Medicine - People always need care
Education - People always need to learn
Government - There's always government
Law Enforcement - Crime isn't likely to disappear in the foreseeable future
While the amount of jobs may vary, there are lots of areas of society that are not going to just disappear.
This is the important snippet. One engineer today can do the work of many engineers of yesteryear. One doctor today can be more productive than several were twenty years prior, and with MI techniques improving continuously that isn't looking to slow down at all. Educators have more tools available to them today than they ever have, and while I don't know if they've become more productive because of it it certainly seems to be helping squeeze budgets ever-tighter.
For government workers, there's many sub-groups who feel the same squeeze. Administrative work can be made vastly more efficient through software. Legal work can be sped up tremensouly by automating much of the grunt work.
Police armed with better tools, better information gathering, and better technology can serve more people with fewer officers, though again in this case it mostly seems to be serving to let budgets drop continuously.
It'll be a while until any of these areas are _automated_, but that doesn't mean that we need as many people working in them today as we would have ten years ago to achieve the same goals.
One reason is technology - not all education tasks can be replaced, but some have been already. Combine that with increased competition for jobs generally, and I don’t see education careers being future-proof.
The demographics of baby boomers vs subsequent generations seem to confirm this one as an employment growth area for the US.
PS. Any legal firm without a strategy here can hire me (at lawyer rates) to tell them how to get with the program. ;)
Why did no one pass a law against "robot accountants"?
You make that sound like a bad thing.
God knows humans fuck a lot of things up. And a lot of legal professions are mostly busywork, which I assume AI can help with. But allowing machines to literally rule us is a long, long way from a good idea, and that's essentially what will happen if you let AI take over e.g. trial lawyering.
Some careers will be automated away, except for the ones that can’t be or those that aren’t allowed to by cabals.
No, what will instead happen is that a lawyer will be given tools that will allow them to be 100% more efficient on their own, thereby reducing the available jobs by 50%.
Even something as simple as improved search tools makes researching much quicker, which is an important part of their job.
http://www.berglas.org/Articles/ImportantThatSoftwareFails/I...
Note: I believe there won't be a need for human judges because robots tend to follow deterministic patterns much easily than non-deterministic, and thus you would probably not need humans to do much judging, displacing humans and turning to robots.
I'm reminded of the one Trek episode where Kirk is on trial, because the computer is never wrong. It was of course, because it had garbage input. But really, you gotta love UX where the VENT ATMO button is right next to the SKIP TRACK button.
"Hey! I just had a great idea! Rent control!"