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Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by cornholio on Sunday April 22, 2018 @11:55AM (#16896686)
The process used by the car industry is state of the art and highly competitive. But the product itself has areas that have seen very little innovation for decades - just incremental optimization.

Tesla started with a clean slate, of course they will repeat some mistakes but they have the prospect of building a revolutionary product. In a way, a bit of chaos comes with the territory.

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by maxerickson on Sunday April 22, 2018 @12:39PM (#16896955)
What do you think the Model 3 shows when compared to the Bolt?

The Tesla obviously has better mind share at the moment, but various aspects of the vehicles are pretty comparable (even though they aren't really aimed at the same market segments):

https://www.consumerreports.org/tesla-model-3/tesla-model-3-...

I don't see a generational advantage for Tesla when I compare the 2. I see Tesla having a very short amount of time to match quality levels and production volume.

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by codeulike on Sunday April 22, 2018 @03:13PM (#16897941)
The Bolt is a fine car, but they sell them at an approx $8000 dollar loss. So not really a fair comparison unless you take that into account.
Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by rgbrenner on Sunday April 22, 2018 @05:30PM (#16898704)
Is that calculated similar to how Tesla loses $20,000 per car? ($2b loss/100k cars in 2017)
Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by kjksf on Sunday April 22, 2018 @07:24PM (#16899269)
Obviously not because GM makes overall profit.

It's based on media reports like https://electrek.co/2016/11/30/gm-chevy-bolt-ev-loss-before-... and http://gmauthority.com/blog/2017/06/ubs-gm-probably-loses-ab....

Electrek report is based on taking to GM insiders. gmauthority is based on a vehicle teardown.

For what it's worth during earnings calls Tesla discloses profit margins for their cars.

As I understand it, GM never publicly disclosed profit margin for Bolt so the unofficial guesses is all we have to go on.

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by justin66 on Sunday April 22, 2018 @08:30PM (#16899593)
The report on the Chevy Bolt that UBS financed has apparently more or less wandered into the public domain. It's available here (first google hit): http://www.advantagelithium.com/_resources/pdf/UBS-Article.p...

It paints a hopeful picture if you're interested in the future of electric cars, I think. The Bolt is something GM threw together with the minimal amount of effort necessary, understanding that this generation would have pretty low volume, and it's honestly really good for what it is.

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by maxerickson on Sunday April 22, 2018 @04:08PM (#16898273)
Is that an operational loss or is it factoring in the design and development costs?
Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by CodeWriter23 on Sunday April 22, 2018 @12:57PM (#16897052)
> What do you think the Model 3 shows when compared to the Bolt?

An additional 72 mile range for the Model 3. And a standard compact car form factor to Chevy’s sub sub-compact. I’m sure that yields some shoulder room and other comfort benefits.

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by maxerickson on Sunday April 22, 2018 @01:07PM (#16897120)
The greater range costs $15,000, it is mostly coming from a bigger battery (Tesla does have a modest edge on range/kW-h).

The form factor is also not a technical thing, it's the sort of thing I was trying to head off with they aren't really aimed at the same market segments. I think it is fair to say that the Model 3 is the more desired car, but that's not the same as demonstrating a big lead in electric platforms.

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by CodeWriter23 on Sunday April 22, 2018 @04:32PM (#16898418)
Thanks for pointing that out. I fooled myself with my GoogleFU.
Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by beamatronic on Sunday April 22, 2018 @01:25PM (#16897240)
That’s right. No one else is trying to make a sexy electric car at a low price.
Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by dragonwriter on Sunday April 22, 2018 @02:00PM (#16897462)
> No one else is trying to make a sexy electric car at a low price.

Whatever Tesla is trying, they aren't actually delivering that, either. The model 3 may have curb appeal (the interior is another story) but it certainly isn't at a low price (the base price is above the median total—options and taxes included—transaction price of a US new car purchase.)

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by outworlder on Sunday April 22, 2018 @07:28PM (#16899285)
To put that into perspective, this range difference is almost the entire range of a < 2016 Nissan Leaf.
Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by gamblor956 on Sunday April 22, 2018 @12:19PM (#16896819)
Name one thing that Tesla has done that is revolutionary rather than evolutionary? (Working features only, otherwise you're comparing it to a very long list of revolutionary features being researched by mainstream auto companies)
Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by kakwa_ on Sunday April 22, 2018 @05:59PM (#16898854)
Market an electric luxury sedan first?

Before Tesla, EV were seen as clunky, not very convenient and half baked conversion from already existing gas vehicles chassis. A few people were buying them because "hey, I'm saving the planet" (not really, this sweet electricity is still coming from fossil fuel).

But Tesla made EV kind of sexy, partly due to Musk other adventures that made people dream, mainly SpaceX, but also because of the "sporty" feel of the Model S and the "high tech" image of it.

Frankly, personally, I'm a bit tired of all the "praise Musk like a god" thing. The guy is refreshing in a world where everything must summarized in Excel and companies seems to be managed more by accountants rather than technology.

The guy is interesting as it has made the public aware of new possibilities regarding cars. He has unlocked something. But should we deify him for that? no. EV are still under conventional cars in term of autonomy, cost and reloading time. And personally, I think that cars are kind of a waist of resources to begin with: it costs a ton, it consumes a lot of energy per passenger and it's a mostly underused complex piece of machinery (few hours of commute every day at most).

Nowadays, I kind of wish for Tesla to crash and burn. I know it's irrational (and I will probably be down voted for it), but at least, it will shut-up the other irrational part of the audience praising Musk constantly and without reserve.

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by slyn on Sunday April 22, 2018 @02:20PM (#16897612)
We might be able to sit in our seats and say that anything they’re doing as a company is a technology that has existed for many years, but for many years people were saying that the tech wasn’t feasible on a large scale for xyz reasons. GM could’ve made an electric vehicle (and they since have) but they weren’t going to make a fast charging network (and they aren’t going to). It was never going to be realistic to have one without the other, so Tesla did both.

Now the market exists where there are companies doing the infrastructure and companies doing the cars. I’d argue that jumpstarting the market was revolutionary. I’d also contend that we’re seeing the beginnings of the another market jumpstart from Tesla in the pairing of battery storage with renewables.

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by pbreit on Sunday April 22, 2018 @01:19PM (#16897207)
Battery operated cars, battery operation ecosystem, over the air updates, over the update that enabled auto-pilot, radically redesigned internal controls, direct sales, no haggle pricing.
Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by beamatronic on Sunday April 22, 2018 @01:26PM (#16897245)
Let’s be honest and pare this down to battery pack technology, over-the-air updates/always connected to the Internet and direct sales.
Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by fma on Sunday April 22, 2018 @02:46PM (#16897775)
I wouldn't even give Tesla the credit of revolutionary for connected cars. On Star has been in GM vehicles for a very long time (1996 says Wikipedia), offering various levels of connectivity.
Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by Fins on Sunday April 22, 2018 @03:05PM (#16897886)
No-haggle pricing -- Saturn. Battery vehicles -- EV-1 (granted, there were many even before that). Enabling autopilot -- better not go there...

If you look closely, there is very little that's actually innovative about Tesla (and what is is mostly Panasonic battery tech).

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by nardi on Sunday April 22, 2018 @06:55PM (#16899146)
There were smartphones before the iPhone, but they all sucked. Then Apple made a good one (with a touchscreen), and immediately the next year, every smartphone looked exactly like the iPhone. They changed the market basically overnight. But did they invent the smartphone? No.

Same deal with Tesla, if they can get Model 3 production up.

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by matt4077 on Sunday April 22, 2018 @01:01PM (#16897082)
Being cool.

People don’t like to acknowledge this as an accomplishment. But the idea, and successful implementation, of selling an electric car that isn’t what a soy patty on gluten-free bread is to a burger was quite a revolution.

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by gamblor956 on Sunday April 22, 2018 @01:30PM (#16897276)
Being cool is a matter of marketing, not engineering. The Prius design is beloved in Japan, where it was designed. The Bolt is considered extremely stylish for a compact sedan/hatchback. And both are considered cool within their target markets.
Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by ericd on Sunday April 22, 2018 @06:21PM (#16898974)
Who is the Bolt considered extremely stylish by? To me, at least, it screams "econo-box". Has it won some design awards or something?
Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by nugga on Sunday April 22, 2018 @01:34PM (#16897295)
Tesla doesn't advertise (yet). They have a huge word of mouth / Elon Musk cult following. He must be doing something right for getting all that loyalty and hype. A few hundred thousand preorders with 1000 bux down is something.
Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by gamblor956 on Sunday April 22, 2018 @01:55PM (#16897413)
Tesla has had billboards all over LA and SF for many years now, so your definition of advertising must be very different from the normal definition. Any company following GAAP (standard accounting practices) would also consider stunts like the "flame thrower" and the Roadster in space to be marketing activities.

The only marketing activity Tesla hasn't actually used is paid TV commercials, unless you include Hulu or online streaming, in which case... Tesla has actually used every mode of advertising commonly used by its competitors.

The fact that Tesla doesn't actually categorize its marketing activities as marketing in its financial statements just means that Tesla isn't following GAAP.

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by rgbrenner on Sunday April 22, 2018 @05:40PM (#16898748)
I've seen the articles where you got that from... But that's BS. Just read their 10K (this is from Q4 2017):

Marketing, promotional and advertising costs are expensed as incurred and are included as an element of selling, general and administrative expense in the consolidated statement of operations. We incurred marketing, promotional and advertising costs of $66.5 million, $48.0 million and $58.3 million in the years ended December 31, 2017, 2016 and 2015, respectively.

http://ir.tesla.com/secfiling.cfm?filingID=1564590-18-2956

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by nugga on Sunday April 22, 2018 @06:11PM (#16898902)
Fair enough, so they put some marketing stuff as expenses and might have some visibility in the real world, but it also says in the same document:

Historically, we have been able to generate significant media coverage of our company and our vehicles, and we believe we will continue to do so. To date, for vehicle sales, media coverage and word of mouth have been the primary drivers of our sales leads and have helped us achieve sales without traditional advertising and at relatively low marketing costs.

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by bjl on Sunday April 22, 2018 @02:52PM (#16897820)
What are you taking about? Tesla spends millions a quarter on advertising and PR.
Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by Theodores on Sunday April 22, 2018 @02:42PM (#16897752)
Not really, the GM product is a loss leader, well, follower, the lose $9k on each one.
Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by jernfrost on Sunday April 22, 2018 @07:41PM (#16899353)
Nothing in the car industry was EVER revolutionary. Cars have naturally progressed from earlier related technologies.

In fact I would claim most technologies are like that. Hence to call something revolutionary, it makes most sense to talk about who has made a radical improvement.

It is kind of like how there were smart phones before iPhone, but iPhone was such a radical improvement that it represented a revolution.

In much the same manner, the Model S was a revolution, similar to iPhone. It pushed electric cars significantly forward and set the bar for what an electric car could be.

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by outworlder on Sunday April 22, 2018 @07:33PM (#16899314)
I have a feeling it will not matter, and anything people can name will be shot down.

If you disregard labels, Tesla was the first company to place this particular, very risky, bet. And it has paid off.

Electric cars were considered either not practical, or not desirable. Tesla made a car which was both.

If you disregard that, than fine, nothing was revolutionary. But then, by that standard, nothing is revolutionary.

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by ggg9990 on Monday April 23, 2018 @01:27AM (#16900723)
The entire car is revolutionary. It’s like the iPhone - there wasn’t a new scientific discovery behind the iPhone but the sum of the product was clearly revolutionary. That much was obvious to anyone who picked it up in 2007 and had even the slightest ability to imagine a mass-market user.
Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by wellboy on Sunday April 22, 2018 @01:13PM (#16897158)
Be double as good in almost every metric, range, speed, acceleration, comfort, brand recognition, design.

Not sure what you see as revolutionary, but 10% improvement is evolutionary, maybe 30%, but 100% improvement is a new level.

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by gamblor956 on Sunday April 22, 2018 @01:49PM (#16897373)
range, speed, acceleration, comfort, brand recognition, design.

On range, Tesla Model 3 only has a slight advantage over the Chevy Bolt, 20 miles based on third party test. Tesla isn't remotely close to 2x on range unless you're comparing the Model 3 to a first generation Nissan Leaf.

Speed? Definitely not 2x, unless you're actually claiming Model 3 can do >180 mph (Bolt is rated a 91 mph max speed, and the first generation Nissan Leaf had a max speed of 93 mph. Model 3 is rated at 140mph max speed).

Acceleration? Chevy Bolt is 7 seconds 0-60, while the Tesla Model 3 is 4.6 seconds. Not 2x.

Comfort? Almost tied. Advantage? Bolt, considering that the most expensive Bolt (with all options) is still several thousand $$$ cheaper than the cheapest Model 3 available for the foreseeable future.

Brand recognition? Depends on where you are. Everyone has heard of Chevrolet. Not everyone has heard of Tesla.

Design? Depends on what you're looking at. If you mean just the lines of the vehicle as they were intended, sure, the Tesla wins. If you mean the lines of the vehicle as put into production, the Bolt wins, hands down. The Model 3 is already infamous for misaligned panels, large gaps in the exterior between panels, misaligned window panes, misaligned handles, etc, and these are all signs of poor design failing to account for manufacturing tolerances. You won't find a Bolt with any of those problems.

So...basically what it boils down to is that Tesla is evolutionary at best in some categories and a step backwards in others.

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by fumar on Sunday April 22, 2018 @02:15PM (#16897567)
I agree with you the Bolt is a good value. I am concerned with your comparisons. A car that accelerates 0-60 in 4.6 seconds is in a different league than a car that does it in 7 seconds. Sure it is not a 2x increase, but these aren't computer specs. Using 2x as a baseline of comparison is unfair given these machines are used for transportation. Perhaps only in range would it be fair.

Tesla's branding tactics are no different than the other auto manufacturers. I don't think you can ding them on that. They all play to an audience or niche, it can be heavy handed. It can be GM talking about trucks and ruggedness or BMW talking about performance machines. Tesla focuses on "innovation." It can all be a bit cheesy.

I am waiting for the rest of the autos to catch up and deliver their flagship electric cars. I think consumers will wise up and choose the car that provides the right value for their $. Porsche will price their upcoming electric sports car cheaper than the Tesla roadster...I would take the Porsche.

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by TheSpiceIsLife on Sunday April 22, 2018 @03:12PM (#16897934)
I read recently that (intended) sudden acceleration is a risk factor in automotive crashes. Can't find reference right now, but if that's true then faster acceleration isn't necessarily a feature.

But anyway, how often does the average driver drive around with their foot flat on the accelerator? I don't understand the obsession with getting to 100k/hr right now.

In these parts, most people seem to be quite content with a car that will get to 60m/hr in 15 seconds, as evidenced by all the Toyota Yaris and vehicles optimised for off-road four wheel driving. I imagine a Yaris owner would think it'd be nice if their tiny little car could do that, but it ain't happening without a set of tyres the defeats the purpose of owning a subcompact.

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by maneesh on Sunday April 22, 2018 @01:05PM (#16897113)
Their method of redesigning the frame / car that led to revolutionary results in safety: https://www.tesla.com/it_IT/blog/tesla-model-s-achieves-best...
Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by gamblor956 on Sunday April 22, 2018 @01:19PM (#16897204)
Try again. Frunks were around before Tesla...as far back as the 1960s. This is just an evolutionary iteration of modern cars, which are design to absorb crash energy in a crash by crumpling. And even Tesla admits that its higher rates are almost entirely due to the frunk providing a larger crumple zone.

Also, Tesla is known to misrepresent in it's PR releases. See https://www.cnbc.com/2017/07/06/insurance-institute-for-high..., in which the IIHS notes that Tesla only received an "acceptable" for the type of crash that actually results in the most fatalities.

Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by snowwindwaves on Sunday April 22, 2018 @01:33PM (#16897291)
Using the battery pack enclosure as a structural member instead of bolting batteries on to the same old frame or body was an innovation.
Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by fma on Sunday April 22, 2018 @02:48PM (#16897793)
Volkswagen Beetle is a classic with a frunk.
Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by Vik1ng on Sunday April 22, 2018 @02:11PM (#16897535)
It just has an acceptable in the IIHS small overlap crash test
Re:Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from... by maxxxxx on Sunday April 22, 2018 @11:21PM (#16900281)
Other than the electric engine I don't see much revolution in a Tesla. What revolutionary is in a Tesla? Touch screens?