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Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by dmode on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @05:50PM (#17667351)
Tesla only sold 104 Roadstars in 2011. Now they are on track to sell 250,000 Model S, X, and 3 combined in 2018. The scale of Tesla's accomplishment is truly under appreciated. It becomes even more impressive when you realize that this is an electric car, sold by Tesla owned stores, supported by over a thousand Superchargers. Amazing !!
Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by kanox on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @06:26PM (#17667640)
I don't follow Tesla or the automotive market but I do follow space and for many years SpaceX was mocked because of it's low launch rate and delays. They are now #2 by launch rate, behind only China. SpaceX launches 2x to 3x more often than ULA or Ariane and their rampup was also faster than that of comparable vehicles.

The argument that a company can't build it's product fast enough to satisfy demand strikes me as extremely weak: as long as margins as positive the production problems are solvable.

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by TimTheTinker on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @06:59PM (#17667832)
SpaceX has Gwynne Shotwell. I’m not sure there’s a similarly capable decision maker at Tesla.
Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by tomp on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @08:10PM (#17668220)
Do you have any more information about her, e.g. an interview or biographical article that would detail her talents? I'm wondering why you're judging her so highly (no tone other than factual question intended).
Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by nickik on Thursday August 02, 2018 @06:48AM (#17670505)
In the SpaceX and even the whole aerospace community this is basically assumed because of years and years of her interactions and conduct.

Generally the theme is, if she says it the likely hood of something happening goes up 300%.

That said, I don't necessary think that you can assume a direct causation of the difference between SpaceX and Tesla based on her alone.

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by ordinaryperson on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @08:13PM (#17668235)
Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by mandeepj on Thursday August 02, 2018 @12:07AM (#17669173)
It does not have insight into her SpaceX endeavors but gives a sneak peek into her thoughts

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=THQPNDNulVc

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by gamblor956 on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @06:11PM (#17667542)
Toyota went from selling 19,000 Prius' in 2000 to 281,000 Prius in the same timescale. It becomes even more impressive when you realize that before the Prius, there was no market for green cars, hybrid, electric, or otherwise. Amazing!!!

[1] Even more impressive is that these are sales of a single model...

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by dmode on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @06:14PM (#17667563)
I mean it is impressive. But Toyota was not really a startup with no manufacturing experience in 2000.

Edit: Just reading the post twice. Tesla took 7 years to go from ~0 to 250K annually. Toyota took 18 years. Not really an apple to apple comparison

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by gamblor956 on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @06:48PM (#17667780)
Toyota took 7 years as well. They did not start selling the Prius worldwide until 2000, and they hit 280k worldwide sales within 7 years.

But if you want to compare yearly figures...the non-liftback models went from 0 sales to 530,000 in sales in just 2 years. Now that is impressive. And it's also the counterpoint to Musk's Tesla: both Tesla and Toyota knew that demand existed for their cars. But Toyota knew how to execute properly, and did so, and was able to satisfy that demand. Tesla so far has royally fucked up, continues to fuck up, and it's up in the air whether they'll be able to right the ship before they run out of money.

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by rconti on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @06:58PM (#17667830)
I'm sorry, but this strikes me as extremely disingenuous.

They didn't invent the market, the Prius was just a better Honda Insight (primarily by virtue of having 3 more seats). Again, they deserve massive credit for their accomplishments.

But, again, they lose the "sales increase" by a wide margin unless you tweak that by insisting on limiting it to "a single model".

Certainly we don't know if Tesla will survive but the challenges facing a new carmarker of any sort are simply massive, rather than just producing a slightly-differently-propelled model in addition to the millions of conventional cars you already produce.

And where you really fall over is by trying to argue about "the non-liftback models" which I can only presume means the discontinued[1] Prius V which is a slightly-differently-bodied version of an existing car.

[1] https://www.toyota.com/priusv/

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by dmode on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @07:31PM (#17668024)
Toyota had 80 years of car manufacturing and selling experience before the Prius. Of course, they will be able to execute properly on a product (which is an incremental innovation).
Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by rconti on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @06:17PM (#17667581)
It definitely is impressive, and they deserve great credit for their advancements-- I never liked the Prius but it was beyond obvious that every car in the future HAD to have a way of capturing deceleration energy rather than just bleeding it off as crude waste heat -- how silly and archaic that seems now.

But I'm not quite clear on your comment-- At first I thought it was to be read that the Toyota accomplishment was more impressive than Tesla's. But then I realized maybe you meant it to be less impressive, because the scale is far less. So I assumed you meant maybe Tesla's accomplishment was the more impressive one. But then you said Toyota's is EVEN MORE impressive when you consider that it's just a single model (which is a good point).

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by freehunter on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @07:05PM (#17667867)
I was pretty impressed that my entirely gasoline-powered BMW 3-series apparently will use the braking energy to recharge the battery and disconnect the alternator, saving some small amount of MPG. So the technology is trickling into gasoline-powered cars as well, to save small amounts of fuel.

I've driven a stick-shift for a while in the past and always wondered if there was a way to capture the engine power when you downshift for engine braking coming up to a red light. Not sure how it would work though.

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by sangnoir on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @10:59PM (#17668958)
> I've driven a stick-shift for a while in the past and always wondered if there was a way to capture the engine power when you downshift for engine braking coming up to a red light. Not sure how it would work though.

Flywheels could work, but they are heavy, and have a potentially unsafe failure mode (dense material disintegrating at high RPM).

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by avar on Thursday August 02, 2018 @03:10AM (#17669719)
You could integrate an alternator with the gearbox in some way, and only connect it if your foot is off the pedal, or if you're about to run out of electricity.
Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by Shivetya on Thursday August 02, 2018 @05:13AM (#17670187)
my 2012 Z4 had limited recapture as well, it was a manual transmission with start/stop. It was there to mostly keep the battery up so you could start/stop. There was zero indication of it doing anything which I really found as a missed opportunity. You can really alter people's driving behavior if they see they are being "rewarded".
Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by freehunter on Thursday August 02, 2018 @10:33AM (#17671689)
On my 2016 3 series there's an MPG bar below the speedo, and if you're in Comfort mode and coasting it will light up the battery in blue. If you're in Eco mode and braking it will flip the bar to say "charge". So I guess on newer models they took your advice and made it a bit more visible, and it definitely does impact my driving behavior because I want to see it light up blue :)
Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by JonathonW on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @06:55PM (#17667812)
> [1] Even more impressive is that these are sales of a single model...

If we relax that "restriction"... Toyota says they sold 1.52 million electrified vehicles in 2017. That includes the Prius (both hybrid and PHEV variants), all their other hybrids (they have at least one hybrid option in most market segments they cover now), and the Mirai (fuel cell vehicle), across both the Toyota and Lexus brands.

It sounds a little less impressive when you realize that's only about 15% of the vehicles they sold globally, though (10.386 million cars globally, although I'm not 100% sure if that number includes Lexus).

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by curuinor on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @06:12PM (#17667553)
I mean, unironically, yes. Prius is one of the most remarkable cars ever, even if actual car enthusiasts weren't very enthused.
Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by kposehn on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @06:15PM (#17667578)
As a car enthusiast, while I absolutely despise the driving dynamics of a Prius I deeply appreciate that it and other hybrids have had such a positive impact on cars. Hybrids are now becoming the standard for next gen drivers cars and are honestly pretty amazing tech.

Now if only people would stop driving their Prius' 10-under in the fast lane.

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by JonathonW on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @07:03PM (#17667857)
Have you driven a fourth-gen Prius (2016+)? Reviewers seem to agree it has a much nicer feel than previous iterations.

(I own a 2018 and am very happy with it, but I've never driven an older one, so I can't personally address any complaints about driving dynamics.)

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by rconti on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @07:07PM (#17667879)
My favorite thing about the Prius (other than the economy) is the simply MASSIVE space inside -- particularly rear seat legroom and the flat floor, but the trunk is huge as well.

My least favorite thing is the near-deafening road noise, particularly in the back seat. It's got a tin can door closure sound that reminds me of a Renault 5 or something. It's a HUGE step down from most economy cars in those regards.

This was through the 2nd and 3rd gen, at least. I've not been in a 4th gen.

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by kevingadd on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @06:42PM (#17667742)
It's hard to overstate just how weird the driving dynamics of a Prius are. I have a used one from like 8 years ago and going from it to driving a regular car is always a big adjustment because a Prius just doesn't handle like any other car. Solid commuter vehicle either way, though, and I can't complain about the gas mileage!
Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by yalph on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @06:48PM (#17667778)
This is not a direct comparison even though everyone should appreciate Toyota’s accomplishment. Tesla started from nothing.
Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by dreamcompiler on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @08:43PM (#17668383)
That's impressive, but fundamentally hybrids are a dead-end. They're more (not less) complex than pure internal-combustion cars, and they still need fossil fuel. Ten years from now there won't be any hybrids for sale; all cars will either be purely electric or special-purpose IC. Not that Toyota doesn't already realize this, but it puts Tesla's vision ahead for now in my opinion.
Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by dragonwriter on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @06:19PM (#17667596)
> It becomes even more impressive when you realize that before the Prius, there was no market for green cars, hybrid, electric, or otherwise.

The first incarnation of the Honda Insight was before the Prius, and somewhat successful before the Prius came on the scene and took over.

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by femidav on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @07:38PM (#17668053)
Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by aunty_helen on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @07:04PM (#17667863)
From wikipedia: >Total global cumulative sales for the first generation Insight were 17,020 units

Thats for '00-'06 sales. idk what the first year sales were but the Pirus was on the scene very soon after the Insight.

The other obvious thing, the Insight looked like a car for weirdos. Something that tesla and later model prius / leaf's have tried to avoid.

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by rconti on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @07:36PM (#17668041)
I think we may be misremembering this. The Prius dates back to 1996, when it was based on the Echo. The Insight was '99.

Edit: Okay, maybe 1996 in Japan? According to this Wikipedia link, the Insight DOES predate the Prius but only in the US: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hybrid_electric_vehicles_in_th...

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by aunty_helen on Thursday August 02, 2018 @06:04PM (#17675863)
Good link, to answer my own question, the first year insight sales were (drum roll): 17.
Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by gamblor956 on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @06:50PM (#17667790)
Honda Insight was never offered for sale, lease only. I'm not including leases because Tesla does not lease their cars and lease stats are more than a simple Google search away. But if we were to include leases, Prius' stats would look even better.
Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by dragonwriter on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @06:55PM (#17667811)
> Honda Insight was never offered for sale, lease only.

No, 17,000 or so were sold, and it was the first mass produced hybrid sold in the US.

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by rconti on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @06:59PM (#17667834)
Your arguments continue to devolve into uninformed or utter bad faith.

The insight WAS offered for sale, and Tesla DOES lease their cars[1]

[1]https://www.tesla.com/support/tesla-leasing

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by dmode on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @07:33PM (#17668030)
I literally lease my Tesla
Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by dreamcompiler on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @08:45PM (#17668394)
The other thing that Tesla's naysayers still don't get is that

A Tesla (any model) is the most fun street-legal car ever built

Full stop, no caveats. American muscle cars from the 60s weren't this responsive. No German car is this responsive. You just have to drive one to understand.

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by koffiezet on Friday August 10, 2018 @09:51AM (#17733207)
> A Tesla (any model) is the most fun street-legal car ever built

Most fun? You must not have driven many cars. If you only enjoy quick acceleration - sure, but I prefer a gocart feel and a car nimble around the corners, and the only tesla that's remotely competitive in this area is the roadster, of which it sold very few. The Model S, while it has a very low center of gravity which makes it feel like a smaller/lighter car than it is in corners, is still a large boat if you compare it to cars that are considered to be "fun" and well-handling.

A lot more people would agree with the statement that an MX5/Miata is the most fun street-legal car ever built - because - well, it most likely is. :P

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by cnf on Friday August 03, 2018 @02:43AM (#17677715)
That is highly subjective. A friend of mine has a model S, and I do not like driving it much. I find it to be a boring experience. He is considering selling it after just a year because he finds it to be a boring car. To me, it is a one trick pony. It accelerates insanely fast. And that is about it.

I MUCH rather drive my cheaper toyota 86 than a model S.

I want it to be an awesome car, but to me it just isn't.

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by pseudocook on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @06:02PM (#17667473)
I wonder how many of those are Model S. I hope that Model S is not suffering any problems so that Model 3 and Model X can go forward. I am only person in my circle of friends interested in Model S as opposed to the other two models.

Anecdotally, I lost count of the number of Model 3's I see on a daily basis in Bay Area.

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by jgibson on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @06:07PM (#17667507)
What attracts you about the S more than the 3?
Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by rconti on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @06:18PM (#17667587)
I really, really, really wish my 3 had the same awesome dash and display of the S. And of course the S is better looking although a bit long in the tooth. And has more space inside. And the power trunklid is nice because I'm not used to sedans and don't really like manually closing the trunk on the 3. It's a 2-step motion unlike a hatchback lid that closes more naturally.

But the more time I spend in the 3, the more I realize it's a MUCH nicer car inside than the S -- which I didn't expect.

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by kentm on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @07:42PM (#17668072)
I can't speak for pseudocook but the fact that they replaced the dash with a tablet really puts me off of the 3. Not only is it ugly (IMO), its less functional.
Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by what_ever on Thursday August 02, 2018 @06:04PM (#17675864)
Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by dmode on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @06:08PM (#17667510)
Model S and X combined should be about 100K.
Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by stcredzero on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @07:26PM (#17667987)
Tesla only sold 104 Roadstars in 2011.

I'd love to see a Tesla version of the Road Star!

http://www.motorcyclespecs.co.za/Gallery%20%20A/Yamaha%20XV%...

Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by toomuchtodo on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @08:25PM (#17668291)
Musk was nearly killed in a motorcycle accident, and has said they will never build an electric motorcycle because of how much more dangerous a motorcycle is vs a car.
Re:Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update by stcredzero on Wednesday August 01, 2018 @11:10PM (#17668998)
I'm really just calling out the spelling in the gp comment.