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Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by onion2k on Sunday September 11, 2022 @02:09AM (#32797233)
We could use cars a bit less. Moving to better mass transit systems, walkable environments, remote working, etc means we might be able to cope with just using less lithium, and then we'd be able to mine less.

Suggesting that we have to mine lithium because the alternative is fossil fuels shows a belief that we should be continuing our current lifestyle and making it a little greener rather than modifying our lifestyle and making it radically greener.

Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by billythemaniam on Sunday September 11, 2022 @07:29AM (#32798740)
Abstinence has never worked at a societal level for alcohol, drugs, sex, nor environmental issues so far either. Why do we keep thinking that is going to start working any day now? Why do we keep thinking that fighting human nature head-on is the best course of action?
Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by CogitoCogito on Sunday September 11, 2022 @07:41AM (#32798797)
> Why do we keep thinking that fighting human nature head-on is the best course of action?

Assume /u/onion2k was referring to the US, many countries successfully push public transport more than the US. So human nature certainly isn't the blocker here, but the current culture of the US.

Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by billythemaniam on Sunday September 11, 2022 @08:10AM (#32798946)
Public transportation alone cannot solve the problem in the US. It can't even make a large enough dent to really make a difference. Most of those other countries are like a small US state, but the US is much, much larger. Even a medium sized US state is larger than most of those countries. There is a massive scale difference that needs to be taken into account. Because of that scale difference, it is hard for public transportation in the US to appeal to our innate desire for convenience. That's why public transportation works so well in small countries, that transportation can take most people to most places cost effectively. In other words, it is convenient for them.
Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by orn688 on Sunday September 11, 2022 @09:19AM (#32799385)
Certainly it might not make sense to build extensive public transit in or between every tiny town in Wyoming.

But within individual cities, or areas like the Northeast Corridor, the density is comparable to areas of Europe with fantastic public transit.

The issue is car-centric policy and culture, not lack of potential demand.

Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by billythemaniam on Sunday September 11, 2022 @09:29AM (#32799462)
Fighting against human nature is the hardest. You know what is next hardest? Fighting culture. Even if culture can be changed, it takes a least one generation or ~30 years and often longer. I'm really not that interested in what the problem is theoretically. I'm interested in effectiveness. Ramping up of mining to build batteries to put a huge dent in CO2 emissions at the expense of localized environmental damage? That's effective. Not perfect or ideal, but it is effective because it is the path of least resistance.
Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by CogitoCogito on Sunday September 11, 2022 @10:03AM (#32799701)
Sweden has a lower population density than the US, yet it handles public transportation much better.

> Because of that scale difference, it is hard for public transportation in the US to appeal to our innate desire for convenience.

I don't really understand what you mean by this. Public transportation is extremely convenient. I love driving (I grew up in California), but find public transportation in Sweden much more convenient than having a car.

Honestly I'm having trouble understanding the core of your argument.

Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by droidist2 on Sunday September 11, 2022 @09:38PM (#32804974)
The Sweden statistic is misleading because their population is concentrated in the south, similar to Canada and other nations with large areas of extreme cold. A better measure would be median density or population-weighted density.
Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by CogitoCogito on Monday September 12, 2022 @02:10AM (#32806636)
To be fair, /u/billythemaniam ( https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=32798946 ) main argument seemed to be this:

> Most of those other countries are like a small US state, but the US is much, much larger. Even a medium sized US state is larger than most of those countries. There is a massive scale difference that needs to be taken into account.

So I was really kind of giving the benefit of the doubt when considering population density.

That said I understand your point. But that doesn't explain why US _cities_ put so little effort into public transportation. Even ignoring the dispersal across the country, the US seems to not care to handle the problem on the local level where it really has no excuse at all.

As to your comparison with population weighted density, here are comparisons between the US and Sweden:

* "While the overall U.S. density stood at 87 people per square mile, population-weighted density shows that people actually lived at an average of 5,369 people per square mile."

https://www.smartcitiesdive.com/ex/sustainablecitiescollecti...

* "Population-Weighted Density for Sweden was found to be much higher compared to simple density, 2288.8 people per square kilometre instead of 24.0 for 2015."

http://www.diva-portal.org/smash/record.jsf?pid=diva2%3A1081...

So it looks like the population weight density of Sweden would be 2288.8 * 1.609 * 1.609 = 5925.4308328 per square mile which is apparently 10% higher than the US.

Now honestly that doesn't really seem to explain the difference to me. Is 10% such a big difference? Besides if it is, Sweden wasn't always at this value. In the past few decades, people have moved into cities so what I really wonder is how far back do you need to go historically before Sweden was lower than the US current number? As in, at what point recently was Sweden in a worse position? Personally I think the best explanation for the US' current position overall is cultural: they really just don't want to give up their cars.

Anyway thanks for the info. Looks like I'd personally need to put more time and research into this than I have available, but I'll try to keep this info in mind going forward.

Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by billythemaniam on Sunday September 11, 2022 @01:49PM (#32801677)
I didn't say public transportation is inconvenient. I said it is hard to make it convenient in the US for the majority of the population. And if it is not convenient, it won't be used.
Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by CogitoCogito on Sunday September 11, 2022 @04:02PM (#32802767)
Why is it hard to make it convenient in the US, but it isn’t in Sweden?
Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by onion2k on Sunday September 11, 2022 @09:31AM (#32799478)
Because of that scale difference, it is hard for public transportation in the US to appeal to our innate desire for convenience.

The absolute size of the land is irrelevant; the only thing that matters is how far people actually travel. If your state is 1000 miles across, but most of the people stay within 5 miles of their home most of the time then public transport is completely viable. People who want to travel further can still own a car, or just rent on when they need to travel a long way.

While good public transport isn't an option everyone will continue to own cars, and while people own cars public transport will be under-utilized and expensive. It's a chicken and egg problem.

Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by stickfigure on Sunday September 11, 2022 @02:28AM (#32797306)
Option A) Develop a more environmentally friendly technology

Option B) Fundamentally reorganize human society

--

Option B has a poor track record.

Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by onion2k on Sunday September 11, 2022 @02:38AM (#32797351)
You only need to look at the history of society at times in the past 150 years to see that's not true. People fundamentally reorganised around working in factories, owning cars, women going out to work, television, the adoption of IT, the internet, smart phones, and probably many more things within a few decades as soon as each thing was first introduced. Humans are amazing at adapting to rapid changes when we want to.
Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by theshrike79 on Sunday September 11, 2022 @03:06AM (#32797469)
Humans are amazing at adapting to things that give them more of something.

What we need as a civilisation is people wanting less of everything, but that's really hard. People take things as given and if you even suggest taking away those things they get irrationally angry and dig down even harder.

Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by braindead_in on Sunday September 11, 2022 @09:46AM (#32799584)
> What we need as a civilisation is people wanting less of everything, but that's really hard.

Not very hard; there are several spiritual traditions which emphasize detachment from objects, e.g. Buddhism. But unfortunately, Buddhist countries don't generally do well militarily because of the focus on monasticism/pacifism. India was majority Buddhist in 6-7th century and arguably that made them vulnerable to the Arab invasions. Similar case can be made for Tibbet.

Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by avgcorrection on Sunday September 11, 2022 @04:22AM (#32797807)
Consumer-capitalism is an economic system which depends on consumption from the working- and middle-class. It is not merely a lifestyle which is opted into.

But this always gets framed as changing the hearts and minds of regular people. Well my own prime minister was a bit upset that people were consuming less during the height of the pandemic. They wanted people to get back to “supporting small businesses” ASAP.

Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by imtringued on Sunday September 11, 2022 @05:33AM (#32798208)
In my opinion people are working backwards. They are taking properties of money and project them onto humans rather than doing the opposite.

Economists say people have infinite wants and needs but really, in practice it boils down to a desire to constantly learn new things. The only reason why people may want an infinitely high amount of money ie. infinite wants is because there is no opportunity cost to holding money, humans really love having infinite free things and hate things that cost them something.

Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by bluefirebrand on Sunday September 11, 2022 @08:56AM (#32799238)
> People take things as given and if you even suggest taking away those things they get irrationally angry and dig down even harder.

What's irrational about it?

Especially in this case. People are being asked to drive less, when driving is currently a necessity in their daily lives. Meanwhile the upper class is flying private jets around.

Being asked to accept less in that situation should make you angry. And it isn't irrational.

Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by speedgoose on Sunday September 11, 2022 @02:44AM (#32797380)
But why would they want to give up their cars? The average human doesn’t value protecting the environment more than maintaining their lifestyle.
Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by 8n4vidtmkvmk on Sunday September 11, 2022 @03:54AM (#32797668)
i thought my wife and i would always have our own cars. could never imagine making do with 1. but now i can walk to work so we don't need 2. and if we happen to need to go separate ways, i can uber. make transportation easy, and people will adapt/embrace even if they don't currently like the idea.
Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by speedgoose on Sunday September 11, 2022 @04:04AM (#32797728)
Not needing a car is great, but this apply mostly to people living in cities. I would love to walk to work, I would only need to triple my income or downgrade a lot my quality of life by living in a bad small apartment.
Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by 8n4vidtmkvmk on Monday September 12, 2022 @04:10PM (#32816185)
Right, definitely not everyone can do it. My point is only that opinions can change if circumstances change.
Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by fallingknife on Sunday September 11, 2022 @02:59AM (#32797435)
And 0 of those examples involve people being told to give up things they wanted.
Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by VBprogrammer on Sunday September 11, 2022 @03:23AM (#32797531)
It's not so much about giving up something they want but about giving up something that is fundamentally better than the alternatives (except of course for the externalities). It would be like getting people to go back to going to communal laundry facilities or washboards.
Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by sofixa on Sunday September 11, 2022 @04:23AM (#32797812)
> Fundamentally reorganize human society

American and maybe Canadian society. There is nothing particular to humans that makes them car dependent, urban design, education and other such circumstances make them so. In some countries car dependency is the exception due to good public transit coverage (for commuting or longer distances with high speed rail).

Of course there's no silver bullet that will make everyone abandon their car tomorrow morning, but a lot of car trips can be cut with good urban design (including walkability, cycling, public transit), and for the rest that remain for whatever reason, EVs are a better choice, obviously. However focusing only on EVs and ignoring the rest is only opening another can of worms to replace the current one.

Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by someweirdperson on Sunday September 11, 2022 @05:38AM (#32798229)
> There is nothing particular to humans that makes them car dependent [...]

Not dependent in the practical sense, but I think we are somewhat genetically wired for something related to long distance travel and/or the means to do so, or at least to move at higher speeds than we can on foot. There's the love for horses in (mostly female) humans, and the way car purchases are made is not at all driven by practical considerations only.

Transformation can make us less dependent on cars and reduce their use. It won't remove the desire to own and fully control means of transportation.

Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by ZeroGravitas on Sunday September 11, 2022 @05:04AM (#32798043)
Luckily, the two options are not in any way mutually exclusive.

Lithium for e-bikes, golf-carts, trams and busses, taxis, ferries etc. are needed for the non-car-based city vision too, and the reduction in ICE pollution actually makes cities a nicer place to live.

Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by avgcorrection on Sunday September 11, 2022 @02:38AM (#32797352)
Like when we chose B) and made our current consumer-capitalist society?
Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by timeon on Sunday September 11, 2022 @04:00AM (#32797699)
> Option B has a poor track record.

They both have.

Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by int_19h on Sunday September 11, 2022 @04:45AM (#32797928)
Our current tech is way greener than what we had 100 years ago.
Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by TedShiller on Sunday September 11, 2022 @05:07AM (#32798056)
You seem to forget that 100 years ago it was also used much less.

billions of light polluters today is much worse than a couple of heavy polluters 100 years ago.

Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by int_19h on Sunday September 11, 2022 @04:28PM (#32802981)
That is a different issue that doesn't have to do with tech itself. But I will also note that our population growth trajectory 100 years ago looked much more pessimistic than the one today.

Now I don't think any of this will be enough to avoid a major catastrophe due to AGW. But it's also clear from experience that, between tech advances and social self-control, the former is far more likely to happen at scale, and thus have any meaningful effect.

Re:'We don’t have enough' lithium globally to meet EV target... by guerby on Sunday September 11, 2022 @03:02AM (#32797444)
EV are at least currently more expensive upfront to buy than ICE cars so we'll naturally get less of them.

We'll also probably get a lot more of small EV (especially in cities) than we got small ICE cars.

I really wish people in favor of non car transit would spend less than 100% of their time criticizing people owning/looking for an EV and never say a word on fossil cars that people continue buying.

Their time would be much better spent on promoting mass transit (with electric bus/whatever), walkable and cyclist friendly development and telling people about health, atmospheric pollution and noise issues around fossil cars.

To fight climate change we need both EV and more mass transit/walking/cycling, and less ICE car and buses.

And timing is critical so all at the same time.