You're putting a lot of trust in the power of one man, who easily could have the power to influence the three other board members. It's hard to know if this amounts more than a personal feud that escalated and then got wrapped in a pretty bow of "AI safety" and "non-profit vs profits".

Maybe.

But Altman has a great track record as CEO.

Hard to imagine he suddenly became a bad CEO. Possible. But unlikely.

Where is this coming from? Sam does not have a "great" record as a CEO. In fact, he barely has any records. His fame came from working in YC and then the sky-rocketing of open AI. He is great at fundraising though.

wat

the guy founded and was CEO of a company at 19 that sold for $43m

> As CEO, Altman raised more than $30 million in venture capital for the company; however, Loopt failed to gain traction with enough users.

It is easy to sell a company for $43 if you raised at least $43. Granted, we don't know the total amount raised but it certainly it's not the big success you are describing. That and I already mentioned that he is good in corporate sales.

> he is good in corporate sales

Which is a big part of being a great CEO

It is a big part of start-up culture and getting seed liquidity. It doesn't make you a great long-term CEO, however.

A CEO should lead a company not sell it.

According to Crunchbase, Loopt raised $39.1M.

How many years did it take to go from 39 million to 43 million in value? Would've been better off in bonds, perhaps.

This isn't a success story, it's a redistribution of wealth from investors to the founders.

Ah, the much-sought-after 1.1X return that VCs really salivate over.

> It is easy to sell a company for $43 if you raised at least $43

I'm curious - how is this easy?

Ah yes the legendary social networking giant loopt

Loopt was not a successful company, it sold for more or less the same capital it raised.

or alternatively: altman has the ability to leverage his network to fail upwards

let's see if he can pull it off again or goes all-in on his data privacy nightmare / shitcoin double-wammy

Train a LLM exclusively on HN and make it into a serial killer app generator.

This. I would like my serial killer to say some profound shit before he kills me.

"should have rewritten it in rust" bang

Worldcoin is a great success for sure…!

The dude is quite good at selling dystopian ideas as a path to utopia.

Because the Chief Scientist let ideology overrule pragmatism. There is always a tension between technical and commercial. That’s a battle that should be fought daily, but never completely won.

This looks like a terrible decision, but I suppose we must wait and see.

As long as truly "open" AI wins, as in fully open-source AI, then I'm fine with such a "leadership transition."

this absolutely will not happen, Ilya is against it

Yeah if you think a misused AGI is like a misused nuclear weapon, you might think it’s a bad idea to share the recipe for either.

OpenAI is a non-profit research organisation.

It's for-profit (capped-profit) subsidiary exists solely to be able to enable competitive compensation to its researchers to ensure they don't have to worry about the opportunity costs of working at a non-profit.

They have a mutually beneficial relationship with a deep-pocketed partner who can perpetually fund their research in exchange for exclusive rights to commercialize any ground-breaking technology they develop and choose to allow to be commercialized.

Aggressive commercialization is at odds with their raison d'être and they have no need for it to fund their research. For as long as they continue to push forward the state of the art in AI and build ground-breaking technology they can let Microsoft worry about commercialization and product development.

If a CEO is not just distracting but actively hampering an organisation's ability to fulfill its mission then their dismissal is entirely warranted.

which ai regurgitate this ?

Even a non-profit needs to focus on profitability, otherwise it's not going to exist for very long. All 'non-profit' means is it's prohibited from distributing its profit to shareholders. Ownership of a non-profit doesn't pay you. The non-profit itself still wants and is trying to generate more then it spends.

I addressed that concern in my third paragraph.

>They have a mutually beneficial relationship with a deep-pocketed partner who can perpetually fund their research in exchange for exclusive rights to commercialize any ground-breaking technology they develop and choose to allow to be commercialized.

Isn't this already a conflict of interest, or a clash, with this:

>OpenAI is a non-profit research organisation.

?

> ?

"OpenAI is a non-profit artificial intelligence research company"

https://openai.com/blog/introducing-openai

It seems Microsoft was totally blind-sided by this event. If true then Trillion$+ Microsoft will now be scruitinizing the unpredictability and organizational risk associated with being dependant on the "unknown-random" + powrerful + passionate Illya and board who are vehemently opposed to the trajectory lead by altman. One solution would be to fork OpenAI and its efforts, one side with the vision lead by Illya and the other Sam.

I don't think you know what intellectual property is.

It seems you have jumped to many conclusion's in your thinking process without any prompting in your inference. I would suggest lowering your temperature ;)

One doesn't simply 'fork' a business unless it has no/trivial IP, which OpenAI does not.

Forked:

https://twitter.com/satyanadella/status/1726509045803336122

"to lead a new advanced AI research team"

I would assume that Microsoft negotiated significant rights with regards to R&D and any IP.

I wouldn't call starting from zero forking

What is starting from zero exactly?

Thanks for that, it’s both interesting and informative. I still think my point stands. This is not a pure non-profit and the tension between commercial and research is both inevitable and necessary.

Let’s see how this plays out over the coming weeks. If we see an exodus of senior technical staff, then the conclusion will be that the board have made a significant error.

Yeah! People forget who we're talking about here. They put TONS of research in at an early stage to ensure that illegal thoughts and images cannot be generated by their product. This prevented an entire wave of mental harms against billions of humans that would have been unleashed otherwise if an irresponsible company like Snap were the ones to introduce AI to the world.

> This looks like a terrible decision

What did Sam Altman personally do that made during him such a terrible decision?

More to the point, what can't OpenAI do without Altman that they could do with him?

> What did Sam Altman personally do that made firing him such a terrible decision?

Possibly the board instructed "Do A" or "Don't do B" and he went ahead and did do B.

This is what it feels like -- board is filled with academics concerned about AI security.

Inferior product is better than an unreleased product.

Does ChatGPT look unreleased to you?

You can’t win with an inferior product here. Not yet anyway. The utility is in the usefulness of the AI, and we’ve only just got to useful enough to start really being useful for daily workflows. This isn’t a ERP type thing where you outsell your rivals on sales prowess alone. This is more like the iPhone3 just got released.