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Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by roenxi on Friday October 23, 2020 @08:17AM (#24868637)
The more-correct observation is that any well-understood or easy path to becoming high status will be shut down. Most people are not high status, and want to be. It follows that the path has to be either risky, or difficult to comprehend.

If hard work were enough, we'd all be in charge. Lots of hard workers out there.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by PragmaticPulp on Friday October 23, 2020 @11:03AM (#24870200)
> any well-understood or easy path to becoming high status will be shut down

Not shut down so much as exhausted by everyone rushing in.

High status isn’t an arbitrary designation that everyone can achieve. By definition, it requires some degree of exceptionalism and significant separation from the average.

If everyone could achieve a certain high status attribute, it’s no longer high status. It’s just average.

It’s easy to forget that high status is something given by others. You can’t become high status arbitrarily, you can only be high status if the average person voluntarily decides to see you as high status. Luxury good brands understand this perhaps better than anyone as their entire business revolves around making things appear artificially rare, unique, and hard to get while discreetly selling them to as many people as possible.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by rrrrrrrrrrrryan on Friday October 23, 2020 @03:52PM (#24873234)
There's some random chance as well - not everyone can win the lottery.

I think that there are some minimum thresholds you have to beat in terms of intellect, drive, charm, talent, etc., but I'm not completely convinced you need a significant "degree of exceptionalism" in any of these things - being in the right place at the right time can often be enough.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by username90 on Friday October 23, 2020 @10:22AM (#24869795)
Hard work only matters when you work hard to change yourself. If you work 80 hours a week bagging groceries nobody can say you don't work hard, but it isn't very productive work.

Most people just follow the path set for them, and among those who do set out to change they mostly just change from one standard path to another. Like switching from bagging groceries to college to become a programmer. Very few want to do the hard work required to change the world, they prefer safety, even among richer people.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by ska on Friday October 23, 2020 @12:38PM (#24871286)

  > Hard work only matters when you work hard to change yourself.
This may be necessary, but is certainly not sufficient (to the OPs point).
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by rgbrenner on Friday October 23, 2020 @01:01PM (#24871528)
It follows that the path has to be either risky, or difficult to comprehend.

Risky and difficult to comprehend are two forms of "barriers to entry". Another is who you know. One of the most obvious that you left out is: cost.

People buying their way into Harvard et al will obtain high status. People becoming a doctor will obtain high status. It's just that those things cost a 200k+. The price alone closes off that route to most people.

Risky and difficult are the routes to high status that less fortunate people MUST take, because the barriers for less risky routes are impossible to overcome by most people.

The important part you're highlighting is true: status requires barriers to limit the number of people that can acquire that status... it's just more broad than you've acknowledged.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by teachrdan on Friday October 23, 2020 @01:12PM (#24871655)
People within these verticals create their own micro-hierarchies. Surgeons see themselves as above pediatricians; heart and brain surgeons see themselves as above other surgeons. Among Ivy Leaguers, those who come from old families (with old money) join clubs that are closed to students who are poor, non-white, immigrant, etc.

To me, it's a huge positive signal when a group has a culture that actively embraces new people and finds way to identify and celebrate what's cool about them, rather than just the opposite. I personally found student coops at my college to be one such culture.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by Udo on Friday October 23, 2020 @08:25AM (#24868706)
I agree with this. Since any path to becoming high status attracts heavy gate keeping quickly (essentially clearing that path for people who have high status to begin with) it seems reasonable that people try to "hide" in low status niches where there are way fewer predators.

I think success here is somewhat incidental. No doubt the vast majority of niche workers are pursuing non-viable careers, a minority can just about wring a living from it, and a vanishingly small part will actually see some measure of success - upon which that path too will close off quickly, both due to masses of people flocking to follow those footsteps and active gate keeping by value-extracting entities.

Implicit in this model, there is a dark timeline where there are always many more people than there are opportunities. Since this system of exploring possible paths and then closing them off to the lower masses is so extremely effective, eventually every single niche will be flooded with overqualified eager young upper-class people who are just perfectly networked for success, and even though they are so many there are still untold thousands more of hopeless dregs below every single one of them.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by TheOtherHobbes on Friday October 23, 2020 @09:17AM (#24869146)
It's striking just how few billionaires come from genuinely low-status backgrounds. Gates, Bezos, Musk, Zuckerberg, Buffet, and so on were not born dirt poor.

And those that do invariably either had a scene they could grow into - like Steve Jobs orbiting around HP and landing at Atari in his earliest days, which wouldn't have happened if he'd been living in (say) Idaho.

Or they have some questionable connections and history - Russian oligarchs being the ideal examples, although there are others.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by haagen on Friday October 23, 2020 @12:30PM (#24871201)
When your family is extremely well off, it can lead to the real or subconscious understanding that there is no long term downside to failure. Money will come to you anyhow eventually.

I rarely hear the argument that the USA needs gov funded heath care, BECAUSE it would be good for entrepreneurs. It's a bit like being part of a wealthy family :)

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by bluedino on Friday October 23, 2020 @10:55AM (#24870115)
To be fair, Idaho Jobs would have hopped into the first VW bus going to California.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by poulsbohemian on Friday October 23, 2020 @12:39PM (#24871307)
JR Simplot was the wealthiest man in Idaho for a long time, and if I recall correctly didn't get through high school and was the perfect model for the kind of low-status signaling addressed above.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by madaxe_again on Friday October 23, 2020 @10:25AM (#24869832)
The causality perhaps isn’t as clear cut as you might think.

Folks who come from a high status background tend to be more willing to do low status things, because doing so doesn’t undermine their status, which comes from elsewhere.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by nickthemagicman on Friday October 23, 2020 @09:14AM (#24869127)
Tech is nice because it's tedious and can be difficult and for rich high status people, an easier quicker way to more guaranteed status is Medicine or Law.

Your summary is both a good point and a little chilling.

I've always wondered in Capitalism how this concept of a JOB for people to have a living wage is sustainable in modern times. Much less for people to innovate and thrive.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by bonecrusher2102 on Friday October 23, 2020 @09:30AM (#24869253)
I'd contend that getting licence to practice law or medicine is neither quick nor easy. Tech definitely has a lower barrier to entry and has plenty of positions that are far less tedious than equivalent (in terms of pay and status) careers in law and medicine.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by nickthemagicman on Friday October 23, 2020 @04:13PM (#24873517)
I think there's much higher status in the average person in law or medicine versus the average tech person.

I don't think you can really have that same kind of status in tech without building something very significant which typically takes years of experience.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by spicymaki on Friday October 23, 2020 @09:39AM (#24869329)
What about just pure chance? To be born in to the right family, in the right country, to be in the correct field, to have the right idea at the right time. Perhaps the correct path is just luck.

We are all rolling the dice here. Just be yourself and do what you find interesting. If it pays off great, if it doesn't that is okay too.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by Sebb767 on Friday October 23, 2020 @09:49AM (#24869447)
Chance/Luck is surely involved, but I'd argue that you can make it far easier for luck to find you. If you get a degree in an upcoming field or start a company you're not guaranteed anything, but your chances are a lot better than if you're just slacking off.

Sure, at the end it's a dice role, but you can get a better dice ;)

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by matthewmacleod on Friday October 23, 2020 @09:54AM (#24869497)
If you get a degree in an upcoming field or start a company you're not guaranteed anything, but your chances are a lot better than if you're just slacking off.

But your chances of being able to do that in the first place are massively dependent on your luck. It's a lot harder to get a degree or start a company if your family is struggling to afford essentials, or you're caring for a sick relative.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by boredumb on Friday October 23, 2020 @10:25AM (#24869830)
Just wait until you hear the chances these people had to luck out on in order to become an embryo.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by troughway on Friday October 23, 2020 @11:03AM (#24870205)
Truly an underrated predictor.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by esperent on Friday October 23, 2020 @09:55AM (#24869510)
> if it doesn't that is okay too.

So for people who find themselves going into dept slavery, unable to feed themselves and their children well, unable to afford healthcare, and so on, you're saying it's all good, just a bad roll of the dice, nothing to worry about?

Seems to me more like the system is fundamentally broken if pure chance is all that seperates a millionaire and the destitute and downtrodden.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by engineer_22 on Friday October 23, 2020 @10:24AM (#24869818)
-> Seems to me more like the system is fundamentally broken...

What assumption have you made about the system's purposes and functions? This is an important question and one we are currently wrestling with as a society. It's one of the BIG QUESTIONS and hard to answer. Plato's Republic might be a good starting place.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by ivanhoe on Saturday October 24, 2020 @04:35AM (#24877800)
I think OP meant that it's OK to be middle class mediocre, nothing especially bad or shameful about it. Being poor is the other extreme of the system - just like good luck and smart decisions can make you rich, bad luck and stupid moves can make you poor. I don't think that anyone argued that society shouldn't reduce the risks and provide a safety net for poor people. Also IMHO for social stability it's important that system slowdowns both of these tendencies, not let people get extremely poor, but also not extremely rich over the night.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by pengstrom on Friday October 23, 2020 @10:14AM (#24869706)
Yes, hence the widespread criticism of capitalism.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by adwn on Friday October 23, 2020 @10:51AM (#24870072)
> Yes, hence the widespread criticism of capitalism.

Social classes and social immobility are millenia-old phenomena and are completely independent of capitalism.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by sunshinerag on Friday October 23, 2020 @10:52AM (#24870089)
capitalism? you mean socialism?
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by chasd00 on Friday October 23, 2020 @03:44PM (#24873116)
well the key is opening the door when opportunity knocks. You can certainly be more "lucky" by developing the decision making capability to identify and pounce on an opportunity when it presents itself.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by im3w1l on Friday October 23, 2020 @08:37AM (#24868792)
> the path has to be either risky, or difficult to comprehend.

Or require being born with a rare gift or trait.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by m_eiman on Friday October 23, 2020 @08:52AM (#24868916)
Such as "the right parents", which in many cases is a pretty efficient gate keeper.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by laurent92 on Friday October 23, 2020 @09:53AM (#24869487)
The social elevator can take 2 generations. And that is ok. There is a lot of things to learn. It gives hope to one’s dad.

Sadly inheritance is looked down upon, and people would like every citizen to be born with the same information, and this information being delivered by public education.

Sadly, parents teach much better than teachers when it is about the little things that make a life successful. There will never be a way around this. Transmission will never be good between people who don’t care for each others, such as civil servants. Therefore we should acknowledge that, yes, some parts of success will be taught by parents, and tearing children from parents will only lose information instead of elevating everyone. We should elevate parents and teach them so that they, too, can get successful children, and make sure all kids get two parents, and as many grandparents as possible (who are very, very important for psychological stability and growth), and make sure parents can be confident in teaching their children, i.e. not criticizing them for teaching them methods to succeed which have succeeded for a millenium, like, I don’t know, marrying which is the single best predictor of success.

Sure, we can re-engineer humans without parent inheritance, tear them off and give them to childcare centers, but we already know the sad results.

I’ve once asked my Arab employee why only (foreign) Arabs applied to our job (in France) and had the skills, he very acutely noted that their parents don’t allow them to fail, whereas French-born developers were more lazy. The result is very visible here: The only decent application we have are from North Africa.

« The right parents » is not about wealth or social exclusion. It is that some parents decide to be crap parents and destroy a millenium of wisdom at their generation by not transmitting all the accumulated knowledge, generally due to some ideological dream (« my ancestors were all wrong! THIS is how you do it! I shall be free to roam! ») But the failed child is free to start again, marry, work a lot, study success, and he can give his child an excellent life, and his grandson can be CEO of a large company.

Society can’t offset crap parents. Society already does a good job at making social move possible; 86% billionaires of our generation didn’t have billionaire parents. Also, don’t believe I’m not sorry for the victims, but let’s pass the word and teach again the good tips that have worked for millenia, instead of telling everyone they can survive with a mother-and-two-step-uncles, a flat, a brother in jail and a pink dress. It is not ok to say that. We should rather tell them it will be hard and we can help them progress if they choose to live a clean life starting from now.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by sidlls on Friday October 23, 2020 @11:21AM (#24870408)
There are three ideas core to your comment that are, at best, controversial: marriage as a predictor of success, French-born developers are lazy, and wealth/social exclusion having no role in whether "having the right parents" applies.

Also I'd love to see a deeper analysis of your "86% of billionaires" comment. Usually what happens is we discover that "self-made" millionaires grew up in quite affluent circumstances, perhaps not with millionaire parents, but with parents who earned a sufficient income to themselves retire as millionaires. That is to say, they aren't "self-made". It isn't meaningful to compare their accumulation of wealth to the struggles of those born in less favorable circumstances.

There are no "self-made" billionaires. Or very, very few (WhatsApp founder Jan Koum is literally the only one I can think of who comes close). Every single high-profile billionaire today--Gates, Buffet, Zuckerberg, Bezos, Musk, etc.--came from a family with substantial financial means and social connections.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by stuntkite on Friday October 23, 2020 @05:01PM (#24874126)
I think the "86% of billionaires" thing can be attributed to wealth concentration to income gap. If you want to be a billionaire, it helps if your family had many millions. The extraction of the ultra wealthy that has happened in the last 40 years is pretty incredible. I'm unsure that there are any billionaires that started out leaving home as an emancipated minor with no job and no money an an early life of untreated trauma resulting in complex PTSD.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by fierarul on Friday October 23, 2020 @01:20PM (#24871729)
Now instead of atomic individuals try to think in terms of bloodlines.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by rurp on Friday October 23, 2020 @11:54AM (#24870821)
> 86% billionaires of our generation didn’t have billionaire parents.

How many of them had hundred-millionaire parents? The way wealth has grown for the super rich over the past few decades is staggering. Children of wealthy parents attaining far greater wealth than their parents has been the norm in America for generations now, it's not some exceptional accomplishment.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by inglor_cz on Friday October 23, 2020 @04:03PM (#24873390)
I don't think that multiplying your parents' wealth is only confined to the already wealthy class.

I make about ten times as much as my mother did, although we are both university educated. The difference is that I can sell my products on the Internet to a much wider audience. That was a serious multiplier which affected a lot of people and businesses, even on the lower end of the scale.

But I am very definitely not a USD-millionaire and likely won't ever be.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by powerslacker on Friday October 23, 2020 @11:50AM (#24870765)
I mostly agree with your sentiment, except on hiring. I've gotten several offers from French companies for Sr. Engineer roles and the problem isn't that your developers are lazy - it's that software companies in France don't pay anywhere near market wages compared to the rest of the globe. Last year I was offered the equivalent of US 70K to take on an ambitious Sr. Eng. Role. That's less than half what I'd expect in the states.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by 908B64B197 on Friday October 23, 2020 @03:45PM (#24873132)
> I've once asked my Arab employee why only (foreign) Arabs applied to our job (in France) and had the skills, he very acutely noted that their parents don't allow them to fail, whereas French-born developers were more lazy. The result is very visible here: The only decent application we have are from North Africa.

That's a bold statement.

French-born engineers are some of the best I've worked with, definitely not lazy by any means. But the local market in France is truly disconnected, salary-wise, when compared to the rest of the world.

If you advertise French wages on the French market, you simply won't get any of that french-born talent. They are either working remotely or already in the Bay Area!

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by manuel_w on Saturday October 24, 2020 @01:34PM (#24880677)
> The social elevator can take 2 generations. And that is ok.

It is not. You don't choose your parents, just the same way as you don't get to choose your sex/gender, race/ethnicity or caste. If you take "equal chances for everyone" seriously, it is a primary concern for a society to allow children to prosper freely without being impeded by the misfortune or failings of their parents.

> Sadly inheritance is looked down upon

We're totally not on the same page. Not even close.

> destroy a millenium of wisdom at their generation by not transmitting all the accumulated knowledge, generally due to some ideological dream (« my ancestors were all wrong! THIS is how you do it! I shall be free to roam! »)

I think it doesn't take a millennium of wisdom to understand what's needed to raise sane, mentally healthy children. Besides, this chain of knowledge-transfer gets interrupted constantly anyway, often due to war, accidents or addictions.

> But the failed child is free to start again, marry, work a lot, study success, and he can give his child an excellent life, and his grandson can be CEO of a large company.

Why the grandson? Why not the son? (Or daughter, for what it's worth.)

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by ck425 on Friday October 23, 2020 @10:49AM (#24870049)
My impression, and indeed my personal issue with inheritance, is financial inheritance. I have far less issues with other forms of inheritance. Sure I'm occasionally jealous of the opportunities or skills others learnt from a young age but overall I'm just glad there are more talented, thoughtful, considerate people out there. The only part that ticks me off is arrogant people who claim to have gotten far only on their own backs and who refuse to acknowledge any good fortune (what you could call non-financial inheritance) on their part. Admittedly that pisses me off more because I used to do it a lot myself.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by dfxm12 on Friday October 23, 2020 @11:25AM (#24870447)
My impression, and indeed my personal issue with inheritance, is financial inheritance.

According to this study[0], at least 50% of wealth persistence is accounted for by direct transfers from parents, i.e. financial inheritance, while earnings and education are only able to explain 25%.

0 - https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/ecoj.12535

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by ryandrake on Friday October 23, 2020 @02:05PM (#24872155)
Education is often a financial inheritance in disguise. If dad pays for your K-12 private schooling and entire Harvard education, how is that practically different than a direct cash transfer?
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by fierarul on Friday October 23, 2020 @02:29PM (#24872377)
Would you want to live in a society where a parent would definitely not pay for better education? What kind of people would those be!?
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by ck425 on Saturday October 24, 2020 @05:35AM (#24878029)
I'd prefer a situation where everyone automatically paid for university fees via a graduate tax and no one has the option to pay outright.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by fierarul on Saturday October 24, 2020 @07:35AM (#24878538)
This just moves the goalpost. Parents will pay for something that improves the odds of their children. Should a society where that just does not exist or is allowed be preferable? I think nobody wants that.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by ck425 on Saturday October 24, 2020 @05:19PM (#24882048)
Perfectly equality isn't possible but we should make it so any child can reach the height of socio-economic success. To do that we occasionally need to tear down the advantages others have such as in this case.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by fierarul on Sunday October 25, 2020 @04:37AM (#24884748)
What does the height of socio-economic success bring you if you can't even help in any way your immediate family?

If success means just the ability to buy stuff, the richest person gets the same iPhone, so why bother striving for more?

Perfect equality means total inhumanity and the destruction of family.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by ck425 on Sunday October 25, 2020 @02:27PM (#24888623)
Yet if everyone made supporting their family through the generations their primary goal it would lead to incredible inequality as the advantages of those born to well off family allowed them to make their kids even better off and so on, while the less well off could never catch up. We know from experience that excessive levels of inequality leads to destruction of society.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by fierarul on Sunday October 25, 2020 @04:02PM (#24889429)
The cluelessness is just baffling. I wrote a much longer reply but there's no point in pursuing this further...
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by ck425 on Sunday October 25, 2020 @06:48PM (#24890760)
Please do reply, I'm genuinely interested.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by fierarul on Friday October 23, 2020 @02:27PM (#24872358)
+1.

These concepts are hard to understand for a hyper-individualistic person that lives in an eternal present.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by jackhack on Friday October 23, 2020 @10:17AM (#24869749)
thank you for this insightful view of the importance of family and parental guidance. it adds a lot to the conversation.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by ativzzz on Friday October 23, 2020 @11:11AM (#24870294)
Leetcode is becoming the status differentiator for software engineers.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by ahelwer on Friday October 23, 2020 @11:48AM (#24870744)
Ahahahaha no absolutely not. Unless they clearly enjoy solving those types of puzzles for their own personal enjoyment, anyone chasing status through leetcode comes off as just kinda pathetic. What an incredible waste of time, like competing to get the highest score on an IQ test.

Much more impressive is when people direct their intelligence toward solving problems in high-dimensional domains. Self-contained leetcode problems, at most, break down into (1) translating the problem into known-best algorithm input (2) implementing that algorithm (3) translating the algorithm output into the expected format. Boring.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by kyawzazaw on Friday October 23, 2020 @12:07PM (#24870957)
I think OP meant leetcode is the gatekeeper for software engineers working at a big tech corp or a smaller one where compensation and the career path can vary wildly.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by ativzzz on Friday October 23, 2020 @01:58PM (#24872097)
Exactly what I meant
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by 908B64B197 on Friday October 23, 2020 @04:26PM (#24873695)
I think people conflate LeetCode with basic programming skills...
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by foobiekr on Saturday October 24, 2020 @04:42PM (#24881809)
I'd go even further - if you're doing leetcode questions instead of talking directly to VP/GMs and having them sell you on the role, you aren't high status at all.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by echelon on Friday October 23, 2020 @11:34AM (#24870564)
If by that you mean that Leetcode is busy work, I agree. Personal projects and hobby work are a better sign of potential.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by 908B64B197 on Friday October 23, 2020 @03:18PM (#24872834)
No. Coding and being able to FizzBuzz is, for CS grads.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by nsxwolf on Friday October 23, 2020 @11:29AM (#24870509)
Tell me that's not true.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by ska on Friday October 23, 2020 @12:39PM (#24871299)
It's not true.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by rjkennedy98 on Friday October 23, 2020 @09:33AM (#24869285)
> Lots of hard workers out there.

I disagree with this. Never underestimate how many people just don't show up or try at all.

Look at average screen time for Americans as a data point. It's a ridiculous 12 hours a day of media usage. Just think about that. People are basically staring at their phones/tvs for 12 out of the 16 waking hours.

As I get older I realize more often than not most successful people are not special, but simply were normally people that didn't screw up badly, showed up to work every day, and took better opportunities that were available. They graduated college with reasonable degrees, they didn't stay in bad jobs, or in dead-end cities. Eventually if you do that you will get a break, land at a successful company, get a big promotion, ect.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by PragmaticPulp on Friday October 23, 2020 @10:39AM (#24869952)
The 11-12 hour estimates of screen time include office work, e-mail, and so on. It’s incorrect to imply that all of that time is wasted.

This idea that success comes to anyone who just shows up and puts in a little bit of effort because most people are watching TV or browsing the Internet for 12 hours a day is, to be blunt, extremely naive.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by ck425 on Friday October 23, 2020 @11:00AM (#24870165)
I both agree and disagree with this.

You're right that in a lot of places in western society (though not all) you can become pretty successful through good strategy and some hard work as you've described. But that's actually quite hard to do!

Plenty of things in life can get in the way and more importantly having a good life strategy requires a level of knowledge not available to many. The reason so many entrepreneurs come from moderately well off backgrounds is that the middle class is far far better at teaching their kids the strategies to success than those less well off. The upper class are even better and can use their money and access to take shortcuts not available to the rest of us.

If you're a working class kids whose family have never been to college or who hasn't been exposed to the 'professional class' you might have no idea how to get there and thus have no idea that you could get there. There are plenty of super smart kids from lower socio-economic backgrounds who would never even consider going to uni for a 'reasonable degree' because no ones implied it was possible for them.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by pengstrom on Friday October 23, 2020 @10:19AM (#24869778)
This is an unfair argument if you're not acknowledging how media is designed to be addictive. Even we technical folk are susceptible. It's a convenient fantasy that the downtrodden deserve their place for being lazy.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by mancerayder on Friday October 23, 2020 @10:29AM (#24869863)
That makes it sound like individuals have no agency, or that we're blank slates, or that agency is evenly distributed and low. The point is that from screen addiction to exercise to nutrition to savings, there are varying degrees of self-control, and surely varying degrees of temptation and built-in advantages or disadvantages.

We're conscious beings with a will, and there reaches a point where you struggle with your own will in order to evolve as a person. For some that's screen addiction. I'm only eager to write this comment so I can highlight the danger of a 'not my fault' mentality that's self-sabotaging.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by rjkennedy98 on Friday October 23, 2020 @10:42AM (#24869985)
That's just one data point. I could go on and on about how people make obviously bad decisions.

Take college major choice. Why do so many people get worthless degrees? They can do a simple google search to see how much people with X major make as salaries. It's not hidden or even a remote mystery. I won't get in to how people finance their education (not even reading the terms of their loans which are invariably awful).

As for career, I lived for a year in Minnesota and was amazed at how many people were incredibly underpaid (like 80K a year for a senior software engineer) and simply did not try to change jobs. Similarly many also refused to even consider moving to a costal city with better pay. I've also had co-workers that stuck around at obviously failing companies (and then were upset when their options were worthless).

And with investments, I've an aunt who inherited 50K about 20 years ago and just kept the money in the bank. Everyone knows you should be investing that money in the stock market or an appreciating asset, yet she is hardly unusual in just not investing the money. My mom invested it and made at least 4x on the money.

There are tons of these kinds of things - which are all simple and obvious, but literally most people don't do them for reasons that are just beyond me. I had a friend who was a semester away from graduating at UCSD and dropped out to take music lessons at community college. I tried to explain to him that was an awful decision, but he was just dead set on it. I've seen this stuff happen over and over.

Obviously, you can say that people don't have this kind literacy because they were poor, ignorant, ect. It doesn't change the fact that mostly getting by and moving up in the world is not rocket science or for special people, it's a matter of just making mostly reasonable decisions: choosing a reasonable career, saving money, showing up for work, taking good opportunities when given to you.

Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by germinalphrase on Friday October 23, 2020 @02:27PM (#24872354)
While I don't disagree with the spirit of your post, moving to an entirely different region of the country is not always an easy or obvious choice for people.
Re:Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low-st... by bluedino on Friday October 23, 2020 @10:57AM (#24870130)
>> Why do so many people get worthless degrees?

A lot of people just want to go to art school.