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Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by fullstackchris on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @04:10PM (#30091898)
The successful launch (and subsequent deployment steps) that went of without a hitch restored my faith in humanity.

I'm so pumped to see what science and images the Webb produces.

Could 2022 be the year we find an exoplanet with conclusive biomarkers?

[dead]
Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by munificent on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @05:04PM (#30092658)
Here's a funny asymmetry I've started noticing online:

* Whenever a person or group do something bad, the response is always, "Look how much humanity sucks."

* Whenever a person or group does something good, the response is always, "Look how good those particular people are."

Now, there is a positive explanation for this: It's good to give credit. When someone does something particularly good, it diminishes their act to say that it's just another example of humanity.

But at the same time, the aggregate effect of this bias is that always appears that humanity sucks with the rare exception of a few blessed individuals. But the opposite is much more likely to be true.

Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by TheOtherHobbes on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @05:14PM (#30092825)
Or it could could be more that solving bounded problems that involve moving atoms around - like building a space telescope - is relatively easy.

But solving unbounded problems that involve moving emotions and attitudes around - like building a planetary culture that isn't violent, irrational, and collectively suicidal - is hard.

Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by 300bps on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @05:33PM (#30093061)
It’s called being a pessimist.

Martin Seligman teaches in the book Learned Optimism that:

Optimists think any good thing that happens is permanent, pervasive and personal.

Optimists think any bad thing that happens is impermanent, specific and impersonal.

Pessimists flip flop these explanatory styles. The people you’re commenting on seem to be pessimistic about humanity.

Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by 6510 on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @05:35PM (#30093082)
There is also those who paid for something getting all or non of the credit depending on the settings.
Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by stavros on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @04:42PM (#30092345)
Ah, you know, this is as much humanity's success as global warming is its failure. We built a world that can make both these things.
Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by alcover on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @05:37PM (#30093104)
But somehow humanity works as a whole for these achievements. The higher education, the infrastructure, the people merely cleaning the launch site facilities, all get a sense out of this.
Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by dylan604 on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @04:39PM (#30092295)
Using the same filter, I'd say non-Boeing engineers. After the 737Max revelations, the fact that they can't figure out why their space capsule doesn't work, etc, I'd be very very concerned for any of their space craft not screwing up after the launch. All of those $numberOfMinutesOfTerror would be excruciating from a Boeing engineered anything at this point.
Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by lamontcg on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @05:05PM (#30092676)
Boeing management, not engineers.

And they're probably fine if they're supervised by NASA employees working for the government.

Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by pohl on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @04:42PM (#30092338)
Yeah, that's a bit broad, but citizens who still work towards doing useful things through public policy deserve some recognition, here.
Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by causi on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @06:04PM (#30093389)
To be brutally honest, this project being fourteen years behind schedule and two thousand percent over budget damaged mine. Selling a program to taxpayers as a 500 million dollar endeavor and then extracting ten billion dollars from them is the kind of thing that should put people in prison for life.
Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by ghaff on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @07:18PM (#30094189)
One can reasonably argue that an over time, over budget project should be considered a failure even if it ultimately meets its objectives is a defensible comment. Arguing that people should be put in prison for such, absent actual malfeasance, is an argument that no one should ever do anything risky that's exposed to personal risk. Go away.
Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by OrvalWintermute on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @10:09PM (#30095713)
> this project being fourteen years behind schedule and two thousand percent over budget damaged mine.

There is a cogent response to that, as a series of questions.

1 - Which requirements changed?

2 - Which hard science & engineering problems had to be solved, and how trivial, or monumental were they?

3 - Which components failed, or passed testing, requiring rework, or re-engineering?

> Selling a program to taxpayers as a 500 million dollar endeavor and then extracting ten billion dollars from them is the kind of thing that should put people in prison for life.

Initial estimated costs were higher than 500 million. The 500 million number was an NGST estimate, right? I don't think lifecycle costs were ever estimated at 500M, it seems crazy to be that low. Are you sure you are correct on the type of costs you are providing?

Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by the_biot on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @06:25PM (#30093633)
14 years late, 2000% over budget even while getting a free ride from ESA -- and loudly exclaiming this thing has no redundancy whatsoever: anything at all might brick it. It may be a great telescope, but it's a miserable failure as a project.
Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by selectodude on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @07:18PM (#30094196)
What is a "budget" when it comes to this sort of stuff though? They were doing things nobody has ever done before. How could anybody have any idea what it was going to cost?
Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by panick21_ on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @07:39PM (#30094372)
Well, the companies that promised that they could deliver the things they were advertising claimed to know.

What should have been done is to have many more missions where these technologies can iteratively been proven so that once you head into a larger project you have some idea of whats gone happen.

And you don't end up launching a telescope that already has 20 year old tech in it.

And the companies that did it made fine profit of course. Promise the moon, don't deliver, make profit. Not a good model.

Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by bastawhiz on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @11:23PM (#30096183)
> What should have been done is to have many more missions where these technologies can iteratively been proven so that once you head into a larger project you have some idea of whats gone happen.

And how much do those projects cost? And what value do we derive from lots of small iterative solutions?

> And you don't end up launching a telescope that already has 20 year old tech in it.

If you're launching iteratively, then either you're proving out the tech until it's decades old, or you're never making progress on your iterative approach because you're constantly replacing the thing you iterated on with the new hotness.

Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by devoutsalsa on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @10:22PM (#30095806)
All of the lessons learned can be applied to future space missions. It’s not like the next satellite is a “complete rewrite”.
Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by burrows on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @06:55PM (#30093945)
X failed as a project if and only if X failed as a product or X consumed (hugely) more resources than initially planned?

But what other reasons that people might care about X failing as a project when it succeeds as a product?

Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by avalys on Thursday January 27, 2022 @01:40AM (#30097012)
Sorry, you think bad estimating deserves life imprisonment?

And you are posting this on a forum dominated by software engineers?

Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by aulin on Thursday January 27, 2022 @04:43AM (#30098307)
Budget for big projects like these is not an easy concept. 14 years behind schedule means 14 more years developing the science and technology, 14 more years of research grants that probably funded project-specific but also tons of side research, new labs, new knowledge and experience that will be useful and be used way beyond the single project that funded its advancement.

Sometimes it's good to overspend if it's an excuse to fund research that would otherwise struggle to find money to stay alive.

Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by acconrad on Thursday January 27, 2022 @09:10AM (#30100752)
If you’re worried about a $10b telescope, you going to lose your mind when you find out how much taxpayers overpaid on the F35 and the War in Afghanistan.
Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by gilbetron on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @10:22PM (#30095805)
If it were up to people like you, we would never achieve anything of interest.
Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by hayanno on Thursday January 27, 2022 @05:40AM (#30098742)
When we are talking about "directly observing a part of space and time never seen before. Gazing into the epoch when the very first stars and galaxies formed, over 13.5 billion years ago." I guess 2000% over budget seems fine to me. Even if you are thinking only about profit, I think the discoveries will pay for themself.

Plus I think the budget didn't jump from 500 million to ten billion dollars in on day, project grew and budget grew with it, and someone had to approve it, we are talking about multinational project, so I think everything is well documented and well approved from people who knows the project well better than us.

I do agree with you that if that was military budget, I would think that something is really wrong.

Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by spopejoy on Saturday January 29, 2022 @10:43AM (#30127178)
Why do downvoted and clearly negative comments like this nonetheless end up at the top of responses to the parent comment? Is it because it fomented a lot of responses?

On another article today, again the top response to the top comment was so negative that dang stepped in, and yet again, it's the first thing you see.

It's frustrating, because HN is doing a great job keeping things pretty constructive, but this still seems to reward negativity by thrusting it into view. Shouldn't it at least be below less-downvoted responses?

Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by emptyfile on Thursday January 27, 2022 @04:21AM (#30098156)
I really appreciate comments like this, makes me much more aware how stupid HN news posters are, a much needed reminder.

Life in prison for being over budget...

Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by gilbetron on Thursday January 27, 2022 @08:21AM (#30100196)
It honestly seems to have gotten worse over the past several years. I don't know exactly when it started, but I've noticed a distinct dip in the quality of conversations here. I don't know if it is HN specific, but I think it is an overall societal increase in people that are stuck in information bubbles, like all of us, but when they find they are in an information bubble, they don't care. They obstinately refuse to get out of their bubble.
Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by orbital-decay on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @11:49PM (#30096338)
>Selling a program to taxpayers as a 500 million dollar endeavor and then extracting ten billion dollars from them is the kind of thing that should put people in prison for life.

Would you say the same about LIGO, for example? Originally thought to be easy, it turned out to be a 40 years long endeavor.

Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by causi on Friday January 28, 2022 @05:43PM (#30121494)
LIGO is a great example! The LIGO project repeatedly failed to meet requirements and in exchange had its funding requests rejected. The project management was completely restructured, with several people including the original team lead ejected from their roles. Only after coming up with a new budget were they granted additional funding, and after meeting those requirements they were given $200 million in additional funding with which they increased LIGO sensitivity by 400%.
Re:To my surprise and elation, the Webb Space Telescope is g... by ganzuul on Thursday January 27, 2022 @05:53AM (#30098853)
Revelation is worth the sacrifice.