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Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by tome on Friday February 15, 2019 @11:57AM (#19172473)
Is it a cosmic coincidence that these two large competitors are going to increase fees at exactly the same time?
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by dontbenebby on Friday February 15, 2019 @12:31PM (#19172820)
Your comment reminds me of a recent article I read (on HN iirc but can't find the comment thread):

https://www.technologyreview.com/the-download/612947/pricing...

>Researchers at the University of Bologna in Italy created two simple reinforcement-learning-based pricing algorithms and set them loose in a controlled environment. They discovered that the two completely autonomous algorithms learned to respond to one another’s behavior and quickly pulled the price of goods above where it would have been had either operated alone.

>“What is most worrying is that the algorithms leave no trace of concerted action,” the researchers wrote. “They learn to collude purely by trial and error, with no prior knowledge of the environment in which they operate, without communicating with one another, and without being specifically designed or instructed to collude.” This risks driving up the price of goods and ultimately harming consumers.

I don't think it's out of the realm of possibility that two companies could arrive at such a move without conscious collusion. I also don't think it should be treated differently.

Long term, I think Visa an MC could shoot themselves in the foot. Merchants are now allowed to charge fees for using CCs IIRC in at least some areas.

You could easily end up with a situation like Europe where people mostly use debit cards for in person purchases since the processing fees are lower.

Consumers lose the protection of a buffer from their bank account, issuers lose out on revenue. Not a good outcome IMHO.

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by nsedlet on Friday February 15, 2019 @03:54PM (#19174620)
There was this thread from awhile ago: "Cartels Are an Emergent Phenomenon, Say Complexity Theorists" https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=3494224
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by jfoster on Friday February 15, 2019 @12:37PM (#19172878)
Of course. They also share most of their customers. Their business model is the same. A lot of their metrics probably trend similarly. Each would definitely know what the other is up to without talking directly.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by etrautmann on Friday February 15, 2019 @12:50PM (#19173003)
Is this essentially a variant of the "tit for tat" strategy in an iterated prisoner's dilemma? It seems analogous
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by will_brown on Friday February 15, 2019 @01:39PM (#19173489)
The prisoners dilemma is ultimately just a demonstration of game theory.

That is there is more than you win/I lose or I win/you lose but there is win/win.

It’s definately conceivable two algorithms or two ai would be capable of concluding the same. In fact it may be even easier because what’s the actual dilemma/self interest of such a system without the selfishness of human nature?

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by roywiggins on Friday February 15, 2019 @02:24PM (#19173889)
Why would you intentionally operate an AI that wasn't as selfish as possible?
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by will_brown on Friday February 15, 2019 @02:26PM (#19173910)
Because game theory/prisoners dilemma/the red black game (whatever you want to call it) suggests you would get a better outcome otherwise.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by 8note on Friday February 15, 2019 @03:17PM (#19174318)
if you ruin your only competitor, the antitrust folks will come after you
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by pas on Saturday February 16, 2019 @07:02AM (#19178243)
Nah, they still can come after you if you prevent new firms to enter the market. (But if you just do the usual regulatory capture the gov. will be just happy for you, as you gave them a lot of busywork for nothing.)
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by raverbashing on Friday February 15, 2019 @03:29PM (#19174423)
My pet peeve is how "The Prisoner's dilemma" is the most commonly used example of game theory while being one of the worse examples (because it involves no information exchange and a skewed payback)
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by Marsymars on Friday February 15, 2019 @02:40PM (#19174034)
Also tragedy of the commons.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by benologist on Friday February 15, 2019 @02:06PM (#19173718)
What do European banks do when debit card fraud occurs?
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by webmobdev on Saturday February 16, 2019 @05:38AM (#19178064)
India probably has the same number of users (or maybe more) of debit card users as the whole of Europe.

In India, banks have transferred the liability of debit card frauds directly to the card holder.

As far as they are concerned, the cards have EMV chips, and you have to provide a PIN to use the card on every transaction (merchant or ATM). Further, everytime a transaction occurs, the user gets an email and SMS message on their mobile informing them of the same. So ultimately it is presumed to be your fault if your debit card is "misused" in any manner.

If you lose your card or suspect fraud, you can always block it through your online net banking account or by calling the bank.

In fact, there was recently an interesting and controversial indian court case and ruling on debit card usage -

A spouse used his wife's card at an ATM to try and withdraw money to pay her medical bills (she had just given birth). The transaction failed (i.e. he didn't get the money) but the amount was debited from the account. They informed the bank and the bank told them that there might be an issue with the ATM and in such cases the amount would be credited back to the account in 24-48 hours. When that didn't happen, they filed further complaints with the bank and the ATM's CCTV footage confirmed that the ATM had not disbursed the money. But since the footage also showed the spouse using the card, and not the card holder, they closed the case stating that since debit card PIN has been shared, the bank is not liable as debit cards are non-transferable. After appealing in various forums, and finally in court, even the court sided with the bank. They further added that if the account holder wanted her husband to withdraw money, she should have given him a self-cheque for the amount, and not her debit card.

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by CydeWeys on Friday February 15, 2019 @02:24PM (#19173891)
European banks use chip and PIN cards which are much less susceptible to fraud. So they're fine.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by webmobdev on Saturday February 16, 2019 @05:36AM (#19178063)
India probably has the same number of users (or maybe more) of debit card users as the whole of Europe.

In India, banks have transferred the liability of debit card frauds directly to the card holder. As far as they are concerned, the cards have EMV chips, and you have to provide a PIN to use the card on every transaction (merchant or ATM). Further, everytime a transaction occurs, the user gets an email and SMS message on their mobile informing them of the same. So ultimately it is presumed to be your fault if your debit card is "misused" in any manner.

In fact, there was recently an interesting and controversial indian court case and ruling on debit card usage -

A spouse used his wife's card at an ATM to try and withdraw money to pay her medical bills (she had just given birth). The transaction failed (i.e. he didn't get the money) but the amount was debited from the account. They informed the bank and the bank told them that there might be an issue with the ATM and in such cases the amount would be credited back to the account in 24-48 hours. When that didn't they filed a complaint, and the ATM's CCTV footage confirmed that the ATM had not disbursed the money. But since the footage also showed the spouse using the card, and not the card holder, they closed the case stating that since debit card PIN has been shared, the bank is not liable as debit cards are non-transferable. After appealing in various forums, and finally in court, even the court sided with the bank. They further added that if the account holder wanted her husband to withdraw money, she should have given him a self-cheque for the amount, and not her debit card.

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by ars on Friday February 15, 2019 @04:31PM (#19174913)
For certain definitions of fine. If fraud does happen the consumer is usually not believed, because of course, fraud does not happen.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by felipelemos on Friday February 15, 2019 @02:35PM (#19173992)
And additionally my bank have a block system, I believe around 24/48h between freeze the money and finally withdraw it from my account.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by conductr on Friday February 15, 2019 @02:32PM (#19173964)
Am I wrong to assume most fraud is online? How does Europe deal with big data breaches and the like?
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by CydeWeys on Friday February 15, 2019 @02:35PM (#19173993)
2-factor auth is typically mandatory when using a chip and PIN card to buy things online. Rather than physically entering the PIN on a keypad, you're doing something through a flow using your user account with the bank. So not only would the random retailer need to be compromised, but the bank would have to be as well.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by felipelemos on Friday February 15, 2019 @02:37PM (#19174015)
In that case what is the difference between credit and debit usage?
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by jmiserez on Saturday February 16, 2019 @04:39AM (#19177914)
In practice, here in Europe credit cards are often worse because the seller can add additional charges after the transaction using just the CC number (even with chip+pin CCs) whereas this is impossible with a chip+pin debit card.

And the CC "protection policies" aren't that useful here, in my experience it's near impossible to do a successful chargeback and there are few cards with high cashback.

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by benologist on Friday February 15, 2019 @02:42PM (#19174053)
Arbitrary "protection" policies anyone can implement, powered by Visa and Mastercard?
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by jasode on Friday February 15, 2019 @12:47PM (#19172979)
Several forces would contribute to both VISA and MC changing fees at the same time.

- the typical open and transparent "price signaling" where competitors can "see" others' price changes. Similar to one airline immediately changing (matching) a ticket price in response to another airline lowering or raising its price. Same mechanism as Amazon bots constantly web scraping Best Buy and Walmart and Best Buy in turn scrapes Amazon. Everybody is constantly monitoring everybody's prices.

- Visa and MC have overlap of owners[1][2]. 4 out of the top 5 owners are the same for both: Vanguard, Blackrock, FMR, State Street

- Visa and MC have overlap of member banks that also have minority ownership

Yes, you were being sarcastic about the coincidence but it seems like the natural economic equilibrium is for both to have near identical network fees.

[1] Visa top 5 institutional stockholders: https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/v/ownership-summary

[2] MC top 5 institutional stockholders: https://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/ma/ownership-summary

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by chrisbolt on Friday February 15, 2019 @01:14PM (#19173234)
The overlap of owners means nothing, as those are mutual funds or ETFs that are the top owners of most stocks on the market.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by prickledpear on Friday February 15, 2019 @02:29PM (#19173934)
These mutual funds and ETFs actively participate in corporate governance, and the overlapping ownership of most stocks in the market is a very underrated problem.

Economists have found evidence that as ownership concentration increases, firms act more like a monopoly.

See this paper for one example in the airline industry: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/jofi.12698

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by nebolo on Friday February 15, 2019 @08:20PM (#19176360)
Participating in corporate governance and actively forming corporate strategy is a very different issue. And to my knowledge, ETFs and mutual funds do not participate in any meaningful way in management, i.e. they do not act as activist investors.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by jasode on Saturday February 16, 2019 @06:54AM (#19178227)
>And to my knowledge, ETFs and mutual funds do not participate in any meaningful way in management, i.e. they do not act as activist investors.

There's been a trend towards more activism with passive indexes. One example with Blackrock's passive fund:

https://www.afr.com/business/larry-fink-says-blackrock-will-...

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by sjjshvuiajhz on Friday February 15, 2019 @01:35PM (#19173446)
It seems relevant - if company leadership is attempting to act in the best interests of the shareholders, the fact that the shareholders also own their competitors would tend to bias them against engaging in a price war (even one that they would have a good shot at winning).
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by currymj on Friday February 15, 2019 @03:29PM (#19174425)
there’s an ongoing debate about whether this situation actually does pose an antitrust problem across many industries.

it’s at least not totally implausible.

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by theshortofit on Saturday February 16, 2019 @08:36AM (#19178484)
IMHO, the Card Brands are an Oligopoly Industry so they have pricing power and therefore raise prices because they can. Add on the fact they are public companies with their investors ( your list) hounding them for better returns leads to price increase abuses.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by theshortofit on Sunday February 17, 2019 @07:08PM (#19187735)
Good post!
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by benj111 on Friday February 15, 2019 @12:51PM (#19173016)
That's why they're 'mulling'.

Company A 'mulls' something, company B and C follows, X gets done.

If company A mulled something and no one else piped up, they could still of course go it alone, or they could decide that they want to help save their customers even more money, and not raise prices.

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by clairity on Friday February 15, 2019 @01:47PM (#19173559)
just use cash. can’t be tracked and it works everywhere (however i’ve run into one cashless shop recently). it’s unweildy for large transactions though, so checks or (reluctantly) cards are useful there.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by bb88 on Friday February 15, 2019 @02:37PM (#19174006)
Also Delta flights don't accept cash transactions.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by inferiorhuman on Friday February 15, 2019 @02:41PM (#19174046)
Delta Connection flights (potentially single class cabin only) only take cash. United also did away with cash transactions onboard. Of course, if people stop buying things on board because they can't use cash the airlines will switch back.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by bb88 on Saturday February 16, 2019 @05:18PM (#19181287)
Technically that's not Delta. That's run by a third party because it's not cost effective for Delta to operate small jets.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by inferiorhuman on Saturday February 23, 2019 @09:37AM (#19233461)
> Technically that's not Delta. That's run by a third party because it's not cost effective for Delta to operate small jets.

Technically it depends, but it's still Delta branded with Delta setting the policies. Endeavor Air is, for instance, wholly owned by Delta.

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by clairity on Friday February 15, 2019 @03:00PM (#19174190)
ah, yes, i don't usually buy stuff on a plane but that's a more prevelant example that i couldn't remember earlier.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by anonymous5133 on Friday February 15, 2019 @03:33PM (#19174454)
Don't fly delta then.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by mactrey on Friday February 15, 2019 @04:18PM (#19174800)
I get 1.5% cash back on purchases with my credit card. I'm essentially recouping the interchange fees.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by clairity on Friday February 15, 2019 @05:55PM (#19175511)
yes, almost. the middlemen are still taking ~1%, which everyone pays for through higher prices. wouldn't you rather have lower prices on everything and not have to worry about which card to use to get which points to claw back some of that cash?

to be fair, one needs to experience the current credit card rigamarole to realize that straight lower prices are less complicated and preferable. i get tired of having to remember to cash in my points in a convoluted system involving yet another third party (the rewards provider).

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by mehrdadn on Friday February 15, 2019 @09:33PM (#19176646)
> i get tired of having to remember to cash in my points in a convoluted system involving yet another third party (the rewards provider).

Get Citi Double Cash and you'll get 2% on everything without point conversion hassles.

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by brianpgordon on Saturday February 16, 2019 @06:25AM (#19178165)
This is a nice thought, but come on. If you want to be a good samaritan, donate to a charity. Giving up 2-3% cash back by using cash while plaintively reminding everyone that interchange fees are harmful to society isn't making any difference to anything other than your own wallet.

Also, some cards automatically apply rewards points. My Schwab Amex card deposits my 2% cash back each month directly into my brokerage account. My Amazon Prime card just gives you a checkbox when buying on Amazon where you can apply cash back to your purchase during checkout.

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by iaw on Friday February 15, 2019 @11:58AM (#19172482)
Has to be if there's no documented evidence otherwise, right?
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by ams6110 on Friday February 15, 2019 @02:45PM (#19174070)
Just like all the gas stations in an area raise and lower their prices at the same time and in the same amounts.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by dogma1138 on Friday February 15, 2019 @06:57PM (#19175935)
Gas stations change their prices based on their primary supplier for a given area these prices tend to be more or less the same, they also don’t make money on selling gas these days but rather of the convenience store/restaurant or by leasing that space to someone.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by davidsawyer on Friday February 15, 2019 @03:38PM (#19174494)
Gas stations do that at a very regular cadence: daily.

Visa and Mastercard change prices much less often than that, so this take is a little too apples-and-oranges for me.

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by CardFellow on Friday February 15, 2019 @05:04PM (#19175133)
It's true that they don't change prices daily, but it's also not particularly uncommon for them to do so. Visa raised an assessment I think last January? And interchange fees have changed several times over the years as well.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by bedhead on Friday February 15, 2019 @01:41PM (#19173506)
In economics this is called tacit collusion
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by savanaly on Friday February 15, 2019 @03:13PM (#19174282)
Wouldn't we observe the exact same behavior if the two were in an equilibrium where long term average cost was minimized (and, incidentally, equal to the price) and something caused LTAC to rise?
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by JustSomeNobody on Friday February 15, 2019 @05:51PM (#19175494)
No. I'm sure they use similar algorithms to determine when to increase fees.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by puranjay on Friday February 15, 2019 @12:52PM (#19173028)
Capitalism has failed in a way. The free market was supposed to facilitate competition. But what we've seen is increasing consolidation, not competition. Most industries are dominated by a handful of players who gobble up smaller rivals, who, after raising millions in funding, are too happy for the exit.

All data shows the same: competition is being trumped by consolidation and its eventual end, cartelization

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by TimTheTinker on Friday February 15, 2019 @01:52PM (#19173601)
> Capitalism has failed in a way.

That's not to say that capitalism is thus refuted as an economic model. All it means is that someone hasn't been doing an adequate enough job (probably regulators or lawmakers, in this case).

Capitalism's success is always a function of adequate rule of law, economic regulation, social trust, and personal generosity. Where those are present, it absolutely trounces other models.

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by CardFellow on Friday February 15, 2019 @05:05PM (#19175149)
I'll agree that processing is surprisingly lightly-regulated.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by sitkack on Friday February 15, 2019 @02:06PM (#19173717)
Capitalism is astable and requires a negative feedback framework to operate properly. It also has a narrow habitable zone otherwise it will cause an ecosystem collapse.

Capitalism isn't just a hand, it is mostly a mind that runs as an overlay over all the participants willing or not, and it isn't very bright, but it is very powerful. We are all but rabbits under its strong hands.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ArNz8U7tgU4

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by pas on Saturday February 16, 2019 @07:14AM (#19178266)
global markets, network effects are king.

these services should not operate as for-profits. though efficient oversight is also hard :(

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by btian on Friday February 15, 2019 @12:35PM (#19172860)
But they're not competitors. They just happen to provide the same service.

Cooperation is the way to maximize profits for both companies.

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by theandrewbailey on Friday February 15, 2019 @12:45PM (#19172957)
> But they're not competitors. They just happen to provide the same service.

Why are they not competitors?

I might be way out there, but if two companies provide the same service (even if they vary slightly), they are competitors.

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by btian on Friday February 15, 2019 @01:19PM (#19173289)
Because there are only 2 companies in the industry with huge moat - https://www.jstor.org/stable/4225650?seq=1#page_scan_tab_con...

It's the same reason why airlines don't compete with each other.

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by refurb on Friday February 15, 2019 @01:41PM (#19173500)
The price of flights to Hawaii just dropped because SouthWest is starting a new route there. How is that not competition?
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by nightski on Friday February 15, 2019 @01:10PM (#19173201)
They are competitors, but it's not a zero sum game. There are plenty of consumers who have both.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by jfoster on Friday February 15, 2019 @12:43PM (#19172934)
Look at AMEX, which has been rebuked by many merchants due to higher fees. The biggest risk for Visa & MC in doing this is that AMEX might begin to seem more swallowable for merchants.
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by CardFellow on Friday February 15, 2019 @03:28PM (#19174419)
Amex actually lowered their fees to be more in line with Visa/MC through its Optblue program back in 2015. The fact that many businesses don't know that is just a testament to the complexity and confusion in the industry.

Source: am in the industry.

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by jfoster on Saturday February 16, 2019 @10:51AM (#19179126)
Would that mean that after Visa & MasterCard do this, AMEX will actually be the better option for merchants?
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by CardFellow on Sunday February 17, 2019 @10:59AM (#19185045)
We don't know which rates Visa/MC are actually raising yet, but probably not. It has a lot to do with how/what processors charge.

Along with lowering costs, Optblue let processors add a markup to Amex transactions. (Previously they couldn't. That meant no incentive for processors to suggest or push Amex acceptance, as they didn't make money on Amex transactions.)

Now they can, and those markups tend to be higher than for Visa/MC. In egregious cases, the processor simply continues charging the business the old Amex rate (~3.5%) and pockets the entire difference between 3.5% and the new lower rates.

Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by theshortofit on Sunday February 17, 2019 @07:13PM (#19187763)
Rumor has it that Opt Blue Wholesale rates are going up by 10 pts in a few months
Re:Visa, Mastercard mull increasing fees for processing tran... by will_brown on Friday February 15, 2019 @01:44PM (#19173524)
They aren’t competitors? Well, they definately aren’t complimentary services (ie peanut butter and jelly).

Well merchants and consumers aren’t the competitors of visa/MC. Maybe they should cooperate by lowering the fees. If cooperation is the way to maximize profits...or does that only work when two companies collude to price fix?