They shouldn't by default be thinking out loud brainstorming sessions to be investigated and possibly executed later some day after it's trickled through proper approval requiring additional meetings.
"Productivity growth is declining" doesn't mean "productivity is declining"
The red line here is going upwards and to the right, but its slope is decreasing:
But you're right and they should've been more clear about it in the article. Thanks for the proper HN title.
The article is dated May 5, 2016. There was apparently a -1.0% drop in productivity according to the May 4, 2016 BLS news release, but it doesn't seem to be the worst quarter since 1993. In fact, the same article revised the previous quarter's productivity down from a number that was already lower than the May 5 number, so the author seems to be BSing. The BLS timeseries for nonfarm business appears to show 2008Q1 as the worst quarter-to-quarter drop in the span from 1991 to 2017. The worst quarter drop since 1947Q2, was -11.3% in 1947Q3 which was followed by a 17.9% increase in 1947Q4. The data are pretty noisy.
Most of the charts in the BLS articles you mention do show productivity growth in 2009-2017 lagging far behind the trendlines for previous business cycles. The BLS articles are good for putting productivity on an index which I think makes a better comparison than looking at a rise or drop from quarter to quarter. I have read a number of economists who are concerned about the drop in productivity growth, although there hasn't been a persistent drop in total productivity.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MPU4910063
The author missed the small peak in productivity around the recession but the main premise of the article stands - productivity growth has hit a wall in recent years.
Your chart shows an increase every single year. Not one data point on that chart shows a decline.
The author is sloppy with his terms but I never claimed that aggregate productivity is decreasing, just growth rate
He probably means the rate of increase is falling? Or he doesn't care and just wants to complain about these kids with their damn eye-phones...
Another comment provided a link to the St. Louis Fed’s chart of productivity growth, which illustrates this [0].
From skimming the article, it doesn’t appear to address some of the hypothesized causes of this trend, including insufficiency in the definition of productivity to reflect Information Age work and arguments that the internet has less of a multiplier effect on the productivity of labor than other inventions (electricity, combustion engine, etc.)
Where is the source for this? What is the source for the "long term decline" mentioned in the article?
The first sentence mentions the BLS, so I went there, and this is not what they say. https://www.bls.gov/data/#productivity
If you dont want to go through the various data, here are some articles with charts:
This one covers since the last recession: https://www.bls.gov/opub/btn/volume-6/below-trend-the-us-pro...
This one goes back further, but only up until 2012: https://www.bls.gov/opub/btn/volume-3/what-can-labor-product...