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Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by tempsy on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:12PM (#22014196)
I haven't been in the market for a mattress for awhile now but went on Casper's website and was shocked to see the price for a Queen is now $1095.

I didn't remember it being that high, and checked Wayback and sure enough it was $850 in 2015, and $950 in 2017.

Given how many copycats are out there, many selling for much less, can someone help me understand how Casper gets away with selling a $1095 mattress + tax to a majority millennial crowd, who are supposedly cash strapped, and doing so successfully?

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by gooseus on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:17PM (#22014258)
I'm guessing market dominance from years of targeted advertising on podcasts as well as buying/bullying mattress reviewer websites to make sure they stay as the highest rated.

HN from 2017: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15321807

"Casper went to war with popular mattress review site, then financed its takeover"

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by tempsy on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:22PM (#22014311)
so even people who are cash strapped are willing to overpay for a commodity item if they perceive it to be the best in a certain price range...?

i guess purchasing behavior is very different for things you buy very infrequently like a mattress?

looking at Costco and a highly rated foam comparable to Casper is $500...

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by blackearl on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:27PM (#22014401)
It's really hard to know what's a good price for a mattress. You might buy 1 per decade, people forget what the experience or price was like. I spent a lot of time researching then gave up and went to a "mattress outlet" laid on a few, then got one for around $400. I sleep fine, probably better than I ever have.

There's also so much info on springs, foam, latex, rubber, on and on. It's overwhelming. Casper has good marketing and make it easy, and since it's so hard to compare, they just need to be close to other prices. They don't need to go full walmart

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by tempsy on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:31PM (#22014455)
$1100+tax is more than double what you'd pay at Ikea, Amazon, Costco, etc.

I thought the promise of all these direct-to-consumer products was to pass savings onto the consumer because they are vertically integrated and cut out scammy middle men.

Seems like all that's happened is they just keep fat margins for themselves.

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by Paperweight on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:43PM (#22014585)
Started-up with principles. Got big. Reverted to the beancounter corporate mean. Now charging what the market will bear. Opportunity now open for new startup with principles. Rinse and repeat.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by awalton on Friday January 10, 2020 @09:34PM (#22017694)
> Seems like all that's happened is they just keep fat margins for themselves.

Judging by their S-1, not so much... They're offering up $100M in shares on $200M of assets and $300M in debt. They spend about as much on marketing as they make from selling the goods, leaving shareholders to pay for all of the administration expenses. If it were a tech company it'd be easy to say this is another debt-fueled startup looking for an exit...

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by wbl on Saturday January 11, 2020 @08:59AM (#22019872)
The gross margin of manufactured consumer goods with lots of competition isn't usually 50٪. But you're right marketing is needed to maintain it. I'm stunned by the high general and administrative costs.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by tyingq on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:47PM (#22014626)
There are plenty of 12 inch memory foam mattresses on Amazon that are in the $300-$400 range for a Queen size, including shipping. I'm happy with the "Zinus" brand.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by Johnny555 on Friday January 10, 2020 @08:35PM (#22017416)
I bought a cheap Amazon matress (~200 or so) for a guest-room bed. That bed ended up becoming our primary bed and within a year it developed a noticable softspot + indentation where I sleep (my wife's side is fine, I'm a side sleeper, she's half my weight and sleeps on her back mostly). We rotated it and it was good for another 6 months before the same thing happened.

In contrast, our 4 year old Leesa mattress (which we're back on as a primary bed) is fine.

I'm sure that I overpaid with the $900 Leesa, but I don't know how to be sure I'll get a durable mattress if I get a cheap one.

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by jcampbell1 on Friday January 10, 2020 @07:40PM (#22017124)
In the past 5 years I have owned a Casper at $850, a tuft and needle for $750, and something by Ashley for $350. I think I like the Ashley slightly better but they are virtually indistinguishable. I second the recommendation to go cheap.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by AJ007 on Friday January 10, 2020 @08:28PM (#22017383)
I've had a lot of negative things to say about Amazon for the past couple of years, but yeah, you shouldn't be paying much more than $300 for a mattress. Everything on top of that is your customer acquisition cost, which should be in your bank account, not Google/Facebook's.

In my experience you can just optimize the firmness to your liking with a pad. If suddenly its too firm or too soft, you can switch it out and not have to replace a whole mattress. Relatives visited and wet the bed? Throw it out and get a new one, your only out a few hundred dollars instead of $1000+.

For couples who want their mattress different ways, that is another market.

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by gnat on Saturday January 11, 2020 @10:43AM (#22020397)
Could you provide a link to an example of the kind of "pad" you're talking about? We are mattress-shopping now, so this is a timely discussion :)
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by Ohn0 on Friday January 10, 2020 @03:02PM (#22014794)
added cost of marketing though?
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by tempsy on Friday January 10, 2020 @03:11PM (#22014920)
not sure why that matters even if it's true their marketing costs are high. if it ends up costing significantly more then what value are you providing me as a customer for selling something that is 2x more than what I can get anywhere?
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by austhrow743 on Saturday January 11, 2020 @09:25AM (#22020004)
The marketing provides value by convincing you that you found a quality product in an opaque industry.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by xenospn on Saturday January 11, 2020 @12:55AM (#22018421)
About 5 years ago I bought a $400 mattress on Amazon. Came in shrink wrap and has been in my bed since then. It has been perfect in every way. I don't understand why anyone would spend more than twice that amount.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by awalton on Friday January 10, 2020 @09:27PM (#22017660)
> It's really hard to know what's a good price for a mattress.

I don't understand this at all. You can Google and have all the prices right at hand, so comparison shopping by number isn't hard.

You can go to a mattress store and lay on a handful of mattresses and figure out pretty quickly what you like - is the pillow top or foam too soft? Do the coils poke too hard? Too firm? Too heavy for you to move when you need to do the sheets? - You admitted to doing this yourself.

I could never see myself buying a mattress from a company like Casper personally. Returning something like a mattress because you don't like it has got to be a level of hassle that I can't even begin to imagine being worth it, vs just making sure you bought one that you're comfortable with in the first place.

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by ceejayoz on Friday January 10, 2020 @10:26PM (#22017907)
> so comparison shopping by number isn't hard

Yes, it is. The major mattress stores each have their own custom SKUs to defeat comparison.

> You can go to a mattress store and lay on a handful of mattresses and figure out pretty quickly what you like

To some extent, but there's a wear-in period on a new mattress. It takes my body a few days to a few weeks to get used to any new mattress; trying to figure out how that's going to go from a few minutes in a store isn't super effective.

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by brogrammernot on Friday January 10, 2020 @10:55PM (#22018007)
It’s such an infrequent purchase that you don’t have a baseline for what is a good price or not. It’s not like when you’re buying food and you always buy bananas for $1 and you stop to grab a few items at somewhere new & bananas are $2 so you don’t buy them cause you have a baseline.

It’s the same exact thing you seen in automotive sales, how do you tell if something is a good price? Well looking at the car compared to other cars in that area may help but what about one model vs another and so forth.

So go lay on a mattress or test drive a vehicle, all that does is tell you if you absolutely hate the item in question not if you actually like it so you add a wide range of prices on very similar items with unlimited reviews or information on them it’s incredibly overwhelming.

Caspar & others (Tuft & Needle) did a great job with the market by appealing to those concerns. 100 night free trial (T&N) and if you don’t like it, we’ll arrange to pick it up/drop it off at a homeless shelter or similar. Casper did something similar.

Once a decade or half decade larger purchases without a baseline is incredibly stressful for most consumers.

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by raverbashing on Saturday January 11, 2020 @07:41AM (#22019584)
> It’s such an infrequent purchase that you don’t have a baseline for what is a good price or not.

Well, we have Google now.

But if you're willing to buy something of that price range without doing a little bit of research then it's an issue.

I had to buy a mattress recently (because the one I had bought online - for a discount price - sucked). I went to the store and tested the different models.

Though I agree the once a decade thing complicates things.

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by rconti on Friday January 10, 2020 @06:47PM (#22016821)
Shopped for a mattress with my wife. Tried pretty much everything in the store. her favorite was a firm no-frills no topper low end "brand" name mattress (one of the big 3). Was nice to get something delivered for $600ish in a california king. I was more-or-less prepared to spend whatever it took to get something we both liked. That was easy.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by evandev on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:36PM (#22014510)
From what I have heard, Costco buys Casper mattresses in bulk and are able to charge basically whatever they want.

It does make sense that Casper itself needs higher profit margins than Costco due to the differences in business.

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by frgotmylogin on Friday January 10, 2020 @07:47PM (#22017171)
Do they have them out to try in the store?
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by prklmn on Saturday January 11, 2020 @12:24AM (#22018324)
Not from what I’ve seen. There is a sample you can push your hand into, but certainly it’s not big enough to properly try out.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by untog on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:32PM (#22014465)
I think a lot of it is whether you consider the price (whatever it is) to be reasonable. I am willing to spend $1000 on something I spend literally half my life on top of.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by tempsy on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:36PM (#22014515)
foam mattresses at Costco, Amazon, Ikea, etc. are under $500, so this is more than double for something that is not clearly 2x better than comparable products

if this was objectively proven to be the absolute best foam mattress on the market, I would generally agree that paying top dollar for the best is fine for something you spend a lot of time using, but there's nothing out there that suggests this is any better than anything else on the market. It appears as if it's mostly just good marketing.

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by anon9001 on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:49PM (#22014651)
I had to buy a mattress last year and did a pretty deep dive into the world of mattresses. What I learned is that there's no meaningful research on what's "best", and sleep experts say that it's 100% personal preference (and marketing).

So I bought the cheapest thing on amazon with the best reviews in the size that I needed, which was maybe 25% of the price of Casper or Leesa (and those are about half the price of a traditional mattress). It's absolutely fine. If anything, I sleep better knowing that if I destroy it or have to move, I can just throw it out and buy another one.

One note: if you read enough reviews, you'll notice that some budget foam mattresses can have a smell to them. I assume this is the main thing that "premium" foam mattresses have actually addressed, but obviously it's not advertised as "we have the least smelly product!".

It's really as simple as finding a well reviewed hunk of foam, or at least it was for me, as mine arrived odor-free.

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by matwood on Friday January 10, 2020 @09:17PM (#22017604)
I’ve gotten my last two king foam mattresses from Walmart.com. Comfortable and $500 or less.

I don’t know how places like Casper keep selling mattresses.

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by mathgeek on Saturday January 11, 2020 @08:18AM (#22019699)
For the same reason that you can spend from tens to thousands of dollars on many kitchen appliances, clothes, etc.: branding, appearance, and perceived (although sometimes real) correlation between price and quality. There are additional factors as such a list is bound to be non-exhaustive, but I feel that covers a number of main factors.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by astura on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:55PM (#22014719)
Advertising/marketing.

People often perceive a mattress as "very important," as sleep is important, and are willing to spend a bit extra if they think the quality will be there and they'll sleep better.

In reality I believe most of these "mattress in a box" companies are selling the same 2-3 mattress manufactured in the same factory.

Personally, I buy mattress in the $300-$500 range. When I was in college I just slept on a brick of foam because that was what I could afford.

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by Lotus123 on Saturday January 11, 2020 @01:38AM (#22018546)
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by xchaotic on Saturday January 11, 2020 @09:54AM (#22020144)
It is important. Given how much time you spend sleeping and people complain about spending $1000. But they don’t complain about a $30000 car they spend less than half the time in.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by astura on Saturday January 11, 2020 @04:03PM (#22022279)
The same or very similar mattresses are rebranded and resold as vastly different price points. Mattress sales is mostly marketing. When I was researching mattresses years ago the takeaway was basically price and satisfaction/quality of sleep are not correlated very much.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by starpilot on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:53PM (#22014693)
This is preying on "wellness" concerns. Casper convinces you that a problem exists where it previously (probably) did not, that your sleep is suboptimal, and that only they can fix it for you. Prehistory, humans slept on beds of grasses or reeds on the ground. I still think 80% of your sleep quality is determined by what you do in the day: caffeine intake, amount of physical activity, overall stress level.

I have a Casper. I found it way too firm as a side sleeper, but it was too late to return it, so I bought a $100 memory foam topper from Costco to make it more squishy. I could have saved a lot of money by buying Zinus mattress from Amazon and adding the topper, but oh well.

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by master-litty on Friday January 10, 2020 @09:02PM (#22017538)
Casper caters to stress, ripoff anxiety, social anxiety, and budget.

1. We, the millennial crowd (tm), are insanely stressed on average. Whether it's objectively genuine or falsely perceived, brought on by ourselves or otherwise, it is something we enjoy having control over -- And choosing a "simple" mattress that is straightforward to research and buy caters to that desire perfectly. For awhile Casper only had one mattress, and it seemed like an irrefutably decent mattress. You simply chose the size!

2. If you don't like the mattress you can return it within a period of time. Mattress sellers often offer this, but Casper advertises it. It adds a sense of authenticity to the sale, and I think many people (not just millenials) feel more at peace about buying the mattress without trying it first.

3. It's shipped to you and comes in a box. Usually there's no talking involved. Nobody has to come into your home. Regardless, many of us don't even have a vehicle to pick up a mattress with anyway, nor the available friends to help bring it in through the front door. Maybe a delivery person would help but what if they don't? And what if you miss the delivery?

4. Monthly payments. I feel most millennials don't really care about the total cost of something, as long as there's a monthly payment option that is reasonable. Paycheck-to-paycheck is the format we're used to budgeting in, which easily puts a monthly payment into perspective. $35/month versus $350 upfront is way more manageable.

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by dawnerd on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:35PM (#22014505)
Costco just had them for 480 bucks. I picked one up, so far it's been worth it.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by ra7 on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:49PM (#22014642)
Same and it was a fantastic deal. Even without the holiday discount, Costco sells it for $599 which is close to 50% discount on Casper's $1095 price. They brand it as 'Casper Select', but it's essentially same as the the original.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by braythwayt on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:56PM (#22014733)
It's price discrimination.

The market for a $1,095 mattress wouldn't be caught dead shopping at CostCo, even if it's the exact same mattress.

The "Select" branding isn't there to bamboozle them, it's to help them rationalize paying $500 more to be known as someone above shopping at CostCo.

Casper wants one person's $1,095, and another's $599, so they use branding and channel differentiation to scoop $1,694 from both sales, instead of $1,095 for just one, or $1,198 for both.

If we presume their cost is $400, then they go from $398 in margin (two sales at $599) or $695 in margin (one sale at $1,095) to $894 in margin. That's good business!

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by cmdshiftf4 on Friday January 10, 2020 @06:42PM (#22016802)
>The market for a $1,095 mattress wouldn't be caught dead shopping at CostCo, even if it's the exact same mattress.

That's quite an assumption you're making there. I buy a lot of what I need from CostCo, I also spent over $1k on a mattress and have spent further thousands on high quality bedding.

It's erroneous to conflate CostCo with cheap. They're a members only buying club which tends to buy high quality stock in huge quantities, taking advantage of the economies of scale on offer to them.

Plus Zuckerberg shops there. https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/03/photo-facebook-billionaire-m...

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by tempsy on Friday January 10, 2020 @03:00PM (#22014775)
what?

Costco isn't for the poors - if anything it's the preferred destination of the upper middle suburban class. they sell high ends things. a lot of it.

i'm guessing Casper's main customer base is, again, cash-strapped millennials, so to argue that these customers are somehow above Costco is a strange take.

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by freepor on Friday January 10, 2020 @11:23PM (#22018111)
Costco members average household income is over 100K — it’s a Top 20% demographic.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by ivalm on Friday January 10, 2020 @07:52PM (#22017191)
I know many people in top 1% income bracket that shop Costco. If anything, I feel like flat fee to become a member disincentivizes poorer people.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by braythwayt on Friday January 10, 2020 @10:33PM (#22017929)
Must be my suburb. The demographic at my local CostCo is obviously not the 1% demographic, not even close.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by Terretta on Saturday January 11, 2020 @10:56AM (#22020478)
This is HN, let’s use anecdata!

“Darien (/dɛəriˈæn/) is a town in Fairfield County, Connecticut, United States 37 miles northeast of New York City. With a population of 20,732 for the 2010 census and a land area of just under 13 square miles, it is the smallest town on Connecticut's "Gold Coast". It also has the youngest population of any non-college town in Connecticut and has a high rate of marriage. Darien is one of the wealthiest communities in the U.S.; listed at #2 on CNN Money's list of "top-earning towns" in the United States as of 2010. Bloomberg's 2019 "America's 100 Richest Places" ranking placed Darien in the top 10, with an average household income of $341,090.”

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Darien,_Connecticut

So Darien is where they put the Costco:

https://www.storeopeninghours.com/costco-darien-ct

Across the street further towards Norwalk are Homegoods, Walmart, Stop-and-Shop, etc. Further into Darien, Trader Joes and Whole Foods.

The 6 figure crossovers are all parked at Costco and the Darien grocers.

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by dirtyid on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:33PM (#22014475)
Brand appeal I suppose. I remember 1/2 the Casper price tag goes to marketing - I just bought a generic Amazon Zinus for 1/2 the price that research suggested came from the same foam factory. Seems like Zinus has gone down in cost in the last few years as one would expect with economy of scale while Casper has gone up one, $250 now from Amazon shipped, 1/4 of Casper. Simultaneously feels like Casper has cut back on marketing. Also Zinus is a 40 year old Korean company that's been doing bedding for for 15 years compared to Casper, a tech company that's been around for 5. It seems like a no brainer decision for anyone doing rudimentary research.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by seesaw on Friday January 10, 2020 @09:34PM (#22017692)
I got two Zinus mattresses from Amazon for about $400 total. It has been only two months, but I have been happy so far.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by coldcode on Saturday January 11, 2020 @09:38AM (#22020073)
I have a Zinus I paid like $250 at most on it and it's the best mattress I've ever slept on. But, I ordered one for the guest room and it did not fully expand, so I talked with Amazon and they sent me another one. I took the first one apart, it's pretty simple set of I vaguely remember 4 layers of different foam types. Making these mattresses is pretty simple for all the brands, so the profit margin on an expensive name brand is very high. All you need is a good vacuum and decent packaging for the foam types. I have no idea why anyone would pay $1000-$3000 for a mattress.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by chris_engel on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:31PM (#22014453)
I guess its because many people think that they need to sleep well in this hectic times and cannot allow themselves tu cut cost on a mattress. Expensive = good quality. Turns out this is nonsense - we have a foundation in germany that does independend product tests for all varieties of things and came to the conclusion that the best mattress they ever tested was some 200€ mattress.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by topkai22 on Friday January 10, 2020 @11:10PM (#22018058)
We have the same in the US (consumer reports) and the Casper hybrid mattress currently has the 2nd highest rating. Expensive is not necessarily better, but it is often correlated.

It’s worth noting European sleep preferences are different than Americans, tending to prefer much firmer mattresses, so different testing results make sense.

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by smabie on Saturday January 11, 2020 @08:19AM (#22019706)
That’s pretty interesting, why do you think Europeans have different preferences. I guess I (maybe naively) assumed that the distribution of preference would be the same for all countries.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by rconti on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:58PM (#22014755)
And they're disrupting sleep by advertising on podcasts and cutting out middlemen and... now opening stores. eyeroll
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by ivalm on Friday January 10, 2020 @07:46PM (#22017160)
Maybe they don't buy Casper? I am not cash strapped but shopped around a little bit and got a (very satisfying) queen size mattress for $600 last year @ Living Spaces.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by discardable_dan on Friday January 10, 2020 @08:01PM (#22017239)
I bought a queen at Costco this year for $599.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by meddlepal on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:51PM (#22014675)
I just spent 1600+ on a (really nice) new queen.

I spend a lot of time on my mattress... might as well buy a nice one I really like (Stearns & Foster)

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by rolltiide on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:14PM (#22014217)
> can someone help me understand how Casper gets away with selling a $1095 mattress + tax to a majority millennial crowd, who are supposedly cash strapped, and doing so successfully?

Because the mattress sellers in the bad part of town still charge 3x more.

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by blackearl on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:24PM (#22014346)
I got a great mattress from an outlet, queen size for about $400. I was blown away thinking that Casper was going to be cheaper. They just have good marketing I think
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by opportune on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:30PM (#22014444)
I got my favorite mattress ever from Amazon and it cost like $350 for a (firm) queen foam mattress, box spring, and frame.

Casper (or someone writing about them) once wrote a blog post about how they got into the mattress business because they saw unnecessarily huge margins and direct to consumer opportunity. Now they are opening physical stores and not even charging much differently from regular mattresses. I’m just going to keep buying cheap Chinese mattresses that don’t spend hundreds of dollars per purchase on advertising

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by criddell on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:30PM (#22014440)
A memory foam mattress for $400? That's a very good deal.

The only Casper product I have is a dog bed and it's great.

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by blackearl on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:37PM (#22014522)
Not foam, it's some hybrid spring thing. There's so much crap out there it's hard to know what's real and what's BS
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by cwyers on Friday January 10, 2020 @02:34PM (#22014491)
I got Costco's house brand memory foam mattress for that when it was on sale. Best mattress I've ever owned. (And I probably wouldn't have it if I hadn't tested out a memory foam mattress at a Casper store, in a bit of irony.)
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by ivalm on Friday January 10, 2020 @07:55PM (#22017213)
Go to Costco, Living Spaces, or a myriad of other non-seedy stores and get a mattress for half the price.
Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by rolltiide on Friday January 10, 2020 @09:54PM (#22017775)
and people also dont need to go to the artisanal grocery store for food, doesnt mean there isnt a market

The point is that the only reason Casper is “controversial” here is because IPOs have been elevated to a coveted version of success when it has nothing to do with anything aside from being unnecessarily rare.

Casper is just a vertically integrated mattress seller accessing the public markets now

Re:Casper Sleep S-1 by ivalm on Saturday January 11, 2020 @03:39AM (#22018920)
I replied to

> Because the mattress sellers in the bad part of town still charge 3x more [than casper].

Which is not true. I understand there are premium choices, but this was not what I was replying to.