Well, this platform is uniquely well suited for porn. It would be a massive system seller for them if it were allowed. It goes beyond just videos, interactive experiences are a new thing for porn and you need to actually be able to install an app to make them work.

There is historical precedent for platform winners being the one that had the support of the porn industry. See: Blu-ray vs HD-DVD and others.

You think Apple’s going to have a massive change of heart and let porn onto their App Store?

The question here isn’t whether you think Porn is a unique application of AR/VR, it’s whether Apple would allow it onto their curated App Store.

The AR experience of a virtual door in your living room, a knock, then opening the door and in steps a pornstar who then sits down on your couch would be revolutionary.

The closest Apple is likely to get is allowing some form of side-loading.

They'll probably be forced into side-loading, like the EU is doing with iOS right now.

There are definitely apps for playing 3D 3/6DOF videos over a network available in the Oculus store, like Skybox VR

I guess that isn't a porn app but neither is a web browser, technically. Are people installing first party porn apps on their other devices?

So what are the chances that this ends up like Betamax? I mean that a technically inferior alternative will allow porn and take over.

That is not why Betamax failed. There was porn on beta. Betamax failed because the cassettes didn’t hold as much tape as VHS and JVC’s licensing model for recorders was cheaper and more straightforward than Sony’s. In the rental market, the format with slightly less friction was a bit more popular each year, which sealed the deal by the mid-80s.

Plus, when Beta made alterations to fit more on a tape (extended play modes to use the VHS term), the quality dropped to close to VHS levels, so the advantage was gone.

Even then, VHS could do the same thing, drop quality more, and fit EVEN MORE on a tape.

It seems pretty clear to me, ignoring licensing which was a huge issue, that beta was designed for recording TV shows while VHS also had movies in mind.

VHS didn't have manufacturer-controlled content purchasing.

The other major VR device manufacturers have a similar approach; you get the apps and content through their stores. Sony, Facebook, Google, etc. are all similarly unlikely to have official porn support; Steam is perhaps the most likely (as they permit at least some adult gaming on their store).

I suspect you'll see plenty of porn apps in jailbreak / sideload world. Quest already has 'em that way.

We still don’t know whether or not there is an official side loading story (ala Mac) or if it’s locked down (ala iOS, though I think that’s odds favorite).

What's the chances the iPhone will end up like Betamax? It doesn't offer porn apps, after all

I agree. It’s been 16 years. Clearly failed like Beta.

Safari visits Pornhub just fine. The question is if video playing will support side-by-side video for 3D in the browser.

Since webxr is confirmed to be supported, and u can do 3d video with it, it’d be extremely unlikely they would restrict that

Higher than zero, its market share is much lower than Android.