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Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by JumpCrisscross on Friday June 29, 2018 @05:25PM (#17427965)
Side note: when people complain about the military budget, projects like these should be noted. Political reality in America, today, is military R&D and jobs programs are easier to fund than civilian ones; so that’s where projects go to live.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by jayd16 on Friday June 29, 2018 @06:27PM (#17428334)
We could fund this exact project through academic means. We choose to allot funds through the military.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by cosmon0t on Friday June 29, 2018 @08:02PM (#17428763)
A lot of academic funds have military roots?
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by rickycook on Friday June 29, 2018 @08:46PM (#17428896)
and why do they have to?

in australia we have CSIRO which does some amazing research, and our military budget is basically non existent compared to the US military budget

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by 0x00000000 on Friday June 29, 2018 @09:11PM (#17428977)
Australian defense budget is 36 billion [1] with a GDP of 1.2 trillion. US defense budget is 600 billion with a GDP of 18 trillion. It is just about the exact same percent of GDP.

[1] https://www.pyneonline.com.au/media-centre/media-releases/a-...

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by mdeg on Saturday June 30, 2018 @01:18AM (#17429591)
If you read the sentence just before it, 2% of GDP is the growth target: "[...] the Defence budget growing to two per cent of GDP by 2020–21". The $36b number is the target value in 2020-2021, not right now. The current US defence budget is 3.1% of GDP.

As a percentage of total government expenditure, Australia spends 6% on defence and the US spends 16%.

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by thomastjeffery on Saturday June 30, 2018 @04:20PM (#17432570)
And it's $700bn now, which is almost as much as the entire rest of the world spends on defense.

GDP is not what that defense budget is protecting. People and property are what that budget exists to protect.

China has the second highest defense budget. We have about 1/4 the population of China, yet we spend several times more on defense.

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by jonhendry18 on Saturday June 30, 2018 @02:48AM (#17429805)
CSIRO is funded at about $787 million AUD/year.

Australia's Defence Science and Technology Group, which does science and other research for the military, is funded at about $400 million AUD/year. It's Australia's 2nd largest research organization after CSIRO.

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by adrianN on Saturday June 30, 2018 @01:32AM (#17429619)
This $100M research project is equivalent to about one fighter plane (without the ammunition, I guess). Imagine what we could fund for the cost of an aircraft carrier.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by yvdriess on Saturday June 30, 2018 @06:47AM (#17430321)
A supercomputer project the scale of the K-computer in Kobe.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by typon on Friday June 29, 2018 @07:06PM (#17428519)
So instead of explicitly funding research we should implicitly fund it in a roundabout way and you're saying people shouldn't complain about this state of things?
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by magila on Friday June 29, 2018 @09:46PM (#17429062)
I have seen many people on HN and elsewhere use the same argument in other contexts. For example, to justify spending on the Apollo program on the grounds that some of the money was used to fund research which turned out to be useful outside of manned space flight. So apparently it is indeed considered a perfectly fine state of affairs.

I'm being a bit facetious of course, I just find it funny that people's acceptance of this argument depends on how much they support the primary subject of the funding.

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by mmiller9 on Friday June 29, 2018 @05:28PM (#17427982)
I sincerely doubt our enormously bloated defense budget is because of research...
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by aphextron on Friday June 29, 2018 @05:34PM (#17428018)
Guns and bombs are cheap. Everyone has plenty of them. The power of our military is in force prjoection; that is, the ability to use those guns and bombs anywhere at any time.

That requires massive, sustained logistics spending. To the point it may seem absurd and wasteful. But the alternative is fighting a fair fight on equal footing. I’d rather not do that.

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by GW150914 on Friday June 29, 2018 @05:44PM (#17428085)
Guns and bombs are cheap. The Zumwalt, F-35, B-2, and more are not cheap. I would point out that “smart” bombs and cruise missiles are not cheap, and the cost really starts to add up. Nuclear weapons research, production, and maintenance isn’t cheap.

So really it’s fair to say that guns and bombs aren’t cheap, but they are also a distraction from the delivery systems, which are catastrophically expensive.

the point it may seem absurd and wasteful. But the alternative is fighting a fair fight on equal footing. I’d rather not do that.

Yeah? Are you sure the alternative isn’t to spend 3 or 4 or 5 times as much as any other nation instead of 7 times as much? Maybe the alternative is to avoid boondoggles, and focus on proven tech. Of course the real alternative is that doing so would get in the way of the real business of arms dealing.

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by aphextron on Friday June 29, 2018 @05:55PM (#17428146)
>The Zumwalt, F-35, B-2, and more are not cheap.

You're right, they sure aren't. But as a result no other military force on earth besides NATO has the capability to launch air superiority fighters from amphibious assault ships, and perform multi-ton circumglobal bombing sorties. That kind of capability doesn't come cheap, and shouldn't be dismissed.

Take away the B2 and we are fighting to-to-toe with Russian/Chinese long range bombers

Without the F-35 we are on equal footing with Chinese/Russian carrier based aircraft

Without Zumwalt class ships, we are going head on against Chinese missile destroyers and subs of equal capability.

The whole point is that you don't want an even remotely fair fight. "Keeping up" with others's spending, even within an order of magnitude, is a really bad idea if you can help it.

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by hollerith on Friday June 29, 2018 @08:51PM (#17428918)
I don't disagree with your post, but you shouldn't use the Zumwalt class as an example because the US has decided to stop production of it after 3 ships. For a citation see the bottom of the section https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zumwalt-class_destroyer#Backgr...
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by jandrese on Saturday June 30, 2018 @12:42AM (#17429513)
I don't think the Zumwalt was ever meant to be a mass production ship. I think it was built the prove the concept of lower signature vessels. Notably it's too small and lightly armed to accomplish most Navy objectives. The stealth technology makes it hard to modify for specific objectives.

Basically, what are you going to do with a Zumwalt that you couldn't do with a submarine? Is it better at any of those tasks than a conventional destroyer?

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by hollerith on Sunday July 01, 2018 @08:09PM (#17438470)
>>I don't think the Zumwalt was ever meant to be a mass production ship

You think wrong.

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by jandrese on Monday July 02, 2018 @03:52PM (#17444823)
Maybe I should have clarified that the Navy never considered it to be a real ship, for the aforementioned lack of a role in the fleet. Bath Iron Works probably wanted to build hundreds of them but that was little more than a hopeful fantasy on their part.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by hollerith on Wednesday July 04, 2018 @06:20PM (#17459722)
https://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/09/business/09defense.html states that 10 "were originally planned" though the intro to the wikipedia article says that "the class was intended to take the place of battleships in meeting a congressional mandate for naval fire support," so I'm not going to dispute your clarification because I know that Congress sometimes forces the Navy to buy things the Navy does not want.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by vkou on Friday June 29, 2018 @06:10PM (#17428227)
If the US military is, in any serious way, going toe-to-toe with Russian/Chinese bombers, I hope you've got your fallout shelter stocked, because as likely as not, both sides in the conflict will cease to exist ~20 minutes after that point in time.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by v_lisivka on Friday June 29, 2018 @06:43PM (#17428411)
Ukraine is still alive after 4 years of war with Russia. Relax.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by GW150914 on Friday June 29, 2018 @06:50PM (#17428451)
They’re at war with Russia because they gave up their nuclear weapons. No one is invading a nuclear power, which I think is the point the post you’re responding to was making.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by v_lisivka on Friday June 29, 2018 @07:37PM (#17428681)
How you know that Ukraine still doesn't have nuclear weapons?
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by vkou on Friday June 29, 2018 @08:19PM (#17428823)
Because I assume that the Russians, when they armed it (In Soviet times), and then disarmed it (In post-Soviet times), could count up to, and back down from twenty.

If they still have weapons, they sure as hell haven't been using their existence as a deterrent. The whole point of having nukes is letting potential aggressors know that you have them, and that, if attacked, you may be crazy enough to use them.

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by v_lisivka on Saturday June 30, 2018 @06:58AM (#17430352)
> The whole point of having nukes is letting potential aggressors know that you have them, and that, if attacked, you may be crazy enough to use them.

You must know that Ukraine was attacked 4 years ago. So the "whole point" is not applicable in this case.

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by aphextron on Friday June 29, 2018 @08:48PM (#17428906)
The point is not “Russia vs. USA” in an all out conventional war. It’s about spheres of influence. If I can project my will upon the (non-nuclearized) world more effectively than anyone else, my power increases substantially.

It’s why Russia is considered only a regional power, despite having a larger nuclear arsenal than the US. Their ability to perform intercontinental conventional bombing and troop deployment is non-existent. To cede this power to any other nation would be catastrophic to world peace.

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by GW150914 on Friday June 29, 2018 @08:55PM (#17428931)
Its about spheres of influence. If I can effectively project my will upon the (non-nuclearized) world more effectively than anyone else, my power increases substantially. Its why Russia is considered only a regional power, despite having a larger nuclear arsenal than the US. Their ability to perform intercontinental conventional bombing and troop deployment is non-existent. To cede this power to any other nation would be catastrophic to world peace.

What world peace? The US has started two wars that destabilized a whole region, and it shows no sign of restoring anything like peace there. World peace from such a belligerent nation, one that drone strikes most days of the week, is a bad joke or a real example of Orwell in action. How many pointless losing wars does the US need to start, how many governments does it need to overthrow only to see them revert to something even worse before you get that you’re about world peace.

You are not “the good guys.” The US is just in it for money, and that money only for a fraction of its population. It’s just a good thing the US can’t actually win a war it starts, or they’d have taken over by now. What’s actually happened is the likes of North Korea looked at what happened to Libya and Iraq and realized that they needed nuclear weapons. What a great outcome for “world peace” right? I’m sure those nuts won’t sell the technology, and other countries won’t follow suit so as not be “projected” all over.

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by Taniwha on Saturday June 30, 2018 @04:08AM (#17429970)
how exactly do modern day bombers go "toe to toe"? do you send one into the other to crash into it?

Surely all you want to do is shoot them down. Bombers are purely offensive weapons. No one needs them unless they plan to attack somewhere else

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by killjoywashere on Friday June 29, 2018 @05:57PM (#17428159)
> avoid boondoggles

The DoD budget, as usually reported, generally doesn't include funding allocated for specific operations (e.g. the Afghan or Iraq conflicts).

> focus on proven tech

The average soldier has always wanted proven tech. But what they really need (and what the officers ask for) is training. More HUMVEEs and Arleigh Burke destroyers, fewer wheel 4.0s and Zumwalts.

We are at the top of a power curve with regard to total dollars spent, but we actually about 4th in terms of defense spending as a percent GDP, (I think we're around 5th). Soft power remains our major advantage. Not that bad when you consider our outsize role in world military affairs.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/niallmccarthy/2015/06/25/the-bi...

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by riku_iki on Friday June 29, 2018 @06:17PM (#17428278)
> , (I think we're around 5th). Soft power remains our major advantage. Not that bad when you consider our outsize role in world military affairs. > https://www.forbes.com/sites/niallmccarthy/2015/06/25/the-bi....

Your link says US is 4th in list of selected countries, not in the world. On this page US not in the top: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_military_...

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by GW150914 on Friday June 29, 2018 @06:41PM (#17428397)
That’s as a % of GDP, and says more about the GDP than the military spending. The US is number 1 in total military spending many times over any other country in absolute terms.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by riku_iki on Friday June 29, 2018 @06:57PM (#17428479)
Sure, as number 1 in nominal GDP.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by mehrdadn on Friday June 29, 2018 @06:05PM (#17428203)
> We are at the top of a power curve with regard to total dollars spent, but we actually about 4th in terms of defense spending as a percent GDP

Any reason why percent GDP is the right metric? If we're normalizing I would've expected per capita instead.

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by pasabagi on Friday June 29, 2018 @06:43PM (#17428412)
Then the Vatican would be topping the charts.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by mehrdadn on Friday July 06, 2018 @01:17AM (#17469050)
You sure about this? Any citations? I saw somewhere that it'd be Saudi Arabia.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by mlaretallack on Friday June 29, 2018 @05:56PM (#17428156)
I think you have a point about the Nuclear weapons research, production, and maintenance, however the parent post was saying that the "bomb" was cheap, its getting it to the location its needed was expensive. Airplane and smart bombs are logistics.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by Fomite on Friday June 29, 2018 @06:38PM (#17428376)
On the other hand, every time we fire a cruise missile, we're shooting off the equivalent of an NIH R01-scale research grant.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by mokus on Friday June 29, 2018 @09:00PM (#17428947)
Serious question: how much of that cost is because we don’t have to fire them more?
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by techdragon on Friday June 29, 2018 @10:18PM (#17429151)
WW2 is the only real example to answer this kind of question. For all the global skirmishes and regular war games and other exercises, since WW2 there really hasn’t been sufficient conflict to prevent manufacturing an ahead of time stockpile of desired weaponry at the prices set by companies in the military industrial complex. Price did come down in WW2 but it can be hard to attribute it specifically to “we used everything we built and wanted more delivered yesterday” when so many other factors are involved. Wartime rationing, production regulations, patriotic decision making affecting prices people charged the government, and the simplicity of the things being manufactured compared to the complexity of modern munitions.

At the end of the day I’ve personally settled on “yes but probably not as much as you might think”.

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by jonhendry18 on Saturday June 30, 2018 @02:54AM (#17429820)
Multiple sourcing probably played a big role. Lots of companies were making Sherman tanks, for instance. IBM was making rifles along with many other companies.

There is no second source for the F-35.

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by Fomite on Friday June 29, 2018 @11:20PM (#17429308)
The U.S. Navy has apparently bought 8,000 Tomahawk missiles overall and we've shot 2193 of them - but I genuinely don't know when Raytheon's volume discounts kick in.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by mdeg on Saturday June 30, 2018 @01:20AM (#17429595)
What number would you place on the threat that Iraq posed to the United States? Would it be more or less than $1.1t?
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by rolandog on Friday June 29, 2018 @06:17PM (#17428276)
But doesn't that mean that it would be cheaper for an adversary to just wait until the excessive military spending makes the US implode, figuratively, in debt? This same concern worried former president Eisenhower back in his days[0].

A similar argument is usually touted regarding the economic strain that the 'Space Race' caused the U.S.S.R.[1].

[0] "The Cold War: An International History", p. 42-43 https://books.google.com/books?id=Yv2FAgAAQBAJ&lpg=PA43&pg=P...

[1] "Comparison of US and Estimated Soviet Expenditures for Space Programs", p. 3-4, https://www.cia.gov/library/readingroom/docs/DOC_0000316255....

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by aphextron on Friday June 29, 2018 @06:19PM (#17428287)
The Space Race bankrupted an already failing command economy in the USSR. However it was a massive economic boon for US capitalists, as evidenced by our aerospace and defense industries today. The great thing about defense spending is that it is almost entirely domestic. We're not running up some huge trade deficit with a foreign power. It creates millions of jobs from Florida to California.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by Koshkin on Friday June 29, 2018 @06:48PM (#17428435)
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by garmaine on Friday June 29, 2018 @11:10PM (#17429290)
How does that apply here?
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by lostlogin on Saturday June 30, 2018 @12:56AM (#17429543)
I believe the question is “does the spending result in a net benefit to society?”

I’d add in a consideration of the opportunity cost.

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by garmaine on Saturday June 30, 2018 @02:25AM (#17429744)
That’s not the broken window fallacy though.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by woolvalley on Friday June 29, 2018 @06:26PM (#17428326)
That only works if you can survive the overspend, because it's being used to actively destroy you at the moment.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by rolandog on Friday June 29, 2018 @06:48PM (#17428437)
Ah, ... I see they've cut back on the education and civility budgets to accommodate for more military spending.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by vkou on Friday June 29, 2018 @05:43PM (#17428082)
Who does the US intend to fight, and over what?

This logistic spending is certainly not for national defense - it has two oceans, a navy, and two thousand nuclear warheads for that purpose.

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by garmaine on Friday June 29, 2018 @11:08PM (#17429283)
> Guns and bombs are cheap.

No, they are not. Go look up how much the military spends on such things. It is a lot. (Per unit and in aggregate.)

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by jonhendry18 on Saturday June 30, 2018 @02:52AM (#17429815)
Apparently a military logistics expert system saved the US enough money during the Gulf War period that the savings essentially paid for all the Pentagon spending on AI research to that point. (And probably more than was spent on AI.)
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by adventured on Friday June 29, 2018 @06:18PM (#17428281)
The large US defense budget is almost entirely due to human costs.

The US has one of the highest median incomes on earth. Now combine that with the large human force that the US military has. The bases, veterans, healthcare, various benefits, retirement, equipment for the humans, salaries, and on it goes.

For example missiles + munition costs are a mere 2% of the military budget. Shipbuilding and maritime systems is a mere 3%. Aircraft and related systems is 5.x%. R&D is about 9%.

The budget related to operating the bases, maintenance, salaries, benefits, vets, and all other related human costs = $500 billion.

There's a strong argument that if you adjust China's military spending to factor in the difference in income / per capita costs for human soldiers vs the US (basically PPP adjusted), that China outspends the US already (and that's with an economy 1/3 smaller):

https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2018-05-25/china-out...

Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by killjoywashere on Friday June 29, 2018 @05:30PM (#17427993)
The DoD budget exceeds Google's market cap, and their research budget exceeds Google's annual revenue.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by ggg9990 on Friday June 29, 2018 @05:56PM (#17428154)
That’s nuts, they could buy one Google per year. In five years they could own all the big tech companies.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by garmaine on Friday June 29, 2018 @11:19PM (#17429304)
Why is thang nuts? Tech industry is peanuts.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by ProAm on Friday June 29, 2018 @05:37PM (#17428027)
But they dont spend it nearly as efficiently. Gov is slow and bloated. It's why government contracts are so coveted, lots of money, long term contracts, overages are just part of life.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by mips_avatar on Friday June 29, 2018 @06:11PM (#17428232)
Ok but if 200 planes need to be upgraded so that they don't get shot down by ____ new weapon. It's not possible to build an ASIC for this, so you're probably looking at doing something on an FPGA. You need a few FPGA hardware engineers, electrical engineers, software engineers. Even if the project only takes a year to design, build, and test. And then you spend an extra 6 months because xilinx's fpga tools basically don't work. You've got minimum $1 million dollars in salary, and that's not including the facility, materials, and testing costs. Even if the program costs $20 million, if it saves 40 planes, you can't tell a dead airmen's family that their loved ones life wasn't worth $500,000.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by woolvalley on Friday June 29, 2018 @06:28PM (#17428336)
America does that all the time with it's poor people.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by lostlogin on Saturday June 30, 2018 @01:30AM (#17429615)
And it’s soldiers. The IED situation took a long time to be addressed with more suitable equipment. Not that the U.K. did any better.
Re:Darpa invests $100M in a silicon compiler by jonhendry18 on Saturday June 30, 2018 @02:49AM (#17429810)
Besides, DARPA funds arguably led to Infocom and their great text adventures from the 1980s.