BTC's main uses (speculation and laundering) are possible only as long as it can be exchanged into fiat. This can change tomorrow if the right strings are pulled.
Let people trade cryptocurrency to fiat in person all they want, it's completely insignificant.
It turns out laws do sometimes have effects.
The only answer that works is a carbon tax.
And if you can't really do anything with your coins but have your coins, why would people rush out to break the law to mine them?
Ever since Dogecoin had a moment, there's now a million coins trying to engineer their own "moonshot".
This is on top of the security issues and of course the energy issues. Cryptocurrency is garbage.
This is false. Miners will spend about the same amount of money they get from block reward to run their operation. Asymptotically, this money is spent to buy electricity. This is the result of competitive pressure from other miners. What you will observe instead is the same amount of electricity burned but with 10x less hash rate.
Not really. It wouldn’t stop, but it would decline substantially.
Smaller operations and hobbyists only participate because it’s worth money to do so.
Making Bitcoin illegal would kill the argument that it will eventually displace fiat, and relegate it to being used only for illegal purposes.
The incentive to mine a currency that can only be used for crime as a hobbyist would end up being low.
We will see, the trouble with Freakanomics, is that it had quite a few avoidable errors in it, so maybe it's not the best example.
On the surface this sounds like bitcoin's PoW use will simply stop. It's actually the entire opposite.
When governments ban it, they go after sizeable, identifiable organizations running these operations, that is their only choice. These operations are optimized in their energy usage, because it's only in their interest to reduce their consumption relative to the value of the coin they mine.
The moment these operations are shutdown, there is a massive sink in the hash rate, smaller operations and hobbyists will rush in to fill it. Hash rate gradually climbs back up and instead you have 10x the energy usage because you can no longer run the PoW in a scalable way.