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Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by SilasX on Thursday January 28, 2021 @11:34AM (#25944445)
Or all the UBI money would pump up rents to the point that living costs make it infeasible again.
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by epistasis on Thursday January 28, 2021 @11:35AM (#25944460)
Rents only get pumped up if we don't have enough housing to go around... in which case regular incomes do the same thing.
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by iguy on Thursday January 28, 2021 @12:17PM (#25945110)
But we do have lots of housing, it's just located in places people don't want to live. Rents are high in places they do want to be, and that's partly a positional thing -- if you want to live where the top-10% of earners live, you need to bid against them for housing.
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by PeterisP on Thursday January 28, 2021 @12:40PM (#25945445)
Thing is, requirement for on-site employment requires you to live where lots of people live; only the very wealthy can afford to live in places without jobs nearby - as UBI decouples income from where you live, then it would be a pressure to equalize rents, as underemployed people - the demand for whose labor is decreasing and will decrease further - can afford live in the many places which are currently shedding population because of lack of jobs despite being actually very nice to live in.
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by iguy on Thursday January 28, 2021 @01:20PM (#25946308)
Maybe. But the counter is that entrepreneurship has strong network effects, it really pays to be around other talented people and hear about the future they're busy inventing. Maybe we'd see the opposite, people leaving a stable job which ties them to some unexciting place, to try to make it in NYC.
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by tsimionescu on Thursday January 28, 2021 @02:50PM (#25947989)
> But the counter is that entrepreneurship has strong network effects, it really pays to be around other talented people and hear about the future they're busy inventing.

The actual powerful network effects are essentially a somewhat benign form of cronyism, not mere inspiration from other entrepreneurs. People do more business with less haggling with friends than with strangers.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by nlitened on Thursday January 28, 2021 @03:22PM (#25948496)
> People do more business with less haggling with friends than with strangers.

This is how humans work. This cannot change with UBI.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by tsimionescu on Thursday January 28, 2021 @03:43PM (#25948893)
Agreed, wasn't trying to claim that it would, just pointing out that network effects are not about inspiration, mainly.
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by iguy on Thursday January 28, 2021 @03:59PM (#25949113)
I think you're talking about networking for money, and that's a thing.

But there are also ideas. Even in fields where there's basically no money, half the world's innovation happening within a circle of a few miles is routine. For instance this happens in music, repeatedly.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by orf on Thursday January 28, 2021 @07:05PM (#25951422)
When has it happened with music in the last 60 years? If you’re talking about mostly classical music clusters then there are a lot more reasons for that than you’re suggesting
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by pnutjam on Friday January 29, 2021 @08:58AM (#25957258)
Have you heard of this thing called "the internet"?
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by iguy on Saturday January 30, 2021 @08:46AM (#25969008)
And do you know where the web got invented? At one of the biggest cathedrals ever built to the idea that bringing lots of scientists into close proximity to work on hard problems tends to produce neat stuff.

Sure, on some level he could have done the same work in his garage, in some quiet seaside town full of retired people. But he didn't.

Reducing the friction in long-range interactions obviously has its upsides. But these hairless primates still pick up lots of stuff from being around each other.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by pnutjam on Friday January 29, 2021 @08:57AM (#25957249)
and, afford to risk starting their own business. Maybe something simple, maybe something that will grow.

Right now, only the wealthy can really risk things.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by rubicon33 on Thursday January 28, 2021 @12:32PM (#25945323)
Exactly. The high costing of housing really has more to do with the type of person you've living around/near, than the house.
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by epistasis on Thursday January 28, 2021 @12:24PM (#25945197)
From this angle, a UBI is even more powerful, in that it will go a lot further in areas that are less economically productive, and let us use "surplus" housing there.

Ideally we'd just let more people live closer together like they want to, but the elites won't let more people get close to them.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by triceratops on Thursday January 28, 2021 @12:51PM (#25945671)
> it's just located in places people don't want to live

Often because there aren't any good jobs there. With UBI entrepreneurs can self-select and live in places with low rent and weak job markets.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by Lammy on Thursday January 28, 2021 @12:42PM (#25945487)
The supply of housing in the places people do want to live is artificially constrained, intentionally driving up prices to achieve the New Segregation.
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by rasz on Thursday January 28, 2021 @09:43PM (#25953061)
When you write 'enough housing to go around' you are thinking about housing everyone in need. In a free market economy 'enough housing to go around' means enough real estate assets to safely park capital (for example Chinese one).
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by epistasis on Thursday January 28, 2021 @10:10PM (#25953294)
The "not enough housing to go around" isn't because of a "free market" (if such a thing even exists), it's because wealthy people have enforced housing austerity and refuse to allow new housing to be built near them. Without wealthy people controlling zoning and restricting what can be built, far more people would be building their own homes, or would at least be allowed to pool together to build. Instead we hand over huge imputed rents to landlords and make anybody who is not super wealthy fight each other for the remains.

I think we should have robust social housing, as in Vienna or Singapore. But one thing that both places do that we do not is allow for far more housing to be built per person in high-demand areas (i.e. pricy areas). Their defining characteristic for affordability isn't so much the social housing, it's that they build for everyone as if housing were a human right, rather than a financial investment vehicle like we treat it here by enforcing scarcity.

To the extent that there is a "free market" it's only on existing housing once it's built. For existing housing, we let the wealthy do whatever they want, and use their market power to buy whatever they want, including hoarding it. However, it's only because of housing austerity in the building of housing that this real estate becomes such a sought after commodity. It is only through scarcity and austerity of building permits that continued financial climbs are guaranteed.

Most of the political spectrum in the US has housing completely wrong, and thinks that everything is going to be OK if they can just keep the "wrong" people out. Instead, we should adopt radical inclusion and welcome all people, and adopt the true belief that everyone deserves housing, every single person. Not just the cool ones, everyone. That is, unless we want to continue the current meatgrinder of capitalism. Eviction may be the blades at the end of the grinder, but the auger is the housing scarcity and exclusion practiced by nearly every single person in the US.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by pnutjam on Friday January 29, 2021 @09:02AM (#25957300)
If rich people were the ones who had to build their estates far away, (instead of lower-middle class suburbs being pushed away from the urban areas) we'd have light rail and all sorts of ways for them to easily commute.
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by SilasX on Thursday January 28, 2021 @12:49PM (#25945631)
Meaning that, unless you fix housing, UBI doesn't make a difference.
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by epistasis on Thursday January 28, 2021 @12:57PM (#25945800)
I would think almost the opposite. The prices are high where there are high incomes--California, NY, Boston, Washington...

If you don't need to chase a high income, you can move where there's cheaper rent and try to innovate there. Assuming that you don't need any of the spatial resources of the expensive areas. (A big if... but perhaps you can grow your idea then move to the areas with lots of capital.)

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by mc32 on Thursday January 28, 2021 @12:13PM (#25945058)
Soviet style housing is an answer and also not an answer.

It would provide housing for people on UBI, but because it’s operating on a thin budget, over time it becomes less desirable.

Now, it’s not always the case _if_ you can get the tenants to coöperate and pitch in on basic maintenance and keep anti social behavior at bay ala Singapore, but my feeling is we’re not of the same mindset as Singaporeans.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by burntoutfire on Thursday January 28, 2021 @03:50PM (#25948988)
> Now, it’s not always the case _if_ you can get the tenants to coöperate and pitch in on basic maintenance and keep anti social behavior at bay ala Singapore, but my feeling is we’re not of the same mindset as Singaporeans.

I live in Soviet-style housing in Poland. The antisocial behavior of some tenants (it seems that there's always at least one) is something you learn to live with. Over the years, you start ignoring the occasional puke in the hallway or automatically put on headphones when someone next to you starts blaring loud music again. All in all, given how much people pay for such flats in Poland, my guess is that it would be totally acceptable for most people to deal with the inconveniences, if the flat was free as a part of the UBI.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by pnutjam on Friday January 29, 2021 @09:04AM (#25957314)
What your describing is normal in lower income apartments in the US. People pay 50% of their take home to live like that.
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by eeZah7Ux on Thursday January 28, 2021 @12:48PM (#25945620)
Any creation of affordable housing contributes to slowing down increasing prices.

Many countries do this by putting legal limits against gentrification.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by willcipriano on Thursday January 28, 2021 @02:38PM (#25947785)
> Any creation of affordable housing contributes to slowing down increasing prices.

As does creation of market rate housing[0], even in the short term.

[0]https://research.upjohn.org/up_policybriefs/13/

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by eeZah7Ux on Friday January 29, 2021 @09:09AM (#25957350)
But it's obviously more effective to create more affordable housing.
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by ch4s3 on Thursday January 28, 2021 @02:12PM (#25947329)
> Many countries do this by putting legal limits against gentrification.

What does that even mean? I'm not aware of any country that restricts the change in the income mix of housing, or the renovation of dilapidated housing by new residents.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by eeZah7Ux on Thursday January 28, 2021 @05:46PM (#25950606)
There are thousands of building regulations.

Here are few examples among some EU countries: setting a minimum density and number of floors in urban areas to prevent "mcmansions".

Mandated commercial areas (aka shops) on the ground floor on new buildings.

Requirements on walkability applied to new road design to prevent sprawls e.g. limit cul-de-sacs.

Minimum and maximum percentage of buildings for industrial / office / shop / domestic use.

Minimum and maximum apartment size.

Tons of limitations on renovation of historical buildings.

A lot of this stuff makes it very difficult to quickly transform an already urbanized area into a bunch of super-luxury villas or similar.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by eeZah7Ux on Friday January 29, 2021 @08:48AM (#25957154)
There you go, silent downvotes for providing information...
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by scotty79 on Thursday January 28, 2021 @12:16PM (#25945096)
Then you can tax landlords an funnel money back into UBI
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by JoeAltmaier on Thursday January 28, 2021 @10:15PM (#25953345)
Old scarecrow, with no foundation. Read some more.
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by JKCalhoun on Thursday January 28, 2021 @12:27PM (#25945249)
I imagine UBI would be good for landlords.
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by SilasX on Thursday January 28, 2021 @12:48PM (#25945613)
Henry George held that belief on steroids and thought that, unless you taxed away the site value of land, then almost all of the benefits of any good policy or improved economic activity would accrue to landowners.
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by JKCalhoun on Thursday January 28, 2021 @01:31PM (#25946532)
And never mind that Big Money is following the business plan that the future of America is all of us are renters.

Well, you know, everyone but the uber-wealthy.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by tenebrisalietum on Thursday January 28, 2021 @11:36AM (#25944489)
UBI needs to be paired with restricting rent increases or eliminating zoning restrictions that limit housing supply then.
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by thisisnico on Thursday January 28, 2021 @11:52AM (#25944727)
As a landlord, and landlording in an area with restricted rent, it makes zero difference. It's only good if you stay where you rent, but if you move, it's market rent. You can't adequately control market rent because there are so so many variable on what market rent is for every individual unit, location, type, etc. I'm all for the eliminating zoning restrictions though.
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by nostrademons on Thursday January 28, 2021 @12:00PM (#25944870)
That's the case for rent restrictions. It's actually worse - rent control decreases housing mobility (nobody wants to give up a rent-controlled apartment, even if it no longer meets their needs) and disincentivizes development, so the prevailing market rate for non-rent-controlled apartments goes up.

But eliminating zoning restrictions and building more housing actually does work. Then when you move, you have your pick of many apartments to choose from, and nobody has pricing power to charge more.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by sudosysgen on Thursday January 28, 2021 @12:04PM (#25944938)
I live in a rent-restricted area. There is quite a bit of construction, and the average person moves almost once every two years.

The effects of rent-restriction you quote are theoretical effects. In the real world, it does work, as long as the rent-restrictions are well-thought-out.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by ch4s3 on Thursday January 28, 2021 @02:16PM (#25947390)
> and the average person moves almost once every two years

Are you sure? There's lot of research n rent control and it basically all highlights decreased housing mobility, event he pro rent control authors mention it asa downside.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by sudosysgen on Thursday January 28, 2021 @02:43PM (#25947865)
In my province, the rent office arranges for two measures to counterbalance and increase mobility. Firstly, most rental agreements are made to end on July 1st - legally up to 1974 but now mostly out of tradition. This allows for much less friction, as everyone can change housing without any downtime with access to the full market.

Secondly, landlords are allowed to evict if they do sufficient improvements to the property, which allows a safety valve.

There are so many people that move in the month of July, that over 7% of the entire population - including people who don't rent - moves out on that day. It's pretty much impossible to get a rental truck to move for the entire month of July.

The statistics are that, around July 1st alone, 250 000 out of 900 000 people move. Add in people that don't move in this period, and you get almost half of renters in the entire city moving, despite strict rent control.

You just need to do your rent control carefully. There will be some reduction in mobility, but if you counterbalance them, you can have minimal impacts in mobility and large impact in affordability.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by ch4s3 on Thursday January 28, 2021 @03:19PM (#25948442)
Ahh, are you in Quebec?

> landlords are allowed to evict if they do sufficient improvements to the property

This is a REALLY unusual provision in rent stabilization laws in the US and as far as I know the EU which normally don't allow evictions like this and severely cap rent increases for improvements.

If you are in Quebec, the RDL is really unique as a form of rent control in that it doesn't set prices or cap increases but rather acts as an arbiter for rent increase disputes. I understand that there are some local criticisms of the system, but I'm not very well versed on the subject.

I think most HN comments about rent control are referring the type that exists in SF where prices are more or less locked in place or otherwise set by the government.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by sudosysgen on Thursday January 28, 2021 @03:50PM (#25948996)
The Régie des logements in Québec absolutely does cap price increases, or even forbid them outright some years.

It also does extra controls that many countries don't do, such as capping price increases even if the tenant change (the tenant needs to request the former rent, though).

Allowing rent increases in the case of renovations is unusual, but not that rare either. That said, it's absolutely not "just a dispute resolution board". It 100% is traditional rent control with capped price increases, on top of the rest.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by ch4s3 on Thursday January 28, 2021 @04:14PM (#25949319)
I looked to me like they don't set hard caps based on their explanation here[1], but again I'm not overly familiar with the RDL. Can you point me to a better explanation of how it works? I'm quite interested. French language sites are fine.

[1]https://www.tal.gouv.qc.ca/en/news/calculation-of-the-2020-r...

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by sudosysgen on Thursday January 28, 2021 @04:23PM (#25949453)
There are indeed no hard caps. There is a formula that is used that takes into account various costs, such as heating and electricity as well as improvements made to the property, and using that formula along with the included utilities, a maximum percentage of price increase is calculated.

It's generally under inflation. A typical price increase cap might be 1.8%.

For cases where the landlord actually asks for a hearing, the average is of around 2.9%.

If no major repairs were necessary, you'll see around 1% or increase, maybe a bit more.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by xapata on Thursday January 28, 2021 @12:18PM (#25945117)
My interpretation of the evidence leads to the opposite conclusion. Here's a good summary:

https://www.slowboring.com/p/induced-demand

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by sudosysgen on Thursday January 28, 2021 @12:35PM (#25945366)
This article is completely orthogonal. Yes, building more pushes price down. Eventually though, you stop being able to increase density economically, and at that point the only way to prevent housing prices from increasing is rent restrictions.

It's important to note that even according to your article, you need to drastically increase supply even for a modest decrease in rent.

No one here is against increasing density. It is however insane to believe that increasing density is enough to fix the problem. Cities at the edge of density still have affordability issues, whereas much less dense cities with appropriate rent restrictions don't.

There is not a single reference to induced demand here. As long as housing stays a profitable investment, and as long as density cannot be increased infinitely without increasing marginal costs, then rent will rise.

The only long term solution is to reduce the profitability of speculation on land prices, so that only productive activities, such as building, are profitable. Rent restrictions are part of this, as rent is a large part of the profitability of land.

And rent restrictions can work. There are many cases where they have been implemented without a significantly negative impact to mobility. So why oppose them?

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by xapata on Thursday January 28, 2021 @04:46PM (#25949785)
Not completely orthogonal. Perhaps they should be, but the intersection of the two sets (advocates for rent restrictions and advocates of zoning restrictions) appears to be a large portion of the total, as far as I can tell.

> enough to fix the problem

I think we need to define the problem before we start arguing solutions. In my view "can't afford the rent" is a poverty problem, not a rent prices problem. So, I want anti-poverty solutions, not rent price adjustment solutions. I view "the rent is too high" as a distinct problem from "can't afford the rent." So in my mind, rent price adjustments via price regulation are inappropriate for both problems.

> so that only productive activities ... are profitable

I understand taxing negative externalities, but this sounds anti-democratic. Who decides what's productive? Let's put an appropriate tax on pollution (broadly defined) and let the market figure out what's most productive. That's what it's good at.

> why oppose them?

I don't know of any instances where rent control didn't affect mobility. Are you considering the effect on immigration and wages in other cities? If they didn't affect mobility, then almost by definition they had no effect whatsoever. They'd have to be covering such a tiny portion of the market that they can essentially be ignored, both cost and benefit. Which makes them a waste of bureaucracy.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by sudosysgen on Thursday January 28, 2021 @05:16PM (#25950206)
There is a very simple definition for things that absolutely aren't productive. Things that produce nothing are not productive. Owning land is not productive, and should not be profitable at all. It is settled economics that the profitability of non-productive actions (often called rent-seeking) is bad.

It doesn't matter what your threshold for affordability is. Rent is increasing faster than economic growth, on average. It will continue increasing at this rate until a large part of the population literally cannot afford housing. You're never going to be able to solve the issue of people not being able to afford rent once it stops being economical to increase density, because there will be no incentive for landlords not to push up rent until people can't afford it anymore and start to move out (which is what we don't want to happen).

There are no cases where rent control literally did not affect mobility. There are many cases where there is rent control, and high mobility. The city in which I live has around 40% of renters move each year, which is more than enough mobility, and rent control. You do this by using the additional regulatory framework to make it easier for people to move.

Your first paragraph is literally meaningless. No one here said anything about zoning except you. If you want argue against someone else, then argue against someone else. The arguments I put forth and your response were completely orthogonal.

The rest is simply pure ideology. If you want to convince people or build a coalition with people that disagree with you, put your free-market absolutism aside and focus on solutions and problems.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by xapata on Friday January 29, 2021 @02:00AM (#25954827)
> owning land is not productive

On the contrary, it's providing the valuable service of holding property that I don't want to hold. I'd rather put my capital to some other use. You seem to dislike arguments of "pure ideology" but the assertion that real estate ownership doesn't deserve return on capital seems like it's singling out just one form of capital. Or do you dislike profits drawn from other kinds of property as well?

You say it's settled economics, but you've misstated. Monopolistic excess returns are "rents." Competitive market returns are to be encouraged.

> until people move out

That's actually exactly what I want to happen. 100% occupancy rate is a signal that something is wrong with the market, just as 100% employment would be.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by sudosysgen on Sunday January 31, 2021 @04:58PM (#25982951)
Simply holding land is not a service to anyone, no. Land is also literally not capital.

A 100% occupancy rate naturally doesn't happen as people move from neighborhood to neighborhood and from city to city. You don't need to squeeze poor people until they have no choice but to sever their safety nets and move out to have a few percent of slack.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by tenebrisalietum on Thursday January 28, 2021 @12:44PM (#25945540)
I was thinking of something like a cap on rent increase (e.g. max 10% rent increase or something like that), not banning rent increase entirely, if it matters. Maybe with exceptions if the landlord improves (not just maintains) the property.
Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by xapata on Thursday January 28, 2021 @12:15PM (#25945090)
> restricting rent increases

No, that'll just create a lottery system and unemployment or lower wages, because people won't be able to move to the jobs.

> eliminating zoning restrictions that limit housing

Yes, this would be great.

Re:Parents' income, not smarts, key to entrepreneurship by Enginerrrd on Friday January 29, 2021 @08:32AM (#25957039)
Rent controls don't work very well. Much better to remove the barriers that prevent creation of more housing.