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Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by zzleeper on Friday April 03, 2020 @02:21PM (#22772453)
The problem is they were already operating on razor thin margins. Imagine people walking through their lives with only $10 of savings, and hundreds of thousands of dollars in debt. First time something happens, boom, you go bankrupt.

Same with PE companies. They leverage up to the highest possible values, and then a bit more. They knew the risks of doing so, but the risks were worth it because they would make so much money if they paid off. But they didn't paid off. Why should we bail them out?

In fact, is there something we can do to PREVENT these colossal leverage figures? Banks don't care, regulators can't do much about it, PE companies don't care, the companies being bought out don't have a say, and neither consumers.

Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by clairity on Friday April 03, 2020 @02:50PM (#22772779)
> "In fact, is there something we can do to PREVENT these colossal leverage figures?"

yes, at least these 3 things:

* remove the tax advantage of debt over equity (currently debt payments reduce tax burdens).

* remove the tax advantage of capital gains over ordinary income.

* on any bailout, massively cram down the equity holding of the PE firm(s) and all executives by issuing new shares to every other stakeholder besides them, including other shareholders (if there are any, typically not), employees, suppliers, and debtholders, mitigating the too-big-to-fail moral hazard.

Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by thebean11 on Friday April 03, 2020 @03:04PM (#22772912)
> on any bailout, massively cram down the equity holding of the PE firm(s) and all executives by issuing new shares to every other stakeholder besides them, including other shareholders

IMO that's a step to far, and is a totally uneven punishment depending on how shares are held. Just make them give the government equity (or options) as part of the bailout that would dilute all existing shareholders.

Executives aren't the only ones responsible, they are hired by the shareholders.

Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by solarkraft on Friday April 03, 2020 @03:52PM (#22773334)
This is exactly the type of bailout Germany is considering. Maybe it's better than giving a loan (certainly better than handing out free money), but also creates an incentive for the government to invest a lot of money and political good will into the company afterwards so its shares won't become worthless, which can be dangerous if others are still calling the shots, because those are suddenly motivated to take way higher risks, knowing the government probably won't let them fail.
Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by clairity on Friday April 03, 2020 @05:58PM (#22774345)
germany is certainly more advanced than the US in regard to responsible corporate governance.

governments taking equity positions in corporations can be bad because of the risk of corruption, self-dealing, and regulatory capture, not the principal-agent and subsequent sunk-cost risks you mention, imho.

unlike other shareholders, governments aren't strongly motivated by attaining the largest return for themselves, particularly since taxes and bonds are much easier revenue sources. and in crisis, the government has the negotiating leverage to stipulate stricter conditions upfront that aren't normally part of non-crisis investments.

Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by pnutjam on Friday April 03, 2020 @03:42PM (#22773258)
The whole point of shareholders is to dilute the investment so much that nobody really has a voice. Pick up some of the books by Frederick Lewis Allen, he wrote some great financial history books.
Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by thebean11 on Friday April 03, 2020 @04:07PM (#22773454)
I haven't read any of his work..but surely there is some aggregate voice made up of the shareholders right? Do you think the shareholder votes are meaningless?
Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by freeopinion on Friday April 03, 2020 @04:33PM (#22773681)
I don't think you and I know each other, but I'm going to guess that you own shares in hundreds of companies. I'm also guessing that you have never voted at the shareholder meeting of most or all of those companies. Again, just guessing, but I'm guessing that the same is true for most of the people who read this site. And this is YC--all about founders and funders.
Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by thebean11 on Friday April 03, 2020 @04:37PM (#22773720)
> but I'm going to guess that you own shares in hundreds of companies

If you count index funds sure

> I'm also guessing that you have never voted at the shareholder meeting of most or all of those companies.

I generally don't vote, but that isn't because I don't believe in the efficacy of shareholder voting. Just because MY (insignificant) vote wouldn't matter doesn't mean shareholder votes in general don't matter, or that shareholders as a whole don't have control over the company.

Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by pnutjam on Saturday April 04, 2020 @04:16PM (#22781143)
Exactly, most of the votes don't matter. There may be a big shareholder whose vote does matter, but it's probably the management, look at Google and Facebook. They sold the company and kept all the ownership.

"This is still true in most young companies, which need capital to get going, and in many small ones anyhow. But in most successful American concerns which have grown to maturity, and especially in the very big ones which between them do a very large proportion of American business, the stockholders are no longer in control in any real sense: they are subordinate in authority and importance to the management... ...Suppose a stockholder doesn’t like the way the corporation is being run? Only if he is eccentric, or a special sort of crusader, or a politician (union or otherwise) trying to make a stir, does he try to oppose the management of a really big company. What he does, instead, is to sell his stock and get out... ...Looking at this segment of American business, we would almost find it appropriate to call our present economic system “managementism” rather than “capitalism.”." - Frederick Lewis Allen in "The Big Change: America Transforms itself 1900 - 1950"

Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by thebean11 on Sunday April 05, 2020 @12:17AM (#22783702)
Each vote matters equally but bigger shareholders get more votes. By the same token, bigger shareholders get punished more by dilution.
Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by TuringNYC on Friday April 03, 2020 @03:00PM (#22772876)
>> In fact, is there something we can do to PREVENT these colossal leverage figures? Banks don't care, regulators can't do much about it, PE companies don't care, the companies being bought out don't have a say, and neither consumers.

Yes there is -- let them fail if they cannot service debt. If you bail them out, it only fosters the behavior further.

Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by bdcravens on Friday April 03, 2020 @03:10PM (#22772960)
Couldn't the same be said for highly-leveraged workers?
Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by arcticfox on Friday April 03, 2020 @03:16PM (#22773013)
What is a highly leveraged worker? Is it someone that has no savings account? If so, what does letting them fail look like to you?

To me, letting an over-leveraged worker 'fail' (starve, die, become homeless, whatever it is) is categorically different than letting an over-leveraged business fail.

Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by bdcravens on Friday April 03, 2020 @07:21PM (#22774882)
To me, that's someone whose debt is too high in relation to their income. Failure to me is losing assets or credit rating. I certainly don't want to see anyone starve or go homeless, but I also am not saddened to see someone lose their new BMW when a used Hyundai would have sufficed.
Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by TuringNYC on Friday April 03, 2020 @08:17PM (#22775125)
BMWs are a straw-man argument. We just had one-time $1200 checks, there is discussion of more. No one is talking about buying BMWs, or servicing BMW-level expenses.

To put this in perspective, consider the monthly carry on rent+COBRA+food+honda (+ student loans). A one-time $1200 check wont go far.

Those who leased or bought BMWs arent really the subject of the conversation here, if they are relying on a $1200 check to get thru this, they are going under regardless (and possibly rightfully so if they got a luxury car rather than store a reserve/emergency fund.)

Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by smabie on Friday April 03, 2020 @04:25PM (#22773616)
I mean, an over-leveraged business failing is gonna create over-leveraged workers failing. I don't really see the material difference, anyways.
Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by TuringNYC on Friday April 03, 2020 @08:19PM (#22775138)
The difference is giving money directly to the worker vs giving it to an extraction business who might give some of it to the worker. Which seems more appropriate?
Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by solarkraft on Friday April 03, 2020 @03:55PM (#22773359)
Despite some court verdicts (or memes resulting from them) claiming otherwise, companies are not people and should be held to different standards.
Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by bdcravens on Friday April 03, 2020 @07:24PM (#22774891)
Many companies are the sole income for one person however. I think it's easy to portray business as soulless corporations, but most business in the US are small businesses. As such, the fate of those businesses is tied to the fate of the workers, of which the owner is one.
Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by gnopgnip on Friday April 03, 2020 @03:52PM (#22773330)
There is a difference in how this affects the broader economy. A business failing and going through bankruptcy still generally continues to exist if the business can be profitable long term, and the shareholders lose money.
Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by leveredequity on Friday April 03, 2020 @02:34PM (#22772601)
It's disingenuous to say PE doesn't care. They have every incentive to preserve and generate equity value. That is literally their business.

However, the issue is employees are also hurt, not just equity and debt holders.

Edit: I don't see how you can disagree with this statement. Literally the only job of a PE firm is retain and create value for investors. They would be out of business if they did not do that. Hence, they care about preserving capital. With the caveat that this is in aggregate across the portfolio.

I don't disagree, however, that there needs to be significant regulation and social safety support for workers. I believe there needs to be significant changes to ensure we protect worker rights.

Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by rmrfstar on Friday April 03, 2020 @02:48PM (#22772758)
I worked at a PE fund whose name you'd know. VC has a plausible claim to value creation. Buyout is a shell game. They are arsonists that we have allowed to torch our industrial economy to the ground.

There are massive financial incentives to lever to the hilt. Back in the day social pressures restrained it. In the 1980s that all went out the window.

https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/faculty-research/working-papers...

Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by TuringNYC on Friday April 03, 2020 @03:02PM (#22772899)
>> It's disingenuous to say PE doesn't care. They have every incentive to preserve and generate equity value. That is literally their business.

This might be the headline intent for the public, but in practice has often not been the primary intent. PE firms often extract massive fees from the companies to recover their initial investment -- long before they realize equity based gains. I'd say VCs are more aligned on this matter, not PE.

Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by leveredequity on Friday April 03, 2020 @03:05PM (#22772918)
That is simply not true. Management fees are such a small percentage of contributed capital. And, typically doesn't count towards your returns calculation.
Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by FireBeyond on Friday April 03, 2020 @04:36PM (#22773713)
Toys R Us. $1.8B in debts prior to PE involvement. Immediately following the deal signing that ballooned to $5B+.

Interest fees now encompassed 97% of operating profits.

PE firm only paid about 1.3% of the equity for the leveraged buyout, Toys contributed the rest (hence the increased debt load).

KKR and Bain stated that management fees, transaction fees and interest entirely covered, and more, the losses from the deal. $128M in transaction fees, $800M in management fees, and so on.

Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by leveredequity on Friday April 03, 2020 @05:04PM (#22773944)
I don't believe the 1.3% is correct, as I think it's closer to 20-25%. Data I have seen supports that they put up $1.3bn of equity in the acquisition, in addition to ~$5Bn of debt (at ~7x leverage I think? -- that's more of the sticker shock). In today's market at least, you need to put up at least around ~30% of the purchase price as equity from the private equity firm.

The Toys R Us deal had a whole bunch of issues, and the business may very well have been over-levered. I do think we should bring back stricter leveraged lending guidelines, in some form.

Those fees, however, don't cover the losses the way that you think (sometimes they cover the amount contributed from the fund itself, not from its investors). I think there were only received $180M in management fees over the nearly 10 year hold paid to the 3 firms involved.

Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by downrightmike on Friday April 03, 2020 @02:40PM (#22772674)
Buy companies, layoff and outsource staff. Over work those that are left. PE is already bad for employees.
Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by leveredequity on Friday April 03, 2020 @02:49PM (#22772773)
I work at a PE firm. There are multiple strategies employed, but the name of the game is not to lose money. Disagree with the term "value creation" - fine - but my point is there is zero incentive to lose money. Otherwise, they would be out of business in the long term.

I am arguing for worker protection. Not protection of equity value. You inherently take on risk by deploying it, and should accept the realities of that risk.

Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by downrightmike on Friday April 03, 2020 @03:38PM (#22773208)
But the core activity is still harm employees at all times. and cut to the bone at every chance to the detriment of employees, that had the original company not sold out, would have had to take better care of their employees and also require more employees as there wouldn't be redundancy between the parent and subsidiary. And all around increases the value to the workers and community. PE over leverage so they have to detriment the employees by default.
Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by TuringNYC on Friday April 03, 2020 @06:36PM (#22774600)
>> I am arguing for worker protection.

Why not simply fund unemployment checks, direct cash, food stamps, student loan deferrals, or more direct means of worker protection than handing the money to PE Firms (which by the way operate by design to squeeze workers) and hoping they protect workers?

We've seen this in 2009-2010 -- giving the money to banks doesn't magically make the money trickle down to workers. Perhaps some of it does, but why not make all of it trickle down by skipping the middlemen? What are the odds the middlemen will conveniently issue a giant dividend to themselves or do a stock buy-back or any other number of tricks that will achieve nothing for the workers.

Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by majormajor on Friday April 03, 2020 @03:55PM (#22773355)
> Otherwise, they would be out of business in the long term.

... that would be a fine incentive if we don't bail them out. Otherwise...

Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by leveredequity on Friday April 03, 2020 @04:36PM (#22773715)
Totally agree, I thought we were arguing to bail out employees here. That's what I'm aware of based on what I've seen going on in the industry
Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by rmrfstar on Friday April 03, 2020 @02:52PM (#22772790)
You can make money robbing little old ladies on their way to the grocery store. Doesn't make it a socially useful activity or one that should be permitted in a civilized society.
Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by smabie on Friday April 03, 2020 @04:26PM (#22773622)
Are you saying that buying a company and having it take on debt should be illegal?
Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by TuringNYC on Friday April 03, 2020 @06:33PM (#22774577)
I think they are saying that some things are lower in the line of requiring publicly funded bailouts. Like, say, perhaps we should spend the money on longer unemployment checks for the poor and middle class before we consider giant checks to risky business ventures.
Re:Private Equity Wants in on the Bailout? Spare Me by rmrfstar on Friday April 03, 2020 @10:07PM (#22775619)
Yeah, I think that most LBO's should be taxed out of existence. The industry is a destructive and parasitic.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qs1DhA91fm0