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Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by krat0sprakhar on Monday May 28, 2018 @11:00PM (#17176159)
Bezos pointed out that the moon is conveniently located, reachable in just a couple of days with the right rocket. Scientists have determined that it has deposits of water ice near the poles that could be converted into drinkable water, breathable air and propellants for refuelable rockets.

If this is true, it seems the moon has a lot going for it which is quite surprising given Elon has been so bullish on Mars. Can someone explain what advantage colonizing Mars has compared to Moon?

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by hndamien on Monday May 28, 2018 @11:15PM (#17176212)
The moon has no atmosphere, so living on it seems less friendly and far more dangerous. Long term, terra forming is not going to happen, because it won't hold an atmosphere.

That said, as a moon base it has a lot of things going for it, but I'm not sure if there are significant advantages of going there as a stopping point before going elsewhere, when you can achieve many things in orbit with some advantages of not having to take off again.

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by MikkoFinell on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @12:00AM (#17176388)
You can't really terraform Mars either, not enough gravity. And even if it was possible, the amount of work required to bring the air there is orders of magnitude more than simply building domes over some select craters and filling those with air, a sort of micro terraforming if you will.
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by samplatt on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @12:33AM (#17176520)
Even low gravity will keep your atmosphere close to the surface. What causes atmospheric erosion is solar wind, and the reason Earth isn't affected (much) is that we still have a powerful magnetosphere, powered by our spinning molten iron core.

Mars has a magnetosphere but it's much weaker since its core is cooler and slower and smaller.

If we nuked the polar ice caps (or similar method to warm + evaporate them) it would generate enough of an atmosphere for the external pressure to be livable - maybe even breathable.

Since the magnetosphere is still weak, this atmosphere would be eroded over time, but we're talking tens of thousands of years or more.

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by ValleyOfTheMtns on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @01:02AM (#17176631)
I read somewhere that installing a powerful magnet at one of the Lagrangian points between Mars and the Sun would be sufficient to shield Mars from the solar winds that strip away the atmosphere.

That would be a far cheaper and less disruptive way of keeping an atmosphere on Mars.

edit: Here you go: http://www.orionsarm.com/eg-article/4851d85e0791b

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by MikkoFinell on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @12:52AM (#17176598)
> If we nuked the polar ice caps (or similar method to warm + evaporate them) it would generate enough of an atmosphere for the external pressure to be livable - maybe even breathable.

Source?

Even granted that would be possible, it would be an enormous waste. Let's say it's possible to use the polar ice caps to create a breathable atmosphere, why do it for the whole planet instead of using it strategically to pressurize domes where people actually live? Added bonus: The domes provide partial shielding for the radiation on Mars. If you believe the ice on Mars can sustain a breathable global atmosphere for ten thousand years, how long will it last when used in closed systems like domes?

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by hndamien on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @02:51AM (#17176993)
I guess it means living indoors until we find another Earth candidate which we won't be able to travel to.
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by samplatt on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @02:27AM (#17176912)
That's fine. I was simplifying for the purpose of illumination. No disagreement on your points.
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by sigstoat on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @12:15AM (#17176447)
> You can't really terraform Mars either

what's wrong with Zubrin's plan?

> not enough gravity.

what's gravity got to do with it?

ADDED: if you're going to tell me the gravity is necessary to hold onto the atmosphere, great, i'm actually familiar with that mechanism. i assert that mars' proclivity for losing the lighter atmosphere over millions of years isn't relevant, and that it'll hold onto everything important for Long Enough.

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by ajross on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @12:32AM (#17176512)
> what's gravity got to do with it?

When the speed of molecules in the atmosphere (thermal, and thus dependent on molecular weight) approaches escape velocity for the body, the atmosphere starts to leak that component. Gasses like N2 (molecular weight 28) and oxygen (32) will "stick" to Earth where Helium (4) won't. Mars can hold CO2 (44) but not O2.

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by adrianN on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @01:17AM (#17176688)
But it takes a billion years or so for the atmosphere to erode away. That's plenty of time to get some ROI out of terraforming Mars.
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by okonomiyaki3000 on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @12:25AM (#17176491)
Without enough gravity, your atmosphere leaks away into space. This may have already happened to mars once.
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by sigstoat on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @12:55AM (#17176610)
happened once? because the gravity changed? it'd be an ongoing process.

and only hydrogen and helium are currently prone to jeans escape on mars. the current dominant mechanism for atmospheric loss is the solar wind. which eats away ~1/3 megaton/century. mars has teratons of atmosphere remaining. and it can be added faster than that rate of loss.

(once warmed up, oxygen may begin to escape the atmosphere again. not necessarily faster than it can be replaced, though.)

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by MikkoFinell on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @01:06AM (#17176648)
> what's gravity got to do with it?

Gravity got the following to do with it: Lower gravity makes it easier for the atmosphere to escape to space, especially since Mars has a very weak magnetosphere. Second, to have a human-breathable atmosphere you need not only the right composition, but also the right pressure, and to get that pressure on Mars you'd require an atmosphere more than 2,5 times the mass of Earth's. Where are you going to get it from? Even if it was available to you, using it to make Mars globally breathable would be an ENORMOUS waste compared to simply pressurizing domes and bunkers instead.

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by sigstoat on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @01:11AM (#17176664)
Zubrin's plan discusses where all the other atmosphere comes from. do you have some specific problem with the suggested process?
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by flukus on Monday May 28, 2018 @11:27PM (#17176252)
For all intents and purposes the martian atmosphere is no different to the moons, it's 0.6% of earths atmosphere.
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by mdorazio on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @12:06AM (#17176412)
Except 0.6% vs. 0% is a huge difference. For example, on Mars you have the option of making rocket fuel from the atmosphere or compressing and scrubbing it slightly for use in greenhouses. Not possible on the moon without basically baking rocks. Mars also gives you the option of aerobraking to shed velocity when landing, which is a big saver on fuel for delta-v requirements. And even though it's nowhere near as good as Earth's atmosphere for blocking harmful radiation, it's still way better than the moon.

On the other hand, the moon has a lot going for it for manufacturing. It's at the top of Earth's gravity well and has low gravity itself without being microgravity. That lets you move massive things around easily and shoot them out of launchers to get back to earth without all the problems that come with "zero-g" conditions. It's also a lot closer to the sun than Mars is, so solar panels give you up to 50% more power for the same area. You also don't have to contend with dust storms (though moonquakes could be an issue).

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by posterboy on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @12:52AM (#17176596)
> On the other hand, the moon has a lot going for it for manufacturing

A side hat doesn't face terrestrial cameras for example. taps glasses, pushes tinfoil hat slightly back

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by staticfloat on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @12:15AM (#17176445)
One difference is gravitational pull; martian gravity is ~2x lunar gravity, which makes the solar wind an even larger danger to any atmosphere you would generate. The distances from the moon's surface at which atmosphere could be stripped away would be proportionally shorter.

In either case, the technological breakthroughs we would need in order to actually generate a useful atmosphere are large enough that I would be very excited to just see the byproducts of such breakthroughs.

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by sigstoat on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @12:09AM (#17176425)
> For all intents and purposes

that's excessive. certainly neither one has even the pressure to keep a human alive for any amount of time.

mars has got teratons of carbon dioxide, which is useful stuff. little bits of some other handy gases. the moon has got 10 tons of atmosphere, total.

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by rdtsc on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @12:38AM (#17176538)
> For all intents and purposes the martian atmosphere is no different to the moons

Not sure I agree with all intents and purposes. Maybe just some of them? Like say if the intent is to extract CO2 or N2 from the atmosphere, then you'd find more on Mars. Those two things are pretty important for growing things and breathing.

Another intent and purpose could be to airo-break the space craft as it flies in for a landing. Though it is probably more annoying than it helps, in the sense that Mars has enough atmosphere that you need to deal with it, but not enough to be helpful in the final descent phase.

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by tjmc on Monday May 28, 2018 @11:22PM (#17176239)
Regarding the “breathable air”, where’s the nitrogen and carbon dioxide going to come from? Pure oxygen is not an option. IIRC there’s only trace amounts of carbon in moon regolith. So if you want plants and an artificial biosphere would you have to bring it all with you?
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by roywiggins on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @12:29AM (#17176504)
Do you really need much nitrogen? They used pure oxygen on space missions and other than the catastrophic problem of fire, astronauts breathed it okay.

Might have problems long-term though.

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by phnofive on Monday May 28, 2018 @11:15PM (#17176210)
I honestly feel like those boosting Mars as an objective are doing so _because_ it's so far off. Blue Origin has been quietly, diligently working on the hard, boring problems and isn't going for flash - pretty much in line with Bezos approach to most things - but folks will nonetheless be impressed with the achievement, even if the implementation is ignored.
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by matte_black on Monday May 28, 2018 @11:36PM (#17176277)
Try not to put too much stock on what Elon Musk says. The man rants about whatever happens to be on his mind: candy companies, media rating companies, tunneling companies, hyperloops, etc... doesn't mean you should take it seriously.
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by rdtsc on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @12:17AM (#17176461)
> Try not to put too much stock on what Elon Musk says.

This is one of those cases where I am not sure if it was sarcasm or not.

Musk managed to fly about a dozen missions to the ISS, launched an object into an orbit around the sun, and had about 20 successful launches just last year. It would seem when it comes to the space travel domain, if we should put any stock anywhere, putting it on what Musk says is a good bet...?

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by matte_black on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @02:40PM (#17181866)
For Space stuff, sure, but not because of Musk, but rather the good people working at SpaceX.
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by rdtsc on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @02:59PM (#17182012)
Ok but then shouldn't we not listen to Bezos either and wait to talk about this until Blue Origin's good people have launched, landed and returned a spacecraft from the moon?
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by matte_black on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @03:41PM (#17182333)
Sure, but Bezos doesn’t have a record of threatening to start companies on a whim and then either poorly executing or not executing at all.

I know which one I can count on.

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by ggg9990 on Monday May 28, 2018 @11:05PM (#17176174)
Does it matter? There’s no point to any of this, it’s fun stuff for rich guys like golfing or art collecting. Mars or Moon is just a matter of preference like Pebble Beach vs. St. Andrews.
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by bhhaskin on Monday May 28, 2018 @11:19PM (#17176223)
No point to any of this? Except you know a permanent human settlement off the planet and the trillions and trillions of dollars floating around out there in asteroids. Humans have no future if we don't get off our little fragile planet. I would honestly say it is one of the few things that do matter.
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by ggg9990 on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @10:26AM (#17179411)
There are much more plausible clear and present dangers to humanity than our failure to get off our fragile planet. It’s like people on a plane that is listing because everyone on board is sitting on the left side wondering how they can built a small craft to transport them to another plane 2 miles away in the sky.
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by musage on Monday May 28, 2018 @11:44PM (#17176311)
Permant != self-sustaining, just extending to moon or Mars isn't "getting off" Earth anymore than you putting your fingertip on a bookshelf doesn't mean you're now "on the bookshelf". Whatever we build there, will be a lot more fragile than what we have here. If we can't keep from destroying a rich ecosystem, what would keep us from destroying any ecosystems we build on much less solid ground?

That said, I don't disagree that it matters, just not in quite the way you put it, that's a fantasy to me, a way to avoid the responsibility we actually do have, the responsiblity that is actually real. At the very least, mining asteroids beats scouring for ever more elusive resources on Earth. But humans living in hollowed asteroids isn't a solution to overpopulation and pollution. We can't build housing on Earth, but it's going to be so different once "we're in space". Yeah, right. Prove you can do it here or I don't believe it for a sec.

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by sgc on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @12:34AM (#17176524)
Pretty spot on. I have never seen any modicum of common sense in people claiming going to extremely hostile environments to make them like where we live is somehow a better solution than - by comparison- just tweaking what we already have. It is just giving up on most of humanity.
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by ncallaway on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @01:51AM (#17176786)
I'm a pretty avid fan of colonizing other bodies in the solar system (Mars, Moon, etc).

That said, I don't know _anyone_ who would advocate for colonizing Mars is a better solution that tweaking what we already have. It's a different solution addressing a different problem.

We should _absolutely_ be improving and addressing the problems that we have on Earth. I 100% agree with that. I don't see how that precludes us from _also_ starting the process of colonizing another planet.

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by sgc on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @08:38PM (#17183965)
There is definitely a group of people who think humanity cannot survive without becoming a multi planet species - now. I am not against exploration and colonization at all, but I think it should receive the mindshare and financial backing of an experiment, and not a proper solution to the current existential crisis of our species. I wish we could capture people's imaginations with incredible fixes to our own planet's problems the way we manage to do with space exploration. It is obvious why this is difficult, but without it we will partisan bicker ourselves towards extinction.

It sounds like we agree at any rate.

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by gremlinsinc on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @02:02AM (#17176822)
I think from a scientific standpoint the more we learn through trying to terraform Mars, the more use we could get out of it centuries from now when we do embark to the stars and colonize a much better planet, one that might not need much terraforming at all really, maybe seeding some familiar life forms from earth and eco-systems at most.

Eventually, we should become a space-faring civilization if it is actually possible (big IF) there.

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by ncallaway on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @01:33AM (#17176737)
Permanent probably does mean _eventually_ self-sustaining.

Not in our lifetimes, maybe. But if we colonize mars in the next 3 decades it seems likely that in 1,000 years human life on Mars could be largely self-sustaining.

When talking about creating planetary redundancy for human life 1,000 years is a small time-scale. We're guarding against 1/10,000,000 year kinds of extinction events on earth. It's unlikely that such an extinction event will happen on earth before a Mars colony could become reasonably self-sustaining.

That said, it's important that we do it _eventually_, because over 100,000,000 years the odds of that earth wide extinction event goes way up.

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by gremlinsinc on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @01:58AM (#17176816)
95% of ELE events on earth .. wouldn't necessarily destroy earth forever... most likely it'd just be rough going for a few decades or even a couple hundred years, so if you can build 'backup colonies' in space and humanity can survive just long enough for the earth to be hospitable again, then we can come back and re-populate and destroy it all over again. :)
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by okonomiyaki3000 on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @12:31AM (#17176509)
Other than as very early stepping stones to some kind of extra-solar settlement on a less "fragile" planet, these things are no sort of solution for human futures. They are all far more fragile than earth and no settlement on mars, the moon, the Lagrange points, or any other body in this solar system will last long if something like an asteroid wipes out civilization on earth.
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by okonomiyaki3000 on Wednesday May 30, 2018 @04:17AM (#17185997)
I wonder if I was truly wrong in this post or if I'm only voted down for stating a truth that nobody wants to admit.
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by dwaltrip on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @10:32AM (#17179458)
The rich, the reckless, and the wildly curious go first. This isn't surprising. Others will follow in their footsteps.

Would you like to see the most stars ever viewed by a human on the dark side of the moon? Ride a rover to the top of Mount Olympus? Learn if microbial life ever thrived in the ancient waters of Mars? Witness the development of new advanced technologies that raise the quality of life for all humans living back on Earth? I sure as hell would.

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by matte_black on Monday May 28, 2018 @11:33PM (#17176264)
At the very least, it would allow for us to create a new data center located off Earth to reach greater levels of reliability and redundancy, even if you believe humans have no point in being there.
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by ggg9990 on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @04:01AM (#17177235)
What data would be worth preserving through an event that obliterated every data storage location on earth?
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by matte_black on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @12:23PM (#17180559)
Financial records, block chains, the knowledge of mankind, etc.
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by ianamartin on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @12:45AM (#17176570)
Something something, cold storage. If you can tolerate the latency.

But it would be “cheap” once established because cooling would be easy.

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by rpcope1 on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @04:16PM (#17182593)
> But it would be “cheap” once established because cooling would be easy.

I would imagine that if you put a datacenter in orbit or on the moon (or pretty much anywhere else in space), cooling would actually be significantly more difficult, if for no other reason than that in a vacuum the only way of getting rid of heat is via radiation. On earth, you can at least dump the heat out (much more efficiently) via convection into the atmosphere or conduction into a large body of water, or something similar.

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by TangoTrotFox on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @01:28AM (#17176724)
The moon:

- Much lower g ~1/6th g

- 2 week long nights and days.

- Extremes in temperature: -280 to +260F

- Questionable mineral deposits and water is more isolated.

- Much smaller surface area.

- Zero potential for terraforming.

- Zero atmosphere.

- Aesthetically homogenous.

- Very poor 'weather' - in that it practically rains asteroids on the moon. Granted this is all over the moon, and so any given individual or building's chances of getting hit are extremely low, but as we increase the number of people/buildings, getting hit by asteroids will be a regular occurrence.

- Plant growth would need to be 100% driven by external support.

-----

Mars:

- 1/3rd g

- Day and night cycle near identical to Earth

- Reasonable temperature ranges. About -100 to +70 F, varying depending on the seasons - which it also has 4 of, like Earth.

- Extremely rich mineral deposits. The most evident being the planet's color, which is caused by iron oxide - rust.

- Water everywhere. The soil is moist containing about a liter of water per cubic foot. Something "The Martian" accidentally got wrong, as this was a major discovery of Curiosity, after the book had been written.

- Surface area oddly near identical to the land area of Earth.

- Huge potential for terraforming - from creating magnetic fields in various ways to simply nuking the poles, which are made of dry ice (CO2), and letting it thicken up the atmosphere

- A thin atmosphere, but an atmosphere comprised mainly of handy CO2. For instance the Sabatier Reaction can be used to create methane with a byproduct of water from hydrogen and CO2 - both widely available on Mars.

- Aesthetically diverse - at one time orders of magnitude more. We'll be exploring and discovery Mars' secrets for decades and perhaps centuries once we get feet on the ground. Our rovers and probes have only scratched the surface, figuratively and literally.

- Excellent weather. Hit by relatively minimal asteroids and the thin atmosphere makes even the worst storm on Mars feel like a slight breeve - the one key thing "The Martian" faked. Come to think of it, a hard sci fi book having to rely on an impossible event to trigger a catastrophe on Mars is a pretty good sign.

- Martian soil actually contains everything that's needed to natively grow plants! [1] Sourcing this point since it borders on unbelievable.

[1] - https://www.nasa.gov/feature/can-plants-grow-with-mars-soil

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by andygates on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @03:48AM (#17177185)
That day-night cycle isn't to be downplayed. A greenhouse on Mars is a totally viable approach to feeding the locals - you just need to keep the air in, and air processing is a helpful second use. On the Moon all that stuff must be done in a more energy intensive, techy way.
Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by perilunar on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @01:50AM (#17176784)
Asteroids:

- create whatever level g you want

- create whatever day-night cycle you want

- create whatever atmosphere and temperature range you want

- create as much surface area as you want, potentially millions of Earth's worth

- no need to terraform: build the habitat you want from the start

- solar power continuously available

- wide variety of mineral deposits available

- plenty of water available

Re:Jeff Bezos and Blue Origin go all in on moon settlements by posterboy on Tuesday May 29, 2018 @12:45AM (#17176571)
> Can someone explain what advantage colonizing Mars has compared to Moon

It raises more interest. Mars is farther, thus sounds bigger, it also is bigger. The idea is more ambitious. It's appealing to the audience.