To be clear, with our current information, the sabotage makes sense for nobody, not for the US, not for Russia. The only reason people are attributing it to Russia is because, of all the people currently in the room, Putin is the one acting the most generally irrational. But if we assume irrationality, it could just as easily be any random entity; Iran, or North Korea, or Greenpeace, or mermaids, or the shambling, zombified corpse of Abraham Lincoln.
Of course there are many factors at play and a lot we don’t know.
The arguments in your post carry a hint of denial in them. Read other posts that outline the benefits to the US position after the sabotage, and consider them without bias. Not saying its the only explanation- but the case is worth considering.
Let's see who benefits from this sabotage.
1. Russia doesn't benefit as it disabled their property and removed an important negotiating tool from their portfolio.
2. Germany doesn't benefit for obvious reasons. Now even if they wanted to, they can't try to get gas from Russia.
3. The US on the other hand benefits both by wrecking Germany's industry and opening up a market for their LNG.
4. Ukraine gets to demand more freebies and weapons from NATO. Benefit.
5. NATO gets to dump their own inventory on Ukraine. Benefit.
6. The US weapons manufacturers get new orders. Lots of benefits.
Take a step back and apply some common sense.
You have no idea what you're talking about. Nord Stream is the largest pipeline, but by no means the only one. Despite the fact that Nord Stream has been shut down for over a month, Germany continued and still continues to buy Russian gas.
> The US on the other hand benefits both by wrecking Germany's industry and opening up a market for their LNG.
Again, you have no idea what you're talking about. The US is a beneficiary of German industry, it has no financial motive to wreck their industry, let alone the geopolitical implications of wrecking the industry of their key ally. And the US has already been selling gas to Europe literally as fast as it can. There's no new market to open up, the status quo continues.
And the last half of your points appear to be completely irrelevant? None of the sabotage here will have any noticeable effect on the war in Ukraine, let alone have the effect of extending it, which is what you appear to be suggesting.
And you do? Ad hominem make for great debating skills.
And the other points are lost on you, since you appear to be completely taken in by your regime's propaganda.
That doesn’t mean Putin is an agent for America.
What's with the authoritative tone? You have no clue what American submarines have been up to, and if you did know, you'd be breaking the law by telling us anything about it. And it's absurd to pretend that the premise of submarines doing clandestine illegal stuff underwater is an outlandish "Q-style" 'conspiracy'.
In practice there's not a single state on Earth that benefits from the temporary disabling of this unused pipeline, but of all the states that have something to lose from being discovered as the perpetrator, the US is near the top of the list.
> In practice there's not a single state on Earth that benefits from the temporary disabling of this unused pipeline,
Severing this tie between Germany and Russia benefits America. If you don't understand this then you haven't been paying attention. Furthermore, doing it in a way that takes the blame off the German government is beneficial to the German government. The German people will be uncomfortable in the short term, but in the long run severing this link between their country and Russia will be good in the long run for them and the rest of NATO.
No, the German government knows it needs to weather the winter, and have been relying (and continue to rely upon) Russian gas to fill their reserves. Their goal was to have their gas reserves filled to 95% capacity by November, and they appear to have been at around 75% before Russia started playing games with Nord Stream 1 last month. Of all the states most negatively impacted by this, Germany is probably #1 (yes, even more than Russia).
Obviously a rhetorical flourish but Iran and North Korea would have substantially less capability for an attack of this nature. It’s not impossible but certainly there are more likely perpetrators.
I also don't think the US sees Germany as a "rival" in this way at all, they are a strong trading partner.
The motivations are not that clear for any actor really. Someone wanted to burn a potential bridge between the EU and Russia, but it's not clear to me why the US would want to lose their biggest carrot (immediately dumping cash into Russia if sanctions were lifted and gas could be bought), or why Russia would want to lose a pipeline they invested so much into, sitting there and just tempting the west to Germany to ease sanctions.
The sabotage ensures Europe can't back off from the US sanctions now.
Wrecks Germany's economy, thereby eliminating a rival. VW et al are already talking about moving production to the US.
And Biden promised to take care of NS 2 back in February itself.
https://youtu.be/OS4O8rGRLf8