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Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by belorn on Friday July 16, 2021 @04:55AM (#27854277)
The problem which we already have the technology to fix is food. What people eat is cultural and is effected by cost and availability. There is much we currently discard or do not cultivate because it not what we traditionally see as food and because there is no cost incentive to encourage a change in culture. Changes can however occur given the right triggers, like how large portion of Europe went over to potatoes during the European 19th century population boom. We could see a similar change in food culture towards seaweed if topsoil issues became widespread, and there is plenty of space for technological improvements in aquaculture.

Similar, fresh water is primarily a cost issue. Right now the only economical method to provide water at the lowest cost is to take naturally occurring fresh water. There are alternatives. It does not take a lot of solar, wind or nuclear power plants to supply a large city population with fresh water extracted from the ocean. The construction and operational costs would however be need to be taken from something else, reducing welfare and industrial output.

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by kwhitefoot on Friday July 16, 2021 @07:41AM (#27855259)
The Netherlands is a net exporter of food and it does this by producing what people want to eat. See https://aboutthenetherlands.com/why-does-the-netherlands-exp...

Why should we have to change what we eat? Surely taking that choice away takes away part of what we are, reduces our autonomy.

Why switch to seaweed when we can already produce what we already know we want?

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by belorn on Friday July 16, 2021 @09:09AM (#27855835)
My point is primarily that we are not going to run out of edible food. I have no intention to try force anyone to change their culture.

Here in Sweden we eat fermented fish. Other countries eat ferment cabbage, beans, goat stomachs, or other fermented things which in my culture we would be weird to eat. I think fermented seaweed is also a thing somewhere.

There are things that could force a culture change, such as famine, war, social status signals, media, and religion to mention a few examples. Humans are social creatures, and culture is a social phenomenon, so the cause for a cultural change would likely be social in nature. I guess a societal collapse could also trigger a change in culture, or a cultural change could prevent a societal collapse. I guess it depend on how one want to perceive it, and what meaning people put into the word "societal collapse".

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by tarsinge on Friday July 16, 2021 @09:10AM (#27855841)
I don’t see that convincing, a huge part of what we eat currently is the result of marketing (sugar, meat, dairy…), very anecdotical for defining oneself and the future of human society.
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by slackfan on Friday July 16, 2021 @10:57AM (#27856903)
Apropos of nothing, the Soviet Union was also a net-exporter of wheat during the Holodomor. There's a lot of ways to be a net exporter.
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by adolph on Friday July 16, 2021 @10:04AM (#27856328)
"Net exporter" in terms of calories and protein or "net exporter" in terms of currency? The Netherlands ag economy is focused on high value crops. But you can't eat tulips.

One-third of the world's exports of chilis, tomatoes, and cucumbers goes through the country. The Netherlands also exports one-fifteenth of the world's apples.

Aside from that, a significant portion of Dutch agricultural exports consists of fresh-cut plants, flowers, and flower bulbs, with the Netherlands exporting two-thirds of the world's total.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Netherlands

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by caskstrength on Friday July 16, 2021 @01:58PM (#27859130)
I can assure you that nobody actually _wants_ to eat tasteless dutch tomatoes.
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by kwhitefoot on Saturday July 17, 2021 @12:58PM (#27867104)
I can agree with that!
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by saurik on Friday July 16, 2021 @05:15AM (#27854409)
I do not believe that everyone deciding to eat something different is "fixing" the food scarcity problem in the same way that desalinization (ignoring all other issues with it as we assumed technology improved to solve them also) "fixes" water scarcity: if everyone is told tomorrow "all water will safely come from desal" we might breath a collective sigh of relief... "starting tomorrow, all food will be replaced by seaweed" a lot of people are going to be super super pissed, right? Maybe even more basic: making enough potatoes to technically satisfy everyone's calorie requirements (ignoring nutrition) might be a technological problem, but the "similar change in food culture" is kind of begging the question, as if we could just cause that change before all the food was gone maybe we could still enjoy the occasional potato (a luxury in our new era of food molded out of seaweed), and if we could get equivalent cultural shifts in how people use transportation (along with food changes, such as not eating meat) maybe we could stave off climate change without technological fixes: if you are relying on a cultural change it isn't a technological fix, and if the way the cultural change will happen is because no one will have a choice... well, then you didn't fix anything in the first place!
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by throwaway0a5e on Friday July 16, 2021 @07:16AM (#27855085)
Imagine the uproar if you tried to build a nuclear powered desalination plant on Long Island.

That's basically what you're alluding to with the seaweed and food thing.

Cultural and ideological hangups will go right out the window in a hurry when there's a real crisis and a culturally incompatible solution. People aren't gonna let things truly go to shit over something as trivial as what they eat or where their water comes from.

The primary danger in the first world as I see it is from the moneyed and empowered people F-ing it over for large enough other groups to cause probems. Doesn't take much of a stretch of the imagination to imagine how climate change might F-over downstate Illinois (because farms) but Chicago won't let them do anything about it because they hold all the cards and they make their money a different way. They'd probably figure it out eventually but with how unequal our society is I'm not gonna bet money on eventually happening before the shooting starts.

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by giantg2 on Friday July 16, 2021 @07:44AM (#27855272)
"Doesn't take much of a stretch of the imagination to imagine how climate change might F-over downstate Illinois (because farms) but Chicago won't let them do anything about it because they hold all the cards and they make their money a different way."

I actually can't envision what you mean by "Chicago won't let them do anything about it". Isn't Chicago the more liberal area that wants to fight climate change?

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by throwaway0a5e on Friday July 16, 2021 @09:44AM (#27856154)
I just picked some random state that has a farming economy (very sensitive to slight environmental changes) at one end and a city economy (not so directly tied to the environment as long as energy is cheap and it isn't flooded) at the other that runs the show so forgive me if the example isn't bulletproof.

>Isn't Chicago the more liberal area that wants to fight climate change?

Right up until you have to take some other controversial step in order to do it.

I'm sure you can imagine how things would go if downstate farmers wanted to all apply some sort of fertilizer that would make their farming economically viable but the beta and the v1 versions of the chemical also killed some sort of visible wildlife.

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by cjohnson318 on Friday July 16, 2021 @11:11AM (#27857054)
> the beta and the v1 versions of the chemical also killed some sort of visible wildlife

It sounds like you're referring to herbicides and pesticides that kill bees and other pollinators. People have an obvious problem with pesticides that kill bees. It's not an acceptable level of collateral damage for dirt cheap corn and soybeans.

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by giantg2 on Friday July 16, 2021 @10:42AM (#27856718)
Ah, I see.
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by ta988 on Friday July 16, 2021 @08:55AM (#27855728)
On paper, but it is also full of rich liberals that care more about their money and look at people downstate with disdain.
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by nine_k on Friday July 16, 2021 @09:54AM (#27856241)
Let's alter the start conditions a bit: the same Long Island with the same people, but the Hudson river dries up. And everything around dries up, too.

How about a desalination plant now? Even nuclear?

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by adolph on Friday July 16, 2021 @10:08AM (#27856356)
A combination of aqueducts, reservoirs, and tunnels supply fresh water to New York City. With three major water systems (Croton, Catskill, and Delaware) stretching up to 125 miles (201 km) away from the city, its water supply system is one of the most extensive municipal water systems in the world.

The water system has a storage capacity of 550 billion US gallons (2.1×109 m3) and provides over 1.2 billion US gallons (4,500,000 m3) per day of drinking water to more than eight million city residents, and another one million users in four upstate counties bordering on the system. Three separate sub-systems, each consisting of aqueducts and reservoirs, bring water from Upstate New York to New York City.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_City_water_supply_sys...

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by nine_k on Friday July 16, 2021 @10:58AM (#27856919)
I know. Catskill and Croton are both on Hudson river. Imagine that the upstream has dried up, and the Delaware sources gone totally insufficient.

My idea is that a real need makes people reconsider their opinions which they held dear as long as they did not have a skin in the game.

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by belorn on Friday July 16, 2021 @06:17AM (#27854711)
I agree fully that it is not a permanent solution, nor a possibility to replace all food with a single different one be that seaweed, insects farming, hydroponics, or other non-traditional forms. I do however want to highlight that food is cultural thus peacefully changeable. We can extend the window much further than just what currently exploitation of farm land do. Aquaculture is just one of the more likely approaches since it is already part of some cultures, although quite small ones in term of populations.

It is an interesting question if a new world war is more likely than a major cultural change in our diet.

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by simonh on Friday July 16, 2021 @06:02AM (#27854636)
>if you are relying on a cultural change it isn't a technological fix

If traditional food sources go away and technology provides an alternative food source, that is what people will eat. Culture will follow technology, if that's what people have to do to survive.

EDIT:That mostly applies to the population in the developed world with access to capital, technology and industrial resources that we can use to adapt our food supply. Not everywhere in the world has those resources to fall back on though.

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by coldtea on Friday July 16, 2021 @06:05AM (#27854652)
Yes, but survival is not living. And culture can adapt to everything, including slavery, dystopia, etc.
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by simonh on Friday July 16, 2021 @07:39AM (#27855247)
Indeed, I think those are much more likely outcomes than massive population collapse.
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by Dudeman112 on Friday July 16, 2021 @07:01AM (#27854970)
It also mostly assumes that the undeveloped world won't eat the developed world.

Societal collapse in for example India or Brazil would make things awkward real fast for a large chunk of the world

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by PeterisP on Friday July 16, 2021 @07:51AM (#27855310)
In general, that would be prevented by the fact that the developed world is militarily stronger than the developing world. If some resources are not enough for India or Brazil, they can't take them from the developed world in the style of the earlier resource wars for e.g. oil.
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by inglor_cz on Friday July 16, 2021 @01:13PM (#27858542)
It is not as if the countries lack resources. Their fast growing population does [0]. So far, Europe does not seem to be willing to repudiate the asylum treaties it signed, so the young men always have the option to try and reach Europe(an resources) under the guise of seeking protection. And once they are in, their forced removal is unlikely [1], so they cease to be a resource problem for their country of origin and start to be a resource problem for the new host society.

The military does not even play a role here. All the poorer countries need to do is a) not prevent their own young people from leaving, b) not prevent activity of smuggler gangs, c) complicate deportations by refusing to issue passports to their citizens who destroyed their papers underway. None of those actions need guns, much less superior guns.

[0] ... India and Brazil aren't really in the "top population growth" league. Look up population pyramids of Niger, Ethiopia, Nigeria, Yemen. Those graphs promise future mass migration streams. (https://www.populationpyramid.net)

[1] ... https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php...

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by oezi on Friday July 16, 2021 @09:46AM (#27856167)
Military might is not very helpful in the modern world. The NATO coalition could not hold their ground in a country such as Afghanistan nor could all of Europe prevent that the collapse of order in Syria (a country of 20m) caused a spill of 2m migrants into Europe.

Your parent was suggesting that the developed world could not deal with a collapse of India or Brazil or several populous African countries.

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by Dudeman112 on Friday July 16, 2021 @09:18AM (#27855913)
I wasn't even thinking about their states trying to take resources by force.

What would happen if 20% of India decided that their society has collapsed and they should migrate at any cost to some developed country?

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by harimau777 on Friday July 16, 2021 @08:04AM (#27855414)
I would like to see more effort towards making alternative foods acceptable to people. For example, I think that there could be a big difference between trying to get people to eat a plate of raw grubs versus a tofu like food produced from grub protein.

Perhaps seaweed could be used to produce something equivalent to tortillas or bread?

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by tarsinge on Friday July 16, 2021 @09:23AM (#27855965)
To add to that there is the obvious low hanging fruit of meat as the main source of proteins. Feeding animals perfectly good proteins and using the majority of agricultural land (more than 70% if I remember correctly) and a lot water to finally to eat them after so much waste makes no sense as a main source of feeding a population, it’s not political or philosophical question just a practical one (I’m not vegetarian but eat meat only on rare occasions).
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by nine_k on Friday July 16, 2021 @09:50AM (#27856214)
Refine the "impossible burger" technology to the point where it's cost-competitive with beef burgers (or maybe see the beef prices rise a lot), and I suppose many people would switch without noticing much.
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by cjohnson318 on Friday July 16, 2021 @11:01AM (#27856972)
Normalize pork! It's delicious, it requires much less land, and produces less CO2 per pound than cows.
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by coldtea on Friday July 16, 2021 @06:04AM (#27854648)
>The problem which we already have the technology to fix is food. What people eat is cultural and is effected by cost and availability

That's not fixing, that's a band aid, and an ugly one at that.

"Let's just eat worms, algae, problem fixed".

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by evgen on Friday July 16, 2021 @07:59AM (#27855374)
And if we suggested ten years ago that your burgers would be plant-based I am sure you would tell us how much Americans hate tofu and that this was just another ugly band-aid. Food is trivial to fix and is barely a small step below clothing choices when it comes to things that are driven almost entirely by culture and fashion. My children regularly request food like sushi and spring rolls that I was ridiculed for eating the the 1980s in the US midwest. Adding insect or algae-based supplements to processed food is already happening.

It's easy. It will happen. The only question is if it will take ten years or twenty.

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by coldtea on Friday July 16, 2021 @08:37AM (#27855611)
>And if we suggested ten years ago that your burgers would be plant-based

Ten years ago? I'll still say it now and in 50 years.

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by ksaj on Friday July 16, 2021 @11:38AM (#27857417)
That's all fine if you want a 100% processed food diet. Some of us want to eat less-processed food than that, and save the "treat" foods for treat times.

In Toronto there is a decades-long established vegan restaurant called Buddha's Vegetarian Restaurant. They make a lot of mock meat products that are as realistic as the Impossible Burger, by layering and preparing things in such a way that they end up resembling meat fiber. You can easily fool yourself into thinking you are eating pulled pork there, for example.

So realistic vegetarian/vegan meat products have actually been around quite a while. Just not in the mainstream.

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by coldtea on Friday July 16, 2021 @02:41PM (#27859666)
>That's all fine if you want a 100% processed food diet. Some of us want to eat less-processed food than that, and save the "treat" foods for treat times.

Where I'm at, I do the mediterranean diet, like most people (with a little more meat and BS snacks thrown in following the cultural example of the US, but still, nothing like the S.A.D.).

I'll also mention that most staple plants, legumes, etc. on that diet is cheaper in the US than here, where wages are double and more in the US. So price is not an excuse for Americans not to eat similarly.

People who want to eat "less processed food" can start eating less processed food. Highly processed, lab grown "meat" is hardly the way to eat "less processed food".

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by robertlagrant on Friday July 16, 2021 @02:21PM (#27859419)
But are they "not mainstream" or just "not affordable"?
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by ksaj on Friday July 16, 2021 @07:16PM (#27862234)
One of the great things about this restaurant is that it was super cheap. $5 could easily get lunch for two, which would consist of noodles, vegetables, some type of imitated meat chunks or cubes with sauce, and tea back when I used to go there. And it tasted really quite good. According to their current menu, you can still eat well there for less than $10 per person, and they have a whole lot more items than they did back then.
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by robertlagrant on Saturday July 17, 2021 @04:28PM (#27868562)
Interesting!
Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by ksaj on Friday July 16, 2021 @11:27AM (#27857239)
Just yesterday my partner brought home some seaweed so we could have sushi this weekend.

But I do agree with you on this "ah well, we'll just..." sunshiny outlook we keep hearing.

This year they've really been pushing edible "tree shrimp" cicadas. This is the first time I've heard that they were edible, and suddenly I'm hearing about it several times a week.

Re:My take on the study from MIT that predicts “societal col... by hoseja on Friday July 16, 2021 @11:01AM (#27856953)
Food scarcity IS fixed/ is literally impossible to fix. Human population grew like five times in the living memory and people ignorant of this (willfully or not) are still trying to fix "food scarcity".