Not sure if you're being sarcastic but I agree. Humans should not have AI research or advanced AI at all. It (a) removes purpose from people, (b) presents a situation that is too alien for human minds to handle, (c) increases the addictiveness of technology and thereby pushes us further into growing the technological system, (d) crosses the "adaptability threshhold", i.e. the point at which the PACE of technological development is so rapid that adaptation of our society to such a pace is NO longer possible.

In short, we do not have the maturity to handle AI; we are playing with fire. Every person who contributes anything to AI development is responsible for the disasters that AI will bring, and all AI research should be destroyed.

It’s ironic you say: “we are playing with fire.” Playing with fire is, in large part, literally how humans have come to dominate this planet. Why stop now?

Maybe because we're on the verge of being able to create fires which can actually consume the only home we have?

Playing with fire is in large part an ego and greed issue. Yes, it allows us to dominate, but at what cost?

I'd rather live a more balanced life than a greedy and ego driven life. I may not own the world, but I can be happy and sleep sound at night, and that matters.

We had nuclear weapons for almost 80 years and the world still hasn't ended. And I think that nuclear weapons are way more dangerous than Markov chains on steroids.

I can't launch a tactical nuke because somebody wronged me, but can create a disinformation campaign with the tools I have and optionally 2-3 smart, motivated individuals, for free.

Both can be equally devastating.

Or, if I want to go the extra mile, I can use the latter to create motivation for the utilization of the former. e.g. I may say that a country has WMDs, and maybe try to manufacture consent for destruction of these...

Oh, wait a minute...

>e.g. I may say that a country has WMDs, and maybe try to manufacture consent for destruction

too soon

> can create a disinformation campaign with the tools I have and optionally 2-3 smart, motivated individuals, for free

You can, and it may cause unbelievably nuisance, but not to the devastating outcome of a tactical nuke. Can you prove otherwise? Russian disinformation came close, such as the 2016 election, but that was state sponsored.

> Or, if I want to go the extra mile, I can use the latter to create motivation for the utilization of the former. e.g. I may say that a country has WMDs, and maybe try to manufacture consent for destruction of these...

You cannot. It was still state's action. Not to mention that many countries had their own intelligence that no doubt had different assessment. They weren't blind. They used WMD argument as the excuse to join the US led war.

What if Wargames had LLMs involved?

On the verge? We set that fire in motion a century ago. Our home is nearly consumed.

Today is the hottest day in recorded history.

Yesterday was the hottest day in recorded history.

The day before yesterday was the hottest day in recorded history.

The day before the day before yesterday was the hottest day in recorded history.

The day before the day before the day before yesterday was the hottest day in recorded history.

To turn your metaphor on its head, we aren’t playing with fire when we use it constructively; rather we are very carefully and thoughtfully deploying it, no doubt due to our gradual and deadly lessons with it over time. When we “play” with it (a la fireworks or neglected campfires), it wreaks rampant destruction.

Being we are basically toddlers with this new technology, I would argue the breathless speed at which it’s finding its way into our lives tells me we are not being careful or thoughtful with it.

Counterpoint: "playing with it" is the only way we have to actually master something. "Carefully and thoughtfully deploying it" only comes way after many people first extensively played with it (for any specific "it"), first because of curiosity (i.e. for shits and giggles), then for a quick buck.

No, playing is how humans grow up to be adults that don't play, but think.

Are you serious? Us dominating the planet is NOT a good thing.

This is such a pessimistic view to take that I cannot even begin to describe how you are wrong.

I would love to see your rebuttals, especially since I have never seen any strong arguments in favour of AI being a net benefit to society, and I have thought and read about this at lenght.

Of course, I always expect downvotes on my posts here since there is a strong tendency towards loving technology here. But what I find most interesting is that there is absolutely no taking of responsibility of any technological creations.

Before you downvote, please just ask yourself the following: is it reasonable to say that all these latest AI developments have no serious risks? And in response to your reply, humanity is in quite a precarious state now, so isn't it expected that a sober analysis of it is rather pessimistic, especially with regard to hyper-advanced technologies?

> But what I find most interesting is that there is absolutely no taking of responsibility of any technological creations.

I appreciate your willingness to talk about it, but to be honest it doesn't seem like it matters much what you, or any of us (not singling you out in particular), thinks about it, does it? It probably doesn't even matter who these people are who should take responsibility. This is one genie, like the internet, that probably isn't going back in the bottle anytime soon. I haven't seen any argument against "AI" that's much different than those against "the internet" and "computers" that we've at other times in the last 50 years when tech hit new mind-blowing milestones. It just keeps going regardless, right?

It actually does make a difference. The genie is out of the bottle partially but it depends a lot on what we allow it it be used on. If we sit idly and allow for ingesting all what’s written for instance, including whats currently written and let bros make derivative works for a quick buck then we mostly killed the writer’s incentive to write or publish. If we slow down and not allow ripping one another off it could be have the opposite effect and trully lift all the boats.

> If we sit idly and allow for ingesting all what’s written for instance

It's already happened. What do you do now? For decades, it's happened regardless of the robots.txt so you have to assume it's all been ingested by it all, everywhere. What now?

You can slow things down, but not by more than a few years, because of the gradual democratization of training foundation models. Right now training a model competitive with chatgpt can be done for $150K (microsoft orca 13b). In a few years the cost will be low enough that individuals can train models. At that point regulating it will require draconian dictatorships.

I’m also very wary of the copyright angle on this, because just like we don’t prohibit people from learning copyrighted materials in their brains, it feels very wrong to regulate how we train digital brains. I’m ok with forbidding the output of copies of individual existing copyrighted works, but we already have laws on the books for that. I find it downright immoral to prohibit the generation of works “in the style of”. That again reeks like the kind of draconian society I don’t want to live in.

People will always be willing to pay for human-made art, just like we pay more for handmade pots, even though machines can make them better, so I think the doomsayers who predict the end of art are flat out wrong. Easy access to mass-generated AI content could be the best thing that happened to true artists, just like chess AI that can beat every human player was the best thing that happened to the chess world. We need labeling laws that show the origin of works so people can choose whether they want artificial or human-made, but please not another extension of the copyright regime to be even more suffocating and hostile of cultural flourishing.

>> You can slow things down, but not by more than a few years, because of the gradual democratization of training foundation models.

Just to be clear, what's being "democratised" is the fine-tuning of second-tier, inferior-performance models; or pre-training of third-tier ones. In the game of training large neural nets, the players that can afford to train the largest models with the most amount of data and compute at any given time will continue to dominate for the foreseeable future.

To make it plain, maybe in a couple of years you'll be able to train GPT-4 on your student laptop (unlikely, but let's allow it for the sake of argument). You'll still not be able to get anywhere near the performance of GPT-6 or whatever OpenAI and Google will be able to train by then.

Academics, hobbyists and smaller companies will continue to play second fiddle to large corporations as long as the dominant paradigm is more data and more compute.

Capabilities of the open-source models are only increasing over time by objective measurement. Yes, every one of them is demonstrably inferior to GPT-4, but we have historical precedent that the cost of compute only ever goes down.

Additionally, assuming the leaked details given here are accurate, there might not be a GPT-6. This entire approach of AI via language models very well could be approaching a local maximum and/or have already reached the point of diminishing returns.

If that is the case, OpenAI's moat is guaranteed to run dry. It should be telling that very few of the improvements over the past few months involve the base model, rather they are value-adds like plug-ins and hooking it up to a VM, things that are not protected by training difficulty.

I don't think there's a problem with the pace of "progress", the problem is what it is feed and we could definitely make changes around that. For example, if I were an author I wouldn't want this stuff to be be feed in without my permission.

>is it reasonable to say that all these latest AI developments have no serious risks?

There are definitely problems today with people abusing ChatGPT for malicious purposes, but given the retardedness of current LLMs I don't think we need to worry about a AI mastermind taking over anytime soon.

If we were a rational civilization we'd stop all scientific research immediately. First there's a good chance the great filter is ahead of us and will be triggered by a technology break-trough. Second with nuclear weapons we got lucky in that it's extremely hard to separate fission capable isotope of uranium from mineral ores; if in the future we invent a powerful weapon that's easy to produce organizations like al-Qaeda will destroy every city on Earth.

I can't figure out if this is a rebuttal by absurdity or serious?

The great filter is definitely ahead of us if we stop all scientific research. Just ask the dinosaurs.

I agree with you that we'd stop scientific research immediately, or at least most of it.

Serious as a heart attack. I hope that we don't have to resort to military force, but it may be the only option: https://futurism.com/ai-expert-bomb-datacenters

From the post:

    [Rumors that start to become lawsuits]

    Some speculations are:
    - LibGen (4M+ books)
    - Sci-Hub (80M+ papers)
    - All of GitHub 

This is the most funny, but in the end sad aspect. If ChatGPT was indeed trained on pirated content and is able to be(come) such a powerful tool, then the copyright laws should have been abolished yesterday. If ChatGPT was not trained on all these resources out there, then think how much powerful a tool it would be if it were trained, then copyright laws are actively stifling advancement and should have been abolished yesterday.

That is a very dangerous way to approach copyright laws. They are definitely abused by corporations like Disney, infamously so, but abolishing them is absolutely not the answer. Art makers are already struggling en masse, taking away their ability to earn money off their work isn't an answer, especially if it's just to train a predictive text generator.

Counterpoint: there's way too much "art makers", copyright is keeping the quality ceiling down, good content loses monetization game with spam - all while that "predictive text generator" is, for better or worse, pretty much the most magnificent piece of technology invented this century, and - for better or worse - it's likely to become next major shift to economy and life.

How do you believe copyright is keeping the quality down in particular? As I see it, the reason is marketability and trying to conform to standards. Making a new Marvel Movie is sure to have a payoff. Making Parasite MIGHT have a higher payoff, but the risk is way higher.

Removing copyright might help to get various more spin-offs and reiterations on previous work, which does increase the scope, but taking the ability for makers to profit from their work in a traditional sense, will bring us closer (back) to a time when commissioned artwork was the main art you saw

Letting "makers" (studios) profit from "their" (stolen by unbalanced contracts) work for unreasonable amounts of time has clearly proven to be a failure while crowd-comissioned spaces (patreon etc) are thriving financially AND artistically.

- HN on social media : The powers are too centralized, future is decentralization, question is how

- HN on free software: is good

- HN on copyright : WAY TOO MUCH PEASANTS CLAIMING INDIVIDUAL RIGHTS, RIGHTS THAT ARENT EVEN REAL, ART BE CENTRALIZED FOR MAXIMUM MONOPOLY

Copyright does very little for individuals. Most benefits from the copyright system are accrued to large corporations.

> Most benefits from the copyright system are accrued to large corporations

Citation fucking needed. Among those who study copyright and inequality, none suggest abandoning it [1][2].

[1] https://journals.library.wustl.edu/lawreview/article/id/5108...

[2] https://www.jstor.org/stable/1339714?origin=crossref

To nitpick, the second article is from 1970, back then a concept such as the Amazon Antitrust Paradox [1] would cause burning at the stake in the legal field. Similarly, we also have an Elsevier Antitrust Paradox, a Nature(.com) Antitrust Paradox, and so on.

Just the fact that I cannot freely read an article published 53 years ago is beyond ludicrous. And also, if I pay JSTOR ($19.5/month) and read the 1970 article, do you think the money will go to Stephen Breyer [2], the author? No, 100% of the $19.5/month will go to Ithaka Harbors, parent company of JSTOR [3], that's where the "accrued to large corporations" lies.

[1] 2017, https://www.yalelawjournal.org/note/amazons-antitrust-parado..., Lina M. Khan is the chairwoman of the Federal Trade Commission since 2021.

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stephen_Breyer

[3] "Ithaka's total revenue was $105 million in 2019, most of it ($79 million) from JSTOR service fees", https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ithaka_Harbors

> the fact that I cannot freely read an article published 53 years ago is beyond ludicrous

And has as much to do with individual versus corporate power as the health of a single tree can speak for a forest.

Nobody is saying the current situation is good or even sustainable. OP just made a big claim for which there is no evidence, despite many looking for it.

"there is no evidence"

As quoted above, "Ithaka's total revenue was $105 million in 2019, most of it ($79 million) from JSTOR service fees". All those $79 million and more JSTOR has stolen from the authors. Although JSTOR should have been dissolved long before this for effectively killing Aaron Swartz. But yes, there is no justice in this world. I suppose that's my main contention, why pretend anymore, we live in a society, yada yada.

This isn’t a cogent argument. You’re identifying troubling behaviour. But it’s not being stitched into anything cohesive. Hiding bad rhetoric behind post-modernist nihilism is in vogue, but unproductive.

Not sure where you picked nihilism in my reply, referencing the "we live in a society" meme I actually smiled. Nevertheless, stopping the pretence today, painful as it is, realizing the state of the world is far from perfect, is the first step for a better tomorrow.

There is no political debate in which increasing the opposition’s nihilism is not advantageous. Nhilihism keeps people from thinking. It keeps people at home, away from voting booths. There is daylight between Panglossian utopia and dystopia. If you’re cynical, one of the most productive uses of your time might be engaging the other side and convincing them civic engagement is worthless.

Again, haven't brought up nihilism or cynicism.

Incidentally, just to give you some more to rummage about, staying away from the voting booth seems like the best thing to do and civic engagement is indeed worthless. Unless you are able to say and vote "No", effectively banning all the "sides" from political action, forcing new sides to emerge. No people will ever be free, representational democracy or not, if they can't even say "No". Not being able to say "No" is also the root of the cynicism.

I'm not sure how that has to do with abolishing copyright, when that mostly has to do with weak and skewed protections current laws offer. They're not allowed to take names off copyrighted text, which is partly why that name is still on that paywalled text. They're not effectively forbidden by law to purchase to become a corporate owner of copyright, which is how they get to paywall it in their name.

If they, in loose usage of the pronoun, were allowed to deface an art, papers, code, anything copyrighted, they will. Stripping copyright text could even become an "etiquette". Conversely, if they were not allowed to profit off of a thing, copyrighted, with appropriate enforcement, they won't. These should go without saying for core Internet users and software engineers.

I mean, haven't you heard what Oracle just said?

I'm also sure tech companies pay people to write these comments, or they've brain washed their employees enough to keep posting stuff like that.

I never argued that copyright should be abolished, I was responding to a comment that essentially said that anyone who was opposed to copyright is doing so at the behest of large corporations at the expense of individuals, which is a really flawed and one sided way of looking at copyright laws, the first linked article you provided being a great example.

For the record, I can’t find a single large corporation pushing for the dissolution of copyright, and many clear examples of large corporations lobbying for increased copyright protections and terms. I thinks this puts the onus for providing evidence on those who would argue that corporations are completely failing to act in their own interest.

> I can’t find a single large corporation pushing for the dissolution of copyright

The defendant of every copyright infringement lawsuit.

Hacker News has at least two users!

Already copyright laws does not offer protection for writers (see the current [screen]writers strike [1]), visual artists, musicians (see the recent Taylor Swift re-recording debacle [2]), not to speak of the "lower" arts such as crafts & merch where colossi such as H&M and Zara steal art, designs, concepts regularly [3] (not to even mention the sweatshops).

Copyright laws, or in fact generally laws, are for the rich and powerful, perhaps even for the corporations, not the individuals, since they paid for them to be so [4], it's just us, individually, the hoi polloi, who are still trapped into believing that there is rhyme or reason to our current system.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Writers_Guild_of_America_...

[2] https://www.vox.com/culture/22278732/taylor-swift-re-recordi...

[3] https://www.boredpanda.com/zara-stealing-designs-copying-ind...

[4] The Power Corporations Have In Changing Laws, https://www.npr.org/2021/04/02/983925056/the-power-corporati...

Ask someone on the screenwriters' strike if they'd rather copyright was eliminated so they didn't get paid at all...

Most of them already don't get paid, hence the strike [1].

[1] "Writers say they want a living wage as streaming devalues their work even as it demands more of their time.", https://www.indiewire.com/news/business/writers-strike-2023-...

No, they get paid but would, understandably, like to be paid more. Something which would be even less likely to happen if copyright was abolished so anybody could use their output at zero cost.

From what I understand they are not getting paid since the paradigm changed: "the way it's changed is most of these streaming services focus on a metric called ARPU, which is the average revenue per user", "the main difference is it used to be that the incentives were linked. So the writers and the studios were trying to get people to watch the show and get high ratings and get people to pay attention to the show. Today, the streamer is trying to get people to subscribe to their service, so they're looking more at the aggregate of the service versus the individual show." [1]

[1] https://www.npr.org/2023/05/03/1173612099/why-writers-are-ha...

I'm not sure quite why you're continuing to post articles explaining why writers get paid less as streaming services' revenue is less linked to the ratings of new shows as an argument in favour of marking down the value of the intellectual property they create to zero...

My original point still stands. Ask the writers. They're not getting paid nothing yet, and they won't approve of your passionate advocacy of a future in which they are paid nothing.

I'm not quite sure why you are not understanding that with the streaming model of business the writers, and even the actors, no longer get residuals, here is another article [1]: yes, they get paid nothing.

I am advocating for the abolishment of copyright laws, not for not being rewarded for one's work.

[1] Euphoria actress Sydney Sweeney revealed in a recent interview with The Hollywood Reporter that "They don’t pay actors like they used to, and with streamers, you no longer get residuals.", https://nofilmschool.com/streaming-services-residuals

I'm not sure why you are not understanding that not getting residuals is not the same as not getting a salary or a per writing contribution payment. Or that production companies are not paying these salaries (and the rest of the production budget) out of the kindness of their hearts, but out of revenues accrued from networks and streaming services having to pay to screen their shows.

Or that writers will not be paid anything (and certainly not by streaming services) in a copyright-free world in which anybody is allowed to use any creative work in any way free of charge. The abolition of copyright laws is literally the abolition of virtually[1] all existing rewards for creating IP.

This is not complicated stuff: if it's genuinely news to you that writers aren't working for free, perhaps you are not the person to lecture us on how copyright should work.

[1]I guess writers could still ask for donations. They could do this already, but they prefer negotiating with networks for higher pay packages...

If it's genuinely news to you that exploitation is a normal day-to-day part of any industry, perhaps these pointless replies should end here.

Yes, writers have been working for free [1].

[1] "In October 2015, Wil Wheaton created a stir when he declared that he had turned down an offer to write for the Huffington Post. He refused, according to him, because they had declined to pay for his work, in keeping with their policy of reimbursing writers with "exposure" in lieu of payment." https://www.vox.com/2016/2/26/11106006/writing-for-free Guess what writers who aren't famous have to do? Work for free, for "exposure".

Strangely, it is not news to me that exploitation is a normal day-to-day part of any industry .

(This is why I have not made any statements to that effect, never mind done anything as ludicrous as post articles about unionised screenwriters seeking to negotiate a higher pay rate as evidence that "most" of them earned "nothing")

And this is also why I am not advocating a copyright-free world in which HuffPo has the right to sell ads around everything Wil Wheaton ever wrote without paying him a penny or even seeking his permission. Guess what writers whose work isn't copyrightable will be paid in? That's right, "exposure", and not even exposure with much prospect of paid compensation if their work takes off.

Hope at least you are getting paid and you don't deploy such ridiculous amounts of bad faith for free.

My reply from above "Most of them already don't get paid, hence the strike" was specifically in the context of the streaming platforms not paying residuals in the same manner the studios do, hence the reference to the article.

What I find most funny is that you don't even know or care about alternative solutions, you just assume the copyright laws is for the best in the best of all possible worlds [1] and anything else would be chaos.

[1] Tout est pour le mieux dans le meilleur des mondes possibles, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Candide

What I find most funny is that you're implying there are alternative solutions that you do know and care about.

And yet instead of addressing my actual objection - that screenwriters seeking to get paid more for co-creating IP would be unlikely to see abolition of IP protection as a solution - by articulating those alternatives and how it would allow them to get paid more, you chose to assert they don't get paid.[1]

I mean, I'm not the one advocating the radical change here, even though actually I don't "assume that the copyright laws is for the best in the best of all possible worlds". So it's not really incumbent on me to answer my own objections by imagining screenwriter-satisfying solutions involving the abolition of copyright. If you actually had one and was able to advocate it with as much zeal as you have defended the claim "most of them already don't get paid" this might be a more interesting discussion.

[1]doesn't really matter if you were doing so "specifically in the context of streaming platform residuals" since whether or not they get residuals from a particular media type is irrelevant to the fact screenwriters are not in favour of proposals which would entail them losing both the residuals they do get and their job

Ok, I'll bite, we are already at the 6th reply, who cares anymore.

The alternative solution is, shortly put, to quote Geoffrey Hinton: socialism [1]. Longly put: fully automated luxury communism [2].

Once the first two tiers of Maslow's pyramid (physiological and safety needs) are covered by automated systems people will be truly free; some will express themselves in writing, and expecting copyright protection over their work will seem as ridiculous as if one of us today would start charging money from people for using the word "the" [3]. We are currently tasked to give rise to the automated systems.

Sorry, to Gordian problems [4] I have only Gordian solutions.

[1] Geoffrey Hinton - Two Paths to Intelligence, https://youtu.be/rGgGOccMEiY?t=3626

[2] https://www.versobooks.com/en-gb/products/476-fully-automate...

[3] https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/ohio-state-university-o...

[4] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gordian_Knot

since when is struggling artist making use of the copyright system. They are protected by it entirely in theory alone, they aint taking someone to court.

The laws themselves are dangerous and encourages the myth of ideas being akin to somebody's personal property.

Is this how Terminator begins?