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Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by rich_sasha on Sunday May 23, 2021 @01:48PM (#27256969)
An irony to the story is that Poland (who is a party to this as the registration country of the actual plane, and a self-declared leader of the anti-Lukashenko movement) now demands the EU takes strong actions to secure the EU (Poland)’s security.

Literally yesterday prime minister went on record to say they will outright ignore the ruling of the highest EU court on an ecological / energy case (lignite mining close to the Czech border.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by gjsman-1000 on Sunday May 23, 2021 @02:24PM (#27257284)
What makes this really complex for the EU is that they have tried to punish Poland for this and other various things, but a sanction requires the agreement of all member states, and a certain state named Hungary has an implicit agreement with Poland to never vote in agreement with the EU, and Poland the same for Hungary.

As a result, the EU tries to sanction Poland, but Hungary won't agree and so the sanction fails. Try to sanction Hungary? Poland is out, sanction fails. I have to admit that it's clever on Poland and Hungary's part, as it lets them selectively ignore some of the EU's more (from their perspective) overbearing rulings.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by axiosgunnar on Sunday May 23, 2021 @02:36PM (#27257380)
I think it‘s the system working as intended. The EU is an international organization whose members are fully sovereign states.

Unless you want the EU to be a super state that can bully it‘s members with a mere 51% of the vote? The EU would fall apart then.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by rich_sasha on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:07PM (#27257628)
It is also a realisation that with ambitious projects you need to give up some sovereignty. All trade deals do that - swap some economic benefit for some legal commitments.

It’s not even like the EU has big expectations of Poland. The sticking point now is an independent judiciary and free press. Seriously, it’s embarrassing that Poland has to be strong armed into these!

In any case, Poland freely signed up to these commitments, it’s just bad form to eke out of them like this. Not to mention the actual damage politically-corrupted courts do to the people and economy in Poland.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by gjsman-1000 on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:24PM (#27257758)
"Not to mention the actual damage politically-corrupted courts do to the people and economy in Poland."

Who voted them in? If you say that the people voted them in, it's painful, but it is the politics of the region. One of the terrifying parts of democracy is that the people have the right to vote for their leaders, including leaders who will actively undermine their own democracy, and they can be content with that because that's what they wanted. In which case, democracy has done what the people wanted, by ruining democracy.

It's kind of like Jury Nullification, where Juries do not strictly need to vote on the merits of whether a person is guilty or innocent, but can vote against the law and know the law can't punish jurors for a "wrong judgement". Judges hate that loophole but know it's a necessary part of democracy. Similarly, the ability of a democratic people to vote to end democracy is democracy working even though it is also an awful necessary loophole.

And if you say that we must take effort to prevent a democratic people, legally speaking, from democratically voting to end democracy, you are now technically anti-democratic. That's a weird place to be.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by Swenrekcah on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:58PM (#27258022)
Aspiring dictators don’t run on abolishing democracy. It is not helpful to frame it like the people chose to ruin democracy.

Democracy depends on a strong free press and independent courts. A strong free press is not just one part of a country’s businesses, it is quite literally the fourth pillar of democracy.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by Thiez on Sunday May 23, 2021 @05:37PM (#27258813)
> It's kind of like Jury Nullification, where Juries do not strictly need to vote on the merits of whether a person is guilty or innocent, but can vote against the law and know the law can't punish jurors for a "wrong judgement". Judges hate that loophole but know it's a necessary part of democracy.

Juries are not a thing in most countries that are generally considered democracies, so jury nullification can't be all that neccesary.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by gjsman-1000 on Sunday May 23, 2021 @02:47PM (#27257455)
The EU is a very interesting thing to watch as an American because the EU has parallels to our Federal Government in scope, but is almost like an alternate history where States had the right to secede and retained nationhood unlike our states.

Also, if the political tensions in our nation continue to increase and don't stop, I would not be surprised in a decade from now if we start talking about replacing the Federal Government with a more EU-like arrangement.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by runarberg on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:45PM (#27257923)
I’m not an EU expert so hopefully someone can correct me if I’m wrong. But I think the USA-EU comparisons are superficial at best. The EU has half the states the USA does but 50% more population.

Unlike the USA—which has a really strong executive branch—there is hardly any executive branch in the EU. Instead the executive powers are held almost entirely by the member states. The EU does have a legislative branch (just like the USA) with around 650,000 people per representative. USA has around 750,000 but that number is further devalued by the USA senate (3,500,000 people per representative) which can hold a lot of power over the congress. I’m not aware that the EU has any equivalent.

The scope of the two systems is also vastly different. The USA federal government represents the foreign policy of each of the state, funds a military which answers to the government, finances much of the infrastructure within the USA, etc. In the EU foreign policy is largely held by the member states, there is no EU military, and funding for infrastructure projects is more likely to come mostly from the member state it self, then from the EU. The USA collects federal taxes, while the EU gets their funding from the member states.

Both have a federated court system. The USA have federal criminal courts which I’m not sure that the EU has, or at least not in the same way the USA does.

To summarize: The US federal government and the EU have in common that they both have a democratically elected legislator (both with relatively low representation) and they both have a federal court system. But this is where the similarities end.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by bobthepanda on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:53PM (#27257983)
There was a period in American history, the Articles of Confederation, which is more similar to how the EU works today.

> The Articles of Confederation created a loose union of states. The confederation's central government consisted of a unicameral Congress with legislative and executive function, and was composed of delegates from each state in the union. Congress received only those powers which the states had previously recognized as belonging to king and parliament.[15] Each state had one vote in Congress, regardless of its size or population, and any act of Congress required the votes of nine of the 13 states to pass;[16] any decision to amend the Articles required the unanimous consent of the states. Each state's legislature appointed multiple members to its delegation, allowing delegates to return to their homes without leaving their state unrepresented.[17] Under the Articles, states were forbidden from negotiating with other nations or maintaining a military without Congress's consent, but almost all other powers were reserved for the states.[18] Congress lacked the power to raise revenue, and was incapable of enforcing its own legislation and instructions. As such, Congress was heavily reliant on the compliance and support of the states.[19]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confederation_Period#National_...

Of course, the EU functions better since it has its funding sorted out, whereas the executive under the Confederation more or less begged for money every year and did not usually get its requested allocation.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by gjsman-1000 on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:52PM (#27257973)
They don't have much similarities right now, that's agreed. However, I still think it's interesting because imagine if US States retained their sovereignty and the ability to secede at the US Founding. We might have ended up with something much closer to the EU today.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by arrosenberg on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:36PM (#27257857)
It's basically why the Articles of Confederation failed. The federal government was too made to weak to achieve much - each region (New England, New York, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Carolina) was individually powerful enough to ignore it.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by bobthepanda on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:49PM (#27257958)
Although, the EU is a lot stronger than the Articles of Confederation ever were, given that the EU has sorted out how it gets funded from year to year.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by glogla on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:28PM (#27257797)
I'd rather go the other way around and make EU more like US (in organization, not in approach to solving things).
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by Macha on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:33PM (#27257840)
And the EU should be free to insist on terms for membership of the organisation. If Poland/Hungary don't want to follow the terms they should just leave, like the UK just did.

But they don't want that hassle, and they want to keep the EU benefits, so this mutual veto of sanctions is definitely a loophole to keep as many benefits without meeting the requirements.

The EU is not the UN, while the UN's goal is to have every country in membership, and so it doesn't expel dictatorships just for being dictatorships, the EU is pretty explicit about democracy and human rights being requirements, which is why e.g. Turkey has not been allowed in so long.

Had Orban had the level of control when Hungary joined that he has now, Hungary would not have been allowed in. PiS is probably not yet at that level, but it's clear they would like to be.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by gjsman-1000 on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:49PM (#27257957)
And in which case, I would say this requirement, in practice, wasn't a requirement. I don't blame Hungary and Poland for gaming the system as much as I blame the EU for having this loophole (or feature, or necessary evil, depending on view).
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by rich_sasha on Monday May 24, 2021 @04:27AM (#27262152)
There are many cases in life where, it seems, the best state is not a Nash equilibrium. Still, I don't think it's fair to say "just game it then". That's a quick race to the bottom.

The constructive equilibria in political systems appear to be unstable, and need active work to keep them there. The EU is in fact born out of that very realisation - its earliest seeds are in binding France and Germany in an economic union so they stop going to war with each other!

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by gjsman-1000 on Sunday May 23, 2021 @02:42PM (#27257426)
I actually agree. The EU really doesn't like the politics of Hungary and Poland (which can be understood), but the system is working as intended.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by vkou on Sunday May 23, 2021 @02:46PM (#27257450)
What some call working as intended, others look on, and say 'broken by design'.

What's even the point of issuing rulings that can be ignored by the collusion of two out of 27 members?

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by axiosgunnar on Sunday May 23, 2021 @02:51PM (#27257502)
It‘s very simple. The EU was originally a market union, which every member state profited from. For some reason, the EU has been adopting more and more powers completely unrelated to international trade, and it shows because you will never get 27 different nations to agree on controversial issues.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by gjsman-1000 on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:00PM (#27257571)
And this is why I don't think that the ability for a few states to group together and ignore the EU's rulings is an automatically bad thing. States know that this protects them from becoming the US and losing most of their sovereignty.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by Macha on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:35PM (#27257854)
Hungary and Poland both joined when the EU was in its current form - they knew what they were getting into. It's not liked they joined the EC or ECSC and just got pulled along for the ride into the EU's current state.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by vkou on Sunday May 23, 2021 @02:53PM (#27257518)
Generally these sorts of organizational problems are resolved by having different thresholds of consensus required for adopting different kinds of policies. Majority, super-majority... Consensus minus one, on the other hand, is another way of saying 'Impossible'.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by will4274 on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:24PM (#27257760)
> Consensus minus one, on the other hand, is another way of saying 'Impossible'.

No it isn't. Some 30% of decisions are made unanimously in scotus, and this is hardly an outlier. Requiring unanimous consent makes things way slower, yes, but it doesn't prevent them. Not all organizational changes need to be controversial. Several conservative programming languages did well by requiring unanimity in initial years - only adding what all could agree was good. It only requires those members to exercise good judgement.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by iso1210 on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:30PM (#27257809)
Seems to me that the environmental cost of mining is certainly related to international trade
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by kbelder on Sunday May 23, 2021 @04:17PM (#27258202)
And selling fresh milk to your neighbor is related to 'interstate commerce', and regulated by the federal government.

Once you start looking for tenuous connections, every human activity can be subsumed under trade. It's a wildcard.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by gjsman-1000 on Sunday May 23, 2021 @02:52PM (#27257508)
It depends on what you think the design should have been. Some might look on and say that the ability for states to group together and not permit what they view as an overbearing ruling as a feature. Others would call it dissent.

On the other hand, EU states retain their national sovereignty, and could leave the EU if they disagreed with the EU that deeply, which the UK has currently done. The ability for states to group together and buck rulings, in a sense, makes it less likely for states to leave the union entirely. This ability may also have helped convince states to join the EU in the first place.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by varispeed on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:57PM (#27258010)
Ironically, something called "Liberum veto" is what caused Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth to collapse.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberum_veto

The fact that one state can reject anything, is going to be the end of the EU if they don't fix it.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by fsloth on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:42PM (#27257901)
"I think it‘s the system working as intended."

The system supports autocratic state capture in Poland and Hungary through massive EU subsidies - my tax money. No, it's not working.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by axiosgunnar on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:57PM (#27258017)
If you think that the EU (which is primarly Germany and France) are giving out free monies to Eastern Europe just like that, then you have fallen victim to Berlins propaganda.

In reality, what Germany and France buy with that „bribe“ is being able to freely export their goods (cars and retail items via international supermarket chains in particular) to Eastern European markets, while making sure the profits go back to the motherland (and are taxed there by the German/French government, leaving nothing in Eastern Europe).

You get your tax monies more than back.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by fsloth on Sunday May 23, 2021 @04:03PM (#27258066)
This is not about money flow. I'm fine with that. What is not fine is the state capture this money flow facilitates. The state capture propagates a crony system, that will lead to a reduced economic output from what it could have been, and hence requiring more support in the future. The situation is both economically and politically untenable.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by axiosgunnar on Sunday May 23, 2021 @04:12PM (#27258139)
Ah ok I see, could you explain what exactly you mean by „state capture“? That the money goes to the state instead of private companies and the state is inherently wasteful etc?
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by fsloth on Sunday May 23, 2021 @04:31PM (#27258323)
I advice you familiarize yourself with the state capture in Hungary by Orban and his Fidez party. The ruling party has eridacated free press and is close on ending judicial independence. They remain in power mainly because they funnel EU money to their voters. Poland is on it’s way in copying this system.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by rich_sasha on Monday May 24, 2021 @04:29AM (#27262158)
FWIW the Polish cronies seem happy with the glory and power... for now anyway. The government is corrupt, but nowhere near at the scale of Hungary.

Poor excuse, but I'll make it for the record's sake.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by axiosgunnar on Sunday May 23, 2021 @08:30PM (#27259937)
I understand, thank you!
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by loceng on Sunday May 23, 2021 @02:26PM (#27257303)
Sounds like they need to update the law somehow to prevent this. I can't quite figure out the starting logic for this though.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by gjsman-1000 on Sunday May 23, 2021 @02:27PM (#27257307)
But to update the law (because this sanctioning mechanism is so deep in EU law), you would need agreement from all member states. You can see where this is going... The EU won't try it because Hungary and Poland would obviously vote against it. And the cycle continues.

The current EU plan is to hope that Hungary or Poland's governments get replaced with one that won't support the other, and then consider doing the sanctions.

The other EU plan is to pursue other punishments that don't require a full sanction and basically cause as much hurt as possible even if they can't do the ideal remedy.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by pilsetnieks on Sunday May 23, 2021 @02:42PM (#27257427)
They already tried to do a runaround when Poland and Hungary threatened to veto a Covid recovery fund - basically, just set it up anyway for the rest of the 25 as a side deal that wouldn't involve the two and they wouldn't get any funds. In the end Poland and Hungary acquiesced, yet in a petty dictatorial fashion claimed they had won by forcing the EU to include them.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by axiosgunnar on Sunday May 23, 2021 @02:48PM (#27257467)
Let‘s not use the word „dictatorial“ in an extremely inflationary way. You can call it a government PR spin if you want, but I think no country in the EU is anywhere close to anything like North Korea or even Belarus.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by pilsetnieks on Sunday May 23, 2021 @04:19PM (#27258233)
If anything, it's "dictatorial" in the Sacha Baron Cohen "The Dictator" sense: "Victory! We won! We forced them to include us ...by acquiescing to their demands."
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by axiosgunnar on Sunday May 23, 2021 @04:21PM (#27258243)
I see, so somethink akin to newspeak: War is peace, losing is winning!
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by loceng on Sunday May 23, 2021 @06:38PM (#27259282)
Thanks to those who downvoted showing the continued idiocy or lack of many people on HN who can't see the value that a simple comment can have even on triggering replies; and reaffirming why downvotes are stupid and lazy.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by allendoerfer on Sunday May 23, 2021 @02:07PM (#27257136)
There is no irony. Poland being a difficult EU member has nothing to do with their plane being diverted.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by rich_sasha on Sunday May 23, 2021 @02:22PM (#27257266)
Not with the plane itself, true. It is the reaction and total lack of self-consciousness that is beyond me.

“Screw you and your rules. Also, help!”

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by Krasnol on Sunday May 23, 2021 @02:05PM (#27257112)
Polands politics currently are an irony to history.
[dead]
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by rich_sasha on Sunday May 23, 2021 @02:26PM (#27257299)
Ermmm... what?

The genuine irony is how Poland, my home country, within 24hrs went from telling the EU to go stuff itself to begging for help, and seemingly even without noticing the contradiction.

For the journalist, I feel very sorry (I don’t know much about him tbh but death penalty is excessive for any crime, even more so for one imagined by Lukashenko). This doesn’t preclude making a wider observation.

But surely, this is what my Russian masters told me to say on the major geopolitical forum that is HN. Da svidania.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by A4ET8a8uTh0 on Sunday May 23, 2021 @02:44PM (#27257437)
I am not sure I see the contradiction here at all. If the two issues are related, it is in a very tangential manner. I mean no offense, but it sounds like a talking points and not like an actual argument.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by atq2119 on Sunday May 23, 2021 @04:18PM (#27258217)
The contradiction is asking for help from the EU on the one hand while not accepting the EU's rulings on the other hand.

What GP is criticizing is this attitude of trying to get representation without taxation, to put it in US terms.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by belval on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:33PM (#27257835)
> Please don't post insinuations about astroturfing, shilling, brigading, foreign agents and the like. It degrades discussion and is usually mistaken. If you're worried about abuse, email [email protected] and we'll look at the data.

From the guidelines

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by danielEM on Sunday May 23, 2021 @07:14PM (#27259495)
Ok, thanks for pointing why I got flagged and -2 points. Just for your record, Sasha is not Polish name at all, but is one of most popular russian one, that already shows some attitude at least and in conjunction to fuzzying discussion by introducing new focus elements and or discrediting actions by pointing to non related actions, that all is to me VERY suspecious. And need to point that too - all of it can be purely accidental. It is just too often it is not, that led me to try to save you from that crap. Will not do it again, sorry.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by rasz on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:22PM (#27257739)
Germany ignores EU all the time, currently building second pipeline bypassing other EU states in accordance with Putin-Merkel pact, the second act to Molotov-Ribbentrop.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by tomaszs on Sunday May 23, 2021 @02:07PM (#27257134)
Germany, or Italy also ignored UE Court of justice rulings. Nothing new.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by that_guy_iain on Sunday May 23, 2021 @02:13PM (#27257184)
I don't think you're part of the cool crowd until you've ignored some legal thing the EU requires.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by eMGm4D0zgUAVXc7 on Sunday May 23, 2021 @02:20PM (#27257246)
Can you please tell which rulings were ignored by Germany and Italy? I'm curious.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by ptaipale on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:52PM (#27257978)
In addition to fiscal rules mentioned in other comments, an interesting case was the confiscation of face masks in spring 2020, i.e. blocking of free movement of goods inside EU. This was when we were desperately needing to have masks for use in hospitals. Germany took them in transit.

It wasn't only Germany, though; also France stopped shipments of masks to Sweden. And there were other cases in the big key member states.

https://www.svd.se/frankrike-beslagtar-masker-fran-svenskt-f...

Normally such freight would go via hubs in Germany, for instance; to avoid Germany confiscating masks, my country (Finland) hired planes to import masks directly from China, without using the hubs in Germany.

Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by throwawinsider on Sunday May 23, 2021 @02:26PM (#27257304)
Germany and Italy recurrently ignore the Stability Pact rules, thereby threatening the fiscal and monetary stability of the region. But when you are Germany or Italy, no one will complain and no judge will chase you.
Re:Belarus 'diverts Ryanair flight to arrest journalist', op... by lostlogin on Sunday May 23, 2021 @03:23PM (#27257753)
I had an Italian farmer explain the Italian attitude to rules and regulations 10ish years ago. His view was that breaking rules and regulations was a national pastime and seeing what you could get away with was part the fun.

That’s how he explained the popularity of Silvio Berlusconi too - “of course the guy is a cheat and a fraud, but he is cheating for us now”.

I’m unsure if these views were in any way representative but I found them interesting.