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Re:Overdose deaths far outpace Covid-19 deaths in San Francisco by gnusty_gnurc on Sunday December 20, 2020 @11:55AM (#25487596)
> It makes me wonder why we haven't been spending anything close to 1/5 as much time and effort on fighting opioid abuse as we have on covid.

If you think opioid abuse is bad, wait until you know the amount of deaths from obesity or smoking.

> More than 480,000 deaths annually (including deaths from secondhand smoke)

https://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/fact_sheets/heal...

> Obesity is associated with nearly 1 in 5 US deaths, according to a study published online August 15 in the American Journal of Public Health. The new data suggest obesity's toll on Americans is more than 3 times previous estimates.

https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/809516

All preventable causes of death that apparently we must be ok with!

What's the lockdown equivalent?

Is it "not caring" if I don't lock anyone above 200lbs in a room and starve them until they're a healthy weight?

Re:Overdose deaths far outpace Covid-19 deaths in San Francisco by notatoad on Sunday December 20, 2020 @12:05PM (#25487674)
The health care system is built with capacity to handle obesity and smoking related illnesses. It is not built with the capacity to handle covid on top of that.

Additionally, a pandemic and the measures to stop it is a temporary situation. If we could end obesity, opiod abuse, or car crashes by making drastic societal changes that only lasted for a couple months, I'd argue that we should do that. The equivalent actions to stop other high-mortality trends would be permanent changes to society.

Re:Overdose deaths far outpace Covid-19 deaths in San Francisco by mrfusion on Sunday December 20, 2020 @12:26PM (#25487878)
We had a year now to beef up our health care system. I guess it’s just easier to take away human rights?
Re:Overdose deaths far outpace Covid-19 deaths in San Francisco by paulryanrogers on Sunday December 20, 2020 @02:30PM (#25488851)
Wait, are you suggesting that more infection of a novel virus (whose family is known for more fatality and lingering effects) is an acceptable trade-off for temporary freedom from masks and limits on gathering?

Assuming that ones hostipals could handle the worst case scenarios.

Re:Overdose deaths far outpace Covid-19 deaths in San Francisco by Pet_Ant on Sunday December 20, 2020 @05:32PM (#25490204)
There are people for whom liberty is an absolute and there is litterally nothing that justifies curtailing it. For a sizable population the entire moral supremacy of the United States is that it is a place that they feel uniquely safeguards it.

I have no dog in this fight as I don’t live there, but I see it as a theme in enough comments and threads that I’m surprised some Americans seem so oblivious to the perspective of their fellow countrymen.

Re:Overdose deaths far outpace Covid-19 deaths in San Francisco by gnusty_gnurc on Sunday December 20, 2020 @07:01PM (#25490790)
> it is a place that they feel uniquely safeguards it

This isn't news, just read de Tocqueville.

As an American I'm comforted by the idea that a significant part of my compatriots will resist any order by virtue of being ordered.

Treat other people like humans with dignity that must be persuaded instead of commanded. That's the American ideal imo.

Re:Overdose deaths far outpace Covid-19 deaths in San Francisco by a0-prw on Monday December 21, 2020 @06:23AM (#25493902)
That's not the way America treats other people around the world.
Re:Overdose deaths far outpace Covid-19 deaths in San Francisco by gnusty_gnurc on Monday December 21, 2020 @01:02PM (#25497498)
Hence why they're referred to as ideals.

No one lives up to them as a consequence of being human.

That doesn't invalidate them.

Re:Overdose deaths far outpace Covid-19 deaths in San Francisco by gnusty_gnurc on Sunday December 20, 2020 @12:26PM (#25487875)
> the measures to stop it is a temporary situation

Lockdown advocates are arguing authoritarianism is how we get zero deaths.

I don’t care to entertain authoritarianism on a “temporary basis.”

The thing is, authoritarianism justifies itself with tons of utopian excuses like:

Zero crime

Zero poverty

Zero hunger

Zero obesity

Zero sin

Re:Overdose deaths far outpace Covid-19 deaths in San Francisco by kiba on Sunday December 20, 2020 @12:35PM (#25487945)
It is wrong to pretend that lockdown isn't effective. No man is an island with respect to communicable diseases.

Instead, we decided that this health issue is an ideological struggle of authoritarianism versus liberty, or democrats versus conservative, instead of working together to solve this problem so that we can return to normalcy ASAP.

It's pretty embarrassing that China had got the disease beaten, while we're still struggling with COVID-19.

Re:Overdose deaths far outpace Covid-19 deaths in San Francisco by gnusty_gnurc on Sunday December 20, 2020 @01:03PM (#25488166)
> It is wrong to pretend that lockdown isn't effective.

If they were effective, why do graphs show seasonality predominates?

There's yet to be conclusive scientific evidence of the effectiveness of lockdowns.

No where in the 2006 Bush plan does it even mention something akin to lockdown - there's mention of quarantine and isolation under police power but that's about it.

Surely the medical community and govt would have written about something like that beforehand?

> It's pretty embarrassing that China had got the disease beaten, while we're still struggling with COVID-19.

Why are they spending billions as part of their campaign to control narratives through means of propaganda, etc.?

Re:Overdose deaths far outpace Covid-19 deaths in San Francisco by newacct583 on Sunday December 20, 2020 @02:01PM (#25488645)
> If they were effective, why do graphs show seasonality predominates?

That doesn't follow. Growth prior to the initial lockdowns was expoenential with a doubling rate between 5-7 days. Had this been ineffective we'd have all been sick by now and maybe 50-100M people would be dead worldwide.

Clearly "lockdown" (which is a loaded term people tend to use for anything from stay at home orders to simple mask requirements) worked. The question is how well and to what extent the regimes were followed, and by which populations.

Re:Overdose deaths far outpace Covid-19 deaths in San Francisco by gnusty_gnurc on Sunday December 20, 2020 @02:32PM (#25488878)
> Growth prior to the initial lockdowns was expoenential with a doubling rate between 5-7 days. Had this been ineffective we'd have all been sick by now and maybe 50-100M people would be dead worldwide.

You know this isn't true because practically every local area that suffers an outbreak follows the same curve regardless of how they implement a strategy.

It looks different at larger levels (town, city, state, country, globe) because it's the aggregation of multiple outbreaks.

Re:Overdose deaths far outpace Covid-19 deaths in San Francisco by newacct583 on Sunday December 20, 2020 @03:17PM (#25489178)
> You know this isn't true because practically every local area that suffers an outbreak follows the same curve regardless of how they implement a strategy.

That's just laughably wrong. Explain how these are the "same curve"?

https://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/?chart=countr...

Re:Overdose deaths far outpace Covid-19 deaths in San Francisco by gnusty_gnurc on Sunday December 20, 2020 @03:25PM (#25489228)
Did you even read what I said? I said local outbreaks all follow the same spread curve.

When aggregated at the country level you're looking at many separate outbreaks superimposed, hence the wide curves.

Re:Overdose deaths far outpace Covid-19 deaths in San Francisco by newacct583 on Sunday December 20, 2020 @04:05PM (#25489486)
And that too seems trivially falsifiable. You have something to cite?
Re:Overdose deaths far outpace Covid-19 deaths in San Francisco by viraptor on Sunday December 20, 2020 @02:36PM (#25488904)
It also ignores actual lockdown which brought cases down to 0 in Victoria. Holding up for a month or so already.