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Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by dreyfan on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @03:45PM (#28856663)
This post is an excellent reminder that even HN is not immune to rampant conspiracy theorists and to take everything with a grain of salt. HNers are not uniquely intelligent nor capable.
Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by A4ET8a8uTh0 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @04:18PM (#28857146)
First, allow me to say that just because something is a theory, conspiracy, or both, does not automatically make it untrue no matter how much that word association may have been tarnished. Being distrusting is a basic human condition honed by evolution. Only short lived and lucky people trusted lions not to eat them. Naturally, some individuals believe every single theory put forward, which is an issue, but it does not mean it is not valid to ask a simple question along the lines of:

"If it was the weather, why is only SW affected?"

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by ceejayoz on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @05:20PM (#28857872)
"If it was the weather, why is only SW affected?"

Same question, but for vaccines.

United, Delta, American, Alaska all instituted the same mandate.

(The answer you seek is in the linked article, which literally has a section starting with the quote "The common question, then, is why Southwest was affected so much worse than other carriers.")

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by A4ET8a8uTh0 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @05:26PM (#28857930)
Based on the actual quote from the article:

“The big issue is that Florida is roughly 15% of our trips, but on any given day, upwards of 50% of our aircraft lines flow through Florida,” Jordan told TPG. “You’ve got all those lines that just stopped in Florida, so you’ve got a lot of aircraft caught up in that,” he said.

Are you telling me that SW is so unique that it is the only airline with so much flow in Florida? I genuinely don't know. Do you happen to know?

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by ceejayoz on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @05:33PM (#28857984)
It's a couple lines down. Read the whole thing.

> Jordan said it was particularly the line-flow system that Southwest uses as part of a point-to-point network that made it harder for Southwest to recover than other airlines with heavy exposure in Florida, such as American, which has a hub in Miami as part of its hub-and-spoke network.

Southwest is unusual in having this "line-flow" system.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Point-to-point_transit

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by A4ET8a8uTh0 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @05:59PM (#28858200)
I am learning a lot today, so I feel I should thank you.

The link you provided lists Allegiant Air as one of the other airlines that flies to/from FL ( and uses the same system ), but there is no report same issues as SW has/had.

For the record, I don't really care one way or another, but I am not that big on taking executives word at face value; even outgoing ones.

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by bellyfullofbac on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @08:29PM (#28859203)
Geez, rather than concluding "Allegiant uses the same system, they have no problems, therefore the SW CEO must be lying" (a conclusion that probably pleases you because that's another win for your pet theory that CEOs can't be trusted), why not do your own investigation as to why Allegiant might have escaped this problem? A good scientist tries to disprove her own theories to make sure it's robust.

I saw several of your replies scrolling through this page, yeah, you need to learn a lot.

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by A4ET8a8uTh0 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @08:52PM (#28859344)
I am first to admit that there are a lot of things I simply do not know, but because of this I am also willing to accept evidence presented once presented.

Am I wrong to ask why two seemingly similar systemsrespond differently to an event that seemingly should affect them the same way? I do not think so. If the approach is wrong, then tell me that. I am not a scientist. I am just a guy on the interwebs, who sees flimsy excuse for an excuse and calls it out.

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by OldHand2018 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @11:37PM (#28860256)
Southwest had the most cancelled flights, Allegiant had the second most, and Spirit had the third most. I googled “Allegiant cancelled flights” and got dozens of news stories.

The FAA problem was in Jacksonville. Wikipedia lists Allegiant’s top Florida destinations as Orlando, St Pete, and Ft Myers. Also, according to Wikipedia, Jacksonville is a minor city for Allegiant.

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by HelloMcFly on Thursday October 14, 2021 @08:04AM (#28863169)
> I am also willing to accept evidence presented once presented

I think what rankles a bit is you are coming up with these pet theories that force others to present easily obtainable (including from TFA) information. So no, you're not wrong to ask the question, you're wrong to have demonstrated contrarianism rather than curiosity.

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by addicted on Thursday October 14, 2021 @10:08AM (#28864427)
How about you start reading the actual article, rather than pushing a conspiracy theory by Just Asking Questions, that are answered in the article that is being discussed.
Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by addicted on Thursday October 14, 2021 @10:07AM (#28864406)
You're literally asking "Is geography so unique that only planes in a certain geography fly a large number of planes in a certain state".
Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by iammisc on Thursday October 14, 2021 @12:06AM (#28860409)
I mean the answer is easy here. Weather affects all airlines equally. The possibility of a sick out only affects those airlines whose pilots were able to organize.

The claim it's the weather is the one that needs extraordinary evidence because the claim is that weather that day only affected Southwest, whereas the claim Southwest pilots were the only ones to organize makes more sense.

The Florida explanation doesn't make sense because my parents also had issues going from CA to Oregon.

Occam's razor

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by p_l on Thursday October 14, 2021 @01:54AM (#28860921)
Occam's Razor doesn't obviate bad priors. In this case a major area with big impact for Southwest got grounded, with knock on effects on flight scheduling as machines and crews couldn't get to next stop in time.
Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by ceejayoz on Thursday October 14, 2021 @06:29AM (#28862482)
> Weather affects all airlines equally.

Nah. Storms are often highly localized, and different airlines have different cities they fly a lot through. A nasty storm cloud over Miami might not interrupt flights over Fort Lauderdale.

Weather over Chicago is gonna screw up ops for United. Weather over Atlanta will fuck up Delta.

> The Florida explanation doesn't make sense because my parents also had issues going from CA to Oregon. Occam’s razor.

Unfortunately, the simplest Occam’s Razor explanation is ignorance here.

Here’s an example Southwest flight. Tampa to St. Louis to LAX to San Jose.

https://www.southwest.com/air/flight-status/path.html?depart...

You might be flying LAX to SJC, but still be affected by planes getting stuck in Florida.

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by addicted on Thursday October 14, 2021 @10:10AM (#28864443)
If both management and labor say it's not X, Occam's razor would almost immediately eliminate X.

It would probably eliminate X even if one of them said it's not X assuming the other did not say it is.

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by op00to on Thursday October 14, 2021 @07:56AM (#28863095)
“If it is the weather, why is only SW affected”

Look at the airlines operations. SW is different than many of the full price airlines in that they run the leanest of operations almost everywhere. Isolated weather can easily disrupt SW while more capable operations with more robust networks continue just fine.

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by knownjorbist on Thursday October 14, 2021 @12:06AM (#28860407)
SW wasn't the only one affected, just the largest by far.
Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by temp_praneshp on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @05:39PM (#28858028)
HN has a healthy number of conspiracy theorists and flat out liars. There was a post about Apple keeping the 30% cut on refunded apps last year that is a good example.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23995750

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by shadilay on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @08:26PM (#28859183)
HN is getting it wrong because everyone else is. The real story is that pilots unions are never allowed to strike and sick outs are illegal. If the company or union admitted to doing so they would be in breach of the Railway Labor Act.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Mediation_Board

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3XYpZg0SPCE

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by knownjorbist on Thursday October 14, 2021 @12:09AM (#28860420)
Or... you want the idea of a walkout by pilots over a vaccine mandate to be true, and like most conspiratorial thinkers, to be "in" on this truth, to have seen through the lies that the sheeple cannot.

I highly doubt any real number of airline pilots are walking out over a vaccine mandate - because they've probably been vaccinated for months now.

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by shadilay on Thursday October 14, 2021 @01:00AM (#28860677)
You accuse me of being a conspiratorial thinker? Please do not resort to ad hominem when I have provided you ample evidence.

The NMB wikipedia article describes the process airline pilots unions must follow before being allowed to strike. The legal basis for this is found in the Railway Labor Act.

>NMB programs provide an integrated dispute resolution process to meet the statutory objective of minimizing strikes and other work stoppages in the airline and railroad industries.

A few key points from the video: The last time a major airline was allowed by the NMB to strike it lasted for 24 minutes before they were ordered back to work by President Clinton. It is the NMB's mission statement to prevent strikes and labor disruption in the airline and rail industries. Job actions (including sick outs) are not allowed. When Pilots did a slow down by following FAA regulations precisely a Judge stopped them.

I am not a Southwest employee so I cannot tell you how many pilots walked out. What I can say however is that if the union claimed to be involved with job actions that would be an admission of a crime.

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by seanw444 on Thursday October 14, 2021 @10:34AM (#28864826)
That sounds freakishly authoritarian. Why am I no longer surprised by this kind of stuff?
Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by xenocyon on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @10:59PM (#28860067)
"Even" HN? HN is massively prone to conspiracy theories and misinformation. Just to pick one example of many, I have seen more Covid denialism on HN than any other milieu I'm part of.
Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by TeeMassive on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @10:02PM (#28859751)
Labeling something a "conspiracy theory" is intellectual laziness and not a rebuttal in any shape or form.
Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by knownjorbist on Thursday October 14, 2021 @12:20AM (#28860483)
The problem is that it takes far more effort to dispel and debunk BS than it does to create and spread it in the first place. By the time anyone has the chance to conclusively debunk this tripe, the creators are already miles away on their next grift.
Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by seanw444 on Thursday October 14, 2021 @10:27AM (#28864720)
Well then it's time and effort well-spent. Saying "that's a conspiracy" won't change anybody's mind, and they'll still be on their next grift.
Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by TeeMassive on Thursday October 14, 2021 @11:55AM (#28866020)
> the creators are already miles away on their next grift

That's just a conspiracy theory

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by defaultprimate on Thursday October 14, 2021 @11:30AM (#28865674)
How much do you want to bet that this goes from conspiracy theory to probably true in the coming months, like so many other things have over the course of the past year?
Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by listless on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @09:31PM (#28859566)
Until we know the truth (which we do now), all reasonable options are on the table. Discussing them while the verdict is still out doesn’t make you a conspiracy theorist.
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Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by ceejayoz on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @04:09PM (#28857029)
The CEO, the union, the FAA, and the fact that they're getting back to normal all say the walk-off didn't happen.

"We didn’t see sick leave beyond normal. In fact, we saw our crews picking up open time to the extent that they could."

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by ThunderSizzle on Friday October 15, 2021 @07:11AM (#28876521)
What motives does the CEO, union, FAA have in all this?

Obviously, they all desire a "return to normalcy". The CEO wants a better bottom line. The union wants to avoid fines and penalties. The FAA has political stakeholders that don't want any rumors of anyone against their mandates.

They all desire the same outcome. I would factor that in to whether their being 100% truthful about everything.

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by hunterb123 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @04:17PM (#28857136)
This is about the pilots, not the union, the FAA, or the CEO.

Why hasn't anyone interviewed the pilots? Seems that would clear things up.

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by ceejayoz on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @04:22PM (#28857197)
> Why hasn't anyone interviewed the pilots? Seems that would clear things up.

I'm not sure why you'd think that.

It's likely I can find a doctor to interview who doesn't believe in germ theory; that doesn't tell me how widespread that is.

https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/oct/11/tweets/sou...

> Murray told the Dallas Morning News that the data showed that pilot sick rates during the heavy cancellation days were "exactly in line with where they were all summer with the same kind of operational disasters."

Actual data on sick leave seems more useful that an individual anecdote or two.

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by hunterb123 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @04:25PM (#28857231)
I meant the pilots who were there. Should be easy to clear up if the CEO just lets the pilots speak on how happy they are with the jab and how they totally didn't walk out.

For some reason we've only seen union leaders, the CEO, and others come out. If they really wanted to dispel things they'd let the pilots speak.

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by ceejayoz on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @04:28PM (#28857272)
> If they really wanted to dispel things they'd let the pilots speak.

Perhaps via their official representatives, the Southwest Airlines Pilots Association?

How many pilots would you need to see interviewed to determine there wasn't a sick-out? After all, something like 70% of flights went ahead.

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by hunterb123 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @05:26PM (#28857925)
> How many pilots would you need to see interviewed to determine there wasn't a sick-out?

1 SW pilot would be fine, not the association, not the union, not the CEO. A SW pilot that was supposed to be working that day.

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by ceejayoz on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @05:28PM (#28857945)
> A SW pilot that was supposed to be working that day.

A single pilot claiming to have gone to work would be sufficient to disprove the sick-out? 1,000 out of about 3,000 flights got canceled on Sunday. I presume the remaining 2,000 were piloted; I don't know that an interview is necessary to demonstrate that.

A single pilot claiming to have done a sick-out doesn't prove anything much, either. I can find a doctor that claims demon sperm causes gynecological issues (https://cbsaustin.com/news/local/report-texas-doctor-who-wen...), but that doesn't really lend it credence.

The sick leave data seems a lot more compelling than digging up one interview, in either direction.

[dead]
Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by dang on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @11:51PM (#28860329)
We've banned this account for breaking the site guidelines. Please don't create accounts to do that with.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by tppiotrowski on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @04:17PM (#28857141)
Are you implying that a picture of an airplane cockpit window with a Don't Tread on me Flag hanging out of it is evidence of a walkout? Then I have another tweet you might enjoy:

https://twitter.com/DogDuffy/status/1442144257498759169

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by hunterb123 on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @04:19PM (#28857159)
Sure maybe someone staged it in another similar cockpit around the same time, or did it preemptively and waited for this event. Or maybe it's a fake rendering.

Interviewing the pilots of that day would help, but the media doesn't seem interested in that.

Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by pessimizer on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @04:14PM (#28857089)
I didn't realize that somebody said it happened on twitter...
Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by shadilay on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @08:11PM (#28859093)
Pilot strikes have to be approved by the NMB and any job actions including sick outs are illegal. The union and company are merely denying that they did anything illegal. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Mediation_Board
Re:Southwest new CEO denies walk-off rumors, defends pilots ... by zenithd on Wednesday October 13, 2021 @04:14PM (#28857087)
Yeah it happened but only at exactly one airline and for exactly one day AND ended without any capitulation and also no one who walked off made any public demands!

Because that's how labor strikes work...

Jesus, dude. Think.