Note that American compliance is de-centralised. A $5+ million entity attracts a different level of scrutiny from banks, corporate registers and brokers than a no-revenue entity with an overseas signatory.
[1] https://knowledgehub.transparency.org/assets/uploads/helpdes...
[2] https://open.cmi.no/cmi-xmlui/bitstream/handle/11250/2475354...
The more offenses someone commits, the more likely they'll make a mistake committing one of them and get caught. Yeah most money launderers will have no moral qualms about lying on a form, but someone already on the fence might be dissuaded if the risk of getting convicted increases.
Or even if consciously criminal then one would want to minimize risk of getting discovered.
If the criminals risk forfeiting their money they may look to other avenues instead of using American shell companies.
I very much doubt anyone is under the illusion that this will stop criminals trying to launder money through American companies, it just makes it easier to seize assets of potential laundering operations and to investigate sources.
Also, finding an attorney that is willing to lie, is very easy. How do you think all this stuff is already happening illegally now? ;)
And how this is done - check the provided information against a known-good database (there are plenty of services that you can pay for here). Perform random spot checks. Make sure that the UBO is filing taxes for this entity’s earnings. Etc.
I’m not claiming it’s perfect; fraud detection is a hard problem, and it’s also pretty obscure if you haven’t had to deal with it at your own company.
This is already happening and had been for years.
Source; I know people who laundered money for years in the Caribbean. One of the Patsy's is paying a lot of tax debt for the shell that was in his name.
If the beneficial owner is falsified, then if that property comes under investigation, they stand to lose it. There are currently multiple $50m+ homes in places like BelAir or Beverly Hills that are owned by anonymous shell companies and they sit vacant year round. Some, after much investigation were found to be owned by foreign politicians. I suspect a large percentage of these properties are also from ill gotten gains.
If the source of the funds was unlawful, they'd lose it anyways.
Someone has to file the paperwork. If you willingly misfile it, then you are an accomplice. The various offices that manage these papers also try to do minimal checks. Also if the filer is a professional agent/attorney they have strict requirements to keep various details about their clients. (Which are protected by attorney-client privilege, but if there's sufficient evidence then a judge can issue a warrant, so the investigation can try to follow the trail. So either the attorney was duped or it was complicit.)
As someone who went through the BO pain, I think it only added more paperwork load to small business/guys like me.