argument so often from PFAS apologists - "we don't have conclusive proof yet that it's harmful so we should keep producing and using this substance which is known to bioaccumulate and never break down". Shouldn't the onus be on those who want to use it to prove that it's safe? If the studies we have are truly as inconclusive as they claim, doesn't that just mean that we don't have good evidence they're safe?
Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by thsksbd on Monday March 18, 2024 @02:50PM (#39748364)
Chronic toxins that affect us over decades are difficult to detect. For starters, few studies last the long.

That PFAS are very unreactive is meaningless. They still occupy volume and therefore affect kinematic rates and occupy reaction sites.

Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by throwup238 on Monday March 18, 2024 @03:13PM (#39748643)
> That PFAS are very unreactive is meaningless. They still occupy volume and therefore affect kinematic rates and occupy reaction sites.

They're surfactants so they can interfere with basic processes in the intracellular matrix like cells sticking to each other and forming tissue. The long term epidemiological effects and in vitro studies are just getting started understanding the effects.

Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by timr on Monday March 18, 2024 @03:44PM (#39749060)
> They're surfactants so they can interfere with basic processes in the intracellular matrix like cells sticking to each other and forming tissue.

You know what else is a surfactant? Soap.

Literally every surfactant "interferes with basic processes in the intracellular matrix" -- they disrupt lipids (fats). That's how they work. They're not inherently dangerous as a category of chemicals. You slather yourself in them daily.

This discussion is veering into "the dangers of dihydrogen monoxide" territory now. You can make pretty much anything sound scary if you try hard enough.

Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by voodoomagicman on Monday March 18, 2024 @04:13PM (#39749392)
PFAS are different from soap in that your body can't break them down or excrete them well, so they bioaccumulate. Eating soap is absolutely not good for you, and if it also built up in your body people would be really worried about small exposures to it.
Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by thsksbd on Monday March 18, 2024 @05:33PM (#39750326)
Funny how you speak of "dihydrogen monoxide" - a very polar solvent which is incredibly safe.

Just because DHM is fairy will tolerated, I wouldn't go around drinking a pint of, say, methanol another polar solvent.

Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by timr on Monday March 18, 2024 @08:57PM (#39751895)
> I wouldn't go around drinking a pint of, say, methanol another polar solvent.

Yes, exactly: saying "it's a solvent, therefore it's dangerous" is equally dumb in both directions: you wouldn't drink a pint of methanol, and you wouldn't be scared of a pint of water. Likewise for "surfactant", and a ton of other terms you see on this comment thread.

In chemistry, details matter. The folks who run around parroting sciencey-sounding technical terms like "steric interference" to scare people are, unfortunately, often effective, because it takes ten times as many words to explain why they're talking gobbledygook as it does for them to make a ridiculous claim.

Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by thsksbd on Tuesday March 19, 2024 @12:51PM (#39757711)
Ok, I like this because we're converging.

PFAS are a special set of surfactants because, being perfluorinated, evolution is unlikely to have endowed us with effective ways to neutralize them. Im not afraid of ingesting traditional fat soap because my bile will break it down. Dishwasher detergent freaks me out.

I think our (the anti PFAS crowd) concern stems from being able to identify many chemical pathways that can make these very dangerous and therefore believe that they should be proven safe by studies (including long term) as opposed to assumed safe of the common dismissal "no studies have demonstrated <insert noun here> are dangerous"

Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by timr on Wednesday March 20, 2024 @05:38AM (#39764415)
> PFAS are a special set of surfactants because, being perfluorinated, evolution is unlikely to have endowed us with effective ways to neutralize them.

I mean...maybe? That's a huge statement without any evidence. There are tons of other organic fluorines in common use, so while I'm not rushing out to bathe in firefighting foam, if I got hit with some while escaping a burning building, I'd be OK with it.

> I think our (the anti PFAS crowd) concern stems from being able to identify many chemical pathways that can make these very dangerous and therefore believe that they should be proven safe by studies

That's not how empiricism works. You can't prove that something has no bad effects. That's called "proving a negative", and it's an infinitely high bar. Remember: millions of people die from dihydrogen monoxide exposure every year! We must ban it until proven safe!

Also, this:

> stems from being able to identify many chemical pathways that can make these very dangerous

...is pseudoscience. Everything is resting on the "can make" part of that sentence. There are so many "chemical pathways" (most of which we know nothing about) that any claim about a particular chemical triggering a particular pathway to negative human outcome absolutely must be backed by solid empirical evidence, and not just speculation or theory.

See also: "the dose makes the poison." Even completely innocuous -- or beneficial! -- chemicals are harmful if you consume too much of them. There are "chemical pathways" that can absolutely kill you if you take too much Tylenol, or drink too much alcohol, or eat grapefruit when taking certain statins, or a large number of other innocent things.

My current summary of the state of evidence around PFAS is that there's a constellation of weak/bad studies suggesting that the water-soluble variants might have bad effects in some animals. Bioaccumulation clearly occurs, and therefore caution is warranted (particular with certain manufacturing processes or pollution), but the people who are extending that to egg pans and sandwich wrappers are way out over their skis.

Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by thfuran on Monday March 18, 2024 @03:19PM (#39748729)
Aren't the concentrations of concern down in ppt range? Surely that can't be the explanation for why so low a concentration would affect much of anything.
Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by thsksbd on Tuesday March 19, 2024 @01:05PM (#39757885)
I think the concern is the endocrine system that does work on the high side of ppt
Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by crote on Monday March 18, 2024 @02:52PM (#39748394)
What's you suggested alternative? Deliberately exposing large groups of people to likely-harmful chemicals and seeing at what concentration they die?
Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by timr on Monday March 18, 2024 @02:56PM (#39748449)
My suggested alternative is doing good, well-controlled science.

No, you don't need to deliberately expose people to toxins to do that. That's a straw man, when much of what passes for observational epidemiology is loaded with obvious uncontrolled confounders (like poverty).

Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by phone8675309 on Monday March 18, 2024 @03:43PM (#39749037)
Could you describe how you would design a "good, well-controlled science" study/experiment on the effects of PFAS in humans?
Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by timr on Monday March 18, 2024 @03:56PM (#39749197)
I could describe any number of study designs. But the burden is not on me, it's on the people who are in the research area to do good science.

More to the point, my ability (or lack) to come up with an experiment is not an excuse for you or anyone else to cite bad science with impunity. Likewise, if a study design is bad, it's bad regardless of my ability to correct it.

Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by phone8675309 on Monday March 18, 2024 @04:23PM (#39749532)
Look dickhead, I haven't cited shit. You keep bringing up methodological issues with the existing studies. I'm only asking if you think a good study could be done and what it would look like.

If you're going to fold like a cheap suit to a softball question (that isn't shifting the burden, it's trying to understand what you consider a good methodology) then kindly either shut the fuck up or fuck off and let the adults talk.

Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by dredmorbius on Monday March 18, 2024 @07:20PM (#39751237)
Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by spenczar5 on Monday March 18, 2024 @04:06PM (#39749313)
I think the burden could be on the chemical producer: do “good science” to show this material is safe, or don’t use it at all. That conservative mindset seems very reasonable to me.

The question remains - what is “good science?”

Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by dredmorbius on Monday March 18, 2024 @08:20PM (#39751651)
This isn't a question of burden but of communication.

You're slinging shade but parlous little illumination here. Adjusting that balance would make for a rather more substantive discussion.

Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by timr on Monday March 18, 2024 @09:07PM (#39751958)
This line of questioning always goes to the same place: it's not about educating the OP of better ways to do science, but them attempting to argue with me about whatever suggestions I make. I'm not getting sucked into it. My ability to do a "better" study is not relevant here.

If you want to think I'm "wrong" because I don't, then you're more than welcome to do so. But it doesn't change the fact that most observational epidemiology is riddled with bias, and is of low quality.

Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by dredmorbius on Monday March 18, 2024 @11:09PM (#39752575)
You of course cannot determine how others will respond to you, as I cannot determine how you'll respond to me.

If, however, you do answer in good faith, credibly, and substantively to a specific question or request, you'll know, and fair-minded readers will generally recognise, that you've done so.

Or you could, say, contribute over a half-dozen responses within the thread with roughly a quarter of them explicitly withholding or defending the withholding of that substantive contribution.

Your call.

Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by ClumsyPilot on Monday March 18, 2024 @09:46PM (#39752195)
this is completely wrong approach.

PFAS were released into environment in massive quantities. They are now, basically, impossibly expensive to remove. Same for microplastics.

Suppose tomorrow we come up with indisputable evidence that they are toxic. Now what? Will the companies that put them into environment be able to pay for a global cleanup effort that cost more than those companies are worth? Should we allow someone to make 1 million, knowing that remediation will cost $10 billion and they won't be able to pay for it?

Re:EPA bans asbestos, a deadly carcinogen still in use decad... by SkinTaco on Monday March 18, 2024 @02:40PM (#39748235)
It might be more possible than you think https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Replication_crisis