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Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by stillbourne on Friday December 28, 2018 @09:41PM (#18781417)
I've always tried to tell people that ask me about crypto currencies that not only do they not have any intrinsic value, but the only positive value that they have is entropy. I explained it like this over Christmas dinner, lets say I wanted to start a new commodity, for arguments sake lets say that this new commodity is based on matches. Matches have a value, you light them and they produce a certain amount of energy. You can use them to light candles, clean out that odor from the previous occupant of the toilet, you could even combine a match with a small sterling engine to create motive power. But my commodity isn't the matches, its the energy used as the match is burnt. In my novelty commodity I only trade in matches that have been used, its proof that the match performed work in that it burned a fractional number of BTUs. This proves that the matches are sound. Furthermore, I, as a processor of used match commodities, can charge a nominal transaction fee when people trade spent matches on my Matchchain(TM) platform. Also, while this is a commodity I will call it a currency regardless of the fact that it has no debt instruments, lacks liquidity and is completely unregulated and prone to theft. Would you care to invest?

Now replace spent matches with spent compute.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by erulabs on Friday December 28, 2018 @10:12PM (#18781549)
Nothing in the _world_ has intrinsic value. Obviously, this an opinion, but I do believe it has strong epistemological backing. An easy overview of the opinion by wired: https://www.wired.com/story/bitcoin-has-no-intrinsic-value-n..., a 1970s era discussion by a historian economist: https://fee.org/articles/the-fallacy-of-intrinsic-value/, and a deep dive the theory itself: https://mises.org/library/introduction-value-theory

Now i'm not expecting nor wanting to get into a debate about the theory of value. I do not expect to be able to win, nor do I want to, but I do hope some doubt is cast into the proposition:

> Matches have a value, you light them and they produce a certain amount of energy

Matches have a _utility_, not necessarily a value. Additionally, compute is _also_ just "burning resources", only its electricity instead of potassium chlorate. Arguably a more fungible form.

> regardless of the fact that it has no debt instruments, lacks liquidity and is completely unregulated and prone to theft.

Only one of the four accusations stands up to any critical thought - which is that it is "completely unregulated". If that is the core of your argument against distributed, trustless currency, then that argument applies equally to all pre Federal Reserve transactions the world over, and I'm not sure what the implied problem is.

The best quote from the first and most approachable of the links above:

> All new mediums of exchange spawn skepticism, and should. For much of the 19th century, paper money was held in ill repute because it seemed so ephemeral and detached from value that could be easily recognized: land, gold, size of armies.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by stillbourne on Friday December 28, 2018 @10:36PM (#18781643)
Labor is the principal value of a currency. I'm guessing you are a libertarian. Maybe you should learn about how commerce, financial instruments, and debt work before saying money has no intrinsic value. Otherwise, if money has no intrinsic value then why work for it? Maybe we should go be communists. As Labor is the principal value of currency, so is debt the obligations of its members. When you get a loan you are not just getting money for interest over time, a group of loans can be packaged into bonds and the bonds can be sold by the lender as a lien against the debt. You get money, the bank gets interest and the bond holders get a percentage. Tell me, where can I get a loan for bitcoin from a FDIC lender? Someone I know who will be honest and not Gox me. Is spent compute the same as labor? Can a thing that computes a thing that stores a thing that hashes a thing that shows that a transaction for a thing happens have a value greater than the things I do for my career? Because to me blockchain is a waste of energy and Energy used for Compute, aka Entropy, has no value.
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by seibelj on Friday December 28, 2018 @11:28PM (#18781832)
You are speaking as if your philosophical viewpoints are settled facts. Your opinions on the nature of money are not facts and cannot be proven. We can propose theories about why something has value, such as a currency, but ultimately it comes down to philosophy when you are trying to understand why dollars / gold / bitcoin is worth something.

At the end of the day, something has value because two people agree it does. One painting is worth $100million and another $100 because two people agree that’s what it’s worth. Why two people agree something has value is the matter of endless debate. But I assure everyone reading that the commenter I am responding to is not certain to the answer, and actually no one really knows. This is philosophy, we can all have opinions.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by lostmsu on Saturday December 29, 2018 @08:51PM (#18786864)
I support you point in general, but I am curious, that you say "painting is worth X because two people agree". What if they disagree? I'd be interested to read some thoughts on that. Even better - proper theories.
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by ric2b on Tuesday January 01, 2019 @04:02PM (#18802337)
I think it goes even further than what the previous comment said. The value of the painting is different for everyone and even for the same person it will change in different circumstances (value of a cup of water at home or in the desert).

When a transaction happens the two people very probably don't agree on the value. Rather, the seller values the painting at "less or equal" of the strike price and the buyer values it at "equal or more". The transaction happens if those two regions overlap somewhat.

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Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by anm89 on Friday December 28, 2018 @11:59PM (#18781943)
This is idiotic. He clearly did not say that.
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by shrimpx on Saturday December 29, 2018 @02:52AM (#18782539)
From your perspective you can compare crypto to gold as a store of value. If you hold a bar of gold in your safe, does it have any "intrinsic value?" Similarly to Bitcoin, gold is expensive to mine.

But moving on, Bitcoin is not just a store of value. It's electronically transmittable without middle men. You can think of it as gold you can teleport across the globe. Lots of people would find this to be "intrinsic value."

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by erulabs on Friday December 28, 2018 @11:31PM (#18781838)
> Otherwise, if money has no intrinsic value then why work for it?

Because it has value to me, and to many other humans who I know and trust, which gives it _extrinsic_ or subjective value. To be snarky: Maybe you should learn to think through others ideas, or read their suggested reading, before accusing them of ignorance.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by cyphar on Friday December 28, 2018 @10:58PM (#18781723)
I would argue (though this is getting more philosophical) that time is what has intrinsic value (or rather, time saved), since we all have a limited amount of time.

Labour is how time gets saved -- one person spends their time doing something so that another person doesn't need to spend their time on it, and thus the person spending the time gets some money as a token for the time they spent.

(But I agree with your point.)

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by stillbourne on Friday December 28, 2018 @11:03PM (#18781738)
I disagree, if time were the intrinsic value then all workers would receive the same disbursement amounts. As Labor also requires Skill and Proficiency those combine to adjust the value of the Labor.
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by sparkie on Friday December 28, 2018 @11:44PM (#18781886)
People with more skill and proficiency don't need to sacrifice as much of their time to provide the basic sustenance they need to live. They can sacrifice a bit more of their time to earn a bit more and improve their standard of living though. The most skilled have the leisure to work when they want and for who they want, because those skills are in high demand and people are willing to pay more for them.

Time is the sacrifice. If everybody could have a high standard of living and not work, most would chose not to work and spend that time with their families instead. Obviously, there are some who find meaning or purpose in a lifestyle of work, and chose to do so even if they don't need the compensation which comes out of it. Each to his own.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by cyphar on Saturday December 29, 2018 @01:18AM (#18782228)
Skill and proficiency took the worker time to attain through training and experience, and more skilled workers can save more time (either now through efficiency, or in the future by doing a better job).
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by stillbourne on Saturday December 29, 2018 @01:44AM (#18782319)
That is not correct. A person who flips burgers and a person who is going to school to learn a trade are both using an equal amount of time. The latter however expended more effort to obtain a skill set and effort and labor are equivalent. A 40 year old who works 12 hour shifts to make ends meet can use more time than an individual who expended effort to train a skill to proficiency and enter a labor market. Additionally, we can have 2 individuals who both spent time training a skill set. One can end up more proficient than the other despite time or effort spent as despite the old adage not everyone is created equal. Some are prodigiously gifted. One person may struggle through his tutelage while the other breezes through. In the end they both put in the same time, 4yrs, do they get paid the same because they put in the same time? On the contrary, I went to school with several people that made it through the program for CS and got the paper, but are working in hospitality, warehouses, or sheet metal. They put in equal time do they all get paid equally?
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by sparkie on Friday December 28, 2018 @11:03PM (#18781736)
Labor is a sacrifice of ones time, and one expects to receive compensation for that sacrifice. The medium of compensation could be anything, and is certainly not limited to regional monopoly currencies.

The key distinction between the currency and Bitcoin is the government's use of force to mandate that people accept the currency as a unit of payment for services (and use it to pay taxes). There is no intrinsic value. After all, it is merely paper or digital numbers.

It's amusing that anti-bitcoiners will use the government force argument to try and push people away from bitcoin. "Bitcoin is no good because it is not backed by government force."

When people hear that, they say. "Oh my god, really? How can I get some?"

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by XorNot on Saturday December 29, 2018 @02:30AM (#18782472)
If Bitcoin is not backed by government force, then why is it worth anything?

Because no one can be compelled to accept Bitcoin to extinguish my debts to them (i.e. by the courts) and I can't pay my taxes in Bitcoin to my local government (no, "just-in-time currency exchange doesn't count).

So given these problems, what is the exchange rate of Bitcoin into anything else supposed to be? Given, again, that eventually, everyone transacting in Bitcoin needs to transact out of Bitcoin in order to meet local obligations like taxes, or just to acquire goods someone actually wants to accept payment in.

Bitcoin is a lot like gold, in that people might find some cosmetic and novelty value in it which gives it more then 0 value. But unlike gold, it consumes a lot of real world resources (electricity, structured silicon) in order to continue existing.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by sparkie on Saturday December 29, 2018 @09:07AM (#18783594)
> If Bitcoin is not backed by government force, then why is it worth anything?

> Because no one can be compelled to accept Bitcoin to extinguish my debts to them (i.e. by the courts) and I can't pay my taxes in Bitcoin to my local government (no, "just-in-time currency exchange doesn't count).

Imagine that! People are willing to accept my bitcoin as a payment for their services voluntarily, and not because they are forced to?

Turns out that there are quite a large number of people who like the idea of economic freedom and dislike the idea of this big cartel telling them what they can or can't do, who they can or can't trade with. They might dislike it so much that they're willing to make the hurdles, and take risks, in order to exchange between currencies to meet their obligations under such repressive systems and achieve some level of financial sovereignty outside it.

People want the choice. They want the choice because the government who holds a monopoly over many businesses in the geographical region they reside often does a bloody awful job, and their prices are too high (a giant chunk of ones earnings, then another chunk of everything they buy). Private enterprises could offer far better service at lower costs and have them delivered on time. If they under-perform, people could pull out their money and pay someone else for the services.

The main obstacle for this kind of voluntary trade is the men with guns saying "That kind of business can't operate here because this is our turf."

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by XorNot on Saturday December 29, 2018 @10:02AM (#18783860)
Unless the electricity company accepts Bitcoin, then you've got a problem. In fact you have a problem even if they did - because the hard-cap on the number of Bitcoins means eventually, every Bitcoin will be held by the electricity company.

In fact it's worse then that - since the value of early Bitcoins is less then the value of later Bitcoins, but all Bitcoins are going up in buying power, the electricity company is eventually the richest entity in Bitcoin without even having to be malevolent.

Of course, this doesn't happen because none of them can pay their taxes (or their suppliers taxes) in Bitcoin. In fact no one using Bitcoin can - everyone eventually has to sell all their Bitcoins to someone to recover the currency they need to do that. But who's buying it then? There's a finite amount - if it stays in use it's worth more then you sold it for when you try to get it back - or, since everyone eventually has to sell it, it's worth less - and less again.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by sparkie on Saturday December 29, 2018 @10:23AM (#18783961)
The electricity company has bills to pay. If some company can find a way to make unlimited energy without expending resources, then yes, they will become the richest entity in the world, regardless of the presence of Bitcoin or not.

Your assumptions are all resting on the idea that Bitcoin can't be used to pay taxes. This is already pretty flawed in a few places where it is possible. It will be flawed in many places fairly soon, because governments don't want to miss the boat either.

But Bitcoin maximalists don't actually care about this government thing. They would rather it collapse in on itself so that they can instead spend their money with businesses which make much better use of it than politicians.

For that reason, there is a demand for Bitcoin, and while the demand exists, people are willing to pay more to acquire it. At this point, they have to pay more because they're buying from a market with reduced liquidity, largely because existing hodlers would rather keep hold of it because they're pretty confident it will continue to appreciate in value over time.

And in the current world, where the government sanctioned financial services (paypal, mastercard etc) are actively unpersoning people for having unorthodox political views, there is clearly a growing market for an alternative financial instrument which this cartel does not control.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by XorNot on Saturday December 29, 2018 @10:55AM (#18784121)
> The electricity company has bills to pay. If some company can find a way to make unlimited energy without expending resources, then yes, they will become the richest entity in the world, regardless of the presence of Bitcoin or not.

There is a finite amount of Bitcoin total by nature of the protocol. The electricity company is vital to Bitcoin being usable since it's a digital currency. The miners might be necessary too, but they need huge amounts of electricity - which if they had to pay in Bitcoin, means they are paying some portion of the dwindling number of Bitcoins to the electricity company. As is every Bitcoin user. And every bit of Bitcoin they get is worth slightly more after they get it then it was when it was paid, so their purchasing power is going up and up and up. You can't even found a new electricity company and try to compete on price, because beyond some point the original buyer can buy your new cheaper electricity without measurably reducing their spending power, and to capture the market they need to somehow not enrich you too much while doing it. And then of course, best case you just have 2 big electricity companies controlling all the wealth forever. Deflationary currencies are bad.

> Your assumptions are all resting on the idea that Bitcoin can't be used to pay taxes. This is already pretty flawed in a few places where it is possible.

"Just in time" Bitcoin -> currency conversions do not count. They don't count because they depend on an exchange rate (and are provided by a private company in all examples). The government's tax office is not accepting Bitcoin - it's letting someone act as a payment provider but the payment provider is still paying them in the local currency (and taxes are being assessed in local currency, not Bitcoin).

If the price of Bitcoin collapses, you'll owe more Bitcoins. If my local currency collapses, I'm still only taxed on the portion of my earnings in that currency.

> But Bitcoin maximalists don't actually care about this government thing.

However governments care a lot if you don't pay your taxes. And the utilities care a lot if you don't pay them.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by stale2002 on Saturday December 29, 2018 @03:43PM (#18785570)
> And every bit of Bitcoin they get is worth slightly more after they get it then it was when it was paid, so their purchasing power is going up and up and up.

So you are saying that bitcoin would only ever become more and more valuable?

How can you similtaneously believe this statement, and that bitcoin is worthless?

They can't both be true. Either bitcoin is deflationary, IE, it goes up and up in value, and becomes more and more valuable, or it isn't.

Which is it? Is bitcoin worthless, or it is so extremely valuable and amazing, that it is going to take over the entire world with how deflationary it is?

Personally, I'd want to support something that you apparently believe is so useful that it is going to take over the world.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by XorNot on Saturday December 29, 2018 @10:13PM (#18787137)
It's a fact about deflationary currency in general, and why it's a bad idea. It grants that for some reason we suppose Bitcoin is worth holding - i.e. some government or entity accepted Bitcoin (or another deflationary currency) as payment for taxes. Maybe someone builds a seasteading community and decides to try this.

The reality is, with nothing backing it (i.e. no government accepting it for taxes), it's not actually worth anything in the long run because eventually everyone has to cash out.

Which isn't to say it's not worth anything now - but the market is exploitative. The goal is to convince everyone to buy in, so those who are in can get out, hopefully taking a profit (not in Bitcoin) along the way.

My point, is that anyone looking at Bitcoin and wondering if they should enter it should absolutely not. Deflationary crypto is a rigged game in favor of those who got in first, and you can never catch up (barring their irrationality). Bitcoin's highs are not going to be repeated, and anyone asking you to buy in wants you to do so so they can get out.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by stale2002 on Sunday December 30, 2018 @02:14PM (#18790771)
> some government or entity accepted Bitcoin

But this is already happening. There are multiple places around the world that accept bitcoin to pay for their taxes.

> it's not actually worth anything in the long run because eventually everyone has to cash out.

Is gold worth nothing, because eventually people have to cash out? Gold is also deflationary.

What people need to understand is that deflationary currencies have existed for centuries. The idea of a federal reserve, constantly controlling inflation rates, is a new phenomenon.

People 200 years ago somehow survived with deflationary currencies.

I am in favor of free choice. And I see no reason why people shouldn't have the choice to own a deflationary currency. If you don't like deflationary currencies, all you have to do is simply not use it, and leave the rest of us who disagree alone.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by XorNot on Tuesday January 01, 2019 @02:54AM (#18799401)
> There are multiple places around the world that accept bitcoin to pay for their taxes. No there are not. There are jurisdictions which sign agreements with Bitcoin exchanges to integrate them into the tax payment process. The exchanges must always be able to source enough local currency to meet the payment. The government does not accept and hold Bitcoin - the value of your taxable obligations, once determined, can change in Bitcoin with the exchange rate - whereas my tax obligations in local currency don't, provided I hold local currency.

> Is gold worth nothing, because eventually people have to cash out? Gold is also deflationary.

Gold is not used as a currency today. Neither is Bitcoin. The argument over deflationary currency presumes a world in which Bitcoin fulfills the stated objective of it's adherents as a currency.

Bitcoin and gold are both commodities today. As a commodity Bitcoin has very little to recommend it. Strictly speaking this is true of gold as well, but gold is historically very complicated, and has the benefit of being a physical resource which displays some physical scarcity (of note: gold as a currency isn't strictly deflationary, your inflation rate it just pegged to the rate of mining and discovery).

On gold as a currency - Middle Ages economies routinely bankrupted themselves by making huge windfalls in gold, and failing to recognize that all they'd done was drive a lot of inflation (i.e. the Spanish after they found the Americas - they didn't raise taxes, so the royal treasury found itself in debt even though by simple thinking they should've been very wealthy). Bitcoin has all these problems, but unlike gold also consumes resources to retain it's value. A block of gold after 10 years is still just a block of gold.

> I am in favor of free choice.

And I'm not arguing anything should be illegal. I am arguing rational people should recognize what Bitcoin is, and think carefully about how they value it. It is not what it's advocates say, and it is mostly powered by the reality that your average person does not think carefully about the nature of money very often.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by sparkie on Saturday December 29, 2018 @11:20AM (#18784244)
You seem to think that utilities are monopolies (which is partly true in some cases, where they are granted such monopoly entitlements by a government), and they they don't have expenses. They're not at the bottom of the economy. They need to buy fuels, for example: so they spend money with the fuel companies. Well, the fuel company needs to buy ships, drills and whatnot, and pay its workers. They money comes back into the economy at some point.

If electricity providing is such a lucrative business, then there will be an extremely competitive market for providing that service, and no one company is going to be able to charge silly fees because they will make themselves obsolete. It is only through a government granted monopoly that such companies are able to exist.

Governments care that you pay your tax, but their ability to enforce their tax collection relies on violence, and ability to prove the taxes need paying. Bitcoin creates an economy where the latter is more difficult, perhaps impractical with more private technologies.

It might turn out that governments have to move to being more voluntary models of trade, else they might not be able to acquire enough taxes to fund their operations.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by feanaro on Saturday December 29, 2018 @06:27AM (#18783142)
Not all commercial transactions involve debt.
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by stillbourne on Saturday December 29, 2018 @09:50PM (#18787063)
As all commercial transactions are literally called either credits or debits and the definition for debit according to Webster's

debit noun Definition of debit (Entry 2 of 2) 1a : a record of an indebtedness specifically : an entry on the left-hand side of an account constituting an addition to an expense or asset account or a deduction from a revenue, net worth, or liability account

I would say yes all transactions involved debt.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by feanaro on Wednesday January 02, 2019 @03:53AM (#18805019)
See my response on a sibling comment: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18805017
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by XorNot on Saturday December 29, 2018 @09:47AM (#18783784)
Care to give any examples which aren't just examples of very short-lived debts? (i.e. when I buy something at the corner store, we immediately resolve the debt).
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by feanaro on Wednesday January 02, 2019 @03:52AM (#18805017)
A fair enough terminological point, but in this case, I'm not sure it is much more than a play on words. The parent was clearly talking about longer-lived debt and debt financial instruments, where the debt changes hands so the debt-closing parties aren't necessarily the same as the parties that formed the debt.

To quote:

> Because no one can be compelled to accept Bitcoin to extinguish my debts to them (i.e. by the courts) and I can't pay my taxes in Bitcoin to my local government (no, "just-in-time currency exchange doesn't count).

In the edge cases of (almost) immediately resolved debt, this is a non-problem, given that we can simply agree not to complete a transaction in case one of the parties involved doesn't want to accept Bitcoin. Hence, the fact that you cannot be compelled to accept Bitcoin is irrelevant in this situation.

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Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by erulabs on Saturday December 29, 2018 @12:25AM (#18782042)
It seems like you're new to HN so you might want to check out the community guidelines: https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

Unlike other news aggregation sites, people try fairly hard here to let the sort of accusational, off-topic screed you're replying to either a) get a thoughtful reply or b) fade away into oblivion, instead of boiling over.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by erikpukinskis on Saturday December 29, 2018 @02:29AM (#18782467)
Cryptocurrencies are games and games have intrinsic value. AirBnB is a game, and if you implemented it as a cryptocurrency it would have value.

There’s nothing particularly special about AirBnB in terms of software. It’s barely more complex than Bitcoin.

But implementing games so that cheating is prohibitively expensive is very hard. That’s why we only have pretty simple games so far, like “ledger” and “compute”.

But we will some day have the entire set of Games Whose Cheats Can, With Some Effort, Be Made Prohibitively Expensive available to us as cryptocurrencies.

Tokens in those systems will all have intrinsic value proportionate to the value those games have in society.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by wallacoloo on Friday December 28, 2018 @10:46PM (#18781680)
This is a creative metaphor, but like most metaphors, not all of the novel properties of the original system were preserved in the metaphor.

If you want to improve the metaphor find a way to make it so that as a holder of matches I can have very high confidence that there is an upper limit of N matches that can exist at any given time extending far into the future.

Also add some way for me to transfer my matches to another match holder in ten minutes (or an hour, or whatever reasonable interval) regardless of the physical distance between us.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by stillbourne on Friday December 28, 2018 @10:59PM (#18781726)
Yes, lets create a scarcity of all of our burned matches! If my calculations are correct, at 21m bitcoin would be the equivalent of 15,405,810,000,000 used matches. That's a great idea. Sadly, you'll just have to wait 24h for my antique wire transfer.
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by sparkie on Friday December 28, 2018 @11:19PM (#18781802)
The key distinction between a burned match and a some bitcoin is that you can't forge the latter. Anyone can forge a match, and it would be extremely difficult to create an "authentic" match, which the receiver of in a transaction could verify to be such.

Anything could technically be used as currency. Historically people have always used something that is difficult to forge, because forgery results in inflation, meaning the currency which they hold loses its purchasing power over short times. It ends up not worth the labor they put in to earn it. If that were known at the time they done the labor, they would've asked for payment in something else.

Bitcoin is the best currency that has existed, because it is the first which is absolutely infeasible to forge, and it is simultaneously easy to verify its authenticity.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by stillbourne on Friday December 28, 2018 @11:40PM (#18781870)
>Anything could technically be used as currency. Historically people have always used something that is difficult to forge.

It's estimated that $70 million dollars in counterfeit money is in circulation in the US. At an estimate of $0.12 per kWh of electrical use Bitcoin uses approximately 70 tWh of power a year. Lets see that comes out to about $120m. At what point is the cure worse than the disease? Again this is just for Bitcoin in its current state as a semi-novelty currency/commodity. How much would it cost to operate the grid for bitcoin if it was the worlds primary reserve currency?

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by sparkie on Friday December 28, 2018 @11:52PM (#18781919)
You're missing the "extra dollars" that the central bank prints to fund the government's overspending. They call it "inflation" and tell you it is necessary and good for the economy.

Before your government can create its next spending budget, it needs to pay off its debts with interest. A big chunk of every dollar of tax you pay is taken before the government can even think about what it is going to spend the rest on. This is a viscous cycle because the government can't meet public demand with the remaining money it has and needs to borrow more again!

Each time they print, it devalues the dollar in your pocket by a few cents. This means when the government needs to pay back its debt with the interest, the money it is using to pay back is not worth as much as when they borrowed it. Ooops.

The cost to operate the Bitcoin grid is unimportant, because it is voluntary, and not taken from the public purse. You can chose not to participate directly if you don't want to put in resources, and rely on some other industry much in the same way you seem keen to rely on a government to do things for you.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by rubyn00bie on Saturday December 29, 2018 @01:03AM (#18782178)
What you're saying here goes against any reasonable macroeconomic theory.

Deflation causes spending to stop because people hoard money, as spending stops, economies dry up, and voila... economic stagnation at best. But no one without a formal education is Economics is likely to even be remotely aware of that.

Inflation, and Keynesian economics, have empirically served the world quite well. The government's and social policies that go with them not so consistent BUT and this is the important part-- Economics doesn't give a fuck. Inflation is a tool to allow an economy to grow, deflation is a tool to shrink an economy.

Economics is the science of resource management, it's not an opinion. Your opinion is as depressing to me as it is empirically wrong.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by sparkie on Saturday December 29, 2018 @01:26AM (#18782259)
Spending does not stop. It may slow. Most arguments against deflation are largely strawmen, and the historical examples of it are usually a result of too much government intervention, or it following a period of high inflation.

Here's an example of deflation: Moore's Law. If computing power is going to double in 18 months, then a computer I buy now will be worth much less in 18 months. If that's the case, best not buy that computer and wait 18 months right?

Another example is a car. It loses 20% of its value on purchase and continues to lose value year on year and is eventually worth nothing.

But nobody would buy a car if that were the case!

Economic theorists are mostly employees or funded by the banks, the central banks and the governments. There's a "consensus" among them that inflation = good because it benefits the industries they work for.

Anyway, it does not matter, because Bitcoin cannot be inflated, and if people now have the choice to hold a deflationary currency or an inflationary one, let them pick! We'll see if those economists were right after all when people actually have a choice.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by XorNot on Saturday December 29, 2018 @02:39AM (#18782495)
Try and be less literal - spending is suppressed. At every point there's an incentive to avoid spending as much as possible, and it's exponentially regressive - with enough wealth, and no investment - your wealth continues to increase beyond the amount you need to spend to survive.

"No investment" being the core point - the rich may get richer currently, but they have to buy stocks, bonds, start companies in order to do so - take risks and temporarily at least hand their money to people with less.

Under a deflationary model, they don't - the incentive is to avoid spending and investment, since the 100% safe investment is holding your money. The rich get richer - the poor are forced to part with any currency they have and can never join. Of course the system collapses if you don't have to buy in (i.e. no taxes) because why should anyone join such a regressive system?

Which, incidentally, is very much the reason no one should be getting into Bitcoin - all the coins were mined by early adopters, and you getting into Bitcoin is just allowing everyone who has cheap coins to cash out.

EDIT: And Moore's law is an ideal example of this problem really - at every point you shouldn't buy a new computer unless the present value you'll gain from one is outweighed by the depreciation in the future. Turns out computers are pretty amazing so this is a lot less of a problem - but computers actually do things. Bitcoins don't.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by sparkie on Saturday December 29, 2018 @08:26AM (#18783464)
> Try and be less literal - spending is suppressed. At every point there's an incentive to avoid spending as much as possible, and it's exponentially regressive - with enough wealth, and no investment - your wealth continues to increase beyond the amount you need to spend to survive.

If you use the same argument in reverse for an inflationary economy it doesn't add up. The argument would be that everyone would avoid saving. This is only true if you have hyperinflation. Small amounts of inflation are manageable. The same is true for deflation. If deflation is low, the effects it has are manageable. If we have hyperdeflation, then sure, people will avoid spending as much as possible.

If deflation is low, the amount which could be gained by holding the currency is tiny compared to the amount which could be gained by investing it in productive enterprises. The same is true in the inflationary model, because lenders must pay interest on borrowed money, their productive enterprises must earn at least the the amount lent plus the interest and the difference due to inflation, or they'd be making losses.

> Of course the system collapses if you don't have to buy in (i.e. no taxes) because why should anyone join such a regressive system?

This is why socialist types repeat the same mistakes over and fail to recognize them, or the value of free markets. The reason people would join such a system is because they want to get wealthy too!. People desire wealth. If they desire it enough, they will be productive and climb the ladder to get into the club. If they are unproductive, they will probably whine and complain that they should be entitled to other people's wealth. Socialism is a utopian ideal because it ignores human nature.

Bitcoin is extremely risky at this point, and was even more so 9 years ago. The people who invested then took massive risks in doing so. People investing now are taking huge risks. It will be a risky investment until it becomes pervasive. There will probably many more cycles of inflation and deflation because adoption does not match the supply rate. If people earn money from taking this risk, good on them. If people don't take the risk, they're not going to be part of the club. You've got to be in it to win it. Bitcoin is not like land rights which are exclusively granted by rulers or taken by force. There is no restriction and anybody can be an equal party.

The early adopters who have mined coins need to pay their electricity bills. It's not free money. They've had to sell the coins into a market. The distribution of coins is much more widespread than the mining process because of this. People hodl bitcoin even during inflationary periods because they believe it has a strong selling point which will give it leverage in the longer term. (They're low time preference people. Not necessarily the already wealthy.)

> And Moore's law is an ideal example of this problem really - at every point you shouldn't buy a new computer unless the present value you'll gain from one is outweighed by the depreciation in the future. Turns out computers are pretty amazing so this is a lot less of a problem - but computers actually do things. Bitcoins don't.

This is precisely my point. People still buy computers. The thing they spend their money on is more useful than the money itself. This is true of anything really. People need things to live, they need leisure and entertainment, and they're willing to spend a bit of money on it now, even though it will be cheaper later. It applies to most commodities: they lose value over time faster than the currency does. This is what makes the currency desirable to hold over those other commodities when people don't need to spend.

Inflation has the perverse incentive that it encourages people to spend when they don't need to spend. People are trained to have high time preference lifestyles, which are extremely hard to escape from if you're a low earner. You see the behaviours of low earners often do not help their situations at all, which is why they often get stuck in their economic position. The argument that economies should encourage spending (particularly among low earners) obviously doesn't help them either. They should be encouraged to save. The idea of intentionally building things to only last a few years, so that they need to buy a new one every few years doesn't help them (or landfills) either, but is supposedly "good for the economy."

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by XorNot on Saturday December 29, 2018 @09:35AM (#18783735)
> Small amounts of inflation are manageable. The same is true for deflation.

Only in the presence of a Reserve Bank, which Bitcoin doesn't have. There's no ability for any authority to increase the number of Bitcoins possible, which means it's permanently deflationary.

Inflationary currencies pay interest via Reserve Bank policies in order to be managed. Bitcoin has no such mechanisms, nor can any be implemented.

> The reason people would join such a system is because they want to get wealthy too!

Which is why ICOs are so popular. Why pay tribute to the original Bitcoin miners when you can just become you're own, recognizing that the only thing holding up the value is irrational in the first place (doesn't mean it's not a real way to get people to part with their money).

> The thing they spend their money on is more useful than the money itself.

Computers are one good in many-faceted economy. Deflationary currency means the currency is worth more against everything in the economy with each passing day. So not only will I not buy a computer with it, I will also not put it in a bank (why risk it?), not buy stocks, bonds, or even really loan it to anyone. In fact the right thing to do (if there was anything pinning it's value) would be to first spend all my non-Bitcoin money on necessities, and acquire and sit on, in offline wallets, as much Bitcoin as possible. But Bitcoin is a currency - to even be useful people have to actually use it.

So why don't people do this? For the aforementioned reasons - no one can actually require me to hold Bitcoin to pay taxes or extinguish debts. So just sitting on it is foolish since there's no real way to predict when the irrational market will end - except over the long term, I do know the price must crash since every Bitcoin market participant must eventually cash-out to pay taxes and electricity bills and what have you. So in fact there's nothing holding it up. The only actual reason anyone has to hold Bitcoins is when they get ramsomware'd.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by sparkie on Saturday December 29, 2018 @11:06AM (#18784177)
> Only in the presence of a Reserve Bank, which Bitcoin doesn't have. There's no ability for any authority to increase the number of Bitcoins possible, which means it's permanently deflationary.

Thank god there is no reserve bank. Markets do a far better job than individual people nearly every time.

Eventually, deflation in bitcoin will be very low and will be only down to people losing their private keys. In practice, I think this will become less common as people realize the importance of having redundant and secure storage of keys, perhaps involving several distinct parties.

If the human population begins to shrink, which is expected after a while based on observations from developed economies of reduced birth rates, then eventually bitcoin may have less demand and therefore lose purchasing power. Before then, we will see demand which far outpaces the rate of supply.

> Which is why ICOs are so popular. Why pay tribute to the original Bitcoin miners when you can just become you're own, recognizing that the only thing holding up the value is irrational in the first place (doesn't mean it's not a real way to get people to part with their money).

Yes, people want to get rich, and ICOs will continue to be a think for as long as people get away with it. I think many people have begun to realize the nature of them though, because they've had their gambles and been left holding useless bags. Some get rich, some lose money. You can't prevent greed, nor stupidity. Some people don't learn after repeated failure, as we see with gambling addicts all over. Those are fine, because they're throwing away their money at government sanctioned businesses. (Unlicensed gambling not OK of course!)

The desire to get rich is not the only usecase for bitcoin though - it is just a particularly prevalent attitude towards the currency because most people do not understand austrian economics and its practical use as a medium to enable free trade in a way that existing currencies do not.

Bitcoin also enables an economy of microtransactions which were previously not possible. People will be able to pay per article they read, per video they watch, in real time.

> Deflationary currency means the currency is worth more against everything in the economy with each passing day. So not only will I not buy a computer with it, I will also not put it in a bank (why risk it?), not buy stocks, bonds, or even really loan it to anyone. In fact the right thing to do (if there was anything pinning it's value) would be to first spend all my non-Bitcoin money on necessities, and acquire and sit on, in offline wallets, as much Bitcoin as possible. But Bitcoin is a currency - to even be useful people have to actually use it.

People will use Bitcoin when they want goods or services from people who accept it. They'll also hodl it, because most of them have a low time preference. Also, given they hold both bitcoin and fiat, they will typically spend the fiat before digging into their Bitcoin. This is Gresham's Law - bitcoin is the better money.

As I've mentioned. People will still pay for goods and services which are useful and valuable to them. They will be more reluctant to spend if deflation is high. If deflation is low, they will probably not pay much attention similar to how people generally pay little attention to low inflation.

Bitcoin is currently volatile and moving between inflation and deflation. It is inflationary when demand is not meeting the supply, which is still increasing. It is deflationary when demand exceeds the rate of supply, as was the case throughout 2017. We will see many more such cycles, because the demand for economic freedom exists, and other currencies are not able to provide a solution to it.

> So why don't people do this? For the aforementioned reasons - no one can actually require me to hold Bitcoin to pay taxes or extinguish debts. So just sitting on it is foolish since there's no real way to predict when the irrational market will end - except over the long term, I do know the price must crash since every Bitcoin market participant must eventually cash-out to pay taxes and electricity bills and what have you. So in fact there's nothing holding it up. The only actual reason anyone has to hold Bitcoins is when they get ramsomware'd.

It is that nobody is requiring you to hold bitcoin which is its main selling point. It is voluntary. There is a high demand for voluntary trade, and it is not being provided by governments. This might be mainly black markets or grey markets right now, but those terms are whatever the government wants to label them, which changes all the time. This can be seen for example in Toronto, where not long ago, the narrative was "drugs are bad." Now it's "cannabis good!" (As long as you buy it from a licensed seller so we can collect some of the money, and if you dare try to sell it without a license, we'll send in the guns).

People are fed up of being told what they can and can't do. If they want drugs, they'll get drugs, and they'll acquire the currency the drug sellers take if they have to. The same thing applies to many markets which the government does not allow because of stupid laws, or because they hold the monopoly which they can only maintain with the use of force.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by XorNot on Saturday December 29, 2018 @11:37AM (#18784335)
> Eventually, deflation in bitcoin will be very low and will be only down to people losing their private keys.

This is not how deflation works. There's plenty of online material on this subject, you would do well to get familiar with it: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deflation

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by kortilla on Saturday December 29, 2018 @05:30AM (#18782989)
Cars and computers are not investments. They have direct utility. Money does not (unless you burn it for heat).

>the choice to hold a deflationary currency or an inflationary one, let them pick! We'll see if those economists were right after all when people actually have a choice.

We have them already. They just aren’t called currencies because their price instability makes them somewhat useless as currencies. See: gold.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by sparkie on Saturday December 29, 2018 @08:53AM (#18783541)
> Cars and computers are not investments. They have direct utility. Money does not (unless you burn it for heat).

Right. The deflationary argument is that people won't spend money because the money appreciates in value over time versus the things they would spend it on. Those examples, and there are many others tell a different story. People will buy things which have utility, even if they lose value relative to the currency over time.

>We have them already. They just aren’t called currencies because their price instability makes them somewhat useless as currencies. See: gold.

You say the price of gold is unstable, because you're taking a dollar as your reference point. Dollars are actually far more volatile than gold because they can be printed arbitrarily, where gold is only found in limited amounts. If you measure the value of the dollar in terms of gold, over time, you'll see which is really the useless one!

The reason gold is not used much any more is largely due to the historical practices of confiscation and outlawing of possession. Admittedly, it is not the best commodity to use as currency due to its weight and difficulty to verify the authenticity of.

Thankfully, Bitcoin can solve all of those problems. It can't necessarily be confiscated if you manage your keys correctly. Possession can be plausibly deniable. It doesn't have the problems of transport, and it is trivial to verify the authenticity of. As a bonus, it is well suited to our digital age where much of commerce is conducted remotely.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by shan224 on Saturday December 29, 2018 @01:32AM (#18782282)
Youre assuming that credit cannot be built on top of bitcoin. With bitcoin backed credit no bank/authority figure would be able to over-extend themselves to the same degree as we have today

Kenysian and austrian concepts are not mutually exclusive

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by kortilla on Saturday December 29, 2018 @05:20AM (#18782968)
The US government is not printing money as part of its normal funding cycles. Where does this stupid notion come from?

The normal funding cycle is this: government issues bond in exchange for cash now. These are treasury auctions and they happen constantly.

There is no injection of money in this process. If you don’t believe that, ask yourself this. Why did the exact same process work when the US dollar was backed by gold?

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by BryanBigs on Saturday December 29, 2018 @12:47PM (#18784740)
I think the idea is, you buy a bond for $98 to get $100 back on maturity in a year (as an example). So $2 cash does get injected/"printed" when debt levels stay the same or go down. We just issue more debt though in practice.
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by russdpale on Saturday December 29, 2018 @03:46AM (#18782696)
The difference, however, is that the compute is actually doing something: trustlessly verifying the ledger (or chain). Whereas in your description to your family members, your burning the match does nothing of any value, for anyone, for any reason.

I find many other issues with your framing of bitcoin, but the above is the most glaring, to me.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by man-and-laptop on Saturday December 29, 2018 @05:54AM (#18783055)
Exactly. The value of Bitcoin comes from the fact that it's something scarce and un-counterfeit-able, just as money should be, while also being "de-centralised" and not tied to a government or corporation. The Proof of Work (the match burning) is just the means behind how that's achieved. It is absolutely not how Bitcoin derives its value; that's actually something we'd prefer it didn't need to do, but unfortunately it has to.
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by hackernudes on Friday December 28, 2018 @09:46PM (#18781430)
The "valuable" matches would have to do something statistically rare, like make a pattern of Jesus's face or something. And somehow be resistant to counterfeit matches. Then your analogy almost makes sense.
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by stillbourne on Friday December 28, 2018 @10:13PM (#18781553)
Do crypto coins make patterns of Jesus's face? Man there is something I would never have guessed. Also is counterfeit money really that big of a problem that its debasing the value of the dollar enough that we have to abandon all notions of fiat currency and replace it with an entropic commodity that burns energy to no other end? I mean I get, that the "valuable matches" are the ones that "make a coin" of whatever the jargon is but the problem is to make a "coin" takes 215 kWh to create, lets put that back into match terms, assuming one matchstick has one BTU and we convert BTU to kWh that comes to about 733610 matches at a conversion rate of 0.000293071 kWh per BTU that comes to about 2445 boxes of 300 count matches. Amazon sells a 3 pack of 300 count matches for 6.75 which comes out to about $5501.25 for 733610 count of matches. Now be aware that I'm pulling these number out of my ass, butt every match I burn has a 1 in 733610 chance of being a "Jesus Match" that means that I can burn more than that and still not end up with a match that is a Jesus Match because its a statistical argument much like the lottery. In the end what do I have to show for all of this? A huge fucking pile of used matches, and a real sense that maybe just maybe the Emperor's New Currency has value.
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by Dylan16807 on Saturday December 29, 2018 @01:03AM (#18782176)
I'm not sure what your argument was? But I'll reply with a few points.

Bitcoin mining depends on finding a hash that starts with a whole bunch of zeros, which is more or less equivalent to being just close enough to a jesus that you can sell it for money.

Joining a mining pool gets you a relatively fixed payout, counteracting the lottery nature. You'd only have to burn one box of matches to get a guaranteed payout of 300/730000 of a jesus match.

Yes it's still a waste of power.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by hackernudes on Friday December 28, 2018 @11:10PM (#18781759)
What you have to show at the end of the day is a digital currency that has no central authority and yet still prevents double spending.

The cycles are not wasted - they secure a digital currency.

Banks and governments use immense resources to secure fiat currency.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by Dylan16807 on Saturday December 29, 2018 @01:06AM (#18782189)
> The cycles are not wasted - they secure a digital currency.

If I use a car that gets 1 mile per gallon to visit my grandma, I'm wasting basically all the gas I buy, despite it getting me to my destination.

Proof of work is waste.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by stillbourne on Friday December 28, 2018 @11:25PM (#18781822)
>The cycles are not wasted - they secure a digital currency.

But why though? Is the USD that insecure? Is fraud so prevalent that its debasing the value of currency? Do we literally need to spend 70TWh per year, and that's just in its current state as a semi novelty currency/commodity, to secure the concept of money? Can you imagine how much it would cost to run bitcoin if it was the primary reserve currency of the world?

[dead]
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by stillbourne on Friday December 28, 2018 @11:50PM (#18781906)
It's ok, if you believe hard enough and know that your heart is pure then the Emperor's New Currency will have value. I'm just the guy asking why.
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by erulabs on Saturday December 29, 2018 @12:05AM (#18781974)
Your comments violate rule #1 of Hacker News comments.

> Be civil. Don't say things you wouldn't say face-to-face. Don't be snarky. Comments should get more civil and substantive, not less, as a topic gets more divisive.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

We're discussing ideas here, there is no reason presuppose others ideas or behave snarkily.

Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by trishmapow2 on Saturday December 29, 2018 @12:16AM (#18782013)
I think you replied to the wrong person.
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by erulabs on Saturday December 29, 2018 @12:18AM (#18782021)
To both of them, but in the case of stillbourne particularly, because he is responding to every post in this thread with that tone.
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by stillbourne on Saturday December 29, 2018 @12:38AM (#18782089)
I don't think he's being entirely partial in targeting me. One of my replies was to him, in that reply I was mostly civil with the exception that I accused him of being a libertarian. My comment got downvoted to oblivion anyway.
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by stillbourne on Saturday December 29, 2018 @12:28AM (#18782049)
I was not trying to come off as snarky. I was being civil, My first and my second comment were actually civil but as others attempted to offer retorts to my metaphor it sort of degraded. I didn't get real snarky until vitaliksghost called me an asshat. I'll exit the conversation now.
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by TazeTSchnitzel on Friday December 28, 2018 @09:54PM (#18781468)
Every match head burnt is required to be slightly larger in diameter than the first, so eventually you're burning massive purpose-built “matches”.
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by DJBunnies on Friday December 28, 2018 @10:32PM (#18781634)
Send matches securely to anybody in the world, you say?
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by Retric on Friday December 28, 2018 @10:54PM (#18781709)
Look at how may people and companies lost crypto currency of one form or another. That suggests security is actually a major unsolved issues with crypto.
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by DJBunnies on Saturday December 29, 2018 @09:32AM (#18783717)
It's not the fault of crypto currency that people fall for phishing, have insecure infrastructure, or shitty backup strategies.
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by plywoodtrees on Saturday December 29, 2018 @01:37PM (#18785005)
A technical system which in practice cannot be reliably operated securely, and which is prone to no-recourse losses, is worse than alternatives.
Re:Why I’m so “against” Ethereum by stillbourne on Friday December 28, 2018 @10:39PM (#18781655)
Yes, sir its part of my Matchchain Bullshit Tech. I can't say that you won't get Goxed though.