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Re:What Does the Post Crash VC Market Look Like? by version_five on Wednesday September 21, 2022 @08:44PM (#32933520)
The recent (since the 80s) history of financial ups and downs has been

- savings and loan

- junk bond

- dot com / financial engineering (Enron)

- mortgage backed securities

- VC

Basically, money chases outsized returns, some new thing emerges to satisfy the demand, it becomes effectively a ponzi / house of cards, it falls apart, we shift to the next thing. It's impossible to predict when and what will happen of course, it will be interesting to read retrospectively about what's happening with VC as we have with the rest:

Barbarians at the gate / Den of Thieves

Smartest Guys in the Room

The Big Short

(Bad Blood is partway there but Theranos wasnt a turning point like the others)

Re:What Does the Post Crash VC Market Look Like? by Apocryphon on Wednesday September 21, 2022 @09:35PM (#32933870)
Margin Call takes place in 2008, but its depiction of how the investors respond to a crisis is evergreen.
Re:What Does the Post Crash VC Market Look Like? by devoutsalsa on Wednesday September 21, 2022 @10:59PM (#32934351)
I love that movie. It’s my favorite financial drama. I have sympathy & contempt for nearly everyone in that movie.
Re:What Does the Post Crash VC Market Look Like? by hef19898 on Thursday September 22, 2022 @03:36AM (#32935817)
Honestly, those traders kept around until the dirty work was done got the best deal. Million dollar bonus for a couple of days of work and a clear way out, I would have taken that deal in a second.

Side note: Regardless of the borderline sociopathic ruthlessbes of Jeremy Irons character, I'd propably work for him as well. At least for a while. Heck, he was flown to a crisis meeting, listened to the people on the ground, understood the problem, met a decision and implemented a plan. All that in one night! Most senior managers I know would have needed a month to understand the why the underlying mathematical model had any significance.

Re:What Does the Post Crash VC Market Look Like? by nickpinkston on Thursday September 22, 2022 @06:47PM (#32945611)
Agree 100%!

Having been CEO through similar crisis situations, I really related to his character and situation in that movie.

People who criticize his actions don't understand that hard decisions are always between two shitty options. There wasn't a warm-n--fuzzy way to get out of there.

You can criticize their risk management strategy, and honestly we should more criticize the USG / SEC for allowing such risk to build up.

Re:What Does the Post Crash VC Market Look Like? by fullshark on Wednesday September 21, 2022 @09:41PM (#32933905)
There's a great book to be written about SPACs, the last gasp attempt to cash out companies before the party ended.
Re:What Does the Post Crash VC Market Look Like? by CSMastermind on Wednesday September 21, 2022 @11:07PM (#32934385)
I'd argue that crypto fits that bill more than VC.
Re:What Does the Post Crash VC Market Look Like? by spaceman_2020 on Thursday September 22, 2022 @01:12AM (#32935013)
Crypto has a lot of retail suckers and speculators to pump and dump on, unlike private markets.
Re:What Does the Post Crash VC Market Look Like? by KptMarchewa on Thursday September 22, 2022 @05:30AM (#32936600)
2017 crash yeah. Now way more institutional money is involved - tens of billions of dollars. https://cointelegraph.com/news/vcs-pour-14-2b-into-crypto-in...
Re:What Does the Post Crash VC Market Look Like? by sennraf on Wednesday September 21, 2022 @10:54PM (#32934332)
Don’t forget private equity: (Private equity may become a ‘pyramid scheme’, warns Danish pension fund - paywalled) https://www.ft.com/content/f480a99c-4c7b-4208-b9dd-ef2010325...
Re:What Does the Post Crash VC Market Look Like? by MuffinFlavored on Wednesday September 21, 2022 @10:55PM (#32934335)
crypto?
Re:What Does the Post Crash VC Market Look Like? by enos_feedler on Thursday September 22, 2022 @03:08AM (#32935631)
This seems logical but I always think if it was that obvious it would already happen. We don't even know if there is ONE good idea with crypto yet, but there are whole funds and firms dedicated to chasing the plethora of crypto businesses.
Re:What Does the Post Crash VC Market Look Like? by lawn on Thursday September 22, 2022 @03:21AM (#32935701)
Well, the one good idea is using it as money. Although the adoption didn't really happen, and its difficult to earn money from crypto being used as money, so people are desperately searching for other things to do with it.
Re:What Does the Post Crash VC Market Look Like? by friendzis on Thursday September 22, 2022 @05:46AM (#32936704)
> Well, the one good idea is using it as money

The major component of crypto being distributed consensus it has absolutely no way to work with external world, therefore it can only work with blockchain-borne stuff. The only thing dreamed up yet are cryptotokens.

Since blockchains have no way to interact with external world it can only be used to exchange cryptotokens between wallets - there is no way to ensure that other side of the transaction involving anything else but cryptotokens is upheld. So it CANNOT be used as money by probably any sane definition of money.

Crypto scams are natural consequence of this inherent property.

Re:What Does the Post Crash VC Market Look Like? by peyton on Thursday September 22, 2022 @07:03AM (#32937240)
Where’s capital formation headed? Dunno how durable institutional trust will be in the current regimes. Some questionable decisionmaking.