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Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by londons_explore on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @08:30AM (#34518004)
Luckily, any degradation can all be predicted ahead of time.

A 60kwh car battery might cost $10k, and allow 2000 charge cycles. So each kwh cycled into and out of the battery costs 8 cents.

So a smart algorithm can decide it's worth draining the battery back into the grid if the profit to be made is more than 8 cents.

Buuuut... Delaying charging till later is free. So another car owner's car might see on the futures market that delaying charging starting from 6pm till 11pm might save a few cents.

Obviously that means it's most economically efficient for every owner to do grid balancing merely by smartly delaying charges - and in turn price fluctuations will rarely exceed 8 cents.

The component that is missing to make this happen is cars which have code to automate this process, and markets in place that have API's to let the car buy and sell energy, and futures in energy, by the kwh. Users need not understand how it works - they just tick the tickbox which says 'charge and discharge smartly to minimize electricity costs'.

Today, those markets are typically only open to big players, cars don't have a tickbox, and wall chargers typically won't let a car put power into the grid.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by Maxion on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @08:51AM (#34518190)
This can be done by using a smart AC charger.

In europe (At least) the company Easee makes AC chargeres that are WiFi / 4G enabled. In Sweden (And Norway) you can connect them to a service like Tibber, which allows you to automatically enable/disable charging with the electricity price, assuming you have a spot price electricity contract.

https://tibber.com/en/product/easee

Easee chargers also have a pretty bitching API, so you can also make your own automations using e.g. home assistant or what have you.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by danuker on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @08:52AM (#34518201)
It worries me that if industrial-purpose batteries cost the same and have similar degradation, grid services will also decide not to charge/discharge if the profit is less than 8 cents.

This tells me that Li-Ion batteries are far from the ideal medium for grid storage.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by devmor on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @09:38AM (#34518733)
Batteries are extremely inefficient. Capacitors are much more resilient in terms of charge cycles (by orders of magnitude).

If one were to build a "facility" to hold short term load, that's likely what they'd use. They just can't be used in cars because they're incredibly volatile and don't hold a charge for a long period of time.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by antipotoad on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @10:35AM (#34519456)
The idea of super-capacitors in cars is positively horrifying, knowing how explosive just the small ones can be. At grid level though, is there anything that speaks against them?

Edit: to answer my own question, they look pretty good [1]. Significantly lower storage density than batteries (roughly 50Wh/L versus 420Wh/L for Li-ion), but still dense enough for this to be workable at grid level. The linked presentation proposes converting decommissioned power plants into grid-level capacitor storage facilities, since the transmission switchyards are often intact. Furthermore, all the technology is available today, and when built, capacitors require almost zero maintenance.

[1]: https://www.energy.gov/sites/prod/files/piprod/documents/Ses...

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by londons_explore on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @11:01AM (#34519882)
Todays grids don't have much need for energy storage on the sub-10 second timeframe. Ie. there is rarely any money to be made by taking power from the grid now and returning it in 10 seconds.

For technical reasons, thats because the 'spinning reserve' - which is momentum of every synchronous motor and generator across the nation - already adequately handles this.

Also, large generation stations are required to have a 'load line' which damps high frequency oscillations. The load line can best be described as 'whenever the grid frequency starts slowing down, generators must put more energy in automatically'. Things like wind and solar typically don't have the ability to do that.

For human reasons, it's because electricity markets tend to be minute by minute at most.

For all those reasons, I don't think you'll make any money with capacitor energy storage banks (not to be confused with capacitors for grid scale power factor correction, which can be profitable).

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by fomine3 on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @09:43PM (#34527128)
Isn't it expected that 'spinning reserve' will be decreasing because we shutting down dirty power plants? Possibly it is needed in the future.
Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by danans on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @10:40AM (#34519534)
> Batteries are extremely inefficient. Capacitors are much more resilient in terms of charge cycles (by orders of magnitude). If one were to build a "facility" to hold short term load,that's likely what they'd use

The problem is that capacitors (assuming you mean super and ultra capacitors) don't have much capacity compared to batteries, so their cost per MWH of storage is high even if their cost per MW is low.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by kragen on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @01:31PM (#34522222)
capacitors are very low energy density and very high cost per joule of storage so they are never used this way
Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by wongarsu on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @09:48AM (#34518843)
For grid scale storage Li-Ion is a transitional technology at best. It sees interest right now because it's quick to deploy (unlike the much cheaper pumped hydro), and because so much money had been pumped into Li-Ion research and production that other battery technologies have a hard time competing.

If it turns out people don't need all the cycles out their car battery then there's value in capturing that, but new large scale installations will move to other technologies over the next decade or two.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by theluketaylor on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @10:05AM (#34519066)
Most cars use NCA or NMC chemistry which has 500ish cycles. Grid storage will soon use LFP which is cheaper to begin with and has 5000+ cycles. It has a lower density than other chemistries and very poor cold weather performance, making it less ideal for vehicles (though Tesla is using it in the standard range model 3 now). Those downsides don't matter for grid storage and really change the economics of charge/discharge.
Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by appletrotter on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @01:26PM (#34522170)
> has 500ish cycles

That's on the low end, like if you're fully charging/discharging the battery frequently.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by tuatoru on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @10:50AM (#34519697)
There are various niches in grid storage.

Li-ion are good for frequency stabilisation: initial response times of the order of ten milliseconds, run times up to several tens of minutes maybe.

For longer durations, flow batteries and other chemistries are probably better. They win because of very good cycle life and calendar life (20_000 cycles, 50 years) but tend to take longer to start up.

Flow batteries include vanadium redox, zinc-bromine, iron-saltwater (being piloted). Other chemistries: sodium-sulfur (NaS, developed by NGK and sold by BASF in Europe/NA), carbon polymer based (PolyJoule), and a great number of experimental types.

There are also thermal batteries and compressed air energy storage, and pumped hydro.

Pumped hydro is by far the biggest form of grid storage today and is not as limited by geography or cost as one might think. It can be used in the "hours to months" range of energy delivery durations.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by mnw21cam on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @01:02PM (#34521803)
These up and coming battery types look fantastic, but everyone seems to forget that lead-acid batteries are already way better than Li-ion or LiFePo for non-mobile energy storage, in terms of price per kWh stored.
Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by trashtester on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @08:52AM (#34518203)
> Buuuut... Delaying charging till later is free.

This functionality is already there.

> So each kwh cycled into and out of the battery costs 8 cents.

This is quite much. If you add other infra overhead, feeding power back into the grid is not going to produce much revenue for the individual unless the selling price is maybe 20 cents above the price when charging.

On the other hand, something that MAY make more sense, is if the car battery can be used to provide power to the owner's own house during short price peaks. This might allow some savings even in stable grids, but the killer app would be in grids that have rolling blackouts during high demand periods.

And even for grids where blackouts are infrequent, if your car can serve as large UPS for your house (combined with a large capacitor to keep the power stable), such functionality in the charger may be worth the cost of the hardware for many people. (Bringing the number of units up and hence the cost per unit down over time.)

Still, though, for grid stability it is probably much better to use dedicated batteries as part of the grid itself than to use car batteries.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by shagie on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @09:28AM (#34518608)
> And even for grids where blackouts are infrequent, if your car can serve as large UPS for your house (combined with a large capacitor to keep the power stable), such functionality in the charger may be worth the cost of the hardware for many people. (Bringing the number of units up and hence the cost per unit down over time.)

https://www.tesla.com/sites/default/files/downloads/tesla-ne...

> Warranty Limitations

> This New Vehicle Limited Warranty does not cover any vehicle damage or malfunction directly or indirectly caused by, due to or resulting from normal wear or deterioration, abuse, misuse, negligence, accident, improper maintenance, operation, storage or transport, including, but not limited to, any of the following:

> ...

> Using the vehicle as a stationary power source

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by ben-schaaf on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @10:15AM (#34519188)
> All model year 2013 and newer Nissan Leafs are approved for use with the FE-15 bidirectional charger, and the automaker states that battery warranties will not be affected.

https://www.theverge.com/2022/9/12/23349971/nissan-leaf-bidi...

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by shagie on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @10:21AM (#34519255)
https://cleantechnica.com/2022/09/09/a-nissan-leaf-can-power...

> Ideal for companies with fleet vehicles, the Fermata Energy Demand Charge Management application, along with the FE-15 charger, continuously monitors a building’s electrical loads, and may draw on the Nissan LEAF’s energy to provide power to the building during more expensive high-demand periods. In states with utility demand response programs, bi-directional-enabled Nissan LEAF vehicles (MY2013 and later) are able to safely send energy stored in the battery to the grid during peak energy demand times, such as in summer months.”

> The downsides to V2G tech are that it must degrade your battery (to some extent or another) to be discharging and charging more frequently, and it leaves your battery with less charge at times when you may wish you hadn’t discharged at all. Some people will always take that tradeoff, though, and it is great to simply have an option on the table for consumers who really want V2G tech. Stay tuned and watch this space.

> The article on the Fermata Energy/Nissan announcement is not quite correct. It’s for commercial use only – not residential. The Nissan-approved FE-15 bidirectional charger is available for commercial and government fleet owners. https://www.fermataenergy.com/fe15-sales

---

The other part is that this is grid supplemental charging where there is already a steady main current to be matched. If you are using it to power an island (home or similar disconnected from the grid), it is a different situation and would require completely disconnecting from the grid with safety cutouts to make sure that when the grid comes back on that the systems are not out of phase and damage equipment.

Grid storage is a different (and arguably easier) problem than home backup in the case of a blackout.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by fomine3 on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @09:30PM (#34527051)
V2H system with grid power outage support is available in Japan for a decade. I don't know what's the blocker in the US.
Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by shagie on Thursday January 26, 2023 @01:26PM (#34536236)
The cars need to be designed in a way that facilitates that rate of discharge. Not all electric cars have been.

There needs to be a specialized charging (and discharging) setup in the garage. People who charge using a regular extension cord without installing additional hardware will not be able to do V2H or V2G.

The charging setup needs to be able to cut off power from the grid to the home. This involves a more extensive modification to the home's electrical setup. Note that there's a different culture with housing in Japan.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Housing_in_Japan

> An unusual feature of Japanese housing is that houses are presumed to have a limited lifespan, and are generally torn down and rebuilt after a few decades, generally twenty years for wooden buildings and thirty years for concrete buildings – see regulations for details. Refurbishing properties, rather than rebuilding them, is a relatively uncommon practice in Japan, though its prevalence is increasing, indicating that attitudes towards older houses may be changing.

> ...

> The taxable value of a house is controlled by its building material. Wooden houses are considered to have a lifespan of twenty years, and concrete ones to have a lifespan of thirty years, and the assessed price depreciates each year contrary to housing markets in other nations.

This means that basically every 20 years the house is rebuilt and you've got more recent electrical setup. If you're building/buying a new house in Japan and had an EV, the incremental addition to the cost of building the house isn't significant.

The house I am living in was built before electricity was available, had gas pipes to each room for lighting (though not in use), and had functioning knob and tube wiring as recently as 2010.

I do look at a home generator (and the corresponding changes to the electrical wiring needed) - but that's not a small change. If I was getting an EV, and considering V2H as an add on, it would likely not be something I'd do.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by foobazgt on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @10:39AM (#34519506)
V2X (vehicle to grid, home, or load) is pretty new, but there are some vehicles out there with it. Tesla is not one of them. They seem to be more focused on solving storage with powerwall. I don't know where that's good or bad, but I do wish I could use my Tesla to jump another dead EV.
Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by schiffern on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @10:24AM (#34519293)
>This functionality is already there.

Simple delayed charging with a timer is common, yes. The grid interactivity part? Much less so.

The few V1G pilot programs out there have been very encouraging.

>better to use dedicated batteries as part of the grid itself than to use car batteries

Fortunately, it's not an either/or. We can better optimize the total system cost by doing both.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by cogman10 on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @11:31AM (#34520353)
We really just need a standard. The j1772 includes data lines. V2G is would literally be just controlling when the cars battery is connected to the charge circuit.
Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by htag on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @11:45AM (#34520556)
> Still, though, for grid stability it is probably much better to use dedicated batteries as part of the grid itself than to use car batteries.

Why? Every kwh we can store using car batteries is a kwh of dedicated grid storage we don't need to purchase. It can increase the speed we add new storage on the grid. It is a more efficient use of lithium and other precious metals. This "smart charge" or "flex EV" is the type of incentive utility companies can push, and something that would decrease the amount of capital investments they need to make.

I can imagine a few counter arguments for why dedicated batteries are better, but nothing that convinces me. This claim that dedicated batteries are better than car batteries has little support in your comment and I would like to understand why you believe this claim.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by trashtester on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @06:09PM (#34525461)
Mainly because the main long term cost for batteries is wear due to use. Expected lifetimes for cars match their expected lifetimes relatively well, so if car batteries are used at scale to feed power back to the grid, the probability increases that the battery will need to be replaced. (And sooner).

Then there are the efficiency downsides. Storage "at the edge" means more transmission infrastructure is needed, on average, compared to more centralized storage. Also, grid batteries can be optimized for number of charge cycles, not for charge amount per unit weight. Finally, servicing individual cars is probably more expensive than replacing batteries in a storage facility.

And this is before going into inconvenience aspects, such as risking that your car doesn't have a near-full charge when you need to go on an unexpected trip, or the hazzle of handling the payment agreements, etc, just for a couple of dollars per day in potential revenue.

In computer terms, it's kind of running mining software on your computer GPU at night. For those especially interested, it may be fun, but for the average consumer, probably not worth bothering with.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by jacquesm on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @12:52PM (#34521646)
For a blackout situation your car won't be of much help: any inverter that is grid tied will refuse to come on as long as there isn't a low impedance functioning grid connection present. Typically they'll measure the conditions for a minute or two, then make the connection (you'll hear a relay trip) and then bit by bit the inverter starts pushing power by advancing its on phase relative to the grid. If that doesn't stay within very precise parameters it will switch off, wait for a bit and try again.

So you can forget about your car (or even most solar inverters) to work during blackouts unless a couple of things are present:

- a automatic grid disconnection switch (aka a transfer switch)

- special firmware to allow the inverter to operate in 'off grid' mode

Both Xantrex and Victron have inverters that can do this but they are not normally deployed for such installations and they wouldn't know what to do with your car battery (voltage much higher than the ones that they require, typically 48V max).

Growatt has some off-grid units too, but those still won't satisfy the impedance requirements of your cars inverter (the grid is 'too small' so it will fluctuate too much due to high impedance).

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by kkfx on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @02:35PM (#34523059)
Fronius have hybrid inverter for 400V lithium batteries, witch are essentially the same used in cars, the missing part is the integration p.v. inverter-car's BMS.

Personally having an EV and a Victron inverter with batteries and same vendor car charger I HATE the fact I can't even adapt charging amps depending on p.v. available power in AC charging.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by jacquesm on Thursday January 26, 2023 @12:54AM (#34528138)
Yes, this lack of standardization and ability to communicate is infuriating. I don't have an EV but even without that adding a battery to an existing setup is not that simple, besides being in theory a massive fire hazard, so it can't be in the house.

With HA and a bunch of scripts you can actually get quite far in automating all this, but when the grid fails everything will shut down.

I'd love to see these babies become more easily (and cheaper!) to source:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lithium-titanate_battery

The energy density isn't super but for stationary applications that's fine. 6K+ cycles, fast charging, what's not to like?

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by kkfx on Thursday January 26, 2023 @01:45PM (#34536599)
Actually I have a LIMITED automation with the free inverter GPIO pins who allow a simple open/closed contact depending on how much power is available from p.v., with a bit of scripting to avoid oscillations due to a cloud passing by etc but the issues is still that almost NO APPLIANCE is designed to be piloted like that.

Beside modern water heater nothing else is available on sale and even to simply "trigger switches by software" means pay not marginal prices for IoT devices like Shelly ones, who have simply too much stuff, starting from a webui, to justify their costs.

Even the simple, decades old modbus, is BADLY spoken just by few devices, MQTT even less...

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by jacquesm on Thursday January 26, 2023 @01:53PM (#34536756)
Yes, I know what you're up against. It is quite frustrating. I have a habit now of testing new appliances by pulling the plug on them mid-cycle and then to plug them back in again to see if they will continue where they left off, do some graceful recovery (for instance: if the washer will re-heat the water or continue to work with cold water instead). Found a couple of positive surprises and an endless list of disappointments but you only really need one of each to get to a workable solution and this sort of brute force allows you to retrofit remote control into anything by virtue of a powersocket with a local internet hookup.

I can definitely recommend the 'Shelly' stuff, it's been absolutely problem free and super reliable, they have a nice range of sensors and controllers.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by kkfx on Friday January 27, 2023 @03:08PM (#34551128)
Essentially what I want is moderately simple: appliance vendors should offer an optional remote control of the machine, a simple ModBUS, like "hey, if you want, pay this and get a small card allow to replicate/bypass the physical knobs/controls of the appliance, so you can automate it/control it from remote, WITHOUT adding crappy cloud-based services, of course.

Some actually have happened, like minisplit with optional remote control module to be installed easily lifting the front top and some hot water heater, but such controls are still very rare and damn limiting...

A small example, I cite it because it's not on sale anymore (there is a slightly updated version, with a different name) my home hot water is made with a Daikin/Rotex M2O EKHHP it feature a "renewable integration" witch consist in two dry contacts who allow just to tell the machine:

- do not run

- run as you want

- run full power (heat pump, if possible PLUS classic resistive stick)

- run for an hour with heat pump only, then full power.

Those who design such logic have NO IDEA about domestic p.v. self consumption. Why the hell such logic instead of:

- do not run, except antifreeze

- do run full power (heat pump and resistance)

- do run ONLY in heat pump mode if possible

- do run ONLY with resistance

My actual "solution" is:

- knowing the outside temperature in HA, so being able to decide if I can run the heat pump or not

- decide to trigger the "run for an hour with heat pump only, then full power", switching to "do not run", switch again to "run for an hour with heat pump only, then full power"

just to limit the load to ~600-800W of the heat pump, BUT for instance sometimes I can use more, like the 2kW resistive stick BUT NOT 2kW+600-800W and for that I have no option. Sure it does not change my life, but it's absurd. Why not give such simple controls?

My VMC is even nicer: it have a range of ModBUS controls, with some registers badly enough documented I can't understand what they mean, some not documented but understandable through observation manually command the machine via it's own keyboard/display.

I've decided to buy an absurdly expensive EV domestic charger from the same vendor of my main home inverter, a Victron EVC. It claim formally to be integrated. Actually in p.v. mode all it do is staring a charge at 6A if there is at least them available from p.v. of course if there is room to more amps no way to change them, it seems to be hardcoded. Only option use the manual mode driven via ModBUS from Home Assistant. At that point I do not even understand the dams logic, the only thing better than a far cheaper charger is that it's three-phase, I have a 3-phase 36kVA domestic contract so if I need a quicker charge I can run around 7*3kW from grid. But that's all. Other domestic chargers for EVs are not better and still with absurdly high price for a simple metered socket with some extras on a mini-board computer, something who can cost around 30€...

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by marmetio on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @03:21PM (#34523625)
Additional info for others:

Your generator is not allowed to feed a non-functioning grid for safety reasons. It can't distinguish between a blackout and a utility worker disconnecting to service something. Your inverter would kill that unsuspecting person by surprising them with a generator on the side they're touching.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by Yizahi on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @08:55AM (#34518236)
Now that's an interesting idea. Let's see how it will unfold globally. Maybe it will indeed be painless feature.
Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by svggrfgovgf on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @09:08AM (#34518377)
People value things differently. You'd have to pay me way more than the 8 cents/kwh it cost me to use my battery. I'd want to be heavily compensated for the inconvenience of replacing the battery or car prematurely.
Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by martin-adams on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @09:10AM (#34518412)
Plus the reduced range between new and replacement.
Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by weard_beard on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @09:27AM (#34518592)
Plus my time and inconvenience of not having full range transport at all times. The time of someone who can currently afford an EV is more expensive than the time of someone who cannot.
Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by bryanlarsen on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @10:08AM (#34519117)
If I had a LiFePo4 battery that's good for 750,000 km I'd be willing to accept less than 8c because there's no way the rest of the car is going to last 750,000 km.
Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by sokoloff on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @10:35AM (#34519452)
You'd be willing to take around a penny per km of battery lifespan? I accept your decision at face-value, but it hardly seems worth it to me.

That might just inevitably conclude in "OK, I guess others are willing to ask a lower price than I am, so I won't be in a position to participate in a V2G scheme."

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by japaneseminisub on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @01:55PM (#34522573)
From GPs post its actually $5 plus 8c per KW.

That seems more reasonable for the owner, but no utility co would pay it.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by dmurray on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @09:25AM (#34518578)
> A 60kwh car battery might cost $10k, and allow 2000 charge cycles. So each kwh cycled into and out of the battery costs 8 cents.

If you can really treat the whole cost of the battery as X cents per charge cycle, disregarding the lifetime of the car/battery, this won't work at grid scale. Someone else will build a storage facility that just charges and discharges batteries, and they will outcompete rational EV owners, because they will have economies of scale and battery banks designed for this use. It only makes sense if the EV owner can somehow get charge capacity "for free" - eg the car will be EOL after 1000 charges but the battery lasts 2000 - he should sell the extra 1000. Or alternatively if getting 8c now is better than getting 1 charge in several years time (plausible if interest rates, energy futures prices etc are right).

However, this could be wrong. The same logic says rooftop solar can't exist without special subsidies, and a lot of people disagree with me there.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by londons_explore on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @09:40AM (#34518749)
Rooftop solar outcompetes solar farms because energy from a solar farm pays taxes and distribution costs before it is delivered to a user. Whereas rooftop solar energy is untaxed when it powers your laptop.

> It only makes sense if the EV owner can somehow get charge capacity "for free"

The EV owner has the power electronics 'for free' - ie. they have almost infinite lifespan, and just a capital cost.

Additionally, the variations of energy prices on the grid are really wide. There might be $100k/MWh for 5 minutes per year. It isn't worth a static operator paying the capital cost for the batteries (which also degrade with time) to setup for 5 minutes use per year. But it does make sense for the EV owner to do so, because his marginal cost is tiny.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by est31 on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @09:49AM (#34518863)
This reminds me of how in Germany, before there has been a value added tax, there'd been a revenue tax. It was lower, but you had to pay it on every $ of revenue, even if your profit margin was very small. So a lot of businesses started to vertically integrate. Once the system switched to one where you get back the tax for the things your business buys, businesses got broken up or grew in only one of the steps of their supply chain.
Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by onlyrealcuzzo on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @11:41AM (#34520517)
> Rooftop solar outcompetes solar farms because energy from a solar farm pays taxes and distribution costs before it is delivered to a user.

This depends where you live and the size/efficiency of your rooftop setup, right?

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by antisthenes on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @10:06PM (#34527270)
> Rooftop solar outcompetes solar farms because energy from a solar farm pays taxes and distribution costs before it is delivered to a user. Whereas rooftop solar energy is untaxed when it powers your laptop.

If you completely neglect the installation part, sure. Utility-scale solar farms have massive efficiencies of scale on purchasing panels and on labor-related overhead.

It's not that clear cut, basically.

I think what the EV model allows is for private car owners to essentially sell a part of their car back in increments, if for some reason their driving behavior changes and they don't need to drive as much as they used to.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by iso1210 on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @09:35AM (#34518684)
This does work today at grid scale, people use their home batteries (either on wheels or not) to charge/discharge to the grid in the UK all the time.

If someone builds that storage facility to do it commercially then great.

> rooftop solar can't exist without special subsidies

Yet it does

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by sokoloff on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @11:40AM (#34520485)
There are special subsidies for rooftop solar here in the US (Solar Investment Tax Credit). Are there not subsidies for solar where you live?

https://www.seia.org/initiatives/solar-investment-tax-credit...

> The solar Investment Tax Credit (ITC) is one of the most important federal policy mechanisms to support the growth of solar energy in the United States. Since the ITC was enacted in 2006, the U.S. solar industry has grown by more than 200x - creating hundreds of thousands of jobs and investing billions of dollars in the U.S. economy in the process.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by philipkglass on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @12:55PM (#34521686)
The same link says:

The Section 48 commercial credit can be applied to both customer-sited commercial solar systems and large-scale utility solar farms. The rate is effectively at 30% until Treasury issues guidance on new wage and apprenticeship standards. Two months later, the rate will be at 6%, with an additional 24% (for a total of 30%) available for meeting these new labor standards.

So utility-scale solar farms can get the same 30% credit as rooftop solar. They're both tax-advantaged compared to (e.g.) building a new gas plant, but the rooftop credit isn't any higher, at least not on the federal level. Self-consumption from rooftop solar may avoid other taxes, like sales tax, but in many states there is no sales tax on residential electricity to begin with.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by sokoloff on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @01:12PM (#34521961)
The interesting question of there being a subsidy for rooftop solar is the difference in subsidy to me between my roof having solar panels or my roof not having solar panels, not between my subsidy for my roof having solar panels or someone else's for their field having solar panels on it.
Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by iso1210 on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @01:31PM (#34522234)
Not any more, other than no sales tax on the panels.
Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by sokoloff on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @01:56PM (#34522583)
??

It's part of the "Inflation Reduction Act of 2022" (and at a higher rate than before): https://www.solar.com/learn/inflation-reduction-act/

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by iso1210 on Sunday January 29, 2023 @11:21AM (#34569527)
That's a foreign law applying to a foreign country
Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by fwungy on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @02:58PM (#34523327)
Subsidies are a terrible way to run energy policy because they can change quickly with politics. Big players stay away from big commitments to subsidy based markets.
Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by sokoloff on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @03:50PM (#34523981)
Subsidies of “do this this year and we’ll pay you $X” work and are relied upon. Subsidies like the CF that was the SREC market are indeed highly suspect and should not be relied upon, as generators of SRECs can attest.
Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by mercutio2 on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @11:41AM (#34520501)
I think you may have missed the point here.

Rooftop solar is heavily subsidized almost everywhere it’s popular. Rooftop solar isn’t a good deal for utilities or their non-rooftop-solar customers.

I say this as someone who lived off the grid on solar for years; encouraging rooftop solar may have kickstarted the learning curve for the solar panel industry, and as such may have been pretty good social policy.

But it definitely owes its existence to subsidies.

These days grid scale solar makes lots of sense, rooftop solar still doesn’t (and the subsidies are now harder to defend).

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by scythe on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @09:44AM (#34518786)
>It only makes sense if the EV owner can somehow get charge capacity "for free" - eg the car will be EOL after 1000 charges but the battery lasts 2000 - he should sell the extra 1000.

Plug in the numbers. A charge cycle is probably around 200 miles (not even optimistic). That means that 1000 charge cycles is 200000 miles. That's roughly the lifetime of a car. However, I have heard anecdotes that EVs should last longer, due to a simpler transmission, so this may be a little up in the air.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by neallindsay on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @09:56AM (#34518958)
"X cents per charge cycle" is a bit simpler than the reality. The actual wear cost of charging/discharging a big EV battery is cheaper in the middle and more expensive at the extremes.

I already have to own a car for short trips most days and an occasional long trip. And when I'm not going on a long trip I have a lot of extra battery capacity that I can rent to the grid at extremely low (additional) cost to me.

A dedicated battery storage facility on the other hand has to justify the entire price of the battery.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by schiffern on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @10:19AM (#34519243)
I took their numbers only as a simplified illustrative example to teach the idea.

A real deployed algorithm would estimate the "degradation cost curve" over the entire DoD, and stop charging when total (fully-considered) costs exceed revenue.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by bryanlarsen on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @10:06AM (#34519087)
Power has two big costs: generation and distribution. Once rooftop solar power is below the cost of distribution it doesn't matter how much it costs to generate power; rooftop solar is always going to be cheaper.

That milestone has been hit in some places Australia already.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by mercutio2 on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @11:45AM (#34520559)
I don’t quite buy your argument.

If the system still depends on distribution, someone has to pay for it.

It may be that rooftop solar users will be asked to pay more for that distribution than they think is reasonable.

I’m sure not excited about my grid operator proposing a $50/month minimum for electricity, it makes my panels seem worthless. But there is logic; I was being subsidized by net metering. And in future I may have to pay a cost closer to the true cost of access to the stability of the grid.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by EGreg on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @09:38AM (#34518730)
People measure stuff in terms of $ when they should be looking at the global resources on the planet, the garbage and the externalized costs. Until we move to a resource-based economy that takes these into account, we’ll be destroying the planet while on paper the carbon credit accounting looks perfect.
Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by punnerud on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @09:46AM (#34518812)
This already exist in Norway with the company Tibber, that have more than 400.000 users. They do just that, let you connect your EV so they adjust the charging and guarantee a lower price.

The market they can buy and sell this capacity is called an “aggregator”, and they can earn more money on this then selling just power.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by mercutio2 on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @11:49AM (#34520626)
This is “let a large entity suck up much of the arbitrage value, with a small fraction going to you”, and already exists in most countries.

Seems quite different from “your household is an autonomous actor and you get almost all of the arbitrage value of reducing peak consumption”, which would be a radically different system (but ignores who’s going to pay for distribution, which is getting closer and closer to being the dominant cost of the grid).

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by pjc50 on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @09:57AM (#34518969)
> Delaying charging till later is free. So another car owner's car might see on the futures market that delaying charging starting from 6pm till 11pm might save a few cents.

Yeah, I think that's far more likely. I can also see the possibility of a grid-mandated signal for "please, stop charging for five minutes, we're at capacity".

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by staringback on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @10:29AM (#34519357)
Let's hope you don't need to go anywhere urgently in the middle of the night... oops not enough battery to make it!
Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by schiffern on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @10:34AM (#34519445)
This is why you have an "always charge immediately to X%" option in the UI. You set this to whatever range an unexpected trip might require.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34518188

If your life is so chaotic that this doesn't work for some reason, don't turn on V1G

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by tzs on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @12:42PM (#34521467)
> A 60kwh car battery might cost $10k, and allow 2000 charge cycles

After those 2000 cycles is the battery completely dead, or does it still work but at a reduced capacity?

If it does still work at a reduced capacity, does continued use reduce the capacity to 0 after a while, or does is plateau at some fixed reduced capacity and stop further degrading?

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by thrashh on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @01:25PM (#34522164)
It may be calculable, but is it economical? That 8 cents isn't free. If the power company pays, that means customers pay. If customers don't pay, society has to pay. There are other power storage solutions like pumped hydro that don't have to deal with battery chemistry degradation, for example, but they have higher investment costs.

This study is great but a energy storage comparison study that calculates total cost would tell us much more. Wouldn't be surprised if the Department of Energy already has or is [1]

[1] They do a lot of these studies already. i.e. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ae17da3d-e8a5-4163-...

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by singhrac on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @01:58PM (#34522613)
The spread between wholesale energy prices between high and low renewable times (with low-compared-to-future renewable penetration) is around $20/MW (it’s not $2 and it’s not usually $200), or about $0.02/kwh, so this isn’t a viable return. I doubt selling into the grid will ever get you retail prices in return (someone had to maintain load power lines).

I think people worry a lot about market access when it doesn’t make sense. The market operators cannot handle the settlement and operations overhead of microscale power generators. They are not offering reliable commitments, and the metering just doesn’t exist at the small scale. Your local PG&E equivalent isn’t equipped to operate an efficient power market, I don’t think.

For context - a “small” scale solar power plant is in the 10s of MWs, which >1000x bigger then a car battery at full output. Utility-scale storage is also in the same ballpark.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by whazor on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @03:00PM (#34523354)
Here in EU, day ahead prices that are available to me as consumer are now ranging from €0.18/kWh to €0.34/kWh in the same day (winter). So that is 16 cents per kWh diff to profit from. I guess there is some energy loss with charging and de-charging.

Since prices a per day, announced the day before, the algorithm is not that complicated.

Also, if I install solar panels, the electricity just goes back into the grid, and I would get money for it. For the car it would be the same, just reverse the electricity into the grid. So it is mostly just the connecting the day-ahead prices, plus the cars and wall chargers returning electricity of-course.

Re:EVs Are Essential Grid-Scale Storage by enslavedrobot on Wednesday January 25, 2023 @10:42PM (#34527430)
The number of cycles a battery can sustain strongly depends on its state of charge and depth of discharge. A cars battery can cycle between 30 and 70% charge for 20000 cycles or 0.8 cents/kWh according to your calculation.